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Projections & Rankings Update – 7/29/13


By: — July 29, 2013 @ 10:00 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 7/29/13

We did an unscheduled update after WR Jeremy Maclin and TE Dennis Pitta went down Saturday with season ending injuries. Next update will be Thursday, 8/1.

Quarterbacks

  • Joe Flacco (-2) – Flacco has two key weapons (Boldin & Pitta) and it doesn’t appear they will be adequately replaced.

Running Backs

- No changes.

Wide Receivers

  • Jeremy Maclin (dropped) – Season-ending ACL injury.
  • DeSean Jackson (+6) – Jackson becomes the No.1 option in the Eagles passing game.
  • Riley Cooper (+35) – Cooper will get first crack to replace Maclin in the starting lineup.
  • Braylon Edwards (#62) – Recent signee by the Jets will have a good chance to start come Week 1.

Tight Ends

  • Dennis Pitta (dropped) – Season-ending hip injury.
  • Ed Dickson (+14) – Moves into the starting lineup and TE2 territory.

Projections & Rankings Update – 7/25/13


By: — July 25, 2013 @ 12:38 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 7/25/13

Quarterbacks

  • Robert Griffin III (+2) – All seems to be going well on his rehab. He won’t play in any preseason games and is a good bet not to be on any of my fantasy teams due to high injury risk.

Running Backs

  • Matt Forte & Le’Veon Bell (Tier 2) – I moved both of these RBs into Tier 2, which is now getting crowded. There’s actually good depth near the top of the running back cheatsheet this season.
  • David Wilson (-4) – I really like his upside but an RBBC situation with Andre Brown is a real possibility. It’s difficult at this point to predict the distribution of carries between the two.
  • Ryan Mathews (Tier 5) – He fits better in this tier.
  • Andre Brown (+4) – See Wilson above. I love Brown’s upside.
  • Peyton Hillis (#102) – The former Madden cover boy has landed in Tampa Bay. Nothing to see here.

Wide Receivers

  • Jordy Nelson (+5) – He deserved this bump for his upside. He can push WR1 status if he remains healthy all season.
  • Danario Alexander (-8) – Alexander thrives on the deep ball and deep incuts, which the Chargers may shy away from this season.
  • Rueben Randle (+7) – Starting to become more skittish about Hakeem Nicks.

Tight Ends

  • Delanie Walker (-2) – Walker is having some trouble shaking his knee injury.

Projections & Rankings Update – 7/18/13


By: — July 18, 2013 @ 10:23 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 7/18/13

A few minor adjustments to the rankings this week.

Quarterbacks

  • Jay Cutler (+1) – Still a QB2 but with a better receiving option at TE I’m more optimistic.

Running Backs

Wide Receivers

Tight Ends


Projections & Rankings Update – 7/11/13


By: — July 11, 2013 @ 8:28 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 7/11/13

It’s summer vacation time for the NFL so news remains stagnant. A few minor adjustments to the rankings this week.

Quarterbacks

  • EJ Manuel (+1) – I still expect Kolb to be the starter Week 1 but starting to get the vibe Manuel will be on the field sooner rather than later.

Running Backs

Wide Receivers

  • Jeremy Maclin (+1) – A slight uptick. I think he nudges out Jackson for receptions and yards in Philadelphia.
  • Donnie Avery (-2) – Receiving yardage swap with Avery and McCluster.
  • Travis Benjamin (+44) – Leader in the clubhouse to start first two games while Josh Gordon sits.

Tight Ends

  • Owen Daniels (+1) Daniels use in the red zone gives him a bump over Finley.

Projections & Rankings Update – 7/4/13


By: — July 4, 2013 @ 9:55 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 7/4/13

Not a lot of changes in this update as news has been slow in the NFL world this past week. Training camps are scheduled for the end of the month.

Quarterbacks

  • Michael Vick (-1) – The Eagles continue to play up the QB competition between Vick and Nick Foles, but I’d be shocked if Vick doesn’t get the starting nod in Week 1.

Running Backs

  • Danny Woodhead (+3) – Woodhead has sleeper PPR value and should play in the majority of third-down situations for the Chargers.
  • Dexter McCluster (+1) – Head coach Andy Reid has always been a fan of McCluster.
  • Montario Hardesty (+5) – Hardesty heads into training camp as the backup to Richardson in Cleveland.

Wide Receivers

  • Larry Fitzgerald (+2) – Getting more optimistic about Fitz’s return to WR1 territory.
  • Donnie Avery (-2) – Receiving yardage swap with Avery and McCluster.

Tight Ends

  • No changes.

Projections & Rankings Update – 6/27/13


By: — June 27, 2013 @ 1:21 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 6/27/13

We did an unscheduled update due to the release of Aaron Hernandez. It will be interesting to see what, if any, moves the Patriots make to bring receiving help for Brady.

Quarterbacks

  • Tom Brady (-1 TD) – I had already factored in a “down” year for Brady but the release of Hernandez is another kick in his fantasy football shin.

Running Backs

  • Ray Rice (-3) – Re-evaluated the split between Rice & Pierce.
  • Bernard Pierce (+11) – A valuable handcuff to Ray Rice with good upside.
  • Shane Vereen (+5) – No Hernandez means Vereen should be more involved in the passing game.

Wide Receivers

  • Julian Edelman (+37) – Stands to benefit most with Hernandez gone but has serious injury risk.
  • Aaron Dobson (+5) – Ripple effect bump with Hernandez gone.
  • LaVon Brazill (-6) – 4-game suspension kills his value early in the season.

Tight Ends

  • Aaron Hernandez (-75) – Hernandez’s fantasy value can fit inside a thimble and is restricted to dynasty leagues only.
  • Vernon Davis (+3) – Should finish a close second to Boldin in receiving yards and TDs.
  • Jake Ballard (+45) – Won’t post Hernandez-type numbers but worth considering as a TE2.
  • Michael Hoomanawanui (+19) – Hernandez ripple effect but has little value.

Projections & Rankings Update – 6/20/13


By: — June 20, 2013 @ 9:38 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 6/20/13

Some slight adjustments throughout but I’ll highlight the significant changes below.

Quarterbacks

  • Ben Roethlisberger (+2) – I think he’ll take a step back this season now that Wallace is gone, but he was initially ranked too low.
  • Cam Newton (-1) – More concern about new OC (Mike Shula) and his weak track record.

Running Backs

  • Ray Rice (-1) – He’s a better fit for Tier 2.
  • Reggie Bush (-2) – Slight adjustment to total rushing yards.
  • Darren McFadden (-1) – The more I read and study the Raiders the less optimistic I become.
  • Montee Ball (+1) – The release of McGahee was assumed in my initial rankings so the small bump is due to clarity.
  • Ahmad Bradshaw (+13) – Bradshaw finds a home in Indy.
  • Vick Ballard (-11) – Ripple effect of the Bradshaw signing.
  • Daryl Richardson (+20) – I flip-flopped Richardson and Pead. The Rams RB battle will be watched closely this summer.
  • Isaiah Pead (-15) – See Richardson above.
  • Travaris Cadet (#99) – First appearance in the rankings for the Saints RB.

Wide Receivers

Tight Ends

  • Rob Gronkowski (-1) – Back surgery complete, questionable for Week 1. Risk is on the rise.
  • Aaron Hernandez (-2) – Yikes. Hernandez may free fall very soon depending on how this incident plays out. Stay tuned.
  • Fred Davis (+2) – Davis can be the #2 receiver if he can fully recover from his Achilles injury.
  • Kellen Winslow (#29) – Signed by the Jets and instantly becomes their #1 tight end.

Round 1 Surprises in June Mock


By: — June 10, 2013 @ 7:43 pm
Filed under: Mock Draft

Our annual June mock got rolling today and it was no surprise that Adrian Peterson was the first player off the board. It was also no surprise that 11 running backs and 1 wide receiver were taken in the first round.

This is a standard performance scoring draft and non-PPR which made the pick of Jamaal Charles at 1.02 very interesting. Dan’s reasoning?

“I considered Arian Foster at #2, and he was the one consistently being taken top-three that I dismissed. I like him, and he’s probably safe, but I’m that guy who isn’t comfortable with the nagging injuries, His receiving yards dropped last year, as well, and I am thinking that might be more a trend going forward. That raises the value of a Ray Rice, who was one of my other two serious considerations.”

Good enough. I suspect the addition of Andy Reid and constant chatter of Charles reaching career highs in receptions is pushing the KC running back up draft boards. We’ll see if the Charles hype continues over the summer. I suspect it will.

Charles was a mild surprise at 1.02, the pick of Steven Jackson at 1.11 by WhiteWonder was a jaw dropper, especially with a Alfred Morris still on the board. SJax is in a great situation in Atlanta but I’d prefer the younger RB on a run-first team.

Here’s the complete first round…

We’re off and running with our June mock and looking forward to more surprises in Round 2. You can follow the draft in our Mocking Station forum.


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