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Prediction: Packers 27, Falcons 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

Atlanta Falcons
Rank  Player Projections
QB 13 Matt Ryan Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 16 Steven Jackson Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 41 Jacquizz Rodgers Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 54 Antone Smith Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 24 Roddy White Rec: 6-70, 1 TD
WR 26 Harry Douglas Rec: 4-60, 1 TD
WR 87 Darius Johnson Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
TE 9 Tony Gonzalez Rec: 5-50, 0 TD
K 24 Matt Bryant FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3
DEF 27 Defense / ST  
 
Green Bay Packers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 18 Matt Flynn Pass: 230, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 4 Eddie Lacy Rush: 100, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 46 James Starks Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 23 Jordy Nelson Rec: 7-80, 1 TD
WR 27 Jarrett Boykin Rec: 5-70, 1 TD
WR 75 James Jones Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 33 Andrew Quarless Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
K 11 Mason Crosby FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3
DEF 21 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Falcons QB Matt Ryan won only start in GB (10/5/08), his 1st career 2+ TD pass game. In career, when Ryan starts & has 100+ rating, Atl. is 34-2 (.944)... In past 5 vs. GB, RB Steven Jackson has 633 scrimmage yards (126.6 per game) & 2 TDs. Rushed for 2 TDs last week. RB Jacquizz Rodgers has 4 TDs (2 rush, 2 rec.) in past 8... TE Tony Gonzalez has catch in 207 consecutive games, 2nd longest streak in NFL history. In only game at GB (10/12/03 with KC), had 4 catches for 121 yards (30.3 avg.) & TD... WR Roddy White had 10 catches for 143 yards last week. Has TD in 4 of 5 meetings (incl. playoffs). In only game at GB, had 8 catches for 132 yards & TD. WR Harry Douglas has 50 catches for 687 yards (98.1 per game) & 2 TDs in past 7... In past 2 vs. GB (incl. playoffs), DE Osi Umenyiora has 3 sacks & 2 FFs. Is 1 of 3 in NFL with 6+ sacks (6.5) & INT-TD. Rookie LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 89 tackles. Rookie CB Desmond Trufant has team-best 14 PD. LB Sean Weatherspoon & DT Corey Peters each had sack in last meeting.

Packers In 4 meetings (incl. playoffs), QB Aaron Rodgers has completed 108 of 147 (73.5 pct.) for 1,419 yards with 9 TDs vs. 1 INT for 121.1 rating. Also has 2 rush TDs vs. Atl. Has 100+ rating in all 4. Has won 22 of past 23 starts at home (min. 10 att.) with 69.3 comp. pct., 6,724 yards, 62 TDs, 12 INTs & 116.2 rating... Rookie RB Eddie Lacy ranks 2nd in NFL with 771 rush yards since Oct. 1. Has rushed for 514 yards (102.8 per game) in past 5 at home... WR Jordy Nelson has TD catch in 2 of past 3 meetings (incl. playoffs). In past 2 vs. Atl. (incl. playoffs), WR James Jones has 9 catches for 215 yards (107.5 per game) & 2 TDs. Had 70-yard TD in last meeting... LB Clay Matthews had 2 sacks & FR in 2010 Div. Has 3 sacks & FF in past 3. In his past 4, LB Nick Perry has 4 sacks & 3 FFs. Last week, S Morgan Burnett had 2 FRs, incl. TD. CB Tramon Williams has 3 INTs in 4 career meetings (incl. playoffs) & had 70-yard INT-TD in 2010 Div. (1/15/11). LB A.J. Hawk leads team with 103 tackles.


Results and Schedule

Atlanta Falcons
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 NO A L 17-23 -6
2 2013-09-15 STL H W 31-24 +7
3 2013-09-22 MIA A L 23-27 -4
4 2013-09-29 NE H L 23-30 -7
5 2013-10-07 NYJ H L 28-30 -2
6   Bye      
7 2013-10-20 TB H W 31-23 +8
8 2013-10-27 ARI A L 13-27 -14
9 2013-11-03 CAR A L 10-34 -24
10 2013-11-10 SEA H L 10-33 -23
11 2013-11-17 TB A L 28-41 -13
12 2013-11-21 NO H L 13-17 -4
13 2013-12-01 BUF A W 34-31 +3
14 2013-12-08 GB A    
15 2013-12-15 WAS H    
16 2013-12-23 SF A    
17 2013-12-29 CAR H    
   

Green Bay Packers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 SF A L 28-34 -6
2 2013-09-15 WAS H W 38-20 +18
3 2013-09-22 CIN A L 30-34 -4
4   Bye      
5 2013-10-06 DET H W 22-9 +13
6 2013-10-13 BAL A W 19-17 +2
7 2013-10-20 CLE H W 31-13 +18
8 2013-10-27 MIN A W 44-31 +13
9 2013-11-04 CHI H L 20-27 -7
10 2013-11-10 PHI H L 13-27 -14
11 2013-11-17 NYG A L 13-27 -14
12 2013-11-24 MIN H T 26-26 0
13 2013-11-28 DET A L 10-40 -30
14 2013-12-08 ATL H    
15 2013-12-15 DAL A    
16 2013-12-22 PIT H    
17 2013-12-29 CHI A    

Injury Report

Atlanta Falcons
Questionable  TE Tony Gonzalez (toe)
 SS Zeke Motta (hand)
Probable  WLB Sean Weatherspoon (knee)
IR  DE Kroy Biermann (achilles-tendon, 9/16/2013)
 FB Bradie Ewing (shoulder, 9/16/2013)
 WR Julio Jones (foot, 10/10/2013)
 QB Sean Renfree (undisclosed, 8/30/2013)
   

Green Bay Packers
Out  QB Aaron Rodgers (collarbone)
 DE C.J. Wilson (ankle)
Probable  TE Brandon Bostick (concussion)
 LB Jamari Lattimore (quadriceps)
 DE Mike Neal (abdomen)
 OLB Nick Perry (foot)
 NT Ryan Pickett (knee)
IR  ILB Sam Barrington (hamstring, 11/5/2013)
 WR Randall Cobb (knee, 10/15/2013)
 WR Kevin Dorsey (toe, 8/27/2013)
 TE Jermichael Finley (spine, 11/5/2013)
 ILB Rob Francois (achilles-tendon, 10/7/2013)
 RB Johnathan Franklin (concussion, 11/27/2013)
 RB DuJuan Harris (knee, 8/27/2013)
 CB Casey Hayward (hamstring, 11/23/2013)
 QB Seneca Wallace (groin, 11/12/2013)
PUP  DB Sean Richardson (neck)
 DE Jerel Worthy (knee)

Offense Stats Comparison

  ATL
 Offense 
GB
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 16.0 18.0 23.6 GB
Rushing yards 96.0 133.0 118.5 GB
Rushing yards per attempt 4.61 4.44 4.29 ATL
Completion % 62.8% 63.2% 61.1% GB
Passing yards 252.0 247.5 233.1 ATL
Passing yards per completion 9.07 11.27 10.88 GB
Passing yards per attempt 5.70 7.12 6.65 GB
Interceptions 1.3 1.0 0.9 GB
Fumbles lost 1.0 0.0 0.6 GB
Sacks allowed 3.5 2.5 2.5 GB
3rd down conversions 41.8% 36.4% 38.1% ATL
4th down conversions 60.0% 71.4% 48.4% GB
Time of possession 29:46 30:14 30:29 GB
  Defense Stats Comparison

  ATL
 Defense 
GB
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 31.3 28.0 23.6 GB
Rushing yards 178.3 179.5 118.5 ATL
Rushing yards per attempt 5.16 5.21 4.29 ATL
Completion % 67.8% 64.4% 61.1% GB
Passing yards 236.8 238.3 233.1 ATL
Passing yards per completion 11.84 12.11 10.88 ATL
Passing yards per attempt 8.03 7.81 6.65 GB
INT return 0.3 0.3 0.9 -
Fumble recoveries 0.0 0.5 0.6 GB
Sacks 1.3 2.8 2.5 GB
3rd down conversions 46.2% 41.3% 38.1% GB
4th down conversions 50.0% 100.0% 48.4% ATL
Time of possession 30:14 33:31 30:29 ATL

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   ATL   GB  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 9.3 13.5 9.5 GB
Yards per kick return 26.5 19.9 22.9 ATL
Yards allowed per punt return 10.2 12.6 9.5 ATL
Yards allowed per kick return 17.6 27.0 22.9 ATL
  Misc Stats Comparison

   ATL   GB  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.3 4.8 6.0 GB
Penalty yards 46.0 36.0 51.1 GB

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2001 10 2001-11-18 ATL GB 23-20 ATL
2002 1 2002-09-08 ATL GB 34-37 GB
2005 10 2005-11-13 GB ATL 33-25 GB
2008 5 2008-10-05 ATL GB 27-24 ATL
2010 12 2010-11-28 GB ATL 17-20 ATL
2010 DP 2011-01-15 GB ATL 48-21 GB
2011 5 2011-10-09 GB ATL 25-14 GB

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff