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Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History



Prediction: Dolphins 24, Patriots 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 23 Tom Brady Pass: 250, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 10 Shane Vereen Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 8-60, 1
RB 28 Stevan Ridley Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
RB 49 LeGarrette Blount Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 21 Julian Edelman Rec: 9-80, 0 TD
WR 35 Danny Amendola Rec: 6-60, 0 TD
WR 70 Kenbrell Thompkins Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
K 8 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 16 Defense / ST  
 
Miami Dolphins
Rank  Player Projections
QB 21 Ryan Tannehill Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 37 Lamar Miller Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 43 Daniel Thomas Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 34 Mike Wallace Rec: 4-60, 0 TD
WR 38 Brian Hartline Rec: 4-50, 1 TD
WR 51 Rishard Matthews Rec: 4-50, 0 TD
TE 9 Charles Clay Rec: 5-50, 1 TD
K 31 Caleb Sturgis FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3
DEF 6 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Patriots Have won 17 of past 18 in Dec... NE is 1st team since 2000 Chiefs to win 3 in row by overcoming 10+ point deficit in each game... Patriots have 10+ wins for 11 consecutive seasons, 2nd-longest streak in NFL history (1983-98 49ers, 16)... For career, QB Tom Brady is 17-6 vs. Dolphins & has 40 TDs vs. 19 INTs & 90.2 rating. In past 5 at Mia., Brady has 14 TDs vs. 4 INTs & 118.4 rating. Brady's 146 wins are 5th-most all-time by starting QB in regular season. Brady has 43-6 (.878) career record in Dec., highest in SB era among QBs (min. 10 starts). In past 3 in 2nd half/OT, Brady has completed 67 of 89 passes (75.8 pct.) for 849 yards with 6 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 127 rating... Last week, RB Shane Vereen had single-game best among RBs in franchise history in catches (12) & rec. yards (153)... WR Julian Edelman is averaging 91.7 rec. yards per game in past 3. DE Chandler Jones has career-high 10.5 sacks in 2013... LBs Rob Ninkovich & Brandon Spikes are tied for team-best with 78 tackles... S Devin McCourty has 2 career INTs vs. Mia.

Dolphins Club needs win to surpass last year's win total of 7... QB Ryan Tannehill (3,315) needs 185 passing yards to join HOFer DAN MARINO & CHAD PENNINGTON as only QBs in Dolphins history to reach 3,500. Is 1st Dolphin QB to pass for 3,000 yards in 1st 2 seasons of career...RB Daniel Thomas had season-best 105 rush yards on 16 att. (6.6 avg.) with TD last week. RB Lamar Miller totaled 112 scrimmage yards (89 rush, 23 receiving) in last game vs. NE... WR Mike Wallace has 1 career 100-yard rec. game vs. NE (w/ Pit. on 11/14/10). WR BRAIN HARTLINE (67) needs 8 catches to surpass career-high of 74 in 2012... TE Charles Clay had game-winning 12-yard TD rec. vs. Pit. Clay (60) is tied for 3rd-most catches by Dolphins TE in club annals... LB Olivier Vernon has career-best 11.5 sacks in 2013. Aims for 5th straight game with sack... Last week, DE Cameron Wake (50.5) joined JASON TAYLOR, JEFF CROSS & TRACE ARMSTRONG as only Dolphins to reach 50 career sacks since 1982.


Results and Schedule

New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 BUF A W 23-21 +2
2 2013-09-12 NYJ H W 13-10 +3
3 2013-09-22 TB H W 23-3 +20
4 2013-09-29 ATL A W 30-23 +7
5 2013-10-06 CIN A L 6-13 -7
6 2013-10-13 NO H W 30-27 +3
7 2013-10-20 NYJ A L 27-30 -3
8 2013-10-27 MIA H W 27-17 +10
9 2013-11-03 PIT H W 55-31 +24
10   Bye      
11 2013-11-18 CAR A L 20-24 -4
12 2013-11-24 DEN H W 34-31 +3
13 2013-12-01 HOU A W 34-31 +3
14 2013-12-08 CLE H W 27-26 +1
15 2013-12-15 MIA A    
16 2013-12-22 BAL A    
17 2013-12-29 BUF H    
   

Miami Dolphins
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 CLE A W 23-10 +13
2 2013-09-15 IND A W 24-20 +4
3 2013-09-22 ATL H W 27-23 +4
4 2013-09-30 NO A L 17-38 -21
5 2013-10-06 BAL H L 23-26 -3
6   Bye      
7 2013-10-20 BUF H L 21-23 -2
8 2013-10-27 NE A L 17-27 -10
9 2013-10-31 CIN H W 22-20 +2
10 2013-11-11 TB A    
11 2013-11-17 SD H W 20-16 +4
12 2013-11-24 CAR H L 16-20 -4
13 2013-12-01 NYJ A W 23-3 +20
14 2013-12-08 PIT A W 34-28 +6
15 2013-12-15 NE H    
16 2013-12-22 BUF A    
17 2013-12-29 NYJ H    

Injury Report

New England Patriots
Questionable  CB Kyle Arrington (groin)
 QB Tom Brady (shoulder)
 CB Alfonzo Dennard (shoulder)
 WR Aaron Dobson (foot)
 SS Steve Gregory (fingers)
 TE Michael Hoomanawanui (knee)
 MLB Brandon Spikes (knee)
 CB Aqib Talib (hip)
 WR Kenbrell Thompkins (hip)
 RB Leon Washington (ankle)
Probable  WR Danny Amendola (groin)
 WR Matt Slater (wrist)
 RB Shane Vereen (wrist)
IR  TE Rob Gronkowski (knee, 12/9/2013)
 DT Tommy Kelly (knee, 11/2/2013)
 WLB Jerod Mayo (shoulder, 10/16/2013)
 DT Vince Wilfork (achilles-tendon, 10/3/2013)
 SS Adrian Wilson (hamstring, 8/31/2013)
   

Miami Dolphins
Questionable  RB Lamar Miller (concussion)
 CB Jamar Taylor (hamstring)
IR  WR Brandon Gibson (knee, 10/29/2013)
 TE Dustin Keller (knee, 8/20/2013)
 CB Dimitri Patterson (groin, 12/10/2013)

Offense Stats Comparison

  NE
 Offense 
MIA
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 31.7 21.7 24.2 NE
Rushing yards 103.7 128.7 120.6 MIA
Rushing yards per attempt 4.28 4.91 4.36 MIA
Completion % 68.1% 65.2% 60.8% NE
Passing yards 362.0 235.7 235.2 NE
Passing yards per completion 12.12 10.29 11.04 NE
Passing yards per attempt 8.25 6.71 6.71 NE
Interceptions 0.7 1.0 0.9 NE
Fumbles lost 1.0 0.0 0.6 MIA
Sacks allowed 2.7 3.0 2.4 NE
3rd down conversions 46.0% 31.4% 38.3% NE
4th down conversions 50.0% 0.0% 50.0% NE
Time of possession 30:55 29:10 30:28 NE
  Defense Stats Comparison

  NE
 Defense 
MIA
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 29.3 18.7 24.2 MIA
Rushing yards 112.3 129.7 120.6 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 5.00 4.78 4.36 MIA
Completion % 59.1% 56.8% 60.8% MIA
Passing yards 277.3 247.3 235.2 MIA
Passing yards per completion 12.27 10.53 11.04 MIA
Passing yards per attempt 7.26 5.98 6.71 MIA
INT return 0.7 1.3 0.9 MIA
Fumble recoveries 0.3 0.7 0.6 MIA
Sacks 2.0 3.3 2.4 MIA
3rd down conversions 50.0% 39.0% 38.3% MIA
4th down conversions 25.0% 57.1% 50.0% NE
Time of possession 30:46 30:37 30:28 MIA

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   NE   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 12.6 9.5 10.0 NE
Yards per kick return 19.7 24.1 22.7 MIA
Yards allowed per punt return 6.0 9.8 10.0 NE
Yards allowed per kick return 20.6 21.5 22.7 NE
  Misc Stats Comparison

   NE   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 4.3 3.7 6.0 MIA
Penalty yards 35.7 29.7 51.5 MIA

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 9 to 14 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 9 to 14 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 4 2000-09-24 NE MIA 3-10 MIA
2000 17 2000-12-24 MIA NE 27-24 MIA
2001 4 2001-10-07 NE MIA 10-30 MIA
2001 15 2001-12-22 MIA NE 13-20 NE
2002 5 2002-10-06 NE MIA 13-26 MIA
2002 17 2002-12-29 MIA NE 24-27 NE
2003 7 2003-10-19 NE MIA 19-13 NE
2003 14 2003-12-07 MIA NE 0-12 NE
2004 5 2004-10-10 MIA NE 10-24 NE
2004 15 2004-12-20 NE MIA 28-29 MIA
2005 10 2005-11-13 NE MIA 23-16 NE
2005 17 2006-01-01 MIA NE 28-26 MIA
2006 5 2006-10-08 MIA NE 10-20 NE
2006 14 2006-12-10 NE MIA 0-21 MIA
2007 7 2007-10-21 NE MIA 49-28 NE
2007 16 2007-12-23 MIA NE 7-28 NE
2008 3 2008-09-21 MIA NE 38-13 MIA
2008 12 2008-11-23 NE MIA 48-28 NE
2009 9 2009-11-08 MIA NE 17-27 NE
2009 13 2009-12-06 NE MIA 21-22 MIA
2010 4 2010-10-04 NE MIA 41-14 NE
2010 17 2011-01-02 MIA NE 7-38 NE
2011 1 2011-09-12 NE MIA 38-24 NE
2011 16 2011-12-24 MIA NE 24-27 NE
2012 13 2012-12-02 NE MIA 23-16 NE
2012 17 2012-12-30 MIA NE 0-28 NE
2013 8 2013-10-27 MIA NE 17-27 NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.