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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Preview for Week 10
11/10/17

The slate of games for Week 10 presents more than a few juicy matchups for DFS owners to target and inexpensive plays due to the suspensions of Ezekiel Elliott and Mike Evans. The duel revenge game in Tampa Bay featuring two improbable fantasy assets in Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh McCown going against the respective former teams is filled with value for DFS owners, and the trio of running backs filling in for Elliott against the Falcons could be difference makers on tickets this week.

In addition to those players, here are a few targets that I will feature in my DFS lineups this week:

Double revenge narrative: Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh McCown will square off against their former team.


Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Matthew Stafford vs. Browns ($6,800 on DraftKings)

The way to beat the Browns is through the air and not the ground, which plays well for the Lions considering their inability to run the ball and Matthew Staffordís success this year with the passing game. I donít usually stack players in cash games, but a Stafford/Golden Tate stack is going to provide an excellent foundation for cash players this week.

Other options to consider - Dak Prescott @ Atlanta & Josh McCown @ Tampa Bay

GPP - Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. NY Jets ($4,900 on DraftKings)

Arguably the most seasoned backup of the 32 No.2 QBs in the NFL, Ryan Fitzpatrick is an intriguing value this week in GPP based on his bottom barrel price tag and his matchup against a Jets team that has allowed the fourth-most points to opposing QBs. Fitzmagic has been a solid injury replacement for Jameis Winston with 358 yards and four touchdowns in just under two full games of action in 2017. I donít buy into the revenge game narrative, but I do think this will be a shootout, and Fitzpatrick does not shy away from slinging the ball downfield. Paring him with DeSean Jackson or rookie Chris Godwin is a solid GPP plan Week 10.

Other options to consider - Eli Manning @ San Francisco & Ben Roethlisberger @ Indy

Fade - Drew Brees @ Buffalo ($6,900 on DraftKings)

For some reason, Brees continues to be one of the most expensive quarterback plays on DraftKings, despite the fact that he has one 20-point game in the last five weeks. Breesí struggles on the road compared to playing at the Superdome are well documented, and the Saints are 6-2 because of a potent two-headed ground attack. There are too many inexpensive upside plays this week to spend nearly 7K on Brees.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Jordan Howard vs. Green Bay ($6,100 on DraftKings)

The Packers allow the 5th-most points to opposing running backs this season and are reeling with the loss of Aaron Rodgers. Only LeíVeon Bell and Ezekiel Elliott have more carries on the year than Jordan Howard, and the second year tailback is fresh off of a bye week to rest and heal from a shoulder injury. This could be the biggest game of the year for Howard and the fact that he costs $3,700 than Bell makes him a great value.

Other options to consider - Leonard Fournette vs. L.A. Chargers & Todd Gurley vs. Texans

GPP - Rod Smith @ Atlanta ($3,400 on DraftKings)

Of the three running backs set to replace Ezekiel Elliott this week against the Falcons, Smith carries the lowest price tag and the lowest floor. But the former undrafted Ohio State Buckeye is the biggest of the three backs and appears poised to get work in the passing game. The common assumption in the fantasy industry is that veteran Alfred Morris will be the lead back with Smith working in on passing downs, but there have been rumors of Smith impressing his coaching staff, and the Elliott suspension could be the opening for Smith to make his mark.

Other options to consider - Tevin Coleman vs. Dallas & Duke Johnson @ Detroit

Fade - Aaron Jones @ Chicago ($6,400 on DraftKings)

A negative game script reduced Jonesí workload to just five carries for 12 yards last week against Detroit, as Brett Hundley failed to move the ball against a tough Lions defense and Matthew Stafford dominated the Packer defensive unit. While I donít anticipate the Bears putting up big offensive numbers against the Packers, I can envision Hundley making mistakes that lead to easy scores for Chicago and another negative game script for Jones.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Golden Tate vs. Cleveland ($6,800 on DraftKings)

With seven catches in each of his last three games, Golden Tate has been the epitome of the perfect cash game wide receiver with a high floor and the upside to deliver a monster game. The way to beat the Browns is through the air, especially from the slot position with cornerback Jason McCourty lining up outside vs. the Z receiver. Expect a floor of 15 points from Tate with the upside of a huge game this week against the lowly Browns.

Other options to consider - Antonio Brown @ Indy & Robby Anderson @ Tampa Bay

GPP - DeSean Jackson vs. NY Jets ($4,900 on DraftKings)

The DeSean Jackson signing in Tampa Bay has been a bust so far with the former Redskin and Eagle posting a pedestrian 27/422/2 line over the first half of the season. Jameis Winston has struggled with his accuracy, and he and Jackson have not been able to build a rapport in their first season together. With Mike Evans suspended for fighting and gun slinging Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, this could be the biggest game of the year for Jackson, making him a solid upside play for GPP.

Other options to consider - Martavis Bryant @ Indy & Marquise Goodwin vs. NY Giants

Fade - DeAndre Hopkins @ L.A. Rams ($7,500 on DraftKings)

The volume was still there for Hopkins with Tom Savage filling in for the injured Deshaun Watson, but catching just six of 16 passes is not the type of catch percentage you expect from a 7.5k player. Not to mention, playing the Rams on the road will present Savage with a more difficult task than taking on the Colts at home.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Austin Seferian-Jenkins @ Tampa Bay ($4,800 on DraftKings)

I like both tight ends in the Bucs/Jets matchup, but the return of Jenkins to his old team is too juicy to avoid. Although the Bucs have yet to allow a double-digit game to an opposing tight end, ASG will be a big part of the Jets game plan and should provide a high floor you expect from a cash game TE.

Other options to consider - Evan Engram @ San Francisco & Cameron Brate vs. NY Jets

GPP - Kyle Rudolph @ Washington ($4,900 on DraftKings)

The Redskins defense ranks 18th in total defense this season, allowing 336 yards and 24.2 points per game. Josh Norman has yet to allow a touchdown reception in coverage, and DJ Swearinger has added some much-needed punch in run support from the secondary. The one area in which Washington has struggled is limiting fantasy points to opposing tight ends, with only the Giants, Broncos, and Browns allowing more points to TEs in 2017. Rudolph and Case Keenum finally look to be on the same page with Rudolph averaging 13 points in his last four contests.

Other options to consider - Jason Witten @ Atlanta & Vernon Davis vs. Minnesota

Fade - Charles Clay vs. New Orleans ($4,200 on DraftKings)

Clay returns to the field after missing a month with a knee injury. Although he is Tyrod Taylor’s favorite target, the Saints have been stout against opposing TEs this season. I need to see a full game from Clay before inserting him into any of my lineups.