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Doug Orth | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Range Roving
All Out Blitz: Volume 133
12/7/17

While many of us expect to make the fantasy playoffs more often than not, it doesn't mean we aren't happy or relieved to get there. And for any owner who has been there more than a time or two, this time of year can be as stressful for those of us in high-stakes leagues as it can be enjoyable.

With that said, I felt it would be helpful to take a wide-eyed view of what has happened up to this point. Perhaps as much is anything, owners want to know what they can count on from players in the fantasy postseason. To that end, what you see below should give you a pretty fair idea of where each relevant player has been and, maybe more importantly, where he could be headed.

I'd like to say I used some foolproof set of criteria in order to trim the field down to 228 players, but in the end, I decided to go with a simple qualification: Was he relevant in fantasy at some point during the season or is he about to be? I especially applied this to receiver and tight end as time started getting away from me.

In the four charts below, I replaced each player's fantasy score for the week and with his positional ranking. (Ties were included to give each player the most benefit of doubt possible. In other words, there may be a three-way tie for 57th place in Week 6 at receiver.) In all, I did this for 228 players. If this kind of thing seems as though it might require a lot of time, you'd be right. But I wouldn't do it if I didn't think if wasn't helpful.

To further benefit you, I calculated how many times each player finished inside the top 12 at their position (QB1, RB1, WR1, TE1), between 13 and 24 (QB2, RB2, WR2, TE2), 25 and 36 (RB3, WR3) and 37+ (at running back and receiver only). At quarterback and tight end, I stopped at 25+ due to the starting lineup requirements in most leagues. "Empty" boxes are games missed due to byes/injuries or because a player did not receive a target/attempt in that week.

Ben Roethlisberger

Ben Roethlisberger, Smith, Brady, Wilson, Rivers and Carson Wentz have the most QB1 finishes through 13 weeks.


Scoring System: PPR, 6 points for all TDs, 1 Pt for 25 yds passing

†Weekly Fantasy Rankings - Quarterbacks
Player Tm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 QB1 QB2 25+
Aaron Rodgers GB 14 6 6 6 6 31 4 1 1
Alex Smith KC 1 12 20 8 4 11 5 13 10 25 21 1 8 3 0
Andy Dalton CIN 33 28 18 3 16 19 3 26 15 7 10 6 5 4 3
Ben Roethlisberger PIT 11 7 25 21 28 20 12 12 11 1 1 9 8 3 1
Blaine Gabbert ARI 5 15 24 1 2 0
Blake Bortles JAC 20 25 3 19 27 16 16 16 20 22 11 4 3 8 1
Brett Hundley GB 35 27 22 18 21 27 7 29 1 3 4
Brian Hoyer SF/NE 28 32 7 28 8 30 30 35 2 0 6
Cam Newton CAR 17 25 28 2 5 7 26 15 12 1 21 5 6 4 2
Carson Palmer ARI 21 13 14 15 13 4 30 1 3 1
Carson Wentz PHI 8 3 24 16 3 2 1 9 2 13 5 14 8 3 0
Case Keenum MIN 31 4 26 19 19 27 5 3 14 3 10 5 3 3
C.J. Beathard SF 18 19 17 19 5 27 1 4 1
Dak Prescott DAL 12 8 11 9 2 3 24 4 24 32 31 14 7 3 2
Derek Carr OAK 7 4 31 22 26 2 16 21 20 14 18 3 6 2
Deshaun Watson HOU 26 14 15 1 1 3 2 4 2 1
DeShone Kizer CLE 9 33 13 32 29 34 14 8 26 12 21 3 2 5
Drew Brees NO 16 5 12 13 16 11 20 9 23 5 19 20 5 6 0
Eli Manning NYG 27 22 10 5 15 24 24 20 10 24 33 3 6 2
Jacoby Brissett IND 29 30 8 23 12 14 23 6 8 13 28 23 4 4 3
Jameis Winston TB 20 19 4 10 29 8 26 27 8 4 2 3
Jared Goff LAR 15 23 9 14 26 22 13 1 2 23 9 13 4 5 1
Jay Cutler MIA 18 26 30 24 15 18 5 17 28 17 1 6 3
Joe Flacco BAL 24 11 35 24 24 28 21 21 14 21 25 7 2 8 2
Josh McCown NYJ 23 9 23 31 14 6 6 4 15 22 4 2 6 5 1
Kirk Cousins WAS 19 21 5 10 1 7 18 25 4 3 13 19 6 5 0
Marcus Mariota TEN 13 19 16 17 13 25 13 12 17 26 11 2 5 1
Matt Ryan ATL 10 17 22 25 20 15 6 10 15 11 17 30 4 7 1
Matthew Stafford DET 2 16 21 27 11 8 11 7 7 9 18 22 7 4 1
Mitchell Trubisky CHI 23 23 29 22 18 19 32 24 0 6 2
Philip Rivers LAC 5 10 32 12 7 12 14 18 14 10 2 12 8 3 1
Russell Wilson SEA 25 15 2 7 20 4 1 6 9 2 8 3 9 3 0
Ryan Fitzpatrick TB 34 5 23 26 8 23 2 2 2
Sam Bradford MIN 3 30 9 2 0 1
Tom Brady NE 22 1 1 11 17 9 8 6 4 6 28 8 2 1
Tom Savage HOU 32 35 22 28 15 30 16 0 3 4
Trevor Siemian DEN 4 2 29 20 10 28 22 16 32 3 3 3
Tyrod Taylor BUF 6 27 17 18 21 10 10 3 29 12 20 31 5 4 3

* Andy Dalton has been his usual self, turning in QB1 performances five times and QB2 efforts or worse seven times. Then again, he's been a QB1 in three straight weeks heading into Week 14 and thrown for multiple touchdowns in six of his last seven games. His only abysmal games came in the first two weeks of the season before the firing of former OC Ken Zampese and in Week 9 against the Jaguars, who have made almost every quarterback look bad.

* Ben Roethlisberger and "consistency" are not words used together very often, but somehow Big Ben has been a QB1 in each of his last six games - albeit on the back end of that three times. That's quite the step up from his previous four outings, during which he finished 20th or worse each time. Either way, in what has been a less than impressive year for Roethlisberger, he has been a QB1 two out of every three weeks and managed to stay healthy all season long.

* Case Keenum showed flashes of being a capable quarterback - mostly for a short stint early in his career for Houston - so what he has done this season shouldn't be as surprising as some believe it is. He has turned in five straight QB1 efforts, but owners should not confuse that with the notion he has ascended into QB1 territory. While he deserves a ton of credit for the strides he has taken this season, his supporting cast is about as good as it gets in the NFC. If you're riding with a struggling quarterback such as Dak Prescott, then I would not hesitate to start Keenum. I'm just not sure how much I would trust him this week in Carolina or against the Cincinnati Bengals next week. For what it is worth, I certainly don't view as a player who has "turned the corner" and still view him as a backup quarterback in the league who would get exposed on a less-talented offense.

* Even the most elite of quarterbacks is going to have a QB2 or worse week every so often (See: Tom Brady, Week 13). However, it's hard to beat what Carson Wentz is done to this point of the season, finishing 16th or better in all but one game and as a QB1 eight times. Somewhat amazingly, two of his three QB2 finishes have come in the last three games, although much of that can be attributed to game flow, lack of volume and matchup.

* Somewhat amazingly, Drew Brees has been a QB1 five times in 2017. He obviously isn't delivering the elite numbers we have become accustomed to due to the success of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. Still, it's hard to call any quarterback with a 17:5 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 71.6 completion percentage a disappointment. He's QB12 at the moment and seems like a good bet to overtake players such as Prescott, Josh McCown and Jared Goff in total fantasy points over the final four contests.

* In case owners need a reminder of how good Deshaun Watson was (especially in comparison to Tom Savage), Savage has yet to place higher than 15th in any week and has been 25th or lower four times. Watson was 26th in Week 1 - when he took over for Savage at halftime - and finished no lower than 15th after that. He ended his rookie season with four top-three performances.

†Weekly Fantasy Rankings - Running Backs
Player Tm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 RB1 RB2 RB3 37+
Aaron Jones GB 30 4 44 4 49 65 43 2 0 1 4
Adrian Peterson NO/ARI 67 65 47 86 4 51 10 60 46 12 3 0 0 7
Alex Collins BAL 66 34 43 42 34 62 10 37 11 14 5 3 1 2 5
Alfred Morris DAL 81 40 68 59 64 62 49 34 43 10 1 0 1 8
Alvin Kamara NO 37 32 17 6 21 10 9 1 4 3 1 1 8 2 1 1
Ameer Abdullah DET 40 30 27 10 50 42 39 21 18 24 39 1 3 2 5
Andre Ellington ARI/HOU 50 46 19 12 9 73 48 20 28 2 2 1 4
Austin Ekeler LAC 55 74 23 41 56 13 47 3 18 28 53 1 2 1 6
Bilal Powell NYJ 32 73 32 5 36 26 28 30 62 45 22 1 1 6 3
Carlos Hyde SF 17 11 6 21 57 6 18 29 5 19 13 34 4 4 2 1
Charcandrick West KC 30 60 39 9 56 57 29 40 61 1 0 2 6
Charles Sims TB 78 67 61 30 31 58 49 20 42 43 47 0 1 2 8
Chris Carson SEA 49 26 17 34 0 1 2 1
Chris Ivory JAC 47 35 45 46 51 7 30 16 76 72 83 70 1 1 2 8
Chris Thompson WAS 12 5 3 78 13 8 12 32 32 30 5 0 3 1
Christian McCaffrey CAR 24 32 10 36 13 8 20 24 6 5 22 17 4 5 2 0
C.J. Anderson DEN 27 1 44 20 60 36 26 61 44 22 74 18 1 3 3 5
Corey Clement PHI 34 64 48 72 32 44 2 27 50 49 1 0 3 6
Dalvin Cook MIN 10 32 4 27 2 0 2 0
Damien Williams MIA 69 91 54 43 53 61 9 45 25 35 1 1 1 7
Danny Woodhead BAL 43 38 34 61 0 0 1 3
Darren Sproles PHI 30 35 79 0 0 2 1
David Johnson ARI 18 0 1 0 0
DeAndre Washington OAK 53 40 38 86 67 16 6 54 51 38 45 1 1 0 9
DeMarco Murray TEN 36 58 11 45 27 11 24 34 2 32 15 31 3 2 5 2
Derrick Henry TEN 62 12 38 85 69 10 50 18 50 53 29 14 2 2 1 7
Devonta Freeman ATL 21 6 7 18 27 19 38 23 77 37 2 4 1 3
Devontae Booker DEN 79 22 41 16 39 55 15 47 77 0 3 0 6
Dion Lewis NE 74 60 50 33 31 23 29 37 23 8 19 36 1 3 4 4
D'Onta Foreman HOU 78 56 28 52 59 38 46 70 4 1 0 1 7
Doug Martin TB 11 18 27 31 66 51 40 64 1 1 2 4
Duke Johnson CLE 54 26 8 9 7 35 15 32 71 12 13 26 66 4 1 4 3
Eddie Lacy SEA 79 48 54 42 68 43 76 30 82 0 0 1 8
Ezekiel Elliott DAL 8 43 12 3 15 1 2 11 6 1 0 1
Frank Gore IND 48 28 22 29 21 30 59 17 21 39 10 52 1 4 3 4
Giovani Bernard CIN 32 51 25 15 44 72 63 68 30 65 59 25 0 3 2 7
Isaiah Crowell CLE 34 59 38 54 28 29 22 7 8 61 24 55 2 2 3 5
Jalen Richard OAK 55 9 71 54 56 40 20 30 60 48 25 75 1 2 1 8
Jamaal Charles DEN 65 42 22 44 49 39 45 33 56 71 65 29 0 1 2 9
Jamaal Williams GB 74 68 80 72 73 20 36 20 2 8 2 2 1 5
James Conner PIT 70 78 69 69 65 71 67 71 68 78 0 0 0 10
James White NE 27 10 58 19 18 31 10 19 27 66 69 38 2 3 3 4
Javorius Allen BAL 40 7 36 31 6 28 17 40 8 58 31 65 3 1 4 4
Jay Ajayi MIA/PHI 13 51 42 32 19 23 33 14 26 55 45 0 3 3 4
J.D. McKissic SEA 11 38 42 52 41 35 30 32 41 1 0 3 5
Jerick McKinnon MIN 43 45 66 98 3 5 30 3 42 27 41 16 3 1 2 6
Joe Mixon CIN 51 48 19 37 22 28 21 15 24 39 4 57 1 5 1 5
Jonathan Stewart CAR 11 56 43 51 34 79 47 27 73 24 32 27 1 1 4 6
Jordan Howard CHI 12 82 2 22 33 12 37 15 48 9 58 61 4 2 1 5
Kareem Hunt KC 1 4 5 17 14 15 10 25 24 29 62 35 4 5 2 1
Kenyan Drake MIA 89 77 61 74 52 12 7 59 22 6 3 1 0 6
Kerwynn Williams ARI 35 66 84 77 79 65 48 67 56 66 33 0 0 2 9
Lamar Miller HOU 23 24 42 4 23 24 4 17 36 10 16 21 3 7 1 1
Latavius Murray MIN 77 83 82 49 40 46 9 43 15 5 11 23 3 2 0 7
LeGarrette Blount PHI 22 77 22 16 34 36 63 20 46 44 37 69 0 4 2 6
Leonard Fournette JAC 4 14 13 7 2 9 43 18 40 14 4 3 0 2
LeSean McCoy BUF 5 29 15 23 12 2 1 52 34 1 20 24 5 4 2 1
Le'Veon Bell PIT 38 16 9 1 5 3 5 17 9 7 3 2 9 2 0 1
Mark Ingram NO 20 25 29 32 2 7 8 28 1 2 45 4 6 2 3 1
Marlon Mack IND 24 69 8 58 24 13 51 53 49 50 1 2 0 6
Marshawn Lynch OAK 26 23 59 82 20 37 75 7 35 6 9 3 2 2 4
Matt Breida SF 70 49 46 64 24 40 79 11 45 15 63 54 1 2 0 9
Matt Forte NYJ 45 16 65 14 14 23 2 68 12 2 4 0 3
Melvin Gordon LAC 9 8 15 53 1 1 55 5 33 17 21 19 5 4 1 2
Mike Davis SEA 36 20 0 1 1 0
Mike Gillislee NE 3 18 61 49 44 53 61 45 1 1 0 6
Orleans Darkwa NYG 63 62 54 15 16 34 25 27 12 50 29 1 3 3 4
Paul Perkins NYG 52 55 49 66 78 0 0 0 5
Peyton Barber TB 50 89 30 85 54 18 11 1 1 1 4
Rex Burkhead NE 60 15 44 13 11 37 7 3 3 1 0 3
Rob Kelley WAS 61 35 72 45 34 13 59 0 0 2 4
Rod Smith DAL 81 57 35 41 69 16 39 0 1 1 5
Samaje Perine WAS 38 51 68 17 65 40 9 31 1 1 1 5
Shane Vereen NYG 15 31 54 58 29 69 57 43 38 42 60 64 0 1 2 9
Tarik Cohen CHI 2 19 14 37 63 48 33 35 68 14 72 41 1 3 2 6
Terrance West BAL 16 21 80 97 63 0 2 0 3
Tevin Coleman ATL 27 21 25 13 25 73 22 26 10 21 5 44 2 5 2 2
Theo Riddick DET 14 39 36 74 26 26 41 19 14 46 56 13 0 3 3 5
T.J. Yeldon JAC 6 38 24 55 27 59 1 1 1 3
Todd Gurley LAR 6 3 1 2 46 19 3 4 6 16 8 7 9 2 0 1
Ty Montgomery GB 7 2 21 67 47 65 34 12 3 1 1 3
Wayne Gallman NYG 51 25 17 44 46 55 65 52 42 68 0 2 0 8
Wendell Smallwood PHI 66 76 33 14 40 51 52 0 1 1 5

* Green Bay has a dilemma on their hands. Does HC Mike McCarthy buy into the "hot hand" or does he go with what makes the most sense? Although most of us know by now scoring touchdowns is more about opportunity than it is about possessing a "scoring talent," McCarthy and fantasy owners alike are going to have a hard time getting Jones' 20-yard overtime TD run last week out of their minds. ESPN's Rob Demovsky said before last week's game the job is Jones' when he returns. Does the fact that Williams topped four yards per carry (min. three attempts) for the first time in his career change that? Jones was a top-four back in two of his four heavy-workload games before getting hurt. Then again, Williams has been a top-10 back in each of the last two contests. If McCarthy decides he is in favor of efficiency, anyone with the foresight to pick up Jones off waivers (the first or second time) might have landed him/herself a potential league-winner.

*There's not much I can say about Kamara that hasn't already been said. He's been the overall RB1 in fantasy three of the last five weeks and finished inside the top 10 in each of his last seven outings. Touchdown regression is coming, but it is pretty clear this is a train owners need to ride as long as possible.

* The Panthers have lived up to their end of the bargain and then some when it comes to using Christian McCaffrey in the passing game. The fact he is third on the team in rushing attempts (82) and has carried the ball more than eight times only once since Week 1 is laughable. With that said, McCaffrey is posted three RB1 and five RB2 efforts over his last eight games despite being used in a pre-2017 Danny Woodhead-like fashion.

* The problem with running-back-by-committee in NFL offenses is when the coach/play-caller stubbornly sticks with it despite statistical evidence to suggest maybe that day isn't the day to do so. Consider Devonta Freeman, who has averaged at least six yards per carry three times during his six-game scoreless streak. Further consider he is catching an average of two passes in 2017 after posting 3.5 receptions per game last season. After two RB1 and two RB2 performances before the team's Week 5 bye, Freeman has only two RB2-worthy efforts since. That needs to change if the Falcons have any desire to make another Super Bowl run. It wasn't long ago Atlanta was using Freeman a lot like the Saints are currently using Kamara. A number of owners point to how good Tevin Coleman was in Freeman's absence, but he averaged only 3.8 yards per carry in the two-plus games he had the backfield mostly to himself. The only thing Coleman did "well" was find the end zone four times.

* Instead of coming out the Bears' Week 9 like a man possessed, Jordan Howard has been the RB48 or worse in three of his last four games. It's not as if Tarik Cohen has been much better or more active. Lack of volume is one main reason why, as Howard has topped out at 15 carries since the bye after going over that mark six times in the first eight weeks. He gashed the one run defense he should have (Detroit) but hasn't sniffed four yards per carry in any of the other three contests. Cincinnati should be able to contain him this week, but it is clear his situation is not what it was in September and October.

* Throw out his RB46 finish in Week 5 against Seattle and it's no wonder why Todd Gurley reigns supreme at the running back position this season. He was no worse than the RB6 in his first four weeks and has been posted top-12 numbers nine times to go along with two efforts in the 13-24 range. It's not going to be easy for him to finish strong with Philadelphia, Seattle and Tennessee remaining on the schedule, but he is such a central part of the Rams' offense - with at least 20 touches in all but two games thus far - that he'll be a RB2 for owners even if he doesn't find the end zone more than once the rest of the way.

†Weekly Fantasy Rankings - Wide Receivers
Player Tm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 WR1 WR2 WR3 37+
Adam Thielen MIN 4 51 29 44 40 8 38 7 2 5 14 40 5 1 1 5
A.J. Green CIN 28 30 7 11 1 46 22 91 6 19 34 3 5 2 3 2
Allen Hurns JAC 50 8 41 51 69 50 13 52 25 1 1 0 6
Alshon Jeffery PHI 53 7 48 29 60 32 56 14 3 14 15 34 2 3 3 4
Amari Cooper OAK 12 52 109 90 88 44 1 31 35 32 49 2 0 3 6
Antonio Brown PIT 1 33 8 58 3 1 10 21 49 1 2 7 8 1 1 2
Brandin Cooks NE 31 59 3 60 23 15 10 38 27 4 8 72 4 2 2 4
Brandon Coleman NO 76 14 61 81 69 31 43 89 75 99 64 0 1 1 9
Brandon LaFell CIN 64 55 111 85 43 20 35 62 8 52 60 39 1 1 1 9
Chris Hogan NE 72 12 12 12 7 78 31 27 4 0 2 2
Cole Beasley DAL 59 52 112 78 11 76 69 11 73 84 83 80 2 0 0 10
Cooper Kupp LAR 10 59 81 12 50 62 13 40 38 38 9 28 3 0 1 7
Corey Coleman CLE 14 100 24 44 113 0 2 0 3
Corey Davis TEN 24 109 62 59 63 49 82 0 1 0 6
Danny Amendola NE 15 62 14 18 48 66 61 51 8 93 60 1 3 0 7
Davante Adams GB 49 3 56 40 4 12 78 26 12 8 11 43 6 0 1 5
DeAndre Hopkins HOU 9 19 30 1 2 38 84 1 10 15 12 10 16 7 3 1 2
Dede Westbrook JAC 58 40 22 0 1 0 2
Demaryius Thomas DEN 32 25 27 97 5 23 9 19 13 56 66 2 3 2 3
DeSean Jackson TB 56 21 83 20 26 23 40 58 23 35 21 69 0 5 2 5
DeVante Parker MIA 28 14 27 91 25 30 54 104 101 0 2 3 4
Devin Funchess CAR 68 34 47 2 11 51 42 66 23 3 13 16 3 2 1 5
Dez Bryant DAL 57 11 51 18 16 9 37 24 48 22 57 14 2 5 0 5
Donte Moncrief IND 61 84 67 28 58 30 62 83 89 28 92 41 0 0 3 9
Dontrelle Inman LAC/CHI 113 113 101 4 21 49 37 34 1 1 1 5
Doug Baldwin SEA 39 37 9 63 47 5 26 22 31 81 24 2 2 2 5
Emmanuel Sanders DEN 63 2 32 61 27 68 13 73 77 83 1 0 2 6
Eric Decker TEN 68 62 57 88 50 13 109 33 77 52 66 56 0 0 1 10
Golden Tate DET 6 58 19 68 38 3 16 12 7 61 61 19 4 3 0 5
Jamison Crowder WAS 84 46 51 109 59 60 5 32 21 6 36 2 1 2 6
Jarvis Landry MIA 9 43 34 21 6 6 36 19 20 10 17 30 4 4 3 1
Jeremy Maclin BAL 20 25 106 76 35 13 13 48 102 44 0 2 1 5
Jermaine Kearse NYJ 24 5 65 72 22 29 34 61 54 52 7 6 3 2 2 5
Jordy Nelson GB 7 11 3 34 28 90 43 70 69 80 50 3 0 2 6
Josh Doctson WAS 113 38 78 40 49 39 36 56 29 36 29 0 0 4 7
Josh Gordon CLE 27 0 0 1 0
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT 35 69 22 38 55 25 2 10 42 56 2 2 1 5
Julio Jones ATL 36 16 26 69 24 4 30 13 36 29 1 69 2 2 5 2
Keelan Cole JAC 102 89 93 98 96 90 39 42 69 21 0 1 0 9
Keenan Allen LAC 17 10 40 7 31 39 46 32 43 2 3 4 5 1 2 4
Kelvin Benjamin CAR 72 22 90 20 17 7 36 18 54 81 1 4 1 4
Kenny Golladay DET 5 103 75 47 50 48 51 1 0 0 6
Kenny Stills MIA 30 54 80 84 19 2 24 54 36 3 52 10 3 2 2 5
Larry Fitzgerald ARI 21 71 2 24 28 2 54 28 9 6 77 5 5 2 2 3
Marqise Lee JAC 102 18 45 84 53 18 30 7 17 39 95 8 2 3 1 6
Marquise Goodwin SF 67 67 60 91 14 66 83 38 18 33 13 0 2 1 7
Martavis Bryant PIT 74 12 73 55 42 68 101 61 66 19 45 1 1 0 9
Marvin Jones DET 32 40 71 67 26 4 9 2 83 11 5 25 5 1 2 4
Michael Crabtree OAK 18 1 108 8 10 28 17 48 34 3 2 2 2
Michael Thomas NO 42 20 13 4 71 12 12 21 10 18 38 12 5 3 0 3
Mike Evans TB 6 35 9 36 9 7 27 81 23 22 61 4 2 3 2
Mike Wallace BAL 90 107 99 10 15 56 95 30 16 42 15 1 3 1 6
Mohamed Sanu ATL 35 23 36 101 21 8 32 63 27 18 47 1 3 4 3
Nelson Agholor PHI 8 49 77 47 10 14 16 49 57 101 31 2 3 2 1 6
Odell Beckham Jr. NYG 50 4 15 6 2 1 0 1
Paul Richardson SEA 40 39 41 37 56 17 4 45 68 37 35 87 1 1 1 9
Pierre Garcon SF 19 67 15 57 13 36 34 57 0 2 2 3
Randall Cobb GB 11 27 20 53 57 74 34 45 59 16 1 2 2 5
Rishard Matthews TEN 29 52 16 54 60 35 48 16 40 7 1 2 2 5
Robby Anderson NYJ 59 76 20 44 71 31 21 5 20 14 4 9 3 4 1 4
Robert Woods LAR 46 103 24 85 24 37 29 6 1 15 2 3 1 4
Ryan Grant WAS 38 48 68 36 49 64 33 49 67 20 106 11 1 1 2 8
Sammy Watkins LAR 34 5 93 102 85 45 22 32 54 12 26 2 1 3 5
Stefon Diggs MIN 2 71 1 18 96 52 41 16 50 27 56 2 2 1 6
Sterling Shepard NYG 30 74 10 33 85 28 4 42 2 0 3 3
Taylor Gabriel ATL 55 82 18 111 43 71 81 36 39 84 72 94 0 1 1 10
Ted Ginn Jr. NO 41 69 34 75 11 8 33 17 97 25 19 61 2 3 2 5
Travis Benjamin LAC 22 99 25 81 64 102 27 9 97 71 47 33 1 2 2 7
Trent Taylor SF 90 96 38 35 91 76 49 44 67 65 18 0 1 1 9
T.Y. Hilton IND 54 44 6 69 5 78 66 59 1 73 84 20 3 1 0 8
Tyler Lockett SEA 90 29 73 25 57 39 11 73 86 46 109 36 1 1 2 8
Tyreek Hill KC 3 44 17 50 30 45 3 48 18 17 28 1 3 3 2 4
Tyrell Williams LAC 37 42 83 5 76 74 92 61 58 93 22 99 1 1 0 10
Will Fuller HOU 6 8 21 3 59 80 3 1 0 2
Zay Jones BUF 77 84 118 91 85 72 46 15 35 29 73 0 1 2 8

* With so many good receivers and the position so volatile to begin with given the lack of opportunities relative to the running back position, even a player like Antonio Brown will find himself outside WR3 range from time to time. With that said, it's only happened twice and he has more than made up for it with eight finishes inside the top 12. In my roughly 20 years of playing fantasy football, I'm not sure I can recall more of a "sure thing" at the position.

* Don't look now, but Dede Westbrook is tied with Davante Adams, Jamison Crowder and Adam Thielen for 14th in targets (25) since he was activated three weeks ago. With the Jaguars' running game not nearly clicking like it was early in the season, the need for the receivers to step up has increased and they have mostly obliged. Marqise Lee has taken something of a back seat over that time due to back-to-back weeks of facing Jason McCourty and Patrick Peterson, but Westbrook still had nine targets last week even though Lee got back on track. The rookie's first touchdown figures to be coming soon and it goes without saying if he shows well against Seattle in Week 14, he's a high-upside WR3 at worst in Weeks 15 and 16 against Houston and San Francisco, respectively.

* Devin Funchess has been on some kind of run in four games since the Kelvin Benjamin trade, finishing no worse than WR23 and netting three top-16 results. In addition to the targets left behind by KB, there's no question Funchess has benefited (fantasy-wise) from the absence of Greg Olsen as well and the season-ending injury of Curtis Samuel. Funchess figures to have his hands full in Week 14 with Xavier Rhodes, but Green Bay and Tampa Bay do not figure to provide the same resistance in Weeks 15 and 16, respectively.

* No receiver continues to make a bigger mockery of PPR scoring than Jarvis Landry, who has topped 10 yards per catch only three times and is averaging only 8.7 YPC this season. With that said, he's on pace for a second 100-catch season in three years and has already set a career high with six receiving touchdowns. Although he had one top-10 finish over his first four games, Landry's season didn't really start taking off until DeVante Parker got hurt in Week 5. From that point on, the LSU product hasn't finished outside the top 36 in any week. While he probably won't be the reason why owners win their league, perhaps no receiver in the league possesses his floor or level of consistency.

* If you know someone who has aged about 10 years over the last two seasons, ask them if they experienced the thrill-ride that is Marvin Jones. Last season, Detroit determined he wasn't a WR1-caliber player after about a month of trying to force the issue and he quickly fell off the fantasy map. This year, the Lions opened the season using him like a complementary receiver and the opposite has happened. Since Week 4, Jones has placed worse than 26th only once and has four top-10 finishes. After burning Xavier Rhodes a couple times on Thanksgiving, it's worth wondering if a lot of us were a year too early on him.

* Robby Anderson is writing a similar story, with the main difference being his emergence taking place at the end of last year instead of the beginning. Anderson was probably riding fantasy benches well into October this year before going on his recent scoring spree. After posting WR2 numbers only once through his first six outings, he hasn't dipped below 21st since.

* Receiver performance obviously depends a great deal on the play of their quarterback, so reading too much into home/road splits can be a fool's errand when it comes to evaluating the position. However, when it comes to Tyreek Hill, we can no longer just pretend like they donít matter. In 13 career games at home, he has totaled 41 receptions for 364 yards and three touchdowns. In 15 career road contests, he has 80 catches for 1,110 yards and nine touchdowns. All four of his blow-up games this season - you guessed it - have come away from Arrowhead Stadium. His best PPR game at home in his brief career was 16.8 points in Week 14 last season versus the Raiders. All four of his aforementioned games this season have topped that number.

* Stefon Diggs has drawn comparisons to Antonio Brown in previous years and I donít think they are unrealistic. For those who may not remember, Brown didn't become "AB" until Year 4. Diggs' problem has been staying healthy through his first three seasons. We saw a glimpse of his AB-like talent in the first three weeks and his owners were rewarded with two top-two finishes. He landed on the injury report the following week and has seemingly taken a back seat to the running game, Adam Thielen and, on occasion, Kyle Rudolph. Since those first three weeks, Diggs has only played at a WR2 level twice and a WR4 or worse every other time. While his redraft owners are unlikely to reap the benefits of his talent again this year, he is a player owners should target again next season. When things finally fall into place for him, he is going to be a whole lot of fun to own in fantasy leagues.

†Weekly Fantasy Rankings - Tight Ends
Player Tm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 TE1 TE2 25+
Austin Hooper ATL 2 39 40 12 9 51 5 21 3 40 21 23 5 3 4
Austin Seferian-Jenkins NYJ 17 19 9 4 14 14 29 8 27 46 3 4 3
Ben Watson BAL 47 4 12 16 42 17 21 13 9 26 23 11 4 4 3
Cameron Brate TB 33 10 3 4 2 10 8 36 31 35 48 5 7 0 5
Charles Clay BUF 6 30 6 5 25 28 20 13 24 3 3 2
Coby Fleener NO 5 12 30 38 47 31 50 21 42 6 46 3 1 7
David Njoku CLE 28 13 16 42 10 39 24 28 39 34 14 6 2 3 6
Delanie Walker TEN 7 5 19 21 22 25 12 7 9 4 7 7 8 4 0
Ed Dickson CAR 47 1 28 17 45 9 2 1 3
Eric Ebron DET 37 7 31 36 47 42 14 23 11 14 18 17 2 5 5
Evan Engram NYG 14 9 14 8 51 3 4 4 5 40 26 3 7 2 3
George Kittle SF 17 36 41 29 2 18 39 24 25 38 32 1 4 6
Greg Olsen CAR 29 44 41 0 0 3
Hunter Henry LAC 8 15 12 7 12 31 35 22 4 8 6 2 2
Jack Doyle IND 21 6 45 23 33 5 18 1 5 30 6 27 5 3 4
Jared Cook OAK 9 24 7 25 32 5 10 1 21 50 55 5 3 3
Jason Witten DAL 3 1 54 48 14 6 19 40 7 46 9 17 5 3 4
Jermaine Gresham ARI 26 13 41 32 26 38 11 2 38 34 36 2 0 8
Jesse James PIT 1 23 28 27 23 18 42 8 22 49 2 4 4
Jimmy Graham SEA 29 58 9 11 8 7 3 10 1 3 8 10 10 0 2
Jordan Reed WAS 12 15 31 20 2 47 2 2 2
Julius Thomas MIA 27 25 33 38 26 21 38 2 15 17 12 12 3 4 5
Kyle Rudolph MIN 8 20 49 30 6 15 19 5 16 10 3 9 6 4 2
Marcedes Lewis JAC 47 59 1 53 39 47 15 16 23 11 41 15 2 4 6
O.J. Howard TB 39 37 6 51 37 1 29 52 5 15 46 3 1 7
Ricky Seals-Jones ARI 51 1 5 20 2 1 1
Rob Gronkowski NE 23 3 2 9 1 23 4 12 18 2 2 8 3 0
Stephen Anderson HOU 34 36 34 18 29 40 14 22 31 4 1 3 6
Travis Kelce KC 11 2 55 2 4 20 8 2 3 2 20 1 9 2 1
Tyler Kroft CIN 44 21 1 20 9 11 12 36 13 11 24 5 3 2
Vernon Davis WAS 47 43 5 10 23 16 26 6 6 12 52 39 5 2 5
Zach Ertz PHI 4 10 3 7 3 6 3 7 32 1 30 9 0 2

* There's no telling how much different the narrative of Austin Seferian-Jenkins' season would be if weren't for the two (or up to four, depending on who you ask) touchdowns he's had taken away from him. Four touchdowns - and not including any of the yards he lost due to overturns or penalties - would have him sitting in 11th place in total PPR points - right behind Jason Witten - despite the fact he missed the first two games of the season. Making matters even more maddening for his owners, his targets have become very hard to predict and he is averaging 7.5 YPC despite being more of a downfield target. His last two fantasy efforts make him very hard to trust in the fantasy playoffs this week, but a matchup against the Broncos this week may be just the one to use him. Prior to his downturn over the last two weeks, ASJ finished no worse than 14th in five of his previous six outings, which is obviously pretty solid consistency at the tight end position.

* Owners don't need my encouragement to start Jimmy Graham, but allow me to take a moment to point out he has performed at a TE1 level in 10 straight games. Even considering the lower standards we have for tight ends, that streak is amazing.

* Talking about the lower standards that exist at tight end, Ricky Seals-Jones caught two passes for 44 yards last week and was the TE20. In the previous two weeks in much better matchups for his position, he was the TE1 and TE5. The most relevant comparison I can make regarding the advantage Seals-Jones could offer the final three weeks of the fantasy season is Marques Colston in his rookie season. Mind you, I'm not comparing the two in terms of playing style or talent, but rather the fact some leagues allowed Colston to be used as a tight end. Seals-Jones is in a similar spot, albeit a bigger player with a less talented quarterback. With that said, if Arizona continues to use him in the same way it has to this point, he has the talent and schedule to join the legions of players who came out of nowhere late in the season to help countless owners win their leagues.

* It's fair to wonder if Zach Ertz's high level of usage over the first three months of the season is starting to catch up to him. Not including his Week 13 concussion, which could happen to any player at any time, he hasn't quite looked the same since suffering the hamstring injury the Eagles were hoping they could get past by resting him a week before the team's Week 10 bye. Nevertheless, he could (and should) finish out strong if he can return next week - assuming he sits out this week - against the Giants and Raiders over the final two weeks of the fantasy season. This also gives me a chance to plug Trey Burton, who is arguably the best backup tight end in football and probably would be a top-15 fantasy option at worst if Ertz ever missed significant time.


Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.