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Prediction: Bengals 24, Colts 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

Indianapolis Colts
Rank  Player Projections
QB 22 Andrew Luck Pass: 220, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0
RB 27 Donald Brown Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 49 Trent Richardson Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 31 T.Y. Hilton Rec: 5-70, 0 TD
WR 68 Darrius Heyward-Bey Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
WR 89 LaVon Brazill Rec: 1-20, 0 TD
TE 5 Coby Fleener Rec: 6-60, 1 TD
K 20 Adam Vinatieri FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2
DEF 20 Defense / ST  
 
Cincinnati Bengals
Rank  Player Projections
QB 6 Andy Dalton Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 18 Giovani Bernard Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 1
RB 32 BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 2 A.J. Green Rec: 8-110, 1 TD
WR 67 Marvin Jones Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
WR 73 Mohamed Sanu Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
TE 26 Jermaine Gresham Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
TE 27 Tyler Eifert Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
K 14 Mike Nugent FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3
DEF 3 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Colts Have won 5 of past 6 in Dec & 7 of past 9 at Cin... QB Andrew Luck has 7,167 career passing yards, 4th-most passing yards in 1st 2 seasons of career in NFL history. Luck (10) has most game-winning drives by QB in 4th qtr./OT in 1st 2 seasons of career since '70. Since 2012, Luck has 9 rush TDs, most by AFC QB... RB Donald Brown averages 5 yards per carry against Bengals (17 att., 85 yards). In only career meeting at Cin. (w/ Cle. on 9/16/12), RB Trent Richardson rushed for 109 yards on 19 att. (5.7 avg.) with TD... WR T.Y. Hilton (791) needs 71 rec. yards to surpass rookie total in 2012 (861). Has 4 100-yard rec. games in '13... TE Coby Fleener has career-best in catches (44), rec. yards (544) & TDs (4) in 2013... LB Robert Mathis (15.5) needs sack to surpass DWIGHT FREENEY (16 in 2004) for most sacks by Colt in season since 1982. Has 4.5 sacks in 5 career games vs. Bengals... CB Cassius Vaughn had career-high 2 INTs last week...LB Jerrell Freeman leads team w/ 97 tackles. Posted 1st INT of season last week.

Bengals Club is 5-0 at home this season... QB Andy Dalton now has 3,144 passing yards in 2013 & joined PEYTON MANNING as only QBs in NFL history with at least 3,000 passing yards in 1st 3 seasons of career. Completed 25 of 32 passes (78.1 pct.) for 264 yards with 1 TD vs. 0 INTs & 111.5 rating in only career meeting vs. Ind. Cin. is 13-1 (.929) when Dalton has 100+ rating. Dalton has 11 TDs vs. 5 INTs & 94 rating at home in 2013... RB Giovani Bernard leads all AFC rookies with 875 scrim. yards (521 rush; 354 receiving). Has 2 games with 100+ scrim. yards. RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis had season-high 92 rush yards last week... WR A.J. Green (1,103) has reached 1,000 rec. yards for 3rd consecutive season. Has 6 games with 100+ rec. yards in 2013, tied for most in NFL. Averages 91.9 rec. yards per game this season, tied for 5th-best in NFL... TE Jermaine Gresham has 13 rec. for 108 yards with TD in 2 career games vs. Colts... Defense allows 314.8 yards per game, 3rd-fewest in AFC... LB Vontaze Burfict leads team with 131 tackles. CB Dre Kirkpatrick posted 1st career INT last week... DE Wallace Gilberry has 3.5 sacks in past 4. DE Michael Johnson had sack & FR in last game vs. Ind.


Results and Schedule

Indianapolis Colts
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 OAK H W 21-17 +4
2 2013-09-15 MIA H L 20-24 -4
3 2013-09-22 SF A W 27-7 +20
4 2013-09-29 JAC A W 37-3 +34
5 2013-10-06 SEA H W 34-28 +6
6 2013-10-14 SD A L 9-19 -10
7 2013-10-20 DEN H W 39-33 +6
8   Bye      
9 2013-11-03 HOU A W 27-24 +3
10 2013-11-10 STL H L 8-38 -30
11 2013-11-14 TEN A W 30-27 +3
12 2013-11-24 ARI A L 11-40 -29
13 2013-12-01 TEN H W 22-14 +8
14 2013-12-08 CIN A    
15 2013-12-15 HOU H    
16 2013-12-22 KC A    
17 2013-12-29 JAC H    
   

Cincinnati Bengals
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 CHI A L 21-24 -3
2 2013-09-16 PIT H W 20-10 +10
3 2013-09-22 GB H W 34-30 +4
4 2013-09-29 CLE A L 6-17 -11
5 2013-10-06 NE H W 13-6 +7
6 2013-10-13 BUF A W 27-24 +3
7 2013-10-20 DET A W 27-24 +3
8 2013-10-27 NYJ H W 49-9 +40
9 2013-10-31 MIA A L 20-22 -2
10 2013-11-10 BAL A L 17-20 -3
11 2013-11-17 CLE H W 41-20 +21
12   Bye      
13 2013-12-01 SD A W 17-10 +7
14 2013-12-08 IND H    
15 2013-12-15 PIT A    
16 2013-12-22 MIN H    
17 2013-12-29 BAL H    

Injury Report

Indianapolis Colts
Out  DE Ricky Jean-Francois (foot)
Questionable  ILB Kavell Conner (ankle)
 CB Greg Toler (groin)
Probable  SS Sergio Brown (hand)
 CB Josh Gordy (groin)
 WR T.Y. Hilton (shoulder)
IR  TE Dwayne Allen (hip, 9/18/2013)
 RB Vick Ballard (knee, 9/13/2013)
 RB Ahmad Bradshaw (neck, 10/9/2013)
 LB Mario Harvey (undisclosed, 12/3/2013)
 OLB Lawrence Sidbury Jr. (shoulder, 8/25/2013)
 WR Reggie Wayne (knee, 10/22/2013)
   

Cincinnati Bengals
Probable  WLB Vontaze Burfict (ankle)
 TE Tyler Eifert (knee)
 WR A.J. Green (groin)
 WR Andrew Hawkins (hamstring)
 CB Adam Jones (hip)
IR  DT Geno Atkins (knee, 11/4/2013)
 DE Robert Geathers (elbow, 9/18/2013)
 CB Leon Hall (achilles-tendon, 10/29/2013)
 FS Taylor Mays (shoulder, 10/30/2013)

Offense Stats Comparison

  IND
 Offense 
CIN
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 20.0 26.0 23.6 CIN
Rushing yards 84.3 129.7 118.5 CIN
Rushing yards per attempt 4.08 3.95 4.29 IND
Completion % 54.8% 55.7% 61.1% CIN
Passing yards 211.3 245.3 233.1 CIN
Passing yards per completion 10.83 11.43 10.88 CIN
Passing yards per attempt 5.93 6.36 6.65 CIN
Interceptions 0.7 2.0 0.9 IND
Fumbles lost 0.0 0.3 0.6 IND
Sacks allowed 2.7 2.0 2.5 CIN
3rd down conversions 30.8% 36.8% 38.1% CIN
4th down conversions 20.0% 57.1% 48.4% CIN
Time of possession 26:16 31:40 30:29 CIN
  Defense Stats Comparison

  IND
 Defense 
CIN
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 29.7 16.7 23.6 CIN
Rushing yards 135.0 95.3 118.5 CIN
Rushing yards per attempt 4.29 4.16 4.29 CIN
Completion % 64.1% 58.2% 61.1% CIN
Passing yards 246.7 187.7 233.1 CIN
Passing yards per completion 12.91 8.05 10.88 CIN
Passing yards per attempt 8.27 4.69 6.65 CIN
INT return 0.0 1.7 0.9 CIN
Fumble recoveries 0.7 1.0 0.6 CIN
Sacks 1.7 3.7 2.5 CIN
3rd down conversions 46.4% 28.9% 38.1% CIN
4th down conversions 33.3% 20.0% 48.4% CIN
Time of possession 33:44 31:19 30:29 CIN

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   IND   CIN  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 11.4 8.3 9.5 IND
Yards per kick return 23.1 24.6 22.9 CIN
Yards allowed per punt return 19.2 5.8 9.5 CIN
Yards allowed per kick return 24.7 21.1 22.9 CIN
  Misc Stats Comparison

   IND   CIN  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 4.7 5.0 6.0 IND
Penalty yards 40.3 57.3 51.1 IND

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2002 5 2002-10-06 CIN IND 21-28 IND
2005 11 2005-11-20 IND CIN 45-37 IND
2006 15 2006-12-18 CIN IND 16-34 IND
2008 14 2008-12-07 CIN IND 3-35 IND
2010 10 2010-11-14 CIN IND 17-23 IND
2011 6 2011-10-16 IND CIN 17-27 CIN

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.