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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 4
9/28/18
Matt Ryan

High Flyin' Falcon: After a slow Week 1 Matt Ryan has posted back-to-back 30-point fantasy games.


Note: Salary amounts are Draftkings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Matt Ryan vs. Cincinnati ($6,100)

After a disappointing start to the season with 9.84 fantasy points against the Eagles, Matt Ryan has been on fire with 74 points in his last two games, including 43.16 last week at home against New Orleans. The Bengals present a more difficult challenge on defense than the Saints, but the injuries on the Falcons defense will likely make this a shootout.

Other options to consider - Tom Brady vs. Miami & Philip Rivers vs. San Francisco

GPP - Andy Dalton @ Atlanta ($5,400)

Give me all of the shares of the red rifle indoors against a Falcons defense that has been decimated by injuries. Dalton has at least two touchdowns in each of his first three games and is an excellent low-cost GPP quarterback for owners looking to spend big on Kamara, Gordon, or other high-priced running backs.

Other options to consider - Baker Mayfield @ Oakland & Eli Manning vs. New Orleans

Fade - Drew Brees @ N.Y. Giants ($6,600)

As a season-long fantasy football owner of Brees playing in a tough matchup, I hope I am wrong in my prediction on Brees playing against the Giants. I think Brees will be fine, and the putrid Saints defense will force the New Orleans offense to put up points, but Breesí career QB rating outdoors is ten points lower than indoors and at home.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Melvin Gordon vs. San Francisco ($8,300)

With an average of 25.9 fantasy points over his first three games and three touchdowns in his last two matchups, Gordon provides an excellent floor combined with a high ceiling that cash game owners covet. The Chargers defense should give Rivers and the offense short fields to work with, and Gordon should be the beneficiary, with one or two rushing touchdowns.

Other options to consider - Alvin Kamara @ N.Y. Giants & Jordan Howard vs. Tampa Bay

GPP - Giovani Bernard @ Atlanta ($6,300)

Bernard is an attractive play this week in GPP for the same reasons why I like Andy Dalton. The game script appears to be a high-scoring game and the Falcons are decimated on defense. Even when healthy the Falcons struggled against pass-catching running backs. But without Neal, Lockett, and Jones, they are ripe for the taking for Gio and the Bengals.

Other options to consider - Austin Ekeler vs. San Francisco & Carlos Hyde vs. Oakland

Fade - David Johnson vs. Seattle ($6,600)

Although he has a touchdown in two of his three games, Johnson is not getting the volume that one would expect for him to dominate in fantasy. Johnson is a fade going forward until we see how Josh Rosen and the Cardinals offense progresses.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Jarvis Landry @ Oakland ($7,400)

In cash games, you want to pay for players who have a chance for high usage, especially wide receivers who garner double-digit targets against below-average defenses. With 36 targets in three games, including eight catches for 103 yards on 14 targets last week against the Jets, Jarvis Landry meets that fits this week against Oakland.

Other options to consider - A.J. Green vs. Atlanta & Mike Evans @ Chicago

GPP - Taylor Gabriel vs. Tampa Bay ($3,900)

Tournament players looking for a home run play with a surprisingly high target floor should consider Taylor Gabriel against the Bucs. Anthony Miller is out with a shoulder injury, and Gabriel was the recipient of 10 targets last week in Arizona. Hopefully, Mitchell Trubkisy wonít continue to be awful and can exploit a subpar Bucs secondary that allows the second-most points to opposing wide receivers.

Other options to consider - Mike Willams vs. San Francisco & Sterling Shepard vs. New Orleans

Fade - Odell Beckham Jr. vs. New Orleans ($8,700)

This may be a stretch, and Beckham certainly could make me look like a fool against a New Orleans defense that allows the most points to opposing wide receivers. The logic here is that I anticipate Lattimore with shadow coverage on Beckham and Manning will pick apart the Saints with his secondary receivers. For the cost, I would rather pay $4,900 for Sheppard and pair him with a high-priced running back like Gordon.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Tyler Eifert vs. Atlanta ($3,200)

Picking a tight end has been an exercise in futilely this season as for the most part, the position has been a wasteland of underperforming players. For cash games, I am looking at starting Eifert at Atlanta, based on the idea that Eifert garnered eight targets last week and I project him to have at least six targets this week in what could be a shoutout against the Falcons.

Other options to consider - Rob Gronkowski vs. Miami & Zach Ertz @ Tennessee

GPP - O.J. Howard @ Chicago ($3,500)

The best way to beat the Bears is through the air and not on the ground, and Howard has been a steady performer over the past two weeks. In a week with very few attractive plays at tight end, Howard could be in for a big game against the Bears.

Other options to consider - Trey Burton vs. Tampa Bay & Austin Hooper vs. Cincinnati

Fade - Dallas Goedert @ Tennessee ($2,800)

Don’t chase the points here on Goedert. The seven targets he received last week were based on matchups and injuries. He will see a few targets this game, but I doubt he will be as involved as last week.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Jacksonville ($4,100) vs. Jets

Bargain Priced with Upside: Seahawks ($3,200) @ Arizona