What can Pryor produce under the above conditions?
It seems to me that there are far too many variables at this time
to solve this puzzle, but I’ll give it a go.
Pryor was a quarterback coming out of Ohio State, but could never
make it in the NFL at that position and converted to a receiver
in 2015. He posted promising numbers in Cleveland during the 2016
season (77-1007-4) and signed a one-year, $6 million “prove-it”
deal with Washington last season. Unfortunately, he was a “bust”
catching just 20 balls from Kirk Cousins for 240 yards and one
touchdown over nine games.
In New York, Anderson (63-941-7) and Jermaine Kearse (65-810-5)
led the Jets receiving corps last season and will be back again
in 2017, though Anderson was arrested for the second time in two
years last January. Fantasy owners should expect a suspension
coming his way, opening up a chance for Pryor to get first-string
snaps, at least for part of the season. Still, overall he’s
more likely a No. 3 receiver and an “insurance policy”
in case they have to cut ties with Anderson. Given that No. 3
receivers in the NFL averaged 36-441-2 last season (see chart
below), Pryor’s upside appears limited.
Meanwhile, at quarterback, McCown posted pretty good numbers last
season before suffering a broken left hand in Week 14. In 12 games
before the injury, he averaged 245 passing yards, completed 67.8
percent of his passes and threw 18 touchdown passes against eight
interceptions. He averaged a respectable 21.48 FPts/G over that
span which ranked 11th at the position. But he’s always
getting injured (in 15 years he’s never played more than
13 games in a season) and there is no reason to believe that if
he begins the 2018 season as the starter he will still be there
for game No. 16. Which leaves a fantasy owner to wonder how Pryor
would do with either a rusty Bridgewater or a rookie under center
for part of the season.
Given all these questions; the receiver himself, his likely role
as a No. 3 wideout with the Jets, and what quarterback will be
under center, fantasy owners should probably stay away from Pryor
as a starter. However, he would be worth a late-round flyer on
the off-chance that he can return to 2016 form and see enough
work to produce for a portion of the season.