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Staff Writer
Email D.J.

D.J.'s Articles

The Recovery Room
Running Backs
6/11/08

A lot can change between the end of a season and the start of training camps. One significant item that affects every fantasy players’ potential for the upcoming season is their health, or lack thereof. Have you ever drafted that tantalizing but injury-prone human highlight reel only to be hung out to dry when he yet again tweaks a hamstring? He will be listed as doubtful each game of the season, rack up less than a dozen catches and cause many times more headaches. On the flipside, an otherwise healthy player that missed the second half of 2007 may be undervalued in your league as health concerns and fading memories of past glory cause his fantasy value to plummet.

The question is: which players coming off the injury report are good prospects for the upcoming season? And, even more importantly, which ones are on the short list to avoid along with Jessica Simpson and New England Patriots’ ethics meetings? Without their health, football players cannot produce, no matter how talented they are, how great the supporting staff around them, or how perfect the situation. Checking the doctor’s report on this year’s batch of players with both questionable health and some fantasy relevance is the first step in evaluating their prospects for the season.

On the Stretcher

Player: Travis Henry
Team: None
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 12

Talk about working yourself out of a job, and maybe an entire league. Head Case Henry is still bothered by his knee injury from last year, making him a risk for any RB-starved team. There are also the issues of drugs, commitment, and durability that Henry will have a hard time explaining to any potential suitors. Someone will take a chance on him, but hopefully it won’t be your fantasy team. His best match will be with a team looking for a one-year fix at the position—most likely a contender who needs a hard-nosed runner who will play effectively when nicked up—Henry’s specialty.

Player: Kevin Jones
Team: None
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 13

KJ has been working out for teams, but no one has been willing to meet his significant contract demands. There are conflicting reports about his rehabilitations from ACL surgery. Right now, he doesn’t even have a team, so the jury can afford to be out a while longer. Because he averaged 4.6 yards per carry whenever he had at least 15 attempts between 2005-2007, his track record of productivity will be enticing for a team looking for a back up who can contribute in a pinch. At this point, it is easy to project him as an early-season selection off the waiver wire when he lowers his demands and lands with a squad. Otherwise, he’ll be a nice free agent to acquire late in 2008 for your dynasty team.

Player: Carnell Williams
Team: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 4

The Cadillac is still in the shop. He is doing some work on his own, but isn’t healthy enough for team practices. When your team is expected to put you on the Physically Unable to Perform list before the season begins, expectations have to be tempered. A torn patellar tendon is career threatening, so any progress from Williams is good, but he might not even see the field in 2008. The addition of Warrick Dunn to pair with Earnest Graham signifies the team is holding out for Williams for at least this year and make a long-term decision on their former first round pick in the off season.

Player: Deuce McAllister
Team: New Orleans Saints
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 3

If you can’t add together a running back’s age and number of knee surgeries without using spreadsheets and advanced analytical software, it may be an indication that a player is over the hill. Deuce is still extremely limited and may not even make the Week One roster if he can’t get healthy quick. The Saints are still counting on Reggie Bush to develop into a feature back and with Aaron Stecker providing solid depth and free agent runner Pierre Thomas who looked promising as a rookie, New Orleans feels okay moving forward.

The Walking Wounded

Player: Clinton Portis
Team: Washington Redskins
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16

There was some concern that Portis may not make this list, as he was enjoying an injury-free offseason for what may be the first time in his career. Lucky for us, Mr. Portis strained his hip flexor at a team workout in May while trying to out-sprint speedster LaRon Landry. Not only did Portis lose, he has yet another injury to deal with. For any other running back, this wouldn’t be a problem. However, Washington’s feature back has shown a career-long tendency for letting these injuries linger. So, it is worth keeping an eye on.

Player: Willie Parker
Team: Pittsburgh Steelers
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 15

I would rather have my running back break a leg than tear up a knee. The rehab time is a lot shorter and it is less likely to affect the back’s speed. All this is good news for Fast Willie. The drafting of Rashard Mendenhall is not. FWP is practicing with the Steelers, but only on a limited basis right now. He should be ready for Week One, but there will be no need to hurry him back with the glut at RB in Pittsburgh that includes Mendenhall, former Vikings multi-purpose back Mewelde Moore, and bruiser Najeh Davenport.

Ronnie Brown

Brown will battle his ACL and Ricky Williams for playing time in '08.

Player: Ronnie Brown
Team: Miami Dolphins
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 7

Just as he was teasing us with fantastic fantasy numbers, Brown was lost for the season with a torn ACL, dooming many fantasy squads to miss the playoffs and the 2007 Dolphins to go down as one of the worst teams of all-time. He is participating in all team activities and is looking good to go. However, running backs with a bum wheel are concerning. The early news out of Miami is that Parcells and Sparano feel good about 31-year-old Ricky Williams who is healthy, working hard, and looking fast. Obviously, the long-term choice is Brown, but ideally they hope Williams can play well enough for Brown to stay with us in rehab for much of the season.

Player: Ahman Green
Team: Houston Texans
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 6

The knee problems that cost him the bulk of the 2007 season weren’t responsible for Green missing recent team activities. Instead, it was something he ate. Food poisoning cost him some practice time, but with his balky knees, the rest could be considered a blessing. With roly-poly Ron Dayne gone, I thought the Texans would finally be exempt from food jokes.

Player: LenDale White
Team: Tennessee Titans
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16

Since we are talking about plus-sized running backs…LenWhale went under the knife in January to repair a torn meniscus. While his toughness in playing through an entire season with this painful injury is impressive, the added strain his knees are under due to his penchant for destroying entire buffets cannot be denied. He is not yet fully recovered, but should be soon.

Player: Jonathan Stewart
Team: Carolina Panthers
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: Rookie

The Panthers’ first round pick had toe surgery in March. Barring any problems, he should be ready to go for training camp, although he may be limited at the beginning. This will make it harder (but far from impossible) to wrestle the starting job away from DeAngelo Williams.

Discharged From the Hospital

Player: LaDainian Tomlinson
Team: San Diego Chargers
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16

LT has already been practicing with the team and declared himself fully recovered from a torn MCL. Knee injuries are not encouraging for running backs, but Tomlinson will be ready for the start of the season. As usual, don’t expect to see him suiting up in the preseason, regardless of his history of slow starts. He is too important for the San Diego franchise to risk in pretend games. Our first chance to unequivocally gauge his health will be Week One.

Player: Adrian Peterson
Team: Minnesota Vikings
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 14

Peterson is not on most people’s injury radar since he played in the final games of the season and even managed to be the Pro Bowl MVP. However, he missed a couple games with a torn LCL, was completely shut down for three of his last four regular season games, and has continued to rehab the injury in the offseason. Will it be an issue this year? Probably not, but factor it in when you consider taking AD with the first pick in the draft.

Player: Larry Johnson
Team: Kansas City Chiefs
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 8

Johnson was rumored to be healthy enough to play at the end of last season. Considering the train wreck the Chiefs were putting on the field every week, it was definitely best to give LJ a chance to lick his wounds and simply forget about the 2007 season. His 416 carries in 2006 may have finally caught up with him. Does a half season of rest combined with a light offseason workload return him to elite status this year? The team around him will likely be the limiting factor as Johnson is 100% healthy.

Player: Michael Turner
Team: Atlanta Falcons
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16

After playing a full 16 game slate, almost completely as a reserve, Atlanta’s new starter had offseason shoulder surgery. He is already back on the field and practicing, hoping to clean up the perennial mess known as the Falcons. If the team can keep their coach from throwing in the towel and their quarterback out of jail, they can’t help but be better this year.

Player: Reggie Bush
Team: New Orleans Saints
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 12

Don’t worry about the torn PCL that cost him a few games at the end of 2007. Bush is 100%, even going through the team’s off-season conditioning program this year. The possible return of Deuce McAllister and the potential reduction in Reggie’s touches due to his penchant to look for the big gain at the expense of not even getting decent run is more important.

Player: Brandon Jacobs
Team: New York Giants
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 11

Jacobs had wrist surgery in April and was wearing both sling and cast for a while. All the medical stuff is long gone now and he is not limited in any way. Opposing linebackers beware….

Player: Rudi Johnson
Team: Cincinnati Bengals
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 11

The excuse for 2007 was a hamstring injury, so we will have to keep an eye on his health in the preseason. Averaging less than 3 yards per carry is simply embarrassing, especially when backup Kenny Watson shined in many games. A beefier Rudi is expected to take the field as the starter, if he can hold off both Watson and the surprisingly healthy Chris Perry. At this point, the Bengals are talking about a committee approach, especially after their patience with Perry’s health issues. They would like to see what their former first round pick could do.

Player: Ricky Williams
Team: Miami Dolphins
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 1

His torn pectoral muscle has healed and he is reportedly looking pretty good in team workouts. Of course, everyone looks great in the preseason and every player thinks they will be the starter come Week One. It’s not likely Williams won’t be starting in Miami, but he has relatively little tread on his 31-year old tires (13 games in the last four seasons) and a committee-minded head coach.