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NFL Draft – Instant Fantasy Analysis: Robert Griffin III

By: — April 27, 2012 @ 12:44 am

1.02 Redskins – QB Robert Griffin III, Baylor

Whether we like it or not, Griffin bears a lot of likeness to a young Michael Vick with slightly less open-field elusiveness but better accuracy as a passer. His running ability will be put to good use in Mike Shanahan’s offense. In Shanahan’s system, quarterbacks are often asked to bootleg off play-action and throw on the run – a perfect fit for Griffin. The last time Shanahan worked with a gifted strong-armed mobile QB that was at or near his prime was Steve Young from 1992-1994. In those seasons combined, Young ran for 1,237 yards and 14 touchdowns and that was during a time when the idea of a running quarterback wasn’t nearly as accepted as it is today. In all likelihood, RG3 will not approach Cam Newton’s level of success in his rookie season simply because he isn’t entering a situation in which he should be asked to carry his new offense to the same degree Newton had to.

In redraft leagues, Griffin is entering a situation in which he has an outside shot to finish as a top 12 QB THIS YEAR. To be safe, he should be drafted as a QB2 in 12-team leagues, but 3,200+ passing yards, 500+ rushing yards and 6-8 rushing scores are entirely possible benchmarks for him to reach.

  • terpsez11

    just read a forum where a group that has been together for a while analyzed the same idea…they came up with a ceiling of:
    4200 yds 20 Passing TDs 600 YDs Rushing 6 TDs
    and the baseline minimum of
    3200 YDs 15 Passing TDs 400 YDs 5 Rushing TDs
    earliest I can see him going is late 6th in a 12 team league
    latest early 8th round …between 70-90th off board…unless you got a Skins fan in the tank

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