Prediction: Chiefs 23, Chargers 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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San Diego Chargers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 17 |
Philip Rivers |
Pass: 260, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 19 |
Ryan Mathews |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 24 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 5-40, 0 |
WR 21 |
Keenan Allen |
Rec: 6-80, 0 TD |
WR 51 |
Eddie Royal |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
WR 71 |
Vincent Brown |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 4 |
Antonio Gates |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
K 10 |
Nick Novak |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 16 |
Defense / ST |
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Kansas City Chiefs |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 19 |
Alex Smith |
Pass: 220, 1 TD Rush: 30, 0 |
RB 1 |
Jamaal Charles |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 5-40, 0 |
RB 56 |
Knile Davis |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 26 |
Dwayne Bowe |
Rec: 4-60, 1 TD |
WR 50 |
Donnie Avery |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
WR 64 |
Dexter McCluster |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 26 |
Anthony Fasano |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
K 16 |
Ryan Succop |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 5 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Chargers QB Philip Rivers has 9 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 107.7 rating at home this season. Has 90+ passer rating in 8 of 10 games in '13. Has completed 20+ passes w/ at least 80% comp pct. in 3 games this season, tying for most such games in season in NFL history (BRETT FAVRE in 2009; DREW BREES in 2011). Rivers is 10-4 (.714) as starter vs. KC... RB Ryan Mathews posted 3rd 100-yard rush game of season last week. RB Danny Woodhead has career-best 55 catches in 2013, most among NFL RBs... TE Antonio Gates (698 rec; 8,985 rec. yards) needs 2 catches & 15 rec. yards to become 4th TE in NFL history to have at least 700 catches & 9,000 rec. yards. Since entering NFL in 2003, Gates has 86 TD rec., most among NFL TEs. Has 13 TD receptions vs. KC, most against any team... WR Eddie Royal has career-best 7 TD rec. in '13. Rookie WR Keenan Allen leads NFL rookies in rec. yards (613)... S Eric Weddle leads team with 70 tackles. Posted 1st sack of season last week. Has 4 INTs in past 4 vs. KC.
Chiefs Club is 5-0 at home this season... With win, ANDY REID will become 21st coach in NFL history to win 150 games (incl. postseason)... KC (+15) has best turnover ratio in NFL... At home in 2013, QB Alex Smith has passed for 1,104 yards with 7 TDs vs. 3 INTs & 83.6 rating. Smith (317) needs 70 rush yards for most in season by QB in Chiefs history (TYLER THIGPEN, 386)... RB Jamaal Charles averages 118.6 scrimmage yards per game in '13, best in AFC. For career, Charles averages 5.5 yards per carry, best in NFL history among RBs (min. 750 att.). Averages 5.3 yards per carry vs. SD (75 att., 400 yards)... WR Dwayne Bowe had 7 catches for 108 yards with TD in last home game vs. Chargers... Chiefs allow AFC-low 13.8 points per game this season... KC has 36 sacks, 2nd-best in NFL... LB Justin Houston (11) & LB Tamba Hali (9) have combined for 20 sacks, most by NFL duo in 2013. Hali has 10.5 career sacks vs. SD, most against any team. LB Derrick Johnson leads team with 73 tackles... S Eric Berry has 2 INTs in past 3 vs. SD.
Results and Schedule
San Diego Chargers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-09 |
HOU |
H |
L 28-31 |
-3 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
PHI |
A |
W 33-30 |
+3 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
TEN |
A |
L 17-20 |
-3 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
DAL |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
OAK |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
6 |
2013-10-14 |
IND |
H |
W 19-9 |
+10 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
JAC |
A |
W 24-6 |
+18 |
8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
9 |
2013-11-03 |
WAS |
A |
L 24-30 |
-6 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
DEN |
H |
L 20-28 |
-8 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
MIA |
A |
L 16-20 |
-4 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
KC |
A |
W 41-38 |
+3 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
14 |
2013-12-08 |
NYG |
H |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-12 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
KC |
H |
|
|
|
|
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Kansas City Chiefs |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
JAC |
A |
W 28-2 |
+26 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
DAL |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
3 |
2013-09-19 |
PHI |
A |
W 26-16 |
+10 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
NYG |
H |
W 31-7 |
+24 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
TEN |
A |
W 26-17 |
+9 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
OAK |
H |
W 24-7 |
+17 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
HOU |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
CLE |
H |
W 23-17 |
+6 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-13 |
+10 |
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2013-11-17 |
DEN |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
SD |
H |
L 38-41 |
-3 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
14 |
2013-12-08 |
WAS |
A |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-15 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
IND |
H |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
SD |
A |
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
SD Offense |
KC Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
21.0 |
21.0 |
23.7 |
- |
Rushing yards |
144.0 |
124.3 |
114.3 |
SD |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.28 |
4.50 |
4.17 |
KC |
Completion % |
67.9% |
57.7% |
60.7% |
SD |
Passing yards |
261.3 |
170.0 |
231.8 |
SD |
Passing yards per completion |
11.61 |
8.38 |
10.87 |
SD |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.88 |
4.83 |
6.61 |
SD |
Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
KC |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
SD |
Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
SD |
3rd down conversions |
45.2% |
37.8% |
38.4% |
SD |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
0.0% |
48.8% |
SD |
Time of possession |
35:49 |
30:23 |
50:22 |
SD |
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
SD Defense |
KC Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
19.0 |
15.3 |
23.7 |
KC |
Rushing yards |
88.7 |
100.7 |
114.3 |
SD |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.77 |
4.29 |
4.17 |
KC |
Completion % |
65.7% |
55.7% |
60.7% |
KC |
Passing yards |
268.3 |
244.3 |
231.8 |
KC |
Passing yards per completion |
11.81 |
12.42 |
10.87 |
SD |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.76 |
6.93 |
6.61 |
KC |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
SD |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
KC |
Sacks |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
SD |
3rd down conversions |
39.3% |
30.9% |
38.4% |
KC |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
40.0% |
48.8% |
SD |
Time of possession |
24:12 |
29:17 |
50:22 |
SD |
|
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
SD |
KC |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
14.3 |
6.4 |
9.7 |
SD |
Yards per kick return |
22.1 |
25.6 |
23.1 |
KC |
Yards allowed per punt return |
3.7 |
7.4 |
9.7 |
SD |
Yards allowed per kick return |
24.4 |
24.0 |
23.1 |
KC |
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
SD |
KC |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
7.0 |
5.0 |
6.2 |
KC |
Penalty yards |
54.7 |
31.0 |
52.7 |
KC |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 6 to 11 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 6 to 11 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
3 |
2000-09-17 |
SD |
KC |
10-42 |
KC |
2000 |
13 |
2000-11-26 |
KC |
SD |
16-17 |
SD |
2001 |
8 |
2001-11-04 |
KC |
SD |
25-20 |
KC |
2001 |
15 |
2001-12-23 |
SD |
KC |
17-20 |
KC |
2002 |
6 |
2002-10-13 |
KC |
SD |
34-35 |
SD |
2002 |
16 |
2002-12-22 |
SD |
KC |
22-24 |
KC |
2003 |
1 |
2003-09-07 |
SD |
KC |
14-27 |
KC |
2003 |
13 |
2003-11-30 |
KC |
SD |
28-24 |
KC |
2004 |
12 |
2004-11-28 |
SD |
KC |
34-31 |
SD |
2004 |
17 |
2005-01-02 |
KC |
SD |
17-24 |
SD |
2005 |
8 |
2005-10-30 |
KC |
SD |
20-28 |
SD |
2005 |
16 |
2005-12-24 |
SD |
KC |
7-20 |
KC |
2006 |
7 |
2006-10-22 |
SD |
KC |
27-30 |
KC |
2006 |
15 |
2006-12-17 |
KC |
SD |
9-20 |
SD |
2007 |
4 |
2007-09-30 |
KC |
SD |
30-16 |
KC |
2007 |
13 |
2007-12-02 |
SD |
KC |
24-10 |
SD |
2008 |
10 |
2008-11-09 |
KC |
SD |
19-20 |
SD |
2008 |
15 |
2008-12-14 |
SD |
KC |
22-21 |
SD |
2009 |
7 |
2009-10-25 |
SD |
KC |
37-7 |
SD |
2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
KC |
SD |
14-43 |
SD |
2010 |
1 |
2010-09-13 |
SD |
KC |
14-21 |
KC |
2010 |
14 |
2010-12-12 |
KC |
SD |
0-31 |
SD |
2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
KC |
SD |
17-20 |
SD |
2011 |
8 |
2011-10-31 |
SD |
KC |
20-23 |
KC |
2012 |
4 |
2012-09-30 |
SD |
KC |
37-20 |
SD |
2012 |
9 |
2012-11-01 |
KC |
SD |
13-31 |
SD |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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