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Weekly Insights: Wk 3
9/21/06

Drew Brees has been better than Carson Palmer. Frank Gore is the top running back. Amani Toomer is among the elite wide receivers. What world are we living in? Oh, that’s right, the unpredictable fantasy football world.

Brees, Gore and Toomer have been surprising but should be on rosters in your league. Here are some surprise players that may be available in your league that are off to fast starts and whether you should consider picking them up.

Grab ’em
Reggie Williams, Jacksonville: The 2004 ninth overall draft pick finally is starting to live up to expectations. He’s had two solid games so far, grabbing six passes for 47 yards and a touchdown in the opening week before recording eight receptions and 95 yards in Week 2.

Matt Jones has received all the hype among Jaguars receivers, but Williams has edged Jones as the top producer at the position. He clearly is a favorite target of quarterback Byron Leftwich after being thrown to 12 times last week.

Also, Jacksonville has a soft schedule left, with two games each remaining against Houston and Tennessee, two of the worst passing defenses in the league.

Others: Jerricho Cotchery, wide receiver, New York Jets; Desmond Clark, tight end, Chicago; Chad Pennington, quarterback, New York Jets; San Diego defense.

Leave ’em
Marques Colston, New Orleans: The rookie is worth a gamble if he’s available as a tight end in your league, but as a wide receiver, leave him on the waiver wire. Rookie wide receivers rarely have solid seasons, because they often have a tough time adjusting to the speed and skill of NFL cornerbacks. Colston has shined against two weak teams in Cleveland and Green Bay. Expect his consistency to take a hit the rest of the season with the Saints having a one of the toughest schedules left of any team in the league. New Orleans takes on division rivals Atlanta, Tampa Bay and Carolina twice each and also faces Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Dallas, Washington and the New York Giants.

Others: Bernard Berrian, wide receiver, Chicago; Rex Grossman, quarterback, Chicago; Alex Smith, quarterback, San Francisco; Charlie Frye, quarterback, Cleveland.

Hot Read
QB Donovan McNabb, Philadelphia: Terrell who? The Eagle collected his second straight 300-yard passing effort last week against the New York Giants, throwing for 350 yards. The addition of Donte’ Stalworth to Reggie Brown at wide receiver gives McNabb possibly his most talented one-two punch at receiver in his career. If you drafted him outside the top 5 of quarterbacks, congratulations, you have the best fantasy quarterback besides Peyton Manning.

Broken Play(er)
RB LaMont Jordan, Oakland: The running back is the biggest bust of the young season. He was drafted as a top-10 player and top-5 in some drafts. Jordan has given his fantasy owners essentially nothing with just 55 rushing yards and no TDs. If you own him, hang onto him in hopes he’ll turn it around, because his trade value likely will not get any lower.

Off The Bench
RB Fred Taylor, Jacksonville: On the surface, the running back’s matchup (at Indianapolis) looks poor. However, the Jaguars have made the veteran the focal point of their offense. He has 236 total yards and his 52 touches (carries plus receptions) rank seventh among running backs. Taylor should have a solid game against the Colts, who have given up a league-high 5.8 yards per carry.

Safe Bet
QB Grossman, Chicago: The quarterback’s hot streak will end when the Bears face Minnesota on the road. Grossman has beat up on the poor pass defenses of Green Bay and Detroit. The Vikings, on the other hand, have allowed 163.5 yards per game and no touchdowns against Washington and Carolina. Grossman will throw for fewer than 200 yards and no more than one TD.

Extra Point
The next two weeks will be a tryout for Miami quarterback Daunte Culpepper for starting fantasy status. The former Viking has been shaky in his return from the major knee injury he sustained last season. He has just one touchdown and three interceptions, but the poor performances have come against two solid defenses (Pittsburgh and Buffalo). Miami faces two of the worst pass defenses (Tennessee and Houston) the next two weeks. If Culpepper can’t shine in those matchups, he may never will.