Prediction: Patriots 30, Browns 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Cleveland Browns |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
 QB 23 |
Jason Campbell   |
Pass: 230, 1 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
| RB 43 |
Chris Ogbonnaya |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 45 |
Willis McGahee |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 59 |
Fozzy Whittaker |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 15 |
Josh Gordon |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 74 |
Greg Little |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| WR 79 |
Davone Bess |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 10 |
Jordan Cameron |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
| K 32 |
Billy Cundiff |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 32 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 9 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 19 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 6-50, 1 |
| RB 29 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 40, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 51 |
Brandon Bolden |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 45 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
| WR 48 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 6-50, 0 TD |
| WR 78 |
Kenbrell Thompkins |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
| K 4 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 1 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Browns Club needs win to match last year's win total of 5... QB Jason Campbell has 100+ passer rating in 2 of 4 starts with Browns. QB Brandon Weeden had career-best 370 passing yards last week, including career-long 95-yard TD pass... RB Willis McGahee ranks 3rd among active players w/ 65 rush TDs (ADRIAN PETERSON, 86; MAURICE JONES-DREW, 68). Has 2 career-games with 100+ rush yards vs. NE (136, 138). RB Chris Ogbonnaya has career-best in catches (38) & rec. yards (266) in '13... WR Josh Gordon had 10 catches for franchise record 261 rec. yards & 2 TDs last week (237 rec. yards in Week 12) & became 1st player in NFL history to have 200 rec. yards in consecutive games. In past 3, Gordon has totaled 623 yards, most in 3 game-span in NFL history. Gordon (1,249) needs 41 rec. yards for most in season in Browns history (BRAYLON EDWARDS, 1,289). WR Davone Bess has 4 career TD rec. vs. NE... TE Jordan Cameron has 6 TD rec., tied for 2nd-most by TE in season in club history (OZZIE NEWSOME, 9 in 1979)... CB Joe Haden has 4 INTs in past 4.
 Patriots Have won 16 of past 17 in Dec... For career, QB Tom Brady is 4-1 vs. Browns. Has 5 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 98.3 rating in past 2 vs. Cle. Has 353 TD passes, tied for 4th-most in NFL history. Brady's 145 wins are 5th-most all-time by starting QB in regular season. Brady has 42-6 (.875) career record in Dec... RB Shane Vereen posted 1st TD rec. of season last week... Since season debut in Week 7, TE Rob Gronkowski leads NFL TEs in catches (37) & rec. yards (560). Aims for 5th straight game with TD reception. Needs TD catch to surpass GINO CAPPELLETTI (42) for 4th-most career TD rec. in franchise history... WR Julian Edelman has 100+ rec. yards in each of past 2 (110, 101)... DE Chandler Jones has 7.5 sacks in past 8. Has career-high 10.5 sacks in 2013... CB Logan Ryan has INT in each of past 2... LB Brandon Spikes leads team with 74 tackles.
Results and Schedule
| Cleveland Browns |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
MIA |
H |
L 10-23 |
-13 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
BAL |
A |
L 6-14 |
-8 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
MIN |
A |
W 31-27 |
+4 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
CIN |
H |
W 17-6 |
+11 |
| 5 |
2013-10-03 |
BUF |
H |
W 37-24 |
+13 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
DET |
H |
L 17-31 |
-14 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
GB |
A |
L 13-31 |
-18 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
KC |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
BAL |
H |
W 24-18 |
+6 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
CIN |
A |
L 20-41 |
-21 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
PIT |
H |
L 11-27 |
-16 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
JAC |
H |
L 28-32 |
-4 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
NE |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
| 2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
H |
W 13-10 |
+3 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
TB |
H |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
ATL |
A |
W 30-23 |
+7 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
CIN |
A |
L 6-13 |
-7 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
NO |
H |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
NYJ |
A |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
H |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
PIT |
H |
W 55-31 |
+24 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
DEN |
H |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
HOU |
A |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
CLE
Offense |
NE
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
20.3 |
31.7 |
23.6 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
75.7 |
125.0 |
118.5 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.56 |
4.26 |
4.29 |
NE |
| Completion % |
56.1% |
68.8% |
61.1% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
279.0 |
324.0 |
233.1 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.35 |
11.60 |
10.88 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.37 |
7.98 |
6.65 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
30.7% |
43.1% |
38.1% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
54.5% |
50.0% |
48.4% |
CLE |
| Time of possession |
28:58 |
30:49 |
30:29 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
CLE
Defense |
NE
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
27.3 |
28.7 |
23.6 |
CLE |
| Rushing yards |
101.0 |
128.3 |
118.5 |
CLE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.43 |
5.12 |
4.29 |
CLE |
| Completion % |
59.4% |
56.0% |
61.1% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
204.7 |
202.0 |
233.1 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
8.93 |
10.77 |
10.88 |
CLE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.31 |
6.03 |
6.65 |
CLE |
| INT return |
0.7 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks |
2.3 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
36.7% |
50.0% |
38.1% |
CLE |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
33.3% |
48.4% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
31:02 |
31:52 |
30:29 |
CLE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
CLE |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
8.7 |
11.9 |
9.5 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
17.6 |
20.9 |
22.9 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
11.9 |
7.9 |
9.5 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
25.0 |
20.1 |
22.9 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
CLE |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.7 |
4.3 |
6.0 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
48.3 |
33.7 |
51.1 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
11 |
2000-11-12 |
NE |
CLE |
11-19 |
CLE |
| 2001 |
13 |
2001-12-09 |
CLE |
NE |
16-27 |
NE |
| 2003 |
8 |
2003-10-26 |
CLE |
NE |
3-9 |
NE |
| 2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
NE |
CLE |
42-15 |
NE |
| 2007 |
5 |
2007-10-07 |
CLE |
NE |
17-34 |
NE |
| 2010 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
NE |
CLE |
14-34 |
CLE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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