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Prediction: Buccaneers 24, Bills 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

Buffalo Bills
Rank  Player Projections
QB 25 EJ Manuel Pass: 220, 1 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 17 Fred Jackson Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 34 C.J. Spiller Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 32 Robert Woods Rec: 5-60, 1 TD
WR 40 Steve Johnson Rec: 4-50, 0 TD
WR 57 Marquise Goodwin Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
TE 17 Scott Chandler Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
K 17 Dan Carpenter FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 24 Defense / ST  
 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 21 Mike Glennon Pass: 230, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 25 Bobby Rainey Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 52 Brian Leonard Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 5 Vincent Jackson Rec: 7-100, 1 TD
WR 60 Tiquan Underwood Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
TE 23 Tim Wright Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 25 Rian Lindell FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3
DEF 9 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Bills Rookie QB EJ Manuel (9) needs 2 TD passes for most by Bills rookie (DENNIS SHAW, 10 in 1970). In past 3, has 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 103.1 rating. Has 88.1 rating in 2 games vs. NFC... Bills avg. 139.2 rush yards per game, best in AFC... RB C.J. Spiller had 149 rush yards on 15 att. (9.9 avg.) last week, 2nd-most in single-game in career. Aims for 3rd straight with 100+ rush yards vs. NFC. RB Fred Jackson (4,864) needs 136 rush yards to join HOFers THURMAN THOMAS & O.J. SIMPSON as only Bills to reach 5,000 rush yards. Rushed for 163 yards on 28 att. (5.8 avg.) in only game vs. TB... WR Steve Johnson (295) needs 5 catches to reach 300. Rookie WR Marquise Goodwin has 3 TDs of 40+ yards (40, 59, 43)... Defense has NFL-best 43 sacks... DE Mario Williams (12) needs 2.5 sacks to tie career-best of 14 in '07. DT Kyle Williams has career-high 7 sacks in '13. Mario & Kyle Williams have combined for 19 sacks, 3rd-most sacks by duo in NFL in '13.

Buccaneers Rookie QB Mike Glennon has completed 76 of 109 (69.7 pct.) for 965 yards with 7 TDs vs. 2 INTs for 110.8 rating in past 5. Has 10 TDs vs. 2 INTs in past 7. Was named NFL Offensive Rookie of Month for Nov... RB Bobby Rainey has 4 TDs (3 rush, 1 rec.) in past 2 at home. Has 208 rush yards (104 per game) in those 2... In past 4 at home, WR Vincent Jackson has 27 catches for 386 yards (96.5 per game) & 3 TDs. Among active players (min. 200 catches), has NFL-best 17.5 avg. (405 catches, 7,101 yards). WR Tiquan Underwood has 6 catches for 159 yards (26.5 avg.) & 2 TDs (85 & 7 yards) in past 2... LB Lavonte David is only player in NFL with 100+ tackles (107), 5+ sacks (5) & INT (3). Aims for 3rd in row with INT. S Mark Barron is 2nd on club with 82 tackles. Is only NFC S with 80+ tackles, 2+ INTs (2) & sack (1). DT Gerald McCoy has 4 sacks in past 4. Has 4 sacks in past 2 at home & aims for 3rd home game in row with sack. When CB Darrelle Revis has INT (incl. playoffs), his teams are 17-3 (.850). S Keith Tandy aims for 3rd in row with INT. Has 3 INTs in past 5.


Results and Schedule

Buffalo Bills
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 NE H L 21-23 -2
2 2013-09-15 CAR H W 24-23 +1
3 2013-09-22 NYJ A L 20-27 -7
4 2013-09-29 BAL H W 23-20 +3
5 2013-10-03 CLE A L 24-37 -13
6 2013-10-13 CIN H L 24-27 -3
7 2013-10-20 MIA A W 23-21 +2
8 2013-10-27 NO A L 17-35 -18
9 2013-11-03 KC H L 13-23 -10
10 2013-11-10 PIT A L 10-23 -13
11 2013-11-17 NYJ H W 37-14 +23
12   Bye      
13 2013-12-01 ATL H L 31-34 -3
14 2013-12-08 TB A    
15 2013-12-15 JAC A    
16 2013-12-22 MIA H    
17 2013-12-29 NE A    
   

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 NYJ A L 17-18 -1
2 2013-09-15 NO H L 14-16 -2
3 2013-09-22 NE A L 3-23 -20
4 2013-09-29 ARI H L 10-13 -3
5   Bye      
6 2013-10-13 PHI H L 20-31 -11
7 2013-10-20 ATL A L 23-31 -8
8 2013-10-24 CAR H L 13-31 -18
9 2013-11-03 SEA A L 24-27 -3
10 2013-11-11 MIA H    
11 2013-11-17 ATL H W 41-28 +13
12 2013-11-24 DET A W 24-21 +3
13 2013-12-01 CAR A L 6-27 -21
14 2013-12-08 BUF H    
15 2013-12-15 SF H    
16 2013-12-22 STL A    
17 2013-12-29 NO A    

Injury Report

Buffalo Bills
Probable  WR Marquise Goodwin (calf)
 DT Kyle Williams (achilles-tendon)
IR  NT Alex Carrington (knee, 9/29/2013)
 K Dustin Hopkins (groin, 10/7/2013)
 QB Kevin Kolb (concussion, 8/30/2013)
 WR Brad Smith (ribs, 8/30/2013)
   

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Out  K Connor Barth (achilles-tendon)
 K Lawrence Tynes (toe)
Questionable  DE Da'Quan Bowers (knee)
 DT Gary Gibson (calf)
Probable  WR Vincent Jackson (hamstring)
 CB Darrelle Revis (shoulder)
 DL Akeem Spence (wrist)
IR  CB Michael Adams (knee, 11/18/2013)
 TE Nate Byham (knee, 10/1/2013)
 SLB Jonathan Casillas (knee, 12/4/2013)
 TE Tom Crabtree (biceps, 11/27/2013)
 CB Anthony Gaitor (knee, 8/26/2013)
 RB Mike James (ankle, 11/13/2013)
 RB Doug Martin (shoulder, 11/8/2013)
 RB Michael Smith (foot, 8/26/2013)
 TE Luke Stocker (hip, 9/23/2013)
 WR Mike Williams (hamstring, 10/28/2013)

Offense Stats Comparison

  BUF
 Offense 
TB
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 20.3 20.3 23.6 -
Rushing yards 126.0 100.0 118.5 BUF
Rushing yards per attempt 4.46 3.93 4.29 BUF
Completion % 56.5% 67.6% 61.1% TB
Passing yards 216.7 192.0 233.1 BUF
Passing yards per completion 10.27 10.05 10.88 BUF
Passing yards per attempt 5.80 6.80 6.65 TB
Interceptions 0.7 0.0 0.9 TB
Fumbles lost 1.0 0.3 0.6 TB
Sacks allowed 1.3 3.3 2.5 BUF
3rd down conversions 35.1% 31.3% 38.1% BUF
4th down conversions 40.0% 20.0% 48.4% BUF
Time of possession 27:40 28:30 30:29 TB
  Defense Stats Comparison

  BUF
 Defense 
TB
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 26.7 27.3 23.6 BUF
Rushing yards 121.7 148.0 118.5 BUF
Rushing yards per attempt 4.39 5.33 4.29 BUF
Completion % 60.9% 62.5% 61.1% BUF
Passing yards 189.7 249.3 233.1 BUF
Passing yards per completion 9.64 11.17 10.88 BUF
Passing yards per attempt 5.88 6.98 6.65 BUF
INT return 0.3 2.0 0.9 TB
Fumble recoveries 0.3 0.7 0.6 TB
Sacks 4.0 1.7 2.5 BUF
3rd down conversions 40.5% 45.8% 38.1% BUF
4th down conversions 66.7% 83.3% 48.4% BUF
Time of possession 32:20 32:46 30:29 BUF

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   BUF   TB  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 6.0 4.2 9.5 BUF
Yards per kick return 24.6 21.4 22.9 BUF
Yards allowed per punt return 12.7 15.2 9.5 BUF
Yards allowed per kick return 22.9 20.3 22.9 TB
  Misc Stats Comparison

   BUF   TB  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.0 7.0 6.0 BUF
Penalty yards 47.3 65.3 51.1 BUF

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Buffalo Bills vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 13 2000-11-26 BUF TB 17-31 TB
2005 2 2005-09-18 BUF TB 3-19 TB
2009 2 2009-09-20 TB BUF 20-33 BUF

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.