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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots - Week 17
Game Preview

Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History

BAL
CIN		 17
 34
PrePost
TB
NO		 17
 42
PrePost
PHI
DAL		 24
 22
PrePost
NYJ
MIA		 20
 7
PrePost
JAC
IND		 10
 30
PrePost
HOU
TEN		 10
 16
PrePost
GB
CHI		 33
 28
PrePost
DET
MIN		 13
 14
PrePost
CLE
PIT		 7
 20
PrePost
CAR
ATL		 21
 20
PrePost
BUF
NE		 20
 34
PrePost
WAS
NYG		 6
 20
PrePost
DEN
OAK		 34
 14
PrePost
KC
SD		 24
 27
PrePost
SF
ARI		 23
 20
PrePost
STL
SEA		 9
 27
PrePost

Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
Playoffs: Wild-Card | Divisional Playoffs | Conference Championships | Super Bowl

Prediction: Patriots 27, Bills 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections
Buffalo Bills
Rank  Player Projections
QB 32 Thaddeus Lewis Pass: 200, 0 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 8 C.J. Spiller Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 10 Fred Jackson Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 41 Robert Woods Rec: 5-60, 0 TD
WR 79 Marquise Goodwin Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
WR 82 T.J. Graham Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 23 Scott Chandler Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
K 16 Dan Carpenter FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 26 Defense / ST  
 
New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 18 Tom Brady Pass: 250, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 20 Shane Vereen Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 6-50, 1
RB 36 LeGarrette Blount Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
RB 52 Stevan Ridley Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 14 Julian Edelman Rec: 9-80, 1 TD
WR 34 Danny Amendola Rec: 5-50, 0 TD
WR 78 Kenbrell Thompkins Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
WR 81 Aaron Dobson Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 32 Michael Hoomanawanui Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
K 7 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3
DEF 12 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Bills Rookie QB EJ Manuel (11) has most TD passes by Bills rookie in franchise history. Has 2 rush TDs in past 3 games. Has 1,282 passing yards with 9 TDs vs. 4 INTs & 83.4 rating vs. AFC opponents. Had 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 105.5 rating in only game vs. NE. QB THAD LEWIS is 2-2 as starter in 2013... Bills avg. 142.5 rush yards per game, best in AFC in 2013... RB C.J. Spiller averages 6.1 yards per carry at NE (26 att., 159 yards). Last week, RB Fred Jackson (5,067) joined HOFers THURMAN THOMAS & O.J. SIMPSON as only Bills to reach 5,000 career rush yards. Posted 1st 100-yard rush game of season last week... WR Steve Johnson (301) needs 2 rec. for 6th most in franchise history (PETE METZELAARS, 302). Robert Woods had 18-yard TD rec. in only meeting vs. NE... Registered 1st shutout since 10/30/11 last week... DE Mario Williams (13) needs 1.5 sacks to surpass career best of 14 in '07... Defense has NFL-best 56 sacks... Club has 3 players with at least 10 sacks, most in NFL (Jerry Hughes, Kyle Williams, Mario Williams).

Patriots Have won 18 of past 20 in Dec... With win, QB Tom Brady (147) will surpass HOFer DAN MARINO (147) for 4th-most on all-time wins list among starting QBs. Has 11 division titles, most by starting QB in NFL history. Brady has 44-7 (.863) career record in Dec., highest among SB-era QBs (min. 10 starts). Needs 279 pass yards to reach 4,500 for 4th time in career, 3rd-most such seasons in NFL history... RB LeGarrette Blount tied career-best with 2 rush TDs last week... WR Julian Edelman (96) needs 4 catches to join TROY BROWN & WES WELKER as only Patriots to have 100 rec. in season. Needs 9 rec. yards to reach 1,000 for 1st time in career... DE Chandler Jones has career-high 11.5 sacks in 2013. Had FR-TD vs. Bal... LB DON'T'A HIGHTOWER has team-best 91 tackles... Rookie CB Logan Ryan had career-best 2 INTs & 3 PDs last week. Has 5 INTs, most among NFL rookies.


Results and Schedule

Buffalo Bills
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 NE H L 21-23 -2
2 2013-09-15 CAR H W 24-23 +1
3 2013-09-22 NYJ A L 20-27 -7
4 2013-09-29 BAL H W 23-20 +3
5 2013-10-03 CLE A L 24-37 -13
6 2013-10-13 CIN H L 24-27 -3
7 2013-10-20 MIA A W 23-21 +2
8 2013-10-27 NO A L 17-35 -18
9 2013-11-03 KC H L 13-23 -10
10 2013-11-10 PIT A L 10-23 -13
11 2013-11-17 NYJ H W 37-14 +23
12   Bye      
13 2013-12-01 ATL H L 31-34 -3
14 2013-12-08 TB A L 6-27 -21
15 2013-12-15 JAC A W 27-20 +7
16 2013-12-22 MIA H W 19-0 +19
17 2013-12-29 NE A    
   

New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 BUF A W 23-21 +2
2 2013-09-12 NYJ H W 13-10 +3
3 2013-09-22 TB H W 23-3 +20
4 2013-09-29 ATL A W 30-23 +7
5 2013-10-06 CIN A L 6-13 -7
6 2013-10-13 NO H W 30-27 +3
7 2013-10-20 NYJ A L 27-30 -3
8 2013-10-27 MIA H W 27-17 +10
9 2013-11-03 PIT H W 55-31 +24
10   Bye      
11 2013-11-18 CAR A L 20-24 -4
12 2013-11-24 DEN H W 34-31 +3
13 2013-12-01 HOU A W 34-31 +3
14 2013-12-08 CLE H W 27-26 +1
15 2013-12-15 MIA A L 20-24 -4
16 2013-12-22 BAL A W 41-7 +34
17 2013-12-29 BUF H    

Injury Report

Buffalo Bills
Doubtful  SS Aaron Williams (ribs)
Questionable  WR Steve Johnson (other-excused)
 QB EJ Manuel (knee)
Probable  WR Marquise Goodwin (knee)
 RB Fred Jackson (ribs)
 QB Thaddeus Lewis (shoulder)
 DT Kyle Williams (achilles-tendon)
IR  NT Alex Carrington (knee, 9/29/2013)
 K Dustin Hopkins (groin, 10/7/2013)
 QB Kevin Kolb (concussion, 8/30/2013)
   

New England Patriots
Questionable  CB Kyle Arrington (groin)
 WR Josh Boyce (hip)
 CB Alfonzo Dennard (shoulder)
 WR Aaron Dobson (foot)
 MLB Dane Fletcher (groin)
 SS Steve Gregory (knee)
 FS Devin McCourty (head)
 DE Rob Ninkovich (ankle)
 MLB Brandon Spikes (knee)
 WR Kenbrell Thompkins (hip)
Probable  WR Danny Amendola (groin)
 QB Tom Brady (shoulder)
 TE Michael Hoomanawanui (knee)
 CB Aqib Talib (hip)
 RB Shane Vereen (groin)
IR  TE Rob Gronkowski (knee, 12/9/2013)
 DT Tommy Kelly (knee, 11/2/2013)
 WLB Jerod Mayo (shoulder, 10/16/2013)
 DT Vince Wilfork (achilles-tendon, 10/3/2013)
 SS Adrian Wilson (hamstring, 8/31/2013)

Offense Stats Comparison

  BUF
 Offense 		 NE
 Offense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points for 25.7 28.8 24.1 NE
Rushing yards 153.7 101.8 117.0 BUF
Rushing yards per attempt 3.93 3.98 4.26 NE
Completion % 62.0% 65.2% 61.1% NE
Passing yards 188.3 332.3 231.6 NE
Passing yards per completion 10.88 10.95 10.84 NE
Passing yards per attempt 6.74 7.14 6.62 NE
Interceptions 0.7 0.8 1.0 BUF
Fumbles lost 0.7 0.5 0.6 NE
Sacks allowed 2.0 2.0 2.4 -
3rd down conversions 35.1% 43.2% 37.8% NE
4th down conversions 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% BUF
Time of possession 31:36 31:49 30:20 NE
  Defense Stats Comparison

  BUF
 Defense 		 NE
 Defense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points against 20.3 26.3 24.1 BUF
Rushing yards 148.0 113.3 117.0 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 4.72 4.70 4.26 NE
Completion % 48.2% 59.9% 61.1% BUF
Passing yards 139.0 246.8 231.6 BUF
Passing yards per completion 9.39 11.58 10.84 BUF
Passing yards per attempt 4.53 6.94 6.62 BUF
INT return 2.0 0.5 1.0 BUF
Fumble recoveries 0.7 0.5 0.6 BUF
Sacks 5.0 2.5 2.4 BUF
3rd down conversions 35.6% 47.5% 37.8% BUF
4th down conversions 25.0% 16.7% 50.8% NE
Time of possession 28:24 29:27 30:20 BUF

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   BUF   NE  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Yards per punt return 4.7 10.1 9.4 NE
Yards per kick return 19.4 20.5 22.7 NE
Yards allowed per punt return 5.5 5.3 9.4 NE
Yards allowed per kick return 21.9 20.5 22.7 NE
  Misc Stats Comparison

   BUF   NE  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Penalties 7.0 4.3 6.2 NE
Penalty yards 60.0 32.3 52.1 NE

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 10 2000-11-05 BUF NE 16-13 BUF
2000 16 2000-12-17 NE BUF 13-10 NE
2001 9 2001-11-11 BUF NE 11-21 NE
2001 14 2001-12-16 NE BUF 12-9 NE
2002 9 2002-11-03 NE BUF 38-7 NE
2002 14 2002-12-08 BUF NE 17-27 NE
2003 1 2003-09-07 NE BUF 0-31 BUF
2003 17 2003-12-27 BUF NE 0-31 NE
2004 4 2004-10-03 NE BUF 31-17 NE
2004 10 2004-11-14 BUF NE 6-29 NE
2005 8 2005-10-30 BUF NE 16-21 NE
2005 14 2005-12-11 NE BUF 35-7 NE
2006 1 2006-09-10 BUF NE 17-19 NE
2006 7 2006-10-22 NE BUF 28-6 NE
2007 3 2007-09-23 BUF NE 7-38 NE
2007 11 2007-11-18 NE BUF 56-10 NE
2008 10 2008-11-09 BUF NE 10-20 NE
2008 17 2008-12-28 NE BUF 13-0 NE
2009 1 2009-09-14 BUF NE 24-25 NE
2009 15 2009-12-20 NE BUF 17-10 NE
2010 3 2010-09-26 BUF NE 30-38 NE
2010 16 2010-12-26 NE BUF 34-3 NE
2011 3 2011-09-25 NE BUF 31-34 BUF
2011 17 2012-01-01 BUF NE 21-49 NE
2012 4 2012-09-30 NE BUF 52-28 NE
2012 10 2012-11-11 BUF NE 31-37 NE
2013 1 2013-09-08 NE BUF 23-21 NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.