Prediction: Colts 27, Chiefs 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 8 |
Alex Smith |
Pass: 240, 1 TD Rush: 30, 0 |
| RB 1 |
Jamaal Charles |
Rush: 110, 1 TD Rec: 5-40, 0 |
| RB 16 |
Knile Davis |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 11 |
Dwayne Bowe  |
Rec: 4-50, 1 TD |
| WR 14 |
Dexter McCluster |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 18 |
Donnie Avery |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| WR 25 |
Junior Hemingway |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
 TE 7 |
Anthony Fasano |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| TE 10 |
Sean McGrath |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| K 2 |
Ryan Succop |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 5 |
Andrew Luck |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
| RB 5 |
Donald Brown |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 13 |
Trent Richardson |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 2-20, 0 |
| WR 2 |
T.Y. Hilton |
Rec: 7-100, 1 TD |
| WR 15 |
Da'Rick Rogers |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 24 |
LaVon Brazill |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 3 |
Coby Fleener |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
| K 3 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 3 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Chiefs ANDY REID has made 5 NFC Championship appearances & Super Bowl appearance as NFL head coach... 1st postseason appearance since 2010 for KC... Chiefs seek 1st playoff win since 1/16/94 (at Hou.)... KC (11) tied 2008 Dolphins & 2012 Colts for most wins by team that won 2 or fewer games in previous season... For career, QB Alex Smith has 1-1 postseason record with 5 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 101 passer rating. On road in 2013, Smith completed 134 of 222 passes (60.4 pct.) for 287 yards with 11 TDs vs. 1 INT & 94.6 rating. Had career-high 3,313 passing yards in 2013. In 2013, Smith (431) had most rush yards ever in single-season by Chiefs QB. Since 2011, Smith is 30-9-1(.763) as starter... RB Jamaal Charles rushed for 82 yards on 9 att. (9.1 avg.), incl. 41-yard rush TD, in only career postseason games (vs. Bal. on 1/9/11). Charles (1,287) led AFC in rushing for 2nd consecutive season. Had NFL-best 19 total TDs (12 rush, 7 rec.). Averaged 132 scrimmage yards per game in 2013, best in AFC. Totaled 144 scrimmage yards (106 rush, 38 receiving) in last reg. season game vs. Ind. Rookie RB Knile Davis had career-best 2 rush TDs last week... WR Dwayne Bowe (6,401) has 4th-most career rec. yards in club history. WR-PR Dexter McCluster had career-best in catches (53), receiving yards & TD catches (2) in 2013. Posted 2 PR-TDs this season, most in NFL... WR Donnie Avery had 60 catches for 781 yards & 3 TDs with Colts in 2012... Defense allowed 19.1 points per game in 2013, tied for AFC-low... Had 11 return TDs in 2013, most in NFL... LB Derrick Johnson led team with 107 tackles in 2013... LB Tamba Hali (11) has registered 10+ sacks for 3rd time in career. Had 2 career sacks in last postseason game. Hali (11) & LB Justin Houston (11) combined for 22 sacks this season... DT Dontari Poe had career-best 4.5 sacks in 2013... S Eric Berry had 3.5 sacks in 2013, tied for 2nd-most among NFL DBs. S Quintin Demps had career-high 4 INTs in 2013... Rookie CB MARCUS COOPER had team-high 20 passes defensed... Club had 8 players selected to 2014 Pro Bowl (T BRANDEN ALBERT, S Berry, RB Charles, CB Brandon Flowers, LB Hali, LB Houston, PR McCluster, DT Poe).
 Colts Club has reached postseason for 2nd straight season under head coach CHUCK PAGANO & 11 of past 12 seasons overall... Clinched AFC South title for 8th-time since 2003... Colts are 3-0 vs. Chiefs in postseason... QB Andrew Luck has 13 home wins in his 1st 2 seasons, tied with MATT RYAN for 2nd-most in Super Bowl era. Has 8,196 career passing yards & is 1st player in NFL history with 8,000 passing yards in his 1st 2 seasons. Luck (10) has most game-winning drives by QB in 4th qtr./OT in 1st 2 seasons of career since '70. In 2 career reg. season meetings vs. KC, Luck is 2-0 & has completed 43 of 72 passes (59.7 pct.) for 446 yards with 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 86.9 rating. Will make 2nd postseason start of career (1st at home)... RB Donald Brown had career-high 8 TDs (6 rush, 2 receiving) in 2013. Brown totaled 110 scrimmage yards with 2 TDs (1 rush, 1 receiving) in last game against KC. RB Trent Richardson had rush TD last week... WR T.Y. Hilton had career-best in catches (82) & receiving yards (1,083) in 2013. Had career-best in catches (11) & receiving yards (155) last week. Hilton is 6th player in NFL history to register 10 100-yard receiving games in the 1st 2 seasons of a career. Is averaging 90 receiving yards per game at home this season. WR Griff Whalen has TD reception in 2 of past 3... TE Coby Fleener had career-highs in catches (52), receiving yards (608) & TDs (4) this season... LB Robert Mathis (111 career; 19.5 in 2013) has most sacks in career by Colt & in single-season since 1982. Has 3 sacks vs. KC (incl. postseason). LB Jerrell Freeman led team with 126 tackles. Had 5 tackles, sack, INT, FF, FR & 2 passes defensed in last game vs. Chiefs. Ranked 2nd on team with career-best 5.5 sacks... S Antoine Bethea has 4 career postseason INTs. S LaRon Landry had 2 INTs in only career postseason game (w/ Was. on 1/5/08 at Sea.)... CB Darius Butler has 4 INTs in each of past 2 seasons. Led team with 15 passes defensed... Last week, K Adam Vinatieri (2,004) became 7th player in NFL history to reach 2,000 career points (reg. season games only). Vinatieri owns NFL-postseason record in made FGs (48) & points (196)... Club had 1 player selected to 2014 Pro Bowl (LB Mathis).
Results and Schedule
|
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
OAK |
H |
W 21-17 |
+4 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
MIA |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
SF |
A |
W 27-7 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
JAC |
A |
W 37-3 |
+34 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
SEA |
H |
W 34-28 |
+6 |
| 6 |
2013-10-14 |
SD |
A |
L 9-19 |
-10 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
DEN |
H |
W 39-33 |
+6 |
| 8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
HOU |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
STL |
H |
L 8-38 |
-30 |
| 11 |
2013-11-14 |
TEN |
A |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
ARI |
A |
L 11-40 |
-29 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
TEN |
H |
W 22-14 |
+8 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CIN |
A |
L 28-42 |
-14 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
HOU |
H |
W 25-3 |
+22 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
KC |
A |
W 23-7 |
+16 |
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
JAC |
H |
W 30-10 |
+20 |
| WC |
2014-01-04 |
KC |
H |
W 45-44 |
+1 |
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
KC
Offense |
IND
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
33.8 |
24.5 |
23.4 |
KC |
| Rushing yards |
142.8 |
99.8 |
116.8 |
KC |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
5.20 |
4.09 |
4.26 |
KC |
| Completion % |
66.3% |
61.7% |
61.2% |
KC |
| Passing yards |
229.3 |
217.5 |
228.9 |
KC |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.93 |
9.68 |
10.71 |
KC |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.25 |
5.97 |
6.56 |
KC |
| Interceptions |
0.8 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
IND |
| Fumbles lost |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
IND |
| Sacks allowed |
1.8 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
32.8% |
34.9% |
38.3% |
IND |
| 4th down conversions |
57.1% |
50.0% |
50.5% |
KC |
| Time of possession |
30:20 |
28:56 |
30:22 |
KC |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
KC
Defense |
IND
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
29.0 |
17.8 |
23.4 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
125.3 |
134.3 |
116.8 |
KC |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.22 |
4.57 |
4.26 |
KC |
| Completion % |
59.9% |
60.3% |
61.2% |
KC |
| Passing yards |
292.3 |
220.5 |
228.9 |
IND |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.97 |
9.79 |
10.71 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.77 |
5.90 |
6.56 |
IND |
| INT return |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
IND |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
IND |
| Sacks |
1.3 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
44.1% |
35.9% |
38.3% |
IND |
| 4th down conversions |
66.7% |
66.7% |
50.5% |
- |
| Time of possession |
32:37 |
31:04 |
30:22 |
IND |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
KC |
IND |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
16.2 |
11.1 |
9.5 |
KC |
| Yards per kick return |
32.9 |
23.2 |
23.1 |
KC |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
4.9 |
12.4 |
9.5 |
KC |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
23.9 |
27.2 |
23.1 |
KC |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
KC |
IND |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.3 |
4.8 |
5.9 |
IND |
| Penalty yards |
62.0 |
41.0 |
50.2 |
IND |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
1 |
2000-09-03 |
IND |
KC |
27-14 |
IND |
| 2001 |
7 |
2001-10-28 |
IND |
KC |
35-28 |
IND |
| 2004 |
8 |
2004-10-31 |
IND |
KC |
35-45 |
KC |
| 2006 |
WC |
2007-01-06 |
KC |
IND |
8-23 |
IND |
| 2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
KC |
IND |
10-13 |
IND |
| 2010 |
5 |
2010-10-10 |
KC |
IND |
9-19 |
IND |
| 2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
KC |
IND |
28-24 |
KC |
| 2012 |
16 |
2012-12-23 |
IND |
KC |
20-13 |
IND |
| 2013 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
IND |
KC |
23-7 |
IND |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card
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