Prediction: Broncos 34, Patriots 27
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Denver Broncos |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 2 |
Peyton Manning   |
Pass: 340, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 9 |
Knowshon Moreno |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 6-40, 0 |
| RB 36 |
Montee Ball |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 3 |
Demaryius Thomas |
Rec: 8-110, 1 TD |
| WR 9 |
Wes Welker  |
Rec: 9-90, 1 TD |
 WR 15 |
Eric Decker |
Rec: 4-50, 1 TD |
 TE 10 |
Julius Thomas |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| K 2 |
Matt Prater |
FG: 2/2 XP: 4/4 |
| DEF 22 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 5 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 12 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 8-60, 1 |
| RB 18 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 53 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 28 |
Aaron Dobson |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
| WR 35 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
| WR 66 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-90, 1 TD |
| K 3 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 28 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Broncos Have scored 398 points, 3rd-most by team through 1st 10 games of season in NFL history... QB Peyton Manning has passed for 3,572 yards, most ever through 1st 10 games. Manning aims for 5th consecutive 300-yard passing game. Averages 359.3 pass yards per game on road in '13, best in NFL... RB Knowshon Moreno averages 93.6 scrim. yards per game in '13. Totaled 124 scrimmage yards (88 rush, 36 rec.) in only game vs. NE (10/11/09). RB Montee Ball had career-high 2 rush TDs last week... WR Wes Welker spent 6 seasons (2007-12) with NE. Totaled 672 receptions, most in Patriots history... WR Demaryius Thomas aims for 3rd straight game w/ 100+ rec. yards vs. NE. TE Julius Thomas (10) needs TD rec. to surpass HOFer SHANNON SHARPE (10 in '96 & '98) for most by Den. TE in season... LB Von Miller had 2 sacks & FF in last game vs. NE... DE Shaun Phillips (9) needs 3 sacks to surpass career-best of 11.5 in '06.
 Patriots Seek 4th consecutive win vs. Den. (incl. postseason)... Club is 5-0 at home in 2013... Have won 7 of past 8 at home in Nov... QB Tom Brady has 9 TDs vs. 3 INTs & 92.3 rating at home this season. Has 348 TD passes, 5th-most in NFL history. Has 34-12 (.739) record as starter in Nov., 4th-best in SB era (min. 20 starts). In past 2 vs. Broncos, Brady is 2-0 & has completed 46 of 65 passes (70.8 pct.) for 543 yards with 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 111.3 rating... RB Stevan Ridley had career-high 151 rush yards in last game against Denver. RB Shane Vereen had team-high in catches (8, career-high) & receiving yards (65) last week... TE Rob Gronkowski registered 40th TD rec. last week in fewest games (47) by TE in NFL history... DE Chandler Jones has 6.5 sacks in past 6. Has career-high 9.5 sacks in 2013. DE Rob Ninkovich aims for 4th straight game with sack. Has 4.5 sacks in 4 career games against Broncos (incl. postseason)... K Stephen Gostkowski has made 19 consecutive FGs.
Results and Schedule
| Denver Broncos |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-05 |
BAL |
H |
W 49-27 |
+22 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
NYG |
A |
W 41-23 |
+18 |
| 3 |
2013-09-23 |
OAK |
H |
W 37-21 |
+16 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
PHI |
H |
W 52-20 |
+32 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
DAL |
A |
W 51-48 |
+3 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
JAC |
H |
W 35-19 |
+16 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
IND |
A |
L 33-39 |
-6 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
WAS |
H |
W 45-21 |
+24 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
SD |
A |
W 28-20 |
+8 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
KC |
H |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
NE |
A |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
KC |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-12 |
SD |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
| 2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
H |
W 13-10 |
+3 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
TB |
H |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
ATL |
A |
W 30-23 |
+7 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
CIN |
A |
L 6-13 |
-7 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
NO |
H |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
NYJ |
A |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
H |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
PIT |
H |
W 55-31 |
+24 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
DEN |
H |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
DEN
Offense |
NE
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
32.0 |
28.0 |
23.7 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards |
98.3 |
133.3 |
114.3 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.34 |
4.52 |
4.17 |
NE |
| Completion % |
64.5% |
60.9% |
60.7% |
DEN |
| Passing yards |
325.0 |
241.0 |
231.8 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.02 |
11.04 |
10.87 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.75 |
6.72 |
6.61 |
DEN |
| Interceptions |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
DEN |
| Fumbles lost |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
DEN |
| 3rd down conversions |
38.5% |
33.9% |
38.4% |
DEN |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
57.1% |
48.8% |
DEN |
| Time of possession |
28:56 |
28:22 |
50:22 |
DEN |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
DEN
Defense |
NE
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
20.0 |
27.0 |
23.7 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards |
121.3 |
131.7 |
114.3 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.97 |
4.44 |
4.17 |
DEN |
| Completion % |
56.0% |
55.1% |
60.7% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
203.7 |
211.0 |
231.8 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.78 |
11.16 |
10.87 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.47 |
6.14 |
6.61 |
DEN |
| INT return |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
- |
| Sacks |
2.7 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
36.5% |
48.7% |
38.4% |
DEN |
| 4th down conversions |
20.0% |
40.0% |
48.8% |
DEN |
| Time of possession |
30:44 |
31:36 |
50:22 |
DEN |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
DEN |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
4.5 |
11.3 |
9.7 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
28.4 |
21.7 |
23.1 |
DEN |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
8.8 |
11.6 |
9.7 |
DEN |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
25.4 |
19.0 |
23.1 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
DEN |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
7.3 |
4.7 |
6.2 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
56.7 |
39.3 |
52.7 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 6 to 11 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 6 to 11 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
5 |
2000-10-01 |
NE |
DEN |
28-19 |
NE |
| 2001 |
7 |
2001-10-28 |
NE |
DEN |
20-31 |
DEN |
| 2002 |
8 |
2002-10-27 |
DEN |
NE |
24-16 |
DEN |
| 2003 |
9 |
2003-11-03 |
NE |
DEN |
30-26 |
NE |
| 2005 |
6 |
2005-10-16 |
NE |
DEN |
20-28 |
DEN |
| 2005 |
DP |
2006-01-14 |
NE |
DEN |
13-27 |
DEN |
| 2006 |
3 |
2006-09-24 |
DEN |
NE |
17-7 |
DEN |
| 2008 |
7 |
2008-10-20 |
DEN |
NE |
7-41 |
NE |
| 2009 |
5 |
2009-10-11 |
NE |
DEN |
17-20 |
DEN |
| 2011 |
15 |
2011-12-18 |
NE |
DEN |
41-23 |
NE |
| 2011 |
DP |
2012-01-14 |
DEN |
NE |
10-45 |
NE |
| 2012 |
5 |
2012-10-07 |
DEN |
NE |
21-31 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff
|
