As we all know Hindsight is 20/20. This weekly column is devoted
to learning from common mistakes and serves as FFToday’s “Fantasy
I have Joseph Addai and Marion
Barber on one team, but did I choose to play either one of them?
You guessed it. This didn’t cost me a victory, but it did
cost me the division in the last week of the FFTOC’s regular
season. Although I lost out a hundred bucks, I did well enough
to advance to the final phase of the tournament and a chance to
play for much more.
Here’s a look at my week 12 in the FFTOC as the regular
season portion of the tourney winds down:
||I considered Romo—not hard enough, though.
||Glad I used him now, because knowing
who is best between him and Fred Taylor isn’t easy.
||My RB’s performances at least insured
me the opportunity to advance.
||A complete bust despite the Ravens’
having a favorable fantasy pass defense.
||Pretty mediocre stuff from a #1 quality
||Better to disappoint me know than in
the next few weeks.
||Sprained knee in the first half.
||Congratulations to Hogan’s Alley in
Division 079—it was tight all year. You made excellent
picks last week to overtake me.
Now that the second phase of the tourney is underway, here’s
my remaining pool of prominent players for weeks 13-16. The highlighted
players are likely choices for the remaining four weeks:
||Antwaan Randle El
From purely the standpoint of talent, I’m in great shape at
quarterback, decently stocked at running back, better off than I
expected at receiver, and not too shabby at tight end or kicker.
I think I have enough players to fair well, but as always, it comes
down to my weekly lineup choices. Here’s hoping Hindsight
is a B---- for the opposition.
Tony Romo Would Be An Impact Player Down
Sorry, I just didn’t see it despite all the talk in late
September. Chris Collinsworth earns more points in my book for
calling it ahead of time. Romo’s accuracy on the run has
been the difference for the Cowboys. I feel sorry for Drew Bledsoe—tough
player, some good but not great years, and Wally-Pipped twice
over. With a division game (Giants) and conference game with playoff
implications (New Orleans) in the coming weeks, this is probably
a great time to play the hot hand. Once Dallas gets Atlanta and
Philly, Romo could be playing in meaningless games, making him
a tenuous option for those fortunate enough to earn a championship
appearance in their fantasy league.
Vince Young Would Be An Impact Player
Down The Stretch
I’m not so surprised because of Young’s rookie status
as much as I am shocked he’s performing well without David
Givens, Ben Troupe, and Drew Bennett relegated to a role player.
Young has demonstrated his leadership, toughness, and poise will
translate to the pro level. Did you see him take that shot to
the head on the sideline in the 4th quarter and continue to bring
the Titans back? This kid is going to be the next player on the
level of McNair and McNabb. I’d love to have Young in a
keeper league because his running style is effective but not as
reckless as Vick or McNair.
Which Jaguars Runner To Start From Week
I guess the simple answer is “both,” but don’t
you get that shaky feeling every week when you look over your
roster with one (or in my case both) of them sitting there. I
strongly suggest you check out Doug
Orth’s new feature. He hit the nail on the head with
these two (as well as Westbrook, Thomas Jones, Gore, and Jackson…not
as well on Addai, but I can’t blame you for my poor choice—as
much as I wish I could) and you should seriously start checking
out his analysis for the remaining weeks of the season. I’ve
been starting Drew over Cadillac in the SOFA
League, but I’ve opted for the safe, yardage play of
Taylor in the Fantasy
Auctioneer Experts Invitational . Honestly, your guess is
as good as mine—I’m listening to Doug.
Started Addai Or Barber III Over Bush
This one just kills me because I couldn’t control my tendency
to pick the long shot (and accurately predict the breakout game)
over the surer things. As a result I missed two breakout games
that could have further solidified my points lead in my ultra-competitive
local league. Fortunately, my opponent’s #2 RB was Mike
Bell so the typical LT game didn’t hurt me. Does this mean
Addai will be the featured back from here on out? I don’t
think he’ll get Larry Johnson-LT-Shaun Alexander carries,
but he should be good for 15-20 touches per contest. That works
Marion Barber III is one of my favorite players to watch because
he plays smart football. It’s even better he plays for a
coach that appreciates his game. The numbers just don’t
lie when it comes to Barber’s outlook for the rest of the
year. Unless Romo goes down or the offensive line falls apart,
don’t let Barber’s non-starter status fool you. It’s
Addai or Barber for me down the stretch—Bush gets the bench
unless the Deuce has an extremity that gets loose.
Started Devery Henderson Once Colston Was
This was a good FFTOC play that could be seen from a mile away.
Too bad I wasn’t even casually looking in that direction.
The one thing Henderson has in abundance is speed. The other is
the fact Joe Horn and Bush occupies enough defensive backs to
provide Henderson single coverage all day long. Colston should
be ready to return next week so the time to play Henderson is
likely over. Still, you have to believe he’s a good dynasty
option with Joe Horn nearing the final years of his career. I’m
not as enthused with Henderson’s all around game, but with
Brees behind center, he’s still worth keeping on medium-sized
to deep rosters.
Nagging Feelings—Week 13
Mark Brunell’s career as a starter is over—the Jason
Campbell era has begun. The thing I like about the former
Auburn quarterback is the fact he performed well despite learning
three offensive systems in college. This was something most overlooked
in lieu of the RB depth chart that included Cadillac, Ronnie
Brown, and Brandon
Jacobs but trust me, you need to be able to throw the football
to be better than a 4-loss team in the SEC.
I think Jay Cutler is going to show why I thought he was the best
impact rookie. I think he’s going to make the impact when
it counts most. If you are a risk taker, pick up Cutler and start
him over those mediocre, but safe options. Defenses will test
him, but there’s a corollary worth considering: defensive
backs will be overconfident and try too hard to make the big play—often
at the expense of a big play if they fail. Cutler has the kind
of arm that defensive backs will have difficulty gauging (or expecting).
I just watched Hasselbeck throw his first interception of the
game out of a five wide receiver set where Mack Strong was split
wide and didn’t have a defensive back within 15 yards of
him. I guess you could say the snow was in the quarterback’s
eyes, but talk about missing a great opportunity. Oh, the joys
of being an armchair quarterback! He found Strong on the same
player twice later in the quarter.
Cleveland needs a bona fide, premiere runner. Reuben
Droughns is a great role player or solid starter on a great
team, but the Browns aren’t that kind of squad. Cleveland has
a really good shot at landing Adrian Peterson if the OU back declares
for the draft. As a childhood fan, it would be divine justice
for this team to get a shot at this undeniable talent that will
supply a level of toughness and game breaking skill versus the
physical defenses of the AFC North. A 1-2 punch of Droughns and
Peterson could do wonders for this offense in 2007.