Sure, Tyson Bagent wasn’t great in his first career start in
the NFL, but he wasn’t overwhelmed and that’s a good thing for
a Division II quarterback. His team won and he threw for 245 yards
and a score. What has me looking at him is the fact he’s scheduled
against the league’s worst pass defense, which allows opposing
quarterbacks a cool 29.4 fantasy points a game. They were destroyed
by Tua Tagovailoa, Patrick Mahomes and Kirk Cousins as you would
expect, but they were also generous to Ryan Tannehill, Aidan O’Connell
and a struggling Dak Prescott. Bagent is certainly a viable option
in two QB leagues and maybe more.
Pickett has done little this year in a struggling Steelers offense,
but the team showed life in a win over the Rams last weekend.
The return of Diontae Johnson opposite a talented George Pickens
seemed to revitalize Pickett and the offense. The running game,
headed by Najee Harris made a rare appearance and Pickett was
the most accurate he has been all season (68% completion rate).
In Week 8 they play a Jacksonville pass defense ranked 28th to
opposing QBs allowing 23.5 FPts/G.
I’m not really a Jones fan, but he produced his second-best
day of the season against a highly rated Bills pass defense (No.2)
last Sunday. He’ll need to be productive in Week 8 because
the Dolphins, coming off a Sunday night loss to the Eagles, will
not be happy. Their offense figures to put up close to 30 points
which means Jones and the Patriots will need to open up the playbook
to stay in the game. They met in Week 2 and Jones was respectable
in a seven-point loss, but this one should be higher scoring and,
in fact, the current over/under total is the highest on the board
(47 points).
Neither quarterback would be a good option facing the No.1 defense
in QB points allowed (13.6) and touchdown passes allowed (4).
Dobbs has only cracked the 20-point mark in two of his seven starts.
Murray, who spent the first seven weeks on the PUP list with a
knee injury suffered late last season, would not be ready to face
this defensive crew without any preseason work and it doesn’t
get better next week with the Browns on the schedule. My guess
is Murray returns for Atlanta in Week 10. Look elsewhere for QB
help.
Wilson has been improved over last season, by 1.5 fantasy points
per game, but that said, this is not a good spot for him. Two
weeks ago the Chiefs held him to a season-low 95 passing yards
and 11.9 fantasy points at Arrowhead Stadium. There is nothing
I see which says this time around will be a lot better just because
it’s at Mile High.
Maybe 2022 was an aberration? Smith’s production is down
almost 23%, from 22.2 FPts/G last season to 17.1 through six games.
Facing the Browns, even at home, is not a recipe for success.
The Browns are allowing 17.6 FPts/G with only Lamar Jackson and
Gardner Minshew cracking 15 fantasy points in a game this season.
