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Prediction: 49ers 24, Panthers 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

San Francisco 49ers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 2 Colin Kaepernick Pass: 210, 1 TD Rush: 50, 1
RB 3 Frank Gore Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 18 Kendall Hunter Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 5 Michael Crabtree Rec: 7-80, 1 TD
WR 10 Anquan Boldin Rec: 5-60, 0 TD
TE 2 Vernon Davis Rec: 4-50, 1 TD
K 7 Phil Dawson FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3
DEF 1 Defense / ST  
 
Carolina Panthers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 8 Cam Newton Pass: 210, 1 TD Rush: 30, 0
RB 8 DeAngelo Williams Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 16 Mike Tolbert Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 20 Jonathan Stewart Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 15 Brandon LaFell Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
WR 17 Ted Ginn Jr. Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
 WR 20 Steve Smith Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
TE 4 Greg Olsen Rec: 5-50, 1 TD
K 8 Graham Gano FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2
DEF 5 Defense / ST  

Game Notes TEAMS MEET for 1st time in postseason. Clubs have met 18 times in regular season. Car. is 11-7 in those meetings, incl. Week 10 win at SF (10-9). Panthers have won 4 in a row vs. SF & 8 of past 10.

49ers Are 29-19 (.604) in postseason. Team's 29 playoff wins are 4th most in NFL history & .604 win pct. is 3rd among teams with 25+ playoff games... JIM HARBAUGH is 1st head coach in franchise history to lead team to playoffs in each of 1st 3 seasons... 49ers had 8 players selected to Pro Bowl, tied for most in NFL: LB NA VORRO BOWMAN (2nd), LB Ahmad Brooks (2nd), TE Vernon Davis (2nd), RB Frank Gore (5th), G MIKE IUPATI (2nd), DT Justin Smith (5th), T JOE STALEY (3rd) & LB Patrick Willis (7th)... QB Colin Kaepernick (3,197 pass, 524 rush) joined HOFer STEVE YOUNG (1992) as only 49ers QBs with 3,000+ pass & 500+ rush yards in season. Has 93.9 passer rating in postseason career, 2nd highest by SF QB with 100+ att. (HOFer JOE MONTANA, 98.2). Is 1 of 7 QBs in NFL postseason history with 1,000+ pass (1,025) & 300+ rush (362) yards. Incl. playoffs, when Kaepernick starts & has 100+ rating, 49ers are 13-0... RB Gore rushed for 1,128 yards, his franchise-record 7th 1,000-yard season. Averages 91.3 rush yards per game in postseason career (548 yards, 6 games). Has 5 rush TDs in past 4 postseason games and aims for 5th playoff game in row with rush TD... TE Davis has 100+ rec. yards in 4 of 6 career postseason games. Averages 97.2 yards per playoff game (583 yards, 6 games), 4th highest in NFL history & highest by TE (min. 5 games). Has 6 career postseason TDs, tied for 2nd most by TE. Since 2009 (incl. playoffs), leads NFL TEs with 50 TDs. Has 12 TDs in past 14 (incl. playoffs). WR Michael Crabtree has 28 catches for 410 yards (102.5 per game) & 3 TDs in past 4 playoff games. Had 8 catches for 125 yards last week & has 3 100-yard games in past 4 in postseason. WR Anquan Boldin had 1,179 yards, his 6th 1,000-yard season. Has 55 catches for 844 yards & 7 TDs in 12 playoff games. His 7 rec. TDs rec. yards are tied for most by active player in 2013 playoffs... LB Bowman led team with 143 tackles. Only player in NFL this season with 100+ tackles (143), 5+ sacks (5), 4+ FFs (4) & INT-TD (1, 89 yards). LB Willis was 2nd on team with 104 tackles, his 6th season with 100+ tackles. Since entering NFL in 2007, is only player with 20+ sacks (20.5), 15+ FF (16) & 7+ INTs (7). Since 2010 (incl. playoffs), DT Smith has 27.5 sacks, 3rd most by NFL DT. Since entering NFL in 2011, LB Aldon Smith has 45.5 sacks, 2nd most in NFL (incl. playoffs). Had 1.5 sacks last week. LB Brooks had career-high 8.5 sacks & tied for team lead (A. Smith). Had 2 sacks last week & has 3 sacks in past 2 playoff games. CB Tramaine Brock led team with 5 INTs & 15 PD, both career highs. Rookie S Eric Reid was only NFC player this season with 4 INTs & 2 FR... K Phil Dawson had 140 points, 2nd most in team history. Made all 3 FGs in WC.

Panthers Won division for 4th time (1996, 2003, 2008). Team's 12 wins are tied for most in franchise history (1996, 2008)... Panthers had 5 players selected to Pro Bowl: DE Greg Hardy (1st), C RYAN KALIL (4th), LB Luke Kuechly (1st), QB Cam Newton (2nd) & FB Mike Tolbert (1st)... QB Newton is only player with 50+ pass (64) & 25+ rush (28) TDs in 1st 3 NFL seasons. Has 11,299 pass & 2,032 rush yards in career. His 11,299 pass yards are 3rd most in 1st 3 seasons & his 2,032 rush yards are most by QB in 1st 3 years... RB DeAngelo Williams is franchise leader in rush att. (1,370), yards (6,627) & TDs (46). Had 843 rush, 333 rec. & 1,176 scrimmage yards, his 3rd season with 1,000+ scrimmage yards, tied for most by RB in team history (DE SHAUN FOSTER)... FB Tolbert led team with 7 TDs (5 rush, 2 rec.)... WR Steve Smith is franchise leader in catches, yards & TDs in both regular & postseason. Has 836 catches for 12,197 yards with 67 TDs in regular season & 47 catches for 782 yards with 7 TDs in postseason. Aims for 4th postseason in row with TD. His 7 rec. TDs are tied for most by active player in 2013 postseason. TE Greg Olsen led team with 6 rec. TDs. Is 1 of 2 TEs in NFL (TONY GONZALEZ) with 5+ rec. TDs in every season since 2008. Led team with career-best 73 catches. WR Brandon LaFell has 13 career rec. TDs & averages 27.1 yards per TD (352 yards). Tied WR TED GINN, JR. for 2nd on team with 5 rec. TDs, career-highs for both players... Panthers ranked 2nd in NFL in points allowed (241), total defense (301.3) & rush defense (86.9)... LBs Kuechly (156) & Thomas Davis (123) led team in tackles. Kuechly (156 tackles, 2 sacks, 4 INTs) & Davis (123 tackles, 4 sacks, 2 INTs) are only LB teammates with 120+ tackles, 2+ sacks & 2+ INTs. Since entering NFL in 2012, Kuechly leads NFL with 320 tackles. DE Hardy has 24 sacks in past 25, incl. 7 in past 2. Is 1st to enter playoffs with consecutive 3+ sack games. Had franchise-record 4 sacks in Week 17. Tied single-season team record with 15 sacks (KEVIN GREENE, 1998). In Week 17, Panthers had team-record 9 sacks. Team's 60 sacks tied club record (1996). Since 2010, DE Charles Johnson is 1 of 2 in NFC with 40+ sacks (44) & 10+ FFs (10). Was 2nd on team with 11 sacks, his 4th consecutive seasons with 9+ sacks. CB Captain Munnerlyn has 4 INT-TDs since 2012, most in NFL. S Mike Mitchell was 1 of 2 in NFL with 4+ INTs (4), 4+ sacks (4) & 2+ FFs (2). CB DRAYTON FLORENCE has 3 INTs in 5 career postseason games.


Results and Schedule

San Francisco 49ers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 GB H W 34-28 +6
2 2013-09-15 SEA A L 3-29 -26
3 2013-09-22 IND H L 7-27 -20
4 2013-09-26 STL A W 35-11 +24
5 2013-10-06 HOU H W 34-3 +31
6 2013-10-13 ARI H W 32-20 +12
7 2013-10-20 TEN A W 31-17 +14
8 2013-10-27 JAC A W 42-10 +32
9   Bye      
10 2013-11-10 CAR H L 9-10 -1
11 2013-11-17 NO A L 20-23 -3
12 2013-11-25 WAS A W 27-6 +21
13 2013-12-01 STL H W 23-13 +10
14 2013-12-08 SEA H W 19-17 +2
15 2013-12-15 TB A W 33-14 +19
16 2013-12-23 ATL H W 34-24 +10
17 2013-12-29 ARI A W 23-20 +3
WC 2014-01-05 GB A W 23-20 +3
DP 2014-01-12 CAR A    
   

Carolina Panthers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 SEA H L 7-12 -5
2 2013-09-15 BUF A L 23-24 -1
3 2013-09-22 NYG H W 38-0 +38
4   Bye      
5 2013-10-06 ARI A L 6-22 -16
6 2013-10-13 MIN A W 35-10 +25
7 2013-10-20 STL H W 30-15 +15
8 2013-10-24 TB A W 31-13 +18
9 2013-11-03 ATL H W 34-10 +24
10 2013-11-10 SF A W 10-9 +1
11 2013-11-18 NE H W 24-20 +4
12 2013-11-24 MIA A W 20-16 +4
13 2013-12-01 TB H W 27-6 +21
14 2013-12-08 NO A L 13-31 -18
15 2013-12-15 NYJ H W 30-20 +10
16 2013-12-22 NO H W 17-13 +4
17 2013-12-29 ATL A W 21-20 +1
WC   Bye      
DP 2014-01-12 SF H    

Injury Report

San Francisco 49ers
Out  RB Marcus Lattimore (knee)
Questionable  DE Demarcus Dobbs (shoulder)
 CB Carlos Rogers (hamstring)
Probable  ILB Navorro Bowman (wrist)
 WR Michael Crabtree (wrist)
 RB Frank Gore (knee)
 ILB Dan Skuta (foot)
 DE Justin Smith (shoulder)
IR  OLB Cornellius Carradine (knee, 12/10/2013)
 CB Chris Culliver (knee, 8/27/2013)
 WR Mario Manningham (knee, 12/27/2013)
 NT Ian Williams (ankle, 9/17/2013)
   

Carolina Panthers
Questionable  WR Steve Smith (knee)
 RB Jonathan Stewart (knee)
Probable  TE Ben Hartsock (knee)
 FS Quintin Mikell (thumb)
IR  FS Charles Godfrey (achilles-tendon, 9/17/2013)

Offense Stats Comparison

  SF
 Offense 
CAR
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 26.5 21.3 23.4 SF
Rushing yards 129.0 132.3 116.8 CAR
Rushing yards per attempt 4.19 4.57 4.26 CAR
Completion % 61.8% 59.2% 61.2% SF
Passing yards 213.0 177.5 228.9 SF
Passing yards per completion 12.74 10.52 10.71 SF
Passing yards per attempt 7.87 6.23 6.56 SF
Interceptions 0.0 0.8 1.0 SF
Fumbles lost 0.3 0.0 0.6 CAR
Sacks allowed 2.3 2.3 2.4 -
3rd down conversions 34.2% 36.3% 38.3% CAR
4th down conversions 33.3% 83.3% 50.5% CAR
Time of possession 31:45 30:13 30:22 SF
  Defense Stats Comparison

  SF
 Defense 
CAR
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 16.0 17.3 23.4 SF
Rushing yards 82.5 84.3 116.8 SF
Rushing yards per attempt 3.72 4.14 4.26 SF
Completion % 60.6% 66.5% 61.2% SF
Passing yards 215.3 222.5 228.9 SF
Passing yards per completion 10.07 9.20 10.71 CAR
Passing yards per attempt 6.11 6.12 6.56 SF
INT return 1.0 1.0 1.0 -
Fumble recoveries 0.3 0.0 0.6 SF
Sacks 2.5 4.5 2.4 CAR
3rd down conversions 32.5% 36.8% 38.3% SF
4th down conversions 36.4% 33.3% 50.5% CAR
Time of possession 28:15 29:47 30:22 SF

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   SF   CAR  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 10.7 13.7 9.5 CAR
Yards per kick return 25.0 22.3 23.1 SF
Yards allowed per punt return 12.9 8.9 9.5 CAR
Yards allowed per kick return 18.0 21.4 23.1 SF
  Misc Stats Comparison

   SF   CAR  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.5 4.5 5.9 CAR
Penalty yards 50.5 38.8 50.2 CAR

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

San Francisco 49ers vs. Carolina Panthers
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 2 2000-09-10 CAR SF 38-22 CAR
2000 8 2000-10-22 SF CAR 16-34 CAR
2001 4 2001-10-07 CAR SF 14-24 SF
2001 10 2001-11-18 SF CAR 25-22 SF
2004 10 2004-11-14 CAR SF 37-27 CAR
2007 13 2007-12-02 SF CAR 14-31 CAR
2010 7 2010-10-24 SF CAR 20-23 CAR
2013 10 2013-11-10 CAR SF 10-9 CAR

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.