Prediction: Colts 24, Texans 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
|
|
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 17 |
Andrew Luck |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
| RB 26 |
Donald Brown |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 45 |
Trent Richardson |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 2-20, 0 |
| WR 18 |
T.Y. Hilton |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 47 |
Da'Rick Rogers |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
| WR 78 |
LaVon Brazill  |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 6 |
Coby Fleener |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
| K 10 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 4 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Texans QB Case Keenum has 5 TDs vs. 1 INT & 87.6 rating in 3 career starts on road. In last game vs. Ind., Keenum passed for career-high 350 yards & tied career-best with 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 123.4 rating... RB Ben Tate has 1 100-yard rush game vs. Colts (9/11/11). Needs rush TD to surpass career-high of 4 in 2011... Last week, WR Andre Johnson had 13 catches for 154 yards & registered his 10th career game with at least 10 rec. for 150+ rec. yards, tying HOFer JERRY RICE for most such games in NFL history. For career, Johnson averages 6 rec. per game, best in NFL history (min. 100 games). Had 229 rec. yards with 9 catches (25.4 avg.) incl. franchise-record 3 TD rec. in last game vs. Ind. Aims for 4th game in row with 100+ rec. yards vs. Colts. WR DeAndre Hopkins is averaging 30.6 yards per catch in past 2 (5 catches, 153 yards). Is 2nd among NFL rookies in rec. yards (707)... Since 2012, DE J.J. Watt leads NFL w/ 30 sacks. Has 5 sacks in 5 career games vs. Ind.
 Colts Club is 11-0 all-time vs. Texans at home... Last week, QB Andrew Luck (7,493) surpassed HOFer DAN MARINO (7,294) for 3rd-most passing yards in 1st 2 seasons of career in NFL history. Posted 1st career game with 4 TDs vs. 0 INTs last week. For career, Luck is 2-1 vs. Hou. with 7 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 94.5 rating. Luck (10) has most game-winning drives by QB in 4th qtr./OT in 1st 2 seasons of career since '70... RB Donald Brown is averaging career-best 5.2 yards per carry in 2013... WR T.Y. Hilton (798) needs 63 rec. yards to surpass rookie total in 2012 (861). Has 4 100-yard rec. games in '13. Had 121 rec. yards & tied career-best with 3 TD rec. in last game vs. Hou. Last week, WR DA'RICK ROGERS (107) became 1st undrafted Colts rookie w/ 100-yard rec. game. WR LaVon Brazill had career-high 2 TD rec. vs. Cin... TE Coby Fleener has career-best in catches (44), rec. yards (544) & TDs (4) in 2013... LB Robert Mathis (15.5) needs sack to surpass DWIGHT FREENEY (16 in 2004) for most sacks by Colt in season since 1982. Has 15.5 career sacks vs. Texans, most against any team.
Results and Schedule
| Houston Texans |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-09 |
SD |
A |
W 31-28 |
+3 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
TEN |
H |
W 30-24 |
+6 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
BAL |
A |
L 9-30 |
-21 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
SEA |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
SF |
A |
L 3-34 |
-31 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
STL |
H |
L 13-38 |
-25 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
KC |
A |
L 16-17 |
-1 |
| 8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
IND |
H |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
ARI |
A |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
OAK |
H |
L 23-28 |
-5 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
JAC |
H |
L 6-13 |
-7 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
NE |
H |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
| 14 |
2013-12-05 |
JAC |
A |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
IND |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
OAK |
H |
W 21-17 |
+4 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
MIA |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
SF |
A |
W 27-7 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
JAC |
A |
W 37-3 |
+34 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
SEA |
H |
W 34-28 |
+6 |
| 6 |
2013-10-14 |
SD |
A |
L 9-19 |
-10 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
DEN |
H |
W 39-33 |
+6 |
| 8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
HOU |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
STL |
H |
L 8-38 |
-30 |
| 11 |
2013-11-14 |
TEN |
A |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
ARI |
A |
L 11-40 |
-29 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
TEN |
H |
W 22-14 |
+8 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CIN |
A |
L 28-42 |
-14 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
HOU |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
KC |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
HOU
Offense |
IND
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
22.8 |
22.0 |
24.2 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards |
92.8 |
79.0 |
120.6 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.13 |
4.21 |
4.36 |
IND |
| Completion % |
53.6% |
56.3% |
60.8% |
IND |
| Passing yards |
262.5 |
240.0 |
235.2 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.51 |
10.92 |
11.04 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.17 |
6.15 |
6.71 |
HOU |
| Interceptions |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
IND |
| Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
IND |
| Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
HOU |
| 3rd down conversions |
34.8% |
29.3% |
38.3% |
HOU |
| 4th down conversions |
14.3% |
20.0% |
50.0% |
IND |
| Time of possession |
29:37 |
25:31 |
30:28 |
HOU |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
HOU
Defense |
IND
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
27.3 |
32.3 |
24.2 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards |
113.0 |
140.0 |
120.6 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.37 |
4.32 |
4.36 |
IND |
| Completion % |
58.7% |
64.9% |
60.8% |
HOU |
| Passing yards |
217.8 |
253.8 |
235.2 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.31 |
12.62 |
11.04 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.64 |
8.19 |
6.71 |
HOU |
| INT return |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
HOU |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
IND |
| Sacks |
2.0 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
HOU |
| 3rd down conversions |
33.3% |
46.9% |
38.3% |
HOU |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
50.0% |
50.0% |
IND |
| Time of possession |
30:23 |
34:29 |
30:28 |
HOU |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
HOU |
IND |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
11.0 |
10.3 |
10.0 |
HOU |
| Yards per kick return |
22.9 |
22.2 |
22.7 |
HOU |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
11.1 |
18.9 |
10.0 |
HOU |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
25.6 |
25.6 |
22.7 |
- |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
HOU |
IND |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
5.8 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
IND |
| Penalty yards |
53.5 |
42.0 |
51.5 |
IND |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 9 to 14 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 9 to 14 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2002 |
3 |
2002-09-22 |
IND |
HOU |
23-3 |
IND |
| 2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
HOU |
IND |
3-19 |
IND |
| 2003 |
8 |
2003-10-26 |
HOU |
IND |
21-30 |
IND |
| 2003 |
17 |
2003-12-28 |
IND |
HOU |
20-17 |
IND |
| 2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
HOU |
IND |
14-49 |
IND |
| 2004 |
14 |
2004-12-12 |
IND |
HOU |
23-14 |
IND |
| 2005 |
7 |
2005-10-23 |
IND |
HOU |
38-20 |
IND |
| 2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
HOU |
IND |
17-31 |
IND |
| 2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
HOU |
IND |
24-43 |
IND |
| 2006 |
16 |
2006-12-24 |
IND |
HOU |
24-27 |
HOU |
| 2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
IND |
HOU |
30-24 |
IND |
| 2007 |
16 |
2007-12-23 |
HOU |
IND |
15-38 |
IND |
| 2008 |
5 |
2008-10-05 |
IND |
HOU |
31-27 |
IND |
| 2008 |
11 |
2008-11-16 |
HOU |
IND |
27-33 |
IND |
| 2009 |
9 |
2009-11-08 |
HOU |
IND |
17-20 |
IND |
| 2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
IND |
HOU |
35-27 |
IND |
| 2010 |
1 |
2010-09-12 |
IND |
HOU |
24-34 |
HOU |
| 2010 |
8 |
2010-11-01 |
HOU |
IND |
17-30 |
IND |
| 2011 |
1 |
2011-09-11 |
IND |
HOU |
7-34 |
HOU |
| 2011 |
16 |
2011-12-22 |
HOU |
IND |
16-19 |
IND |
| 2012 |
15 |
2012-12-16 |
IND |
HOU |
17-29 |
HOU |
| 2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
HOU |
IND |
16-28 |
IND |
| 2013 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
IND |
HOU |
27-24 |
IND |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|
