Cardinals @ Giants (Marcoccio)

Kurt Warner/Tim Hightower/Beanie Wells
Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin/Steve Breaston (vs. NYG)

NYG FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -15.4%
NYG FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -9.3%
NYG FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -29.2%
NYG FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +21.5%

Passing Game Thoughts: Kurt Warner isn’t attacking downfield as much as he’s done in past seasons – which could be a result of either his hip injury, poor pass protection or some combination thereof – but he’s been incredibly efficient. Last week he completed 32 of 41 passes for 276 yards and 2 TDs (with an interception). On the season he’s completed 68.7 % of his passes, a product of the short routes and his 8 TDs are keeping his owners satisfied if not giddy. Larry Fitzgerald has built upon his incredible playoff run and is clearly outperforming Anquan Boldin – where in past seasons they were more 1a and 1b. Steve Breaston is likely the most effective slot WR in the fantasy world as the Cardinals prefer playing from a spread offensive set and run 3 WRs as their base offense. Boldin may miss Week 7 with a high ankle sprain, making Breaston an even more attractive start than usual. There are plenty of balls to go around in this offense, as Warner builds on his Hall of Fame career.

The Giants’ pass defense was eaten alive by Drew Brees and the Saints last week, but was the No. 1 unit in the league prior to that game. Aaron Ross’ lingering hamstring injury and the loss of Kenny Philips to the IR has taken a toll, but the unit is still strong behind Corey Webster and a fierce pass rush. The Giants face another strong test when their former QB comes to New Jersey with some serious weapons at his disposal. Look for the Giants to attempt to apply pressure on the inferior Cardinal o-line, in an effort to try and fluster the immobile Warner. Of course Warner is savvy enough to make them pay if they don’t get to him quick enough.

Running Game Thoughts: It surprises me that Ken Whisenhutt hasn’t established more of a running game since he’s been in Arizona, but I guess when the choice is between featuring a washed up Edgerrin James (last season) and a plodder like Tim Hightower instead of utilizing Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin – it really isn’t a choice. Hightower is not a dynamic runner, doesn’t make the best decisions and has no speed to speak of, but is an effective hard runner in this offense. He’s well equipped to contribute in the passing game and at the goal line which makes him a very useful flex player for his fantasy owners. Beanie Wells looks like the much superior pure runner, but hasn’t been utilized much. Whether that is because he isn’t trusted enough to protect Warner or out of loyalty to Hightower isn’t relevant to fantasy owners – just know to keep him benched until signs say otherwise.

New York is ranked 15th in the league in run defense, but would likely be higher except for the Dallas game where Marion Barber and Felix Jones ran all over them. They allow only 110.3 ypg, but have allowed 8 TDs (2 coming last week in New Orleans) so they are not a terrible matchup for fantasy RBs.

Projections:
Kurt Warner: 305 yds passing, 2 TDs, 1 Int.
Larry Fitzgerald: 95 yds receiving, 1 TD
Anquan Boldin: 80 yds receiving
Steve Breaston: 65 yds receiving, 1 TD
Tin Hightower: 45 yds rushing / 35 yds receiving
Beanie Wells: 35 yds rushing / 5 yds receiving

Eli Manning/ Brandon Jacobs/Ahmad Bradshaw
Steve Smith/Mario Manningham/Hakeem Nicks/Kevin Boss (vs. ARI)

ARI FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +14.4%
ARI FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -24.4%
ARI FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +17.4%
ARI FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +23.5%

Passing Game Thoughts: Eli Manning had his worst game of the season in New Orleans. Some of his poor play was the result of having to climb a big hill the defense put his team in early, but it also has a lot to do with the Saints defense which under Greg Williams attacks the QB and swarms to the ball. Manning did not appear to be hampered by the foot injury he has been suffering and should be fine all season as long as he can withstand the pain. Mario Manningham has not faded away, despite Hakeem Nicks showing more and more that he needs to be on the field. In fact it was early season sensation Steve Smith who took a back seat in the offense last week, but he has shown to be too great a route runner and too important to Eli to fade away completely. Expect Smith to see more targets this week. Kevin Boss has been practically non-existent thus far and can be ignored in most fantasy leagues.

Arizona’s pass defense hasn’t improved that much from last season where they gave up the most passing TDs in the league by a wide margin. This season they are allowing 265.2 ypg and 9 TDs in 5 games. However, Eli will need to be aware of where CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is at all times, as he has proven to have a nose for the football and big play ability. Don’t be surprised to see him take one the other way for a defensive score.

Running Game Thoughts: Move over Brandon Jacobs there’s a new sheriff in town. Ahmad Bradshaw has easily replaced – and surpassed - the departed Derrick Ward, and he is clearly the better overall back than Jacobs. Bradshaw has even scored 3 TDs in the last two weeks from in close. While I wouldn’t officially call him the goal line back, the roles aren’t as clear as they once were when Jacobs was the classic TD vulture. RT Kareem McKenzie was forced to leave the game in New Orleans last week and is likely going to miss Week 7. It will be interesting to see if the loss of this road grader affects the fluidity of the o-line, which has a remarkable streak of 38 straight games where all five players have not missed a start.

The OL issues are not going to help when they face Arizona, a far above average run defense. They have allowed only 59.6 ypg and 2 TDs all season. Weak side LB Carlos Dansby has developed into one of the better young defensive players in the league. It should be an interesting battle in the trenches this week on Sunday Night.

Projections:
Eli Manning: 275 yds passing, 3 TDs, 2 Ints.
Steve Smith: 80 yds receiving, 1 TD
Mario Manningham: 60 yds receiving, 1 TD
Hakeem Nicks: 60 yds receiving
Kevin Boss: 10 yds receiving
Brandon Jacobs: 60 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving
Ahmad Bradshaw: 65 yds rushing / 25 yds receiving, 1 TD

Prediction: Giants 31 Cardinals 28 ^ Top

Saints @ Dolphins (Marcoccio)

Drew Brees/Marques Colston/Robert Meachem/Lance Moore/Jeremy Shockey
Pierre Thomas/Mike Bell/Reggie Bush (vs. MIA)

MIA FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -2.8%
MIA FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -18.7%
MIA FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -10.8%
MIA FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +19.7%

Passing Game Thoughts: Drew Brees (369 yards passing, 4 TDs) was not slowed down by the league’s top defense last week, and continued to show why he is a legit MVP candidate for this season. Brees (and most other key Saints) seem to be match-up proof, with the only downside fantasy-wise being they may just have too much WR depth. Of course that’s not a problem for Brees’ owners but its hard to really start the “lesser” WRs like Lance Moore, Devery Henderson and Robert Meachem despite their big game potential because on any given week they could also get lost in the shuffle. Last week it was Moore’s (6-78-1) turn to play second fiddle to Marques Colston (8-166-1), but Meachem also contributed a 36 yard TD. TE Jeremy Shockey also suffers from the “too many mouths to feed” syndrome, but given the potential in this offense he’s as good a fantasy option as any TE (not named Gates or Gonzalez) on most weeks. Its hard for a defense to game plan to stop this offense as there isn’t really a “go to” option for Brees and in any given week, Colston, Shockey, Moore, Bush, Henderson, Meachem or even FB Heath Evans (2 TD receptions in 2009) could be the weapon of choice for the generous Brees.

Miami has been very poor against the pass. They have allowed 225.5 yards per game and have given up over a TD per game. Obviously that’s not a good thing when playing the Saints. Bill Parcells and his front office are likely regretting their decision to let CBs Andre Goodman and Renaldo Hill leave via free agency, as they now lack depth in the secondary – once again not a good thing when playing the Saints.

Running Game Thoughts: Early season waiver wire hero Mike Bell returned from an MCL sprain to frustrate Pierre Thomas owners that started salivating once Thomas’ return coincided with Bell’s injury. Last week against the Giants it was Bell who got the first crack at goal line duties, and he was able to punch the ball in. Reggie Bush’s role is likely to decrease even further with Bell back, but he did manage to rush for a TD in close as well. It’s nice to have a RB in such a high powered offense as New Orleans’, but the potential 3 headed monster may make this situation a nightmare moving forward.

The Dolphins are the third ranked run defense and have allowed only 4 rushing TDs this season. Channing Crowder, Joey Porter and Akin Ayodele are as high flying and hard hitting a line backer corp. as there is in the NFL. Parcells built teams have always dominated in the trenches and this Dolphins team is no different. Don’t be surprised if the Saints only make a minimal effort to run the ball this week.

Projections:
Drew Brees: 335 yds passing, 2 TDs
Marques Colston: 105 yds receiving, 1 TD
Lance Moore: 40 yds receiving
Robert Meachem: 50 yds receiving
Jeremy Shockey: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Reggie Bush: 10 yds rushing / 40 yds receiving
Pierre Thomas: 60 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving
Mike Bell: 35 yds rushing, 1 TD

Chad Henne/Ronnie Brown/Ricky Williams
Ted Ginn Jr./Greg Camarillo/Davone Bess/Anthony Fasano (vs. NO)

NO FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -11.9%
NO FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -28.3%
NO FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +6.6%
NO FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -46.2%

Passing Game Thoughts: The Chad Henne (448-3-1) era is off to a great start, as the Dolphins have disposed of two division rivals in consecutive weeks with the former Wolverine under center. Ted Ginn, Jr. just became relevant as Henne has the arm to get him the ball deep and he did just that in Week 5, matched up against Darrelle Revis no less. Greg Camarillo and Davone Bess can work underneath well for Henne, which will let him take a few chances downfield with the speedy Ginn.

The Saints, with Will Smith and Charles Grant, can get after QBs, but teams can still attack them deep when they have time. Safety Darren Sharper would have had his second consecutive pick and score against New York QBs in New Orleans had his interception not been called back due to a roughing the passer call. The young Henne will need to learn quickly not to lock onto his receivers or he may suffer the same potential fate.

Running Game Thoughts: Ronnie Brown, Ricky Williams and the “Wild Cat” ran for 115 yards and 85 yards, respectively against the Jets in Week 5. Miami has a massive o-line that has gelled into one of the better units in the NFL and Brown has taken advantage of the running lanes opened for him each week. Williams is running as if he is 25 again and Miami lining up the two big, fast backs together in the backfield has to keep defensive coordinators up at night.

Getting out to early leads has helped make the Saints’ run defense even more successful, but much credit should go to DC Greg Williams who has shaped up the up the Saints defense into a unit that can actually help the team win without having to always be in a shootout. The Saints have talented line backers, Jonathan Vilma and Scott Fujita, and a big defensive line making it tough on opposing backs. The defense has meshed into a better than average unit in 2009 after being a weak link in 2008.

Projections:
Chad Henne: 205 yards, 1 TD, 2 Ints.
Ted Ginn Jr.: 75 yds receiving
Greg Camarillo: 35 yds receiving
Davone Bess: 25 yds receiving
Anthony Fasano: 25 yds receiving, 1 TD
Ronnie Brown: 105 yds rushing, 1 TD / 20 yds rec.
Ricky Williams: 40 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving

Prediction: Saints 31 Dolphins 20 ^ Top

Falcons @ Cowboys (Marcoccio)

Matt Ryan/Michael Turner/Jerious Norwood
Roddy White/Michael Jenkins/Tony Gonzalez (vs. DAL)

DAL FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +9.5%
DAL FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -9.8%
DAL FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +15.3%
DAL FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +2.3%

Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Ryan has not allowed himself nor the Falcons to take a step back after their miraculous turnaround last season during his rookie year. Ryan has joined Philip Rivers, Jay Cutler, Aaron Rodgers and Joe Flacco in what can be consider the “next generation” of great QBs in the league. Ryan sees the field like no other young QB has in a long while. He is cool in the pocket and throws strikes to his talented receiving corp. which has added Tony Gonzalez in the offseason. Remarkably Gonzo has picked up right where he left off last season, as the best TE in the game. He seems to grab a TD almost every week. Roddy White has shaken off his slow and the Falcons are starting to look like one of the more formidable offenses in the NFC. This team should cause serious matchup problems for the suspect Dallas secondary.

The Dallas defense ranked 5th in passing yards allowed last season (187.7 ypg), but are allowing 251.4 yards per game this season with 8 TDs. The Dallas defense amassed a league leading 59 sacks last year and features Marcus Spears and DeMarcus Ware, but have only 10 sacks so far in 2009. Atlanta has a young but very good o-line, so Dallas will need to find a way to pressure Ryan into mistakes in order to help protect their suspect secondary. That’s easier said then done with Ryan though.

Running Game Thoughts: Michael Turner is one of the more unique backs in the NFL today. At 244 pounds, he has the strength to push his way through a pile in short yardage situations. He also has tremendous break away speed that allows him to break off big runs – he is nicknamed “The Burner” after all. Last season he struggled against some of the tougher defenses in the league, but simply ate up the weaker ones. Jerious Norwood left last week’s game with a hip injury and he will likely be a game time decision this week. Jason Snelling who runs like a bull, but possess soft hand out of the backfield will be the one spelling Turner should Norwood miss another game.

Dallas has been a middle of the road run defense this season, allowing 106.4 ypg, but have managed to keep opposing backs from scoring (only 2 rushing TDs allowed). They added former Falcon Keith Brooking this offseason and he has been steady, if unspectacular. He may be fired up facing his old team this week.

Projections:
Matt Ryan: 285 yds passing, 2 TDs
Roddy White: 100 yds receiving, 1 TD
Michael Jenkins: 45 yds receiving
Tony Gonzalez: 75 yds receiving, 1 TD
Michael Turner: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving
Jason Snelling: 30 yds rushing / 30 yds receiving

Tony Romo/Marion Barber/Tashard Choice/Felix Jones
Roy Williams/Miles Austin/Jason Witten (vs. ATL)

ATL FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -2.0%
ATL FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -4.1%
ATL FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -19.0%
ATL FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +42.5%

Passing Game Thoughts: Dallas comes off its bye hoping to keep Tony Romo in the groove he was in against Kansas City in Week 5. He had a great report with Miles Austin who was filling in for Roy Williams, and is now expected to replace Patrick Crayton in the starting line-up. Austin broke the Cowboys single game receiving record gaining 250 yards and scoring on two long TDs – both aided by some really poor Chief tackling efforts. Miles is big and fast and could be just what the Cowboys need to replace Terrell Owens’ production going forward. Roy Williams continues being his underachieving self thus far, but perhaps Austin’s emergence will take some pressure off of him and allow him to fly under the radar a little. The Cowboys will also need to get Jason Witten back into the mix, as he offers the size and speed combination that makes him an incredibly difficult matchup for either a line backer or defensive back.

Atlanta has stud DE Jonathan Abraham to get after opposing QBs, but they lack the overall depth and schemes to put consistent pressure on QBs and only have 10 sacks on the season. They will need to try and come up with some blitz packages to get to Romo behind his solid o-line, as Romo has shown that he is prone to making mistakes under duress. The Falcons are giving up 241 passing yards per game thus far, so they have been vulnerable against the pass.

Running Game Thoughts: The Cowboys should have their full compliment of RBs back this week as Marion Barber, Felix Jones and Tashard Choice all seem to be finally healthy at the same time. While that is nice for Wade Phillips and Jason Garrett it will likely be a headache to fantasy footballers. In the past when all 3 were healthy, Choice has always taken a back seat. However his recent efforts may force the coaching staff to keep him involved. Choice showed last season that he is more than capable when he put up big games against three of the NFL’s top defenses of last season – New York Giants, Pittsburgh and Baltimore. The Barbarian is still suffering some soreness in his quadriceps area and Jones will likely be eased in, so perhaps Tashard will be the right choice for owners this week (cheesy pun intended).

Atlanta seemed like it may be in some trouble when they lost rookie DT Peria Jerry for the season, but they have manage to still play the run reasonably well. They are iallowing 118.2 yog and only 3 TDs on the season. The Cowboys (sometimes foolishly) seem willing to abandon the run early and rely on Tony Romo to carry the team – with the disparity in pass v. run defense the Falcons have shown don’t be surprised if the Boys continue on that path.

Projections:
Tony Romo: 305 yds passing 2 TDs, 1 Int. / 25 yds rushing
Roy Williams: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Miles Austin: 80 yds receiving
Jason Witten: 75 yds receiving, 1 TD
Tashard Choice: 65 yds rushing / 35 yds receiving
Felix Jones: 20 yds rushing / 5 yds receiving
Marion Barber: 55 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving

Prediction: Cowboys 24 Falcons 21 ^ Top

Eagles @ Redskins (Marcoccio)

Donovan McNabb/Brian Westbrook/LeSean McCoy
DeSean Jackson/Jeremy Maclin/Brent Celek (vs. WAS)

WAS FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -25.4%
WAS FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -23.5%
WAS FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -16.8%
WAS FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -36.1%

Passing Game Thoughts: Donovan McNabb comes off a poor effort at Oakland (22-46-269) where he was unable to lead his team to a TD against a defense that allowed so many points the week before, the opposing QB was pulled before halftime. Desean Jackson and Brent Celek seem to be McNabb’s favorite targets and with good reason. Desean Jackson has game changing skills and just may be one of the top two fastest players in the league with the ball in his hands. McNabb has always liked looking to his TEs, and in Celek he has a big athletic target. Rookie Jeremy Maclin exploded on the scene two weeks ago while replacing the injured Kevin Curtis but caught just one ball last week. Much like the Saints, this offense can be explosive but with so many legit targets for McNabb besides those already mentioned – Kevin Curtis, Jason Avant, Brian Westbrook and Leonard Weaver – it could be hit or miss when inserting an Eagle’s pass catcher into your line-up.

Washington’s defense has not been the reason that this team has been losing to some of the dregs of the league. Washington’s pass defense is currently ranked 3rd in the NFL – as the unit has allowed only 169 ypg and 5 TDs on the season. The Redskins are starting to generate some pressure on opposing passers (15 sacks), which was trouble for them last year and earlier this season. The Skins also have a talented secondary in LaRon Landry, Carlos Rodgers, DeAngelo Hall and Fred Smoot and have enough depth to handle the many Eagle weapons.

Running Game Thoughts: Brian Westbrook can still pad the stats and help fantasy owners, but the days of his monster games seem to be a thing of the past. The carries and injuries he has suffered have taken a toll on his 30 year old body. The Eagles will need to start giving more carries to rookie LeSean McCoy, who played very well in Westbrook’s absence, if they want to run their offense as effectively as in past years.

Washington is also an effective run defense, allowing 118 ypg and only 2 rushing TDs. As I said above the defense has not been the problem in Washington. London Fletcher has been an underrated MLB throughout his long career and has been a part of many winning teams. After suffering some humiliating defeats so far, don’t be surprised if this defense comes out to play in front of the home crowd and keeps this game close.

Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 225 yds passing 1 TD, 1 Int. / 20 yds rushing
Jeremy Maclin: 30 yds receiving
Desean Jackson: 65 yds receiving
Brent Celek: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Brian Westbrook: 65 yds rushing, 1 TD / 30 yds receiving
LeSean McCoy: 35 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving

Jason Campbell/ Clinton Portis
Santana Moss/Malcolm Kelly/Antwaan Randle El/Chris Cooley (vs. PHI)

PHI FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -6.3%
PHI FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -4.8%
PHI FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -33.3%
PHI FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +48.2%

Passing Game Thoughts: Jason Campbell was benched last week at halftime for the veteran Todd Collins (much to the dismay of yours truly who picked him up to cover a bye week for what looked like a juicy matchup). This offense is a mess right now due to: (1) a depleted offensive line, (2) horrific play calling, (3) the fact that the Redskins drafted two WRs and a TE in the second round of last season’s draft, and have seen minimal production from those three players: Devin Thomas, Malcolm Kelly and Fred Davis and (4) inconsistent QB play. It is not all Campbell’s fault but it’s typical that the QB takes the fall when an offense struggles so badly. HC (for the time being at least) Jim Zorn has stated however that Jason Campbell will get the start Monday Night. That does not mean he should get the start for your fantasy team though.

The Eagles’ defense accomplished the “impossible” last week; they allowed JaMarcus Russell to look like an actual NFL QB. You can chalk that up to it being just one of those weeks, as overall the unit is ranked 6th, allowing 179 ypg. They have allowed 8 TDs in only 5 games though, mostly to opposing TEs.

Running Game Thoughts: Last week I pointed out how Clinton Portis has underwhelmed despite having a ridiculously soft run schedule outside of Week 1 in New York: St. Louis, Detroit, Tampa Bay, Carolina and Kansas City. He did not totally disappoint against KC, in that he did break 100 yards rushing, but he failed to find the endzone and wasn’t a world of help to his fantasy owners. I could definitely have added “a lack of running game” to the above list of things wrong with the Skins offense.

The Eagles added Rams MLB Will Witherspoon this week to replace Omar Gaither who was playing out of position for the injured Stewart Bradley. The Eagles defense could be a lot more formidable going forward once Witherspoon gets acclimated.

Projections:
Jason Campbell: 180 yds passing, 1 TDs, 1 Int. / 10 yards rushing
Santana Moss: 30 yds receiving
Malcolm Kelly: 25 yds receiving
Antwaan Randle El: 20 yds receiving
Chris Cooley: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Clinton Portis: 75 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving

Prediction: Eagles 17 Redskins 10 ^ Top

Colts @ Rams (Eakin)

Peyton Manning/Reggie Wayne/Pierre Garcon/Austin Collie/Dallas Clark
Joseph Addai/Donald Brown (vs. STL)

STL FF Points Allowed vs. QB: +12.8%
STL FF Points Allowed vs. RB: +25.8%
STL FF Points Allowed vs. WR: +2.5%
STL FF Points Allowed vs. TE: +26.9%

Passing Game Thoughts: Peyton Manning, at the peak of his hall of fame career, going against an 0-6 rebuilding Rams team ranked seventh worst in QB FPTs allowed, smells like a mismatch to me. Vegas cannot set the spread high enough to make this an even bet. There are too many weapons on this offense for the Rams to neutralize. If they game plan to limit Reggie Wayne, it leaves Dallas Clark and rookie WR Austin Collie one-on-one in the slots. Both have proven that is a mismatch in favor of the Colts. Collie is riding a three game scoring streak and Dallas Clark is the top scoring TE in FPTs in a year where TEs are thriving. Fellow rookie WR Pierre Garcon has been quiet for a couple games, perhaps a victim of his own success, but is still capable of big days especially now that Collie is producing. Manning is a master at taking advantage of whoever is getting the single coverage match-ups.

Rams HC is an aggressive former D-Coordinator from the Giants. History shows his strategy for elite QBs is disguised blitzes to create pressure. Manning is a tough to trick, and is one of the best at getting the ball out quick before the pressure arrives. This should mean his hot routes of Clark, Collie, and Addai will have big days. It doesn’t help the Rams that they traded their best cover LB, Will Witherspoon, to the Eagles this week. As a result, Dallas Clark owners will be smiling at game’s end.

Running Game Thoughts: The ground game continues to be an area of concern but in fantasyland, the Colts are tenth best in RB FPTs scored. The offense creates enough scoring opportunities to offset Addai and Brown’s poor yardage totals. Addai is still the Colts favored RB in a 60/40 split with the impressive rookie Donald Brown. The Colts GM Bill Polian squashed speculation that Brown may overtake Addai this week when he explained that to prevent Brown from “hitting the rookie wall” they will continue split carries in favor of Addai to keep both of them fresh. Treat Addai as a high end RB2 week to week and Brown as a solid flex play when they have good match-ups such as this one.

Projections:
Peyton Manning: 345 yds/3 TDs
Reggie Wayne: 100 yds/1 TD
Dallas Clark: 85 yd/2 TD
Austin Collie: 60 yd
Pierre Garcon: 45 yds
Joseph Addai: 50 yds rushing/30 yds rec/1 TD
Donald Brown: 40 yds rushing/20 yds rec

Marc Bulger/Donnie Avery/Keenan Burton/Randy McMichael
Steven Jackson (vs. STL)

IND FF Points Allowed vs. QB: -24.8%
IND FF Points Allowed vs. RB: -9.1%
IND FF Points Allowed vs. WR: -16.2%
IND FF Points Allowed vs. TE: -51.9%

Passing Game Thoughts: Bulger put up a respectable effort (22/34 for 213 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT) against the Jag’s coming off injury but the Colts are a much tougher team to pass on. Leading WR Donnie Avery left with a hip injury that is just a bruise and shouldn’t keep him from playing. Avery has a nice three game stretch going and will be a key component in the attack, especially if the Rams get down big, which is a decent bet considering they are…well, the RAMS. Despite Avery’s recent mini-surge, RB Steven Jackson is leading their receiver. I was really hoping for some kind of blockbuster deal for Jackson. He will be done by the time they are ready to compete so I fail to see why they wouldn’t deal him to speed up the rebuilding process. It certainly worked for the Cowboys with Herschel Walker. He’s such a wasted talent on this team. We’ll never know how good he could’ve been. Shameful.

What makes the Colts tough to pass on is a combination of solid cover CBs and a pair of elite pass rushing DEs in Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis. Freeney will see a lot of LT Alex Barron who is quietly having a respectable year. Mathis may have a bit more success against rookie first rounder RT Jason Smith. Bulger can still get it done if he has time but the Rams won’t pass much unless they fall behind, and by then the Colts will be in jail break mode and almost impossible to block. Another big headline this week is the probable return of the 2007 NFL defensive MVP SS Bob Sanders. Sanders could shore up a weakness in the Colts pass defense in the middle. He is also terrific at cleaning up running holes. He has quite a bit of rust to shake off though having sat out the entire season.

Running Game Thoughts: Jackson is the man with the yards but has yet to score a TD despite a few shots here and there from inside the ten. He should have a busy day as the Rams know their only hope lies in shortening the game with a heavy dose of running. Manning isn’t likely to give the Rams too many short fields to work with so Jackson will get the yards but continue his scoring struggle. Even with the Colts average rush defense most sustained drives need a few 3rd down conversions, and Bulger just doesn’t have many chain movers to turn covert them.

Projections:
Marc Bulger: 170 yds/1 TD/1 INT
Donnie Avery: 60 yds/1 TD
Keenan Burton: 40 yds
Randy McMichael: 30 yds
Steven Jackson: 80 yds/45 yds rec/1 TD

Prediction: Colts 31 Rams 17 ^ Top

Chargers @ Chiefs (Eakin)

Philip Rivers / Vincent Jackson / Chris Chambers / Antonio Gates
LaDainian Tomlinson (vs. KC)

KC FF Points Allowed vs. QB: +12.9%
KC FF Points Allowed vs. RB: +10.0%
KC FF Points Allowed vs. WR: +26.2%
KC FF Points Allowed vs. TE: +7.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: A collision of San Diego’s 10th ranked pass attack versus the Chiefs 6th worst pass defense. Very little here that should slow down QB Phillip River’s roll, even the weather is cooperating. Lead WR Vincent Jackson and TE Antonio Gates are both good plays this week. Jackson has eight inches on the Chiefs CB Brandon Flowers so expect several deep hits and red-zone fades. Gates has been playing well of late and could flourish as LBs creep up to slow down LD2 or Blitz to keep Rivers and Jackson from abusing them downfield. I documented WR Chris Chambers struggles in last week’s column, he continues to struggle.

Jarrod Page has been replaced by Jon McGraw as the starting FS. McGraw graded out well against the Redskins, but few teams struggle to look good against the DC boys these days. McGraw will have a much tougher assignment helping Flowers keep Vincent Jackson from beating them downfield. OLB Tamba Hali continues to be the Chiefs best pass rusher leading the team with three sacks and a couple forced fumbles however, most of the Charger’s pass protection struggles are from the interior line where the absence of C Nick Hardwick is partially to blame. Hardwick is questionable but probably another week away.

Running Game Thoughts: Is LD2 back? The positives are that he amassed over 100 yds against a tough Denver defense Monday night and is undoubtedly a solo act for the Chargers backfield. That alone makes him a rare commodity. The concern is he failed to capitalize on a few open field chances with only one defender to beat. He didn’t break many tackles either, often going down with just an arm tackle. He seems to lean too far forward to the point where he dives at the pile rather than pushing it forward. I thought it cost him a sure TD. Some of the issues could be rust, and he just needs things to slow down a bit for him but, regardless of his form, being the lone wolf for a good offense makes him a solid RB2 with upside from here on out and a good bet to post even better numbers this week.

Projections:
Phillip Rivers: 270 yds/2 TDs
Vincent Jackson: 90 yds/1 TD
Chris Chambers: 35 yds
Antonio Gates: 60yds/1 TD
LaDainian Tomlinson: 85 yds rushing; 1 TD/10 rec
Darren Sproles: 20 yds rushing/20 rec

Matt Cassel / Dwayne Bowe / Bobby Wade / Sean Ryan
Larry Johnson (vs. SD)

SD FF Points Allowed vs. QB: -7.0%
SD FF Points Allowed vs. RB: +39.1%
SD FF Points Allowed vs. WR: -21.6%
SD FF Points Allowed vs. TE: +43.9%

Passing Game Thoughts: Dwayne Bowe has climbed out of the doghouse with consecutive good games, including Sunday’s six-catch 109-yard performance, helping the Chiefs finally get in the win column against the spiraling Redskins. Quentin Jammer, one of the more physical press CBs in the league, will cover Bowe. The Chiefs need to take advantage of the recent poor play of the Charger safeties. FS Eric Weddle has given up some big plays with poor tackling in recent weeks and few are better than Bowe at making plays after the catch. QB Matt Cassel is playing the role of Kyle Orton Lite. He dinks and dunks without taking many shots downfield. New addition Bobby Wade has cooled off from his hot start. He’s a possession guy that serves as plan B when Bowe is covered but still capable of making some plays, just not enough for reliable fantasy numbers. Much of the Chiefs passing success has come during junk time when they are playing from behind. Being a divisional game in front of one of the best home fields around, they should keep things close to the point it actually hurts their passing numbers.

OLBs Shawne Merriman and Shaun Phillips have yet to register a sack while rookie back-up Larry English has two. Merriman was shopped heavily before the trade deadline with no takers. My how far the mighty have fallen. If Merriman was in MLB, there might be heavy speculation that his stock plunge is as much related to his “banned substance” bust as it is to his knee injury, but hey, this is the NFL and such scrutiny has no place here.

Running Game Thoughts: In a battle of former fantasy studs, this game should serve as a final curtain call for LD2 and Larry Johnson. Both former dynamos are nearing the end but in line for flashback performances. Johnson is coming off a rare productive performance and looks to make it two in a row if the Chargers run defense continues to struggle. The Chiefs have some great match-ups late in the season so if Johnson can continue to turn back the clock then owners will be rewarded for patience. The Chargers run plugging MLB Stephen Cooper is questionable and will be a big loss if scratched.

Projections:
Matt Cassel: 180 yds/1 TDs/1 INT
Dwayne Bowe: 75 yds/1 TD
Bobby Wade: 40 yds
Sean Ryan: 35 yds
Larry Johnson: 85 yds rushing/20 rec/1 TD

Prediction: San Diego 24 Chiefs 20 ^ Top

Jets @ Raiders (Eakin)

Mark Sanchez / Braylon Edwards / David Clowney / Dustin Keller
Thomas Jones / Leon Washington (vs. OAK)

OAK FF Points Allowed vs. QB: -5.1%
OAK FF Points Allowed vs. RB: +34.1%
OAK FF Points Allowed vs. WR: -7.5%
OAK FF Points Allowed vs. TE: -29.1%

Passing Game Thoughts: Interesting game that features a struggling team coming off their best win of the year versus a once thought to be powerhouse coming off their poorest game of the year. In six short weeks rookie QB Mark “Sanchise” has run the gambit of media adoration and speculation that comes with paying in the Big Apple. After last week’s five INT debacle, the Jets are scaling back the playbook to simplify things for the shell-shocked rook. That’s coach speak for…less passing, more running. Sanchez is missing safety net WR Jerricho Cotchery with a bad hammy, and may have to wait another week for his return. This means new-shiny-toy Braylon Edwards will have all the attention including CB Nnamdi Asomugha’s, the premier cover corner in all the land. Expect a Pre-WWI land battle meaning; before the dawn of air support.

Running Game Thoughts: Safe to assume Thomas Jones gets a decent amount of touches coming off the best game of his career, featuring the two longest runs of his career, in which he totaled 210 yards and a score on 22 carries. Oakland allows the 4th most RB FPTs to further the cause. I must say I have a hunch about Leon Washington this week. The Raiders struggle more with the edge attack, which is Washington’s game. Case in point, Correll Buckhalter 14-for-108 yds, Ahmad Bradshaw 11-for-110 yds, and Brian Westbrook 6-for-50 yds. Many of those games featured between-the-tackles runners like Brandon Jacobs and Knowshon Moreno who did not enjoy the same success as their partners. Maybe if the Eagles looked at Westbrook’s stat line, they would have adjusted their all pass all the time strategy and saved themselves some embarrassment. Play both Jet RBs with confidence.

Predictions:
Mark Sanchez: 200 yds/1 TD/1 INT
Braylon Edwards: 65 yds
David Clowney: 45 yds/1 TD
Dustin Keller: 30 yds
Leon Washington: 70 yds/40 rec/1 TD
Thomas Jones: 85 yds

JaMarcus Russell/Chaz Schilens/Louis Murphy/Zach Miller
Justin Fargas/Michael Bush (vs. NYJ)

NYJ FF Points Allowed vs. QB: -31.9%
NYJ FF Points Allowed vs. RB: -0.6%
NYJ FF Points Allowed vs. WR: -28.9%
NYJ FF Points Allowed vs. TE: -28.6%

Passing Game Thoughts: The Raiders hope to turn their season with a victory over the tail spinning Jets. The box score looks nice for QB JaMarcus Russell with 17-28 for 225 yds, 1 TD, and 2 INTs in his victory over the Eagles. Well, good for a JaMarcus Russell line anyways. Much of the yardage came on a long run after the catch by TE Zach Miller, sprang by three, yes three, key blocks downfield by Rookie WR Louis Murphy. Miller has now posted back-to-back fantasy worthy games. Only two Russell passes went to WRs. Russell completed a grand total of two passes for six yards to his WRs Sunday. I speculated a return of last year’s leading WR Chaz Schilens a week early, he should suit up this week to help the Silver and Black improve upon their six WR yards.

Running Game Thoughts: Justin Fargas spoiled the Michael Bush welcoming party. Fargas surprisingly jumped over Bush in to the featured back role in Darren McFadden’s absence. Fargas broke out of fantasy obscurity to post 87 yards on 23 carries compared to a 22 yards on six carries for Bush. Fargas looks like a respectable bye week fill-in for those in need of RB help.

Worse than the loss to the Bills may be the injury to Jets defensive leader, NT Kris Jenkins. Jenkins is one of, if not THE best, run stuffers in the league and critical to the effectiveness of their 3-4 scheme. Without him, the Jets may no longer be a feared RB match-up. The Raiders are sure to put that theory to the test this week.

Projections:
JaMarcus Russell: 180 yds/1 INT
Chaz Schilens: 40 yds
Louis Murphy: 30 yds
Zach Miller: 65 yds
Justin Fargas: 80 yds rushing/25 yds rec/1 TD
Michael Bush: 40 yds/1 TD

Prediction: New York 20 Oakland 17 ^ Top

Packers @ Browns (Mack)

Aaron Rodgers / Ryan Grant
Donald Driver / Greg Jennings / Jermichael Finley / Donald Lee (vs. Cleveland)

CLE FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -0.7%
CLE FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +43.7%
CLE FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +10.1%
CLE FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -12.5%

Passing Game Thoughts: Even though Aaron Rodgers has only 8 TDs through his first five games, he’s been the main cog in a Green Bay offensive attack. Better still, he has only 2 INTs. This week he goes up against a Cleveland pass defense ranked 23rd in the league—the same Cleveland defense, mind you, that allowed more than 400-plus yards passing to Ben Roethlisgerger. Rodgers is a QB who usually keeps his mistakes to a minimum, and with a Cleveland defense having only 3 INTs on the year, that trend should continue.

Perhaps the biggest concern regarding Green Bay’s passing offense is the way in which Greg Jennings has struggled. His 17 receptions are fewer than other WRs such as Andre Caldwell, Devin Hester, Torry Holt, to name a few. Still, it’s too early to consider him a bust. But having been drafted as a #1 fantasy WR, his lack of production must be frustrating to his owners. Certainly, it’s always a danger when you bench your studs, so I don’t consider benching Jennings. But remain mindful of his struggles this year and simply hope for things to change. Meanwhile, Donald Driver is a great start, as is Jermichael Finley. Start them both with confidence.

Running Game Thoughts: In my preview last week for the Green Bay/Detroit game, I talked about how boring it is to watch Ryan Grant play football. Well, apparently the Packer suits thought similarly—so much so that they brought in brittle-knee Ahman Green this week. That move alone signals a huge concern front office execs must have in not only Grant, but back-ups Brandon Jackson and DeShawn Wynn. Maybe Green Bay’s struggles on the O-line could be the cause of the team’s running problems; whatever the reason, the fact that Green was signed is not a good sign for fantasy owners of Grant.

Chances are good that Ahman Green won’t be a factor in fantasy football himself, but his mere presence pours cold water on owners who were already cooling on Grant. This is not good. I would steer clear of anything resembling a Green Bay RB for the foreseeable future—or until it looks as though they’ve gotten things back on track.

Projections:
Aaron Rodgers – 280 yards passing / 3 TDs
Ryan Grant – 65 yards
Donald Driver – 115 yards / 1 TD
Greg Jennings – 80 yards
Jermichael Finley – 50 yards / 2 TDs
Donald Lee – 35 yards

Derek Anderson / Jamal Lewis / Jerome Harrison
Mohamed Massaquoi / Josh Cribbs (vs. Green Bay)

GB FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +4.6%
GB FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -29.6%
GB FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +9.8%
GB FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +1.7%

Passing Game Thoughts: After a week 5 contest against Buffalo in which Derek Anderson completed 2 passes, he “redeemed” himself last week by completing 9 passes. This entire Cleveland offense is a hot mess and liable to cause fantasy owners to contemplate hurling their remotes through their 50 in. LCDs. But before you resort to such regretful actions, simply consider the too-painful-to-watch limitations of the Browns’ passing game and adjust expectations accordingly.

Mohamed Massaquoi emerged as the “go-to” guy (relative term with this offense) for Anderson. He’s a big WR whose still learning the NFL game, but his role as an NFL team’s #1 WR option has to be questioned. That aside, Massaquoi deserves a spot on your squad, if for no other reason than there’s really no other option on the team. I’d heavily question starting him under most circumstances, and this week against the 10th ranked Green Bay pass defense qualifies.

Running Game Thoughts: Jamal Lewis looked like an average RB when healthy this year, and THAT’S much better than I anticipated during the preseason. Whether it’s Lewis’ limitations, Jerome Harrison’s injuries, the O-line’s struggles, or a combo of them all, Cleveland’s running game has been as inept as it has been predictable. There are no running lanes, few broken tackles, and even fewer big plays that fantasy owners crave. The result is a fantasy running game that leaves fantasy owners shaking in their proverbial boots at the thought of inserting a Browns’ RB in their line-up. Through the first 6 weeks, there is not a RB on the roster that has a rushing TDs. Sad, sad indeed. Keep your Browns’ RB on your bench until further notice.

Projections:
Derek Anderson – 165 yards / 1 TD / 2 INT
Jamal Lewis – 45 yards
Jerome Harrison – 30 yards rushing / 25 yards rec.
Mohamed Massaquoi – 65 yards / 1 TD
Josh Cribbs – 40 yards rec
Steve Heiden – 20 yards

Prediction: Green Bay 27, Cleveland 10 ^ Top

Vikings @ Steelers (Mack)

Brett Favre / Adrian Peterson / Chester Taylor
Sidney Rice / Percy Harvin / Bernard Berrian / Visanthe Shiancoe (vs. Pittsburgh)

PIT FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -5.1%
PIT FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -42.1%
PIT FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -4.1%
PIT FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +10.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: Two months ago at this time, Brett Favre was tossing passes to high school football players in his native Mississippi as rumors swirled about his possible return to the NFL. Favre is now one of the hottest and most reliable fantasy QBs. Who’d have thunk? His 12 TDs are third in the league, but what intrigues fantasy owners most is his 2 INTs. Favre’s 2008 ended in horrible fashion, so the fact that he’s opened 2009 relatively error-free, owners who undoubtedly spend a mid-round draft pick are getting an unbelievable return on their investment.

Bernard Berrian was a sleeper on many people’s cheat sheet heading into fantasy draft season after Favre’s arrival. His deep speed coupled with Favre’s strong arm seemed a nice mix. But it’s been Sidney Rice and Visanthe Shiancoe who have benefited the most. Rice uses his size and athleticism to dominate smaller DBs, and Shiancoe is slowly becoming a top fantasy TE. Favre looks to both on a regular basis, thus increasing their value tremendously. Pittsburgh safety Troy Polamalu should return and have an increased role in the defense. Whether he plays his usual roaming, centerfield role remains to be seen. One thing’s certain: his presence will make it a fun chess match all game.

Running Game Thoughts: Adrian Peterson broke his streak of sub 100 yard games with a 143 yard performance against Baltimore last week. Even though Peterson has the fewest yards through the first six games of any season in his career, his 7 TDs are the most through the same time period. Perhaps it’s Favre’s presence in the offense that’s the reason, as the QB’s arrival to the Jets last year had a similar affect on Thomas Jones’ TD output.

Chester Taylor is one of four players on the Vikings with at least 20 receptions, so his role in the offense extends beyond simply running the football. Obviously, Peterson is a good play this week, and Taylor could be an option in larger leagues.

Projections:
Brett Favre – 235 yards / 2 TD / 1 INT
Adrian Peterson – 110 yards / 1 TD
Chester Taylor – 20 yards rushing / 35 yards rec.
Sidney Rice – 85 yards / 1 TD
Percy Harvin – 50 yards
Bernard Berrian – 25 yards
Visanthe Shiancoe – 40 yards / 1 TD

Ben Roethlisberger / Rashard Mendenhall / Willie Parker
Hines Ward / Santonio Holmes / Heath Miller (vs. Minnesota)

MIN FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +8.2%
MIN FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -17.9%
MIN FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -6.8%
MIN FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +72.0%

Passing Game Thoughts: Ben Roethlisberger had one of his best days passing last week when he torched Cleveland’s pass defense for more than 400 yards passing. It’s ironic that Minnesota has a feared and respected pass rush and a top CB in Antoine Winfield, yet they rank 24th in the league in passing. They could be in for a tough day this week, as Big Ben and his receiver crew make for a huge challenge.

Hines Ward is having one of the best WRs in the league. Many thought this would be the year that Santonio Holmes would take a quantum leap into being the #1 WR option for the Steelers; yet, it is Ward who week after week makes his place on your fantasy roster a nice sight. Put him in your line-up and expect another productive day. Holmes is too up and down to count on, but Heath Miller is always a red zone threat.

Running Game Thoughts: Head coach Mike Tomlin named Rashard Mendenhall the starter this week even though Willie Parker is now healthy. Parker’s days as a viable fantasy RB appear numbered; Mendenhall’s physicality as a powerful RB can’t be ignored. Obviously Tomlin feels Mendenhall’s rugged style complements Pittsburgh’s offensive attack; consequently, Mendenhall should shoot up to, at least, a top tier RB2 for your fantasy team.

Minnesota’s run defense remains a force. They’ve allowed only 3 rushing TDs all year, and they’re ranked 9th in the league against the run. Mendenhall will have his work cut out for him, but he’s still a good start this week. The Steelers have 42 more called pass plays than called run plays. That trend may continue this week, but again, Mendenhall should get his fair share of carries.

Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger – 255 yards / 2 TD / 2 INT
Rashard Mendenhall – 75 yards / 1 TD
Willie Parker – 20 yards
Hines Ward – 125 yards / 1 TD
Santonio Holmes – 65 yards
Heath Miller – 40 yards / 1 TD

Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, Minnesota 21 ^ Top

Bears @ Bengals (Mack)

Jay Cutler / Matt Forte
Devin Hester / Johnny Knox / Earl Bennett / Greg Olsen (vs. Cincinnati)

CIN FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +20.5%
CIN FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -7.4%
CIN FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -2.2%
CIN FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +19.0%

Passing Game Thoughts: After a season-opening dud against the Green Bay Packers, Jay Cutler has rebounded well, throwing at least 2 TDs in each game since. He’s spreading the ball around nicely, finding the open man and leading his team to a 3-1 record. Five players have between 15 and 20 receptions, which is good from NFL standards, but kind of stinks from a fantasy perspective. It’s tough to get a read on who Cutler’s go-to guy is under these circumstances, but it’s actually been Devin Hester, Johnny Knox and Greg Olsen who have gotten the TDs.

The Bengals rank 28th against the pass and are pretty much in the middle of the road in every other defensive category. Translation: with the right offensive approach, the Bengals can be had. I like Knox to continue his surprising season with a handful of receptions and a possible score. And if Olsen is to emerge as a top fantasy TE this year as I predicted, he’d better get going; no time like the present to begin that ascent.

Running Game Thoughts: There are countless excuses from the so-called experts as to why Matt Forte has struggled this year. Is it his motivation, his focus, his desire? ‘What is it?’ they ask. Well, sometimes, it can be as simple as the guy’s not playing well. I think that’s what it is regarding Forte. Besides the 121 yard performance against Detroit in week 4, his highest output on the ground has been 66 yards—not the kind of hit-or-miss we expect from our top-5 fantasy RB.

At some point, Forte owners wonder, he will put it together. But as they wait, the season passes by in the blink of an eye. It won’t be easy this week. The Bengals have a top-15 run defense and will make it tough for Forte to snap out of his (almost) season-long funk. If you have a better option, I’d consider benching Forte. If your other option is a shot in the dark, go with Forte and hope for the best.

Projections:
Jay Cutler – 195 yards / 1 TD / 1 INT
Matt Forte – 65 yards
Devin Hester – 55 yards
Johnny Knox – 55 yards / 1 TD
Early Bennett – 40 yards
Greg Olsen – 35 yards

Carson Palmer / Cedric Benson
Chad Ochocinco / Andre Caldwell / Laveranues Coles (vs. Chicago)

CHI FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +0.7%
CHI FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -5.8%
CHI FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -13.5%
CHI FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +23.7%

Passing Game Thoughts: Carson Palmer has done enough to lead his team to a nice 4-2 record, but I’m sure those fantasy owners who rely on him every week aren’t 4-2. He’d been solid but far from spectacular, and certainly far from being the fantasy QB who once was able to win games single-handedly. Is it him? Is it the offensive line? The offensive philosophy? Who knows. What we do know is Palmer looks like a vastly different player that just several years ago, so as a result, those Palmer owners must adjust their expectations.

Laveranues Coles remains a relative free agent bust, but it’s Andre Caldwell’s continued improvement that softens the blow. Coles is useless in fantasy football; Chad Ochocinco is reviving his fantasy relevance, but again, it’s Caldwell who’s been the biggest and best surprise. He’s a solid #3 WR in larger PPR leagues and should be in your line-up in that scenario.

Running Game Thoughts: You gotta love Cedric Benson’s re-emergence in the NFL. His below-average game last week aside, he’s turned into a solid RB2 so far. The Bengals count on him every week to provide the foundation necessary to promote success. He’s delivered in a big way, and has put his name back on the fantasy map. His 44 yard output last week could be matched this week. Chicago is ranked 6th in the league against the run, and the Bears held Atlanta’s Michael Turner to a miserable 30 yards on 13 carries. Keep your expectations in check for Benson this week.

Projections:
Carson Palmer – 210 yards / 1 TD / 1 INT
Cedric Benson – 70 yards
Chad Ochocinco – 95 yards
Andre Caldwell – 75 yards
Laveranues Coles – 30 yards

Prediction: Cincinnati 16, Chicago 13 ^ Top

Bills @ Panthers (Kilroy)

Ryan Fitzpatrick / Marshawn Lynch / Fred Jackson
Terrell Owens / Lee Evans / Josh Reed (vs. Panthers)

CAR FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -10.2%
CAR FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +17.7
CAR FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -39.6%
CAR FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -2.1%

Passing Game Thoughts: Trent Edwards has been ruled out of this game meaning Ryan Fitzpatrick (10 of 25 for 116 yards and a touchdown last week) will get the call. The Bills offensive line has been horrendous allowing 19 sacks, rendering Edwards, Terrell Owens and Lee Evans virtually useless to fantasy owners. There's no reason to expect that to change this week against an above average Carolina pass defense that's giving up 157 passing yards per game. Keep the Bills passing attack on your bench.

Running Game Thoughts: The Bills were committed to running the ball last week against the Jets thanks in part to a brutal wind and the Jets' loss of DT Kris Jenkins. Marshawn Lynch got 21 touches compared to Fred Jackson's 15 and that trend should continue as the Bills plan on rotating their two backs for the remainder of the season. The Panthers can be run on and represent a slight above-average matchup for Lynch and Jackson. Expect them to receive a majority of the offensive work as Fitzpatrick attempts to manage the game.

Projections:
Ryan Fitzpatrick – 190 yards passing / 1 TD
Marshawn Lynch – 60 yards rushing / 0 TDs / 10 yards receiving
Fred Jackson – 40 yards rushing / 0 TDs / 20 yards receiving
Terrell Owens – 50 yards receiving / 0 TD
Lee Evans – 50 yards receiving / 1 TD
Josh Reed – 30 yards receiving / 0 TD

Jake Delhomme / DeAngelo Williams / Jonathan Stewart
Steve Smith / Muhsin Muhammad / Dante Rosario (vs. Buffalo)

BUF FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: - 26.1%
BUF FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +55.2
BUF FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -43.4%
BUF FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +16.9%

Passing Game Thoughts: As any Steve Smith (CAR) owner will tell you, the Panthers have had a bit of a problem throwing the ball this season. Jake Delhomme has yet to throw more than two touchdowns in one game and racked up 52.9 completion percentage last week going 9 of 17 for 65 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Ouch! Smith voiced his displeasure by saying "I'm no longer an asset to this team,". He probably won't be an asset this week either as the Bills have played above average against the pass allowing only Randy Moss to break the 100-yd mark. Expect more frustrating quotes from Smith after this one.

Running Game Thoughts: At last, something positive to talk about. As bad as the passing attack has been for Carolina the running game got on track last week against the Bucs (267 yards total) and find themselves in a better matchup this week against the Bills. Both Williams and Stewart are good plays against a Bills rush defense that's given up 100-yd games to Pierre Thomas (126), Ronnie Brown (115), Jamal Lewis (117), Thomas Jones (210) and Leon Washington (99). OK, so Leon didn't quite crack 100 yards but you get the idea. Get DeAngelo and Jonathan in your lineup!

Projections:
Jake Delhomme – 190 yards passing / 0 TD
DeAngelo Williams – 110 yards rushing / 1 TD / 20 yards receiving
Jonathan Stewart – 60 yards rushing / 1 TD / 10 yards receiving
Steve Smith – 70 yards receiving / 0 TD
Muhsin Muhammad – 40 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Dante Rosario – 20 yards receiving / 0 TD

Prediction: Carolina 20, Buffalo 13 ^ Top

Patriots @ Buccaneers (Kilroy)

Tom Brady / Laurence Maroney / Kevin Faulk
Randy Moss / Wes Welker / Sam Aiken (vs. Tampa Bay)

TB FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +10.9%
TB FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +26.8
TB FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +20.2%
TB FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +4.5%

Projections:
Tom Brady – 290 yards passing / 3 TDs
Laurence Maroney – 100 yards rushing / 1 TD / 10 yards receiving
Kevin Faulk – 20 yards rushing / 0 TDs / 20 yards receiving
Randy Moss – 120 yards receiving / 1 TD
Wes Welker – 90 yards receiving / 1 TD
Sam Aiken – 20 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Ben Watson – 30 yards receiving / 1 TDs

Josh Johnson / Carnell Williams
Antonio Bryant / Michael Clayton / Kellen Winslow (vs. New England)

NE FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -21.4%
NE FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -5.9%
NE FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -24.0%
NE FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -23.6%

Projections:
Josh Johnson – 190 yards passing / 30 yards rushing
Carnell Williams – 70 yards rushing / 20 yards receiving
Antonio Bryant – 50 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Michael Clayton – 30 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Kellen Winslow – 50 yards receiving / 0 TD

Prediction: New England 31, Tampa Bay 6 ^ Top

49ers @ Texans (Kilroy)

Shaun Hill / Steven Jackson
Donnie Avery / Keenan Burton / Randy McMichael (vs. Houston)

HOU FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -7.6%
HOU FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +24.9%
HOU FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +7.8
HOU FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -44.5%

Projections:
Shaun Hill – 200 yards passing / 1 TD; 10 yards rushing
Frank Gore – 80 yards rushing / 1 TD / 30 yards receiving
Isaac Bruce – 60 yards receiving / 0 TD
Arnaz Battle – 30 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Michael Crabtree – 30 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Vernon Davis – 50 yards receiving / 1 TD

Matt Schaub / Steve Slaton
Andre Johnson / Kevin Walter / Jacoby Jones / Owen Daniels (vs. San Francisco)

SF FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +0.7%
SF FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: 0.0%
SF FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +14.4%
SF FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -54.0%

Projections:
Matt Schaub – 260 yards passing / 2 TD / 5 yards rushing
Steve Slaton – 50 yards rushing / 0 TDs / 40 yards receiving
Andre Johnson – 80 yards receiving / 1 TDs
Kevin Walter – 50 yards receiving / 0 TD
Jacoby Jones – 40 yards receiving / 0 TD
Owen Daniels – 40 yards receiving / 0 TD

Prediction: San Francisco 17, Houston 13 ^ Top