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Eli Mack | Archive | Email
Staff Writer

Breakout Wide Receivers
8/3/15

Looking to identify those receivers primed for a breakout season? Check out this list of players who, for a myriad of reasons, find themselves in suitable positions to surprise many.

Martavis Bryant, PIT – Bryant was quite efficient with his paltry 26 receptions last season. Eight of those 26 catches went for touchdowns, and he did so while averaging 21.1 yards per reception. That eye-popping average solidifies his deep threat potential—a skillset that developed in college. Bryant’s 61 catches during his three years at Clemson went for an average of 22.2 yards. Needless to say, he’s a viable and consistent long ball receiver.

He’s the perfect complement to route-running phenom Antonio Brown, who carves up defenses underneath, which allows Bryant to do his thing deep. Brown will once again be the catalyst for Pittsburgh’s vaunted passing attack, but it will be Bryant who gives it balance and the multidimensional threat all great offenses have. Marcus Wheaton will also play a role in the team’s offense, but he’s more of a possession receiver that lacks the foot quickness of Bryant. The Steelers will indeed miss Le’Veon Bell and his pass-catching ability out of the backfield during his two-game suspension, but that only provides a greater opportunity for Bryant to expedite his importance to the Pittsburgh offense. Look for Bryant to make himself a viable low-end WR2 by season’s end—especially in standard leagues.

Amari Cooper, OAK – James Jones led the Raiders last year with 73 catches, almost 700 yards and 6 TDs. If Jones can put up those kinds of numbers with a rookie quarterback in Derek Carr, there’s no reason to believe first year player Cooper can’t at least match that production. Carr is an ascending signal-caller who should be better than last year, and Cooper, in spite of his youth and inexperience, is a superior player than Jones. Carr spread the ball nicely in 2014, as three players (Jones, Andre Holmes, Mychal Rivera) each had at least 99 targets (not even Green Bay, Denver or Indianapolis can say that). It’s safe to conclude that employing that strategy revealed Oakland’s lack of a bona fide go-to weapon.

Cooper’s arrival changes all of that. He will get the bulk of the targets, no doubt. A precise route runner with run-after-the-catch ability, Cooper will quickly become a viable fantasy receiving option. While he’s not the athlete that Odell Beckham Jr. is, I suspect Cooper’s rookie season in 2015 will be every bit as fantasy-relevant as ODB in 2014. Big claim, I know. But Cooper is as NFL-ready as any receiver entering the league during the last handful of years, and he should put that ready-made talent to work for you.

Brandin Cooks, NO – I’ve been penning these preseason articles for FFToday.com for almost 10 years now, and I don’t think I’ve ever had more confidence in a prediction than this one right here. Cooks enters 2015 as New Orleans’ top receiving threat, as last year’s top two options—Jimmy Graham, Kenny Stills—are no longer with the team. Cooks was well on his way to an impressive rookie campaign last year before a hand injury derailed his season in Week 10. Up to that point, Cooks had at least five receptions in seven of the 10 games he played and was on pace for 85 catches.

With both Graham and Stills gone, the 208 passes they had thrown their way and the 13 scores they put up between them have to go to somebody. Cooks is that somebody. Marques Colston is aging, and C.J. Spiller’s arrival will give the passing game the kind of spice out of the backfield the team hasn’t seen since Reggie Bush played in The Big Easy. But make no mistake about it; Colston and Spiller’s roles will be complementary in nature to what Cooks will do. Cooks should be a monster in PPR leagues, as he should reach the 100-catch mark. He’s coming off the board around the first part of the fourth round; that’s a good spot. Cooks could very well finish 2015 as a viable low-end WR1. That is, of course, if he stays out of the trainer’s room.

Charles Johnson

Receiver on the Rise: Charles Johnson is expected to start at the "X" position in Norv Turner's offense.

Charles Johnson, MIN – Of the 32 games in which Minnesota receiver Cordarrelle Patterson has played during his two-year career, he has only four games with five or more receptions. And in this day and age of impatient front office execs and coaches, Patterson was demoted as a starter late last season. Enter Charles Johnson. Johnson is Vikings offensive coordinator Norv Turner’s pet project. Turner was in Cleveland with Johnson in 2013, and the longtime coach lobbied to get Johnson on board in Minnesota.

Johnson has great size, which Turner covets. Additionally, the continued maturation of QB Teddy Bridgewater, the return of Adrian Peterson and the addition of WR Mike Wallace buoy Johnson’s prospects for a breakout season. Johnson could get off to a slow start, but is a good bet to improve on his 31-475-2 stat line from a year ago and I would not be surprised if by mid-season he’s on pace to lead the team in receptions. Draft him as a WR3 with tremendous upside.

Michael Floyd, ARZ – The Cardinals had four quarterbacks attempt a pass in 2014—a byproduct of Carson Palmer’s season-ending knee injury in Week 6. As a result, the Cardinals had the worst quarterback situation in the league. That, in turn, affected the receiver production tremendously. Michael Floyd led the team with six TD catches, but his production was spotty—punctuated by two zero-catch games and three one-catch games.

Palmer returns this season, and I anticipate Floyd being the main beneficiary of his presence. Larry Fitzgerald is no longer the player he was, and John Brown is more of a slot receiver. The passing game should be built around Floyd and his immense potential. Expect more of the 8-catch/153-yard/2-TD performance from last season’s finale than the goose eggs he put up against Philadelphia and Seattle. His late-8th round ADP makes him a quality “value” pick.

Update 8/5: Floyd suffered an injury to his left hand, dislocating three fingers that required surgery. The timetable for his return isn't clear but estimates range from three to six weeks. Floyd's breakout appeal takes a hit but assuming he's able to return to practice prior to Week 1, he can still provide considerable value given his ADP should continue to slide throughout August.

Brian Quick, STL – Quick opened last season with several solid performances. After three games, he had 16 receptions and a TD, in spite of the inexperience that plagued the quarterback position. He tailed off quite a bit in his next four games before a shoulder injury in Week 7 ended his season. But he showed enough while he was healthy to be an intriguing option heading into 2015.

Assuming he’s healthy going into Week 1, Quick should be the unquestioned No.1 receiver in St. Louis. Tavon Austin has yet to blossom into a polished receiver, Kenny Britt lacks consistency and Stedman Bailey is, at best, nothing more than a No.3 receiver on an NFL roster. Quick’s prospects for success are fortified with Nick Foles’ arrival. Foles, I believe, substantially improves the Rams’ QB position, giving considerable value to players such as Quick. I won’t jump too far out on the limb and say Quick will help lead you to a championship. But based on his current ADP (11.12), he’s the prototypical low risk/high reward player.