Seahawks @ 49ers (Eakin)
Seneca Wallace/Bobby Engram/Koren Robinson/John Carlson
Julius Jones/Maurice Morris (vs. SF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the 49ers this season: Seahawks
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the 49ers this season: Seahawks
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 6.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 7.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 20.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 51.5/69.0/7.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 82.6

Passing Game Thoughts: Seneca Wallace only threw for 73 yards, a TD, and a pick in his first start this year. All indications are that Matt Hasselbeck will not come to the rescue this week. Tampa Bay was an unlucky draw for a first start, but Wallace has been with Seattle for six years and should be able to run the offense by now. If he is incapable, then it begs the question why Seattle has hung on to him for so long. It may be too soon to be so harsh, considering the turmoil the Seahawks have experienced this year. There are no players in the offense likely to put up numbers deserving of a fantasy start with the possible exception of TE John Carlson, who caught the lone TD pass last week.

Nate Clements and Walt Harris played well last week and held the Giants pass offense in check. The 49ers rank in the middle of the pack in fantasy points allowed, but the problem is still the pass rush. They have not made opposing QBs uncomfortable in the pocket. Their corners are physical and disrupt passing despite the lack of support. They should be able to hold the Wallace-led, Seahawks in check. In their last meeting, TE John Carlson had one of his best games of the year, but in general the 49ers do a decent job of covering opposing TEs.

Running Game Thoughts: Seattle will want to rely on their ground attack to relieve pressure for Wallace. They know that Julius Jones and Maurice Morris are their best chance to win. Now that Morris is back in the mix, Jones’ fifteen minutes are probably over. They should find running room as a team, but continue to share carries and render each other flex starters at best.

Patrick Willis played a major role in holding the Giants to a season low in rushing yards last week with nine tackles, three for a loss. The defensive ends for the 49ers are weak against the run, but cornerbacks Nate Clements and Walt Harris are excellent run stuffers for their position. Recently fired HC Mike Nolan was a defensive coach for the team and it remains to be seen how much change will occur on that side of the ball with Chicago Bears legend Mike Singletary taking over the job. Being part of one the greatest and most aggressive defenses in the history of the league leads one to believe if there is change it will be increased blitzing and aggression on pressuring the QB.

Projections:
Seneca Wallace: 145 yds passing/1 TD/1 INT
Bobby Engram: 65 yds receiving /1TD
Koren Robinson: 30 yds receiving
John Carlson: 35 yds receiving
Julius Jones: 55 yds/20 receiving
Maurice Morris: 60 yds/15 receiving/1 TD

J.T. O’Sullivan/Isaac Bruce/Josh Morgan/Vernon Davis
Frank Gore (vs. SEA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: 49ers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: 49ers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 23.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 15.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 0.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 72.4/88.4/11.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 73.6

Passing Game Thoughts: Watching 49er QB J.T. O’Sullivan play is a bit of a wild ride. At times they look like an offense to reckon with. Then just as you’re thinking they are pretty good, O’Sullivan makes a bone-headed throw or questionable play calling stunts the drive. They tend to move the ball well for three quarters only to turn the ball over in crunch time. He does a good job making plays on the run, but they often roll him to the left, forcing him to make throws across his body, which is tough for even the elite QBs in the NFL. Poor reads are expected from QBs that are in their 7th start, but he and the play calling seem overly aggressive at times. If they could just be a little more controlled they would have a chance to turn those close games in the third quarter into wins and their season around with it. A good start to the turnaround may be the continued development of rookie WR Josh Morgan, who had his first breakout performance. He led the team with 86 yards receiving and a TD. He has the size and speed to be a quality WR down the road. Meanwhile, TE Vernon Davis had just one catch for 5 yards as a follow-up to his breakout performance of the year and is back to being fantasy irrelevant. This will be a critical week in evaluating what direction the 49ers may go the rest of the year.

After some uncharacteristically poor performances, the Seattle defense showed signs of improvement against the Bucs. Finding a starting corner to play opposite of Marcus Trufant has been a real problem. Trufant is avoided so the other CB whether it be Kelly Jennings or Josh Wilson gets picked on with success. Until they can improve at that position they will be vulnerable because the expensive, but erratic defensive front has not generated pressure as well as in years past.

Running Game Thoughts: Last week against the Giants, Frank Gore had his least productive game of the year, managing only 11 yards on 11 carries. It was clear the Giants recognized Gore as the heart of the offense. Just remember, Gore has been a top performer all year and will be much more productive against the Seahawks this week. With Seattle’s poor offense, it is unlikely that San Francisco will fall behind to the point that they have to abandon the run. Gore should return to form especially with the 49ers coaching staff using him to pound the rock.

Projections:
J.T. O’Sullivan: 245 yds passing/2 TD/2 INT
Isaac Bruce: 70 yds/1 TD
Josh Morgan: 70 yds/1 TD
Vernon Davis: 25 yds
Frank Gore: 85 yds rushing/35 yds receiving/1 TD

Dolphins @ Bills (Marcoccio)
Chad Pennington/Greg Camarillo/Ted Ginn, Jr./Anthony Fasano/David Martin
Ricky Williams/Ronnie Brown (vs. BUF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: SEA, JAX
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: JAX, OAK, StL, SD
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 10.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 22.9/26.8/3.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 21.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Chad Pennington continued being his efficient self last week against a tough Raven defense, but did throw one careless and costly pick that marred an otherwise productive outing (295 yards, TD). Greg Camarillo continued being Pennington’s “go to guy” in the offense. While he’s a solid, pesky little receiver, it says a lot about the overall strength of the unit that Camarillo leads it in receptions. Surprisingly, FB Patrick Cobbs did not just fade in oblivion (or “Bolivia” if Mike Tyson happens to be reading this) after his amazing Week 6 and was once again used heavily in the passing game finishing with 5 receptions for 64 yards.

Buffalo is the 6th ranked passing defense in the NFL, giving up only 185 yards passing and 1 TD per game.-Jabari Grier and Terrence McGee have played very well – other than Week 5 when Arizona lit the Bills up and make it tough for opposing wide-outs. In their last three weeks (two games) the numbers show that they have been picked apart, but facing Chad Pennington isn’t the same as facing Kurt Warner and Philip Rivers.

Running Game Thoughts: As predicted here, last week the Dolphin’s Wildcat offense wasn’t very effective against Baltimore’s quick and disciplined defense (hey, it’s not very often that I’m right so forgive me for patting my own back). Ronnie Brown was contained (27 yards rushing) for the first time since early in the season and Ricky Williams was about as productive as he was after hitting the bong. However the Miami running unit has been strong over the last couple of weeks and while the single wing is “gimmicky” until last week it has been very effective, so expect it to continue.

While Buffalo’s run defense is not as strong as Baltimore’s, they have been pretty effective, limiting teams to 107.2 yards per game and seven TDs on the season. The Bills have faced some strong rushing attacks this season, making the aforementioned numbers that much more impressive. Marcus Stroud has helped clog up the middle of the line, allowing former Giant, Kawika Mitchell (22 tackles), and second year player, Paul Poluszny (36 tackles), to swarm to the ball. Over the last three weeks, they have allowed opposing RBs to have some nice games so don’t bench Ronnie Brown just because he struggled last week.

Projections:
Chad Pennington: 195 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT
Greg Camarillo: 55 yds receiving
Ted Ginn, Jr.: 15 yds receiving
Anthony Fasano: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
David Martin: 40 yds receiving
Ricky Williams: 45 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving
Ronnie Brown: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 10 yds receiving

Trent Edwards/Lee Evans/Josh Reed/Robert Royal
Marshawn Lynch/Fred Jackson (vs. MIA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: NE, HOU
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: NYJ, BAL
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 11.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 20.1/22.9/3.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 16.9

Passing Game Thoughts: Trent Edwards bounced back nicely after getting his bell rung against Arizona. He passed for 261 yards and a TD, which is about an average day at the office for the former Stanford Cardinal. Lee Evans took the first step toward earning that contract extension that he was awarded before the bye week. He grabbed 8 balls for 89 yards and a TD. WR2 Josh Reed and TE Robert Royal contributed steadily, but their production each week is unspectacular and they are nothing more than bye week fillers at best.

Miami’s pass defense is ranked 23rd in the NFL after giving up 1,412 yards and 9 TDs through the air in six weeks. They even managed to make rookie Joe Flacco look better than just a game manager, albeit not much more – 232 yards and a TD with no interceptions. They have been a good fantasy match up for opposing QBs and WRs, so if Trent Edwards is your backup QB and your starter is on a bye, you are lucking out this week.

Running Game Thoughts: Marshawn Lynch is still looking for the massive stat line that most owners expected when picking him near the turn of round 1 and Round 2 of their fantasy drafts. He continued last week on his steady, but unspectacular path, gaining 70 yards and a TD on the ground. Fred Jackson continues to be a decent bye week filler for desperate owners in ppr leagues as a third down back for the Bills, but nothing more. Should Lynch miss time though, Jackson has shown that he has the quickness, vision, and determination to be a feature back.

The Miami run defense slipped down the rankings a little after allowing Willis McGahee some running room last week. They are currently the ninth-ranked run defense in the league, having allowed 584 yards and 4 TDs in six games. Look for Lynch to have another one of his ho-hum stat lines in Week 8.

Projections:
Trent Edwards: 285 yds passing, 2 TDs
Lee Evans: 110 yds receiving, 1 TD
Josh Reed: 45 yds receiving
Robert Royal: 15 yds receiving
Fred Jackson: 15 yds rushing / 55 yds receiving
Marshawn Lynch: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving

Rams @ Patriots (Marcoccio)
Marc Bulger/Tory Holt/Donnie Avery/Joe Klopfenstein
Stephen Jackson (vs. NE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season: NYJ, SF
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season: KC, MIA, SF, SD
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 17.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 18.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 22.4/23.7/6.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 12.3

Passing Game Thoughts: Quarterback Marc Bulger regained his starting gig after a one week benching and played well enough to beat the Dallas Cowboys. Nevertheless, he put up mediocre numbers (173 yards and a TD) for his fantasy owners (if any still exists). Rookie and the first WR taken in the NFL draft, Donnie Avery, has started to come to life and should start to find his way into fantasy lineups after catching 5 balls for 65 yards and a TD – and he had another TD called back on an offensive penalty. New HC Jim Haslett has gone out of his way to state that Pro-Bowler Tory Holt needs to be more involved in the offense, but that hasn’t happened yet. Holt doesn’t look to be the same player he once was. Second year TE Joe Klopfenstein should be an afterthought in most fantasy leagues, even dynasties as he hasn’t shown much despite his chances this year and last.

The Patriots were lit up like a Christmas tree by Philip Rivers two weeks ago, but held fellow AFC West gunner, Jay Cutler, in check last Monday Night. Cutler did suffer a finger injury early in the game and didn’t look quite right. On the season, the Pats are ranked 10th in passing yards allowed (1,176), but have allowed 10 TDs in 6 games. They have now lost safety Rodney Harrison to injury and while Harrison hasn’t been the same player in years, the loss of his leadership and intimidation can’t help a defense that has already been showing signs of wearing down. Brandon Merriweather who has played well must now step up his game even further to help compensate for Harrison’s loss.

Running Game Thoughts: Steven Jackson was on a mission last week against the Cowboys and ended with 176 total yards and three TDs, but left the game late with a thigh bruise that could possibly sideline him next week. Do you think perhaps Jim Haslet should have pulled his star RB in the 4th quarter of a game where they were blowing out their opponent? Keep an eye on the situation. My gut tells me Jackson will play, but be aware that Travis Minor and/or Antonio Pittman (if he is healthy enough) would replace Jackson in the lineup if necessary. If you’re looking for a Ben Jarvus Green-Ellis surprise guy, it could be recent acquisition Ken Darby – not likely, but possible.

New England’s LBs have not been as effective this season against the run as they have been in the past due to their advanced age and spending more time on the field with their offense unable to move the ball consistently – last week notwithstanding. The Patriots are ranked 15th against the run, giving up 703 yards on the season, but have held opponents to 4 rushing TDs in 6 games.

Projections:
Marc Bulger: 195 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT
Tory Holt: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Donnie Avery: 90 yds receiving
Joe Klopfenstein: 10 yds receiving
Stephen Jackson: 115 yds rushing, 1 TD / 20 yds receiving

Matt Cassell/Randy Moss/Wes Welker/Benjamin Watson
Sammy Morris/Kevin Faulk (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: BUF
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: NYG, SEA, BUF
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 6.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 17.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 12.0/11.6/11.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 25.3

Passing Game Thoughts: Last week, Matt Cassell played his best game of the season, throwing for 185 yards and 3 TDs, but did face the Broncos who at the time were ranked dead last in passing yards allowed. They also lost their top CB, Champ Bailey, during the contest. Plus, Sammy Morris and BenJarvus Green-Ellis ran like the bulls through the streets of Pamplona. Cassell was smart enough to use Randy Moss, who grabbed two of the TDs – one coming on an impressive run after a swing pass. Wes Welker, who has been an effective WR2 in ppr leagues even without Brady, caught the other TD pass. Benjamin Watson also finally came to life, but the Broncos have had trouble containing TEs all season.

To their credit, the Rams defense has shown improvement since Defensive Coordinator Jim Haslett replaced Scott Linehan as head coach and the team did bring back their best CB (Fakhir Brown), who was dumped earlier this season. On the season, the Rams are ranked 20th in passing yards allowed, but as the fantasy numbers above indicate they have played better the last two weeks. With that said, there still isn’t much reason to bench any player facing the Rams.

Running Game Thoughts: As I said last week, china dolls Laurence Maroney and LaMont Jordan have made it a little easier on fantasy owners by missing time, and now Maroney has been placed on IR, making Sammy Morris the hot pickup in leagues where he is available. Sammy Morris, if healthy, will now be getting the brunt of the work in an offense that has to run the ball. He looked fantastic in one half of football Monday night, but one must consider that the Broncos ineptness helped in that regard. Indications are that Morris may indeed miss this game after leaving with a knee injury and LaMont Jordan is “questionable” after practicing on Wednesday but missing Thursday’s practice, so keep in mind that it could be undrafted rookie BenJarvus Green-Ellis getting the start in this juicy match up. He should put up numbers close to what I have down for Morris as he is a similar back and the Rams cannot stop the run. Green is very good at following blocks – he’s not imaginative as a runner – but with good blocking, he’ll get the job done.

The Rams give up 161.5 yards per game on the ground and have allowed 10 rushing TDs in 6 games. Obviously you want to start any RB facing them. They have improved slightly since Haslett has taken over, but that’s like saying Roseanne Barr looks slightly hotter after dropping five pounds.

Projections:
Matt Cassell: 205 yds passing 1 TD, 1 INT
Randy Moss: 75 yds receiving, 1 TD
Wes Welker: 50 yds receiving
Benjamin Watson: 25 yds receiving
Kevin Faulk: 35 yds rushing / 20 yds receiving
Sammy Morris/BenJarvus Green-Ellis: 120 yds rushing, 2 TDs / 5 yds receiving

Chiefs @ Jets (Marcoccio)
Tyler Thigpen/Dwayne Bowe/Mark Bradley/Tony Gonzalez
Kolby Smith/Jamaal Charles (vs. NYJ)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: CIN, OAK
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: CIN
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 13.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 8.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 1.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.0/13.2/4.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 9.6

Passing Game Thoughts: Herm Edwards once famously said “Hello…You play to win the game.” If you look at the above potential skill position players for the Chiefs you can see he no longer follows that philosophy. Tyler Thigpen does not even show glimpses of being a viable NFL QB and the Chiefs seem to be playing games with “star” RB Larry Johnson. Kansas City has signed former Jaguar Quinn Gray earlier this week with Brodie Croyle once again injured – and this time for good in 2008. I applaud the move, because at least Gray has shown some semblance of talent and his skills are suited for this offense. However, it may be a few weeks before he is up to par. Dwayne Bowe and Tony Gonzalez could be putting up much better numbers with good QB play, but are talented enough to at least give some production to their fantasy owners despite the dire circumstances surrounding them. Do you think there were any Gonzo owners out there crossing their fingers at the trade deadline?

The Jets’ defense hasn’t been very good against the pass, but at least statistically they should show vast improvement this week. On the season, they are ranked 19th in the league, having allowed 1,379 yards and 8 TDs in six games. CB Justin Miller is finally healthy, but seems to have lost his job to rookie Dwight Lowery, who has been sharp. Over the last three weeks (2 games) the unit has been a poor match up for opposing fantasy players, but that shouldn’t really surprise anyone since the Bengals and the Raiders were on the schedule – bear in mind though that the Chiefs’ offense is even worse than those two teams.

Running Game Thoughts: I’m not sure exactly why Larry Johnson will be “deactivated” once again in Week 8, but it does seem LJ and the team have been feuding all year. Reports do indicate that Johnson has had another run in with a women in a bar, but the Chiefs have not declared that to be the reason for LJ missing games. I will say that despite being over worked two years ago, which has slowed him down some, he does at least give the Chiefs a legit threat in the backfield and has shown he is still capable against weaker defenses. Kolby Smith got the bulk of the carries last week and was spelled by rookie Jamaal Charles who was used mostly on third downs. That would seem to be the case again, but neither are all that attractive options against a tough run defense while being supported by Thigpen.

The Jets’ run defense has been much improved with the addition of NT Kris Jenkins and the play of second-year ILB David Harris. They are now in the top five statistically on the season. They have allowed 7 TDs on the ground, but three of those came in the second half of the Arizona games when the Jets’ defense backed down a little after the team accumulated what appeared to be an insurmountable first half lead. The Jets usually do the unexpected, so watch Kolby Smith explode for a huge game, but all indications are that the Chiefs should have trouble moving the ball on the ground.

Projections:
Tyler Thigpen: 145 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT / 25 yds rushing
Dwayne Bowe: 60 yds receiving
Mark Bradley: 25 yds receiving
Tony Gonzalez: 55 yds receiving, 1 TD
Jamaal Charles: 25 yards rushing / 25 yards receiving
Kolby Smith: 65 yards rushing, 1 TD

Brett Favre/Laveranues Coles/Jericho Cotchery/Chris Baker
Thomas Jones/Leon Washington (vs. KC)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: CAR
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: NE, OAK, ATL, CAR
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 21.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 15.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 27.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 13.9/12.9/5.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 50.9

Passing Game Thoughts: Rumors are swirling about Brett having a “sore” arm and he did not look good last weekend in Oakland. The Jets relied heavy on the run and most of Brett’s passes seemed out of last year’s playbook. Interesting fact in 2008 Brett Favre is averaging 6.77 yards per pass attempt while alleged “noodle arm” Chad Pennington is averaging 8.12 yards per pass attempt. Jerricho Cotchery has an undisclosed leg injury and missed a lot of time in last week’s game. Interestingly little used Brad Smith was used in his place and not Chansi Stuckey, although it seems that the staff preferred to keep Stuckey in the slot role and Brad Smith subbed in for Coles and Cotchery while each was hurt last year. Keep in mind that Cotchery and Coles are both listed as “questionable” this week and could each be a dreaded GTD, so adding Smith or Stuckey may not be a bade move. Also note that Chris Baker was the Jet TE that got the love from Brett last week and I wouldn’t be shocked if he becomes a favorite of Favre’s as the season progresses.

Kansas City’s pass defense is very respectable from a statistical standpoint (8th in the league in passing yards allowed and only 5 TD is six games) but then again why would any team pass on KC when it’s so easy to run on them? No team has to worry about their offense putting up big points. Tamba Hali and all other Chiefs have been unable get to the passer without Jared Allen in town and the Chiefs have only 3 interceptions on the season. So don’t be fooled into thinking that they are a good pass defense just because they appear in the top 10. Opposing fantasy QBs have fared well against the Chiefs.

Running Game Thoughts: Thomas Jones had his best game of the season, eclipsing 150 yards on the ground, but it was Leon Washington who carried the ball across the stripe from in close last week. Jones is having a good season, but most fans and local media are clamoring for the Jets to pass the ball more since…you know…they went out and traded for some guy who has thrown for more yards than any other player in NFL history this off-season.

Lendale White was able to break off an 80-yard TD run against the Kansas City defense last week. No further analysis is necessary, except to say that the Chiefs have given up 50.9 fantasy points per game to opposing RBs over the last three weeks – shocking, I know - a good 20 points per game more than the next highest team. Start Thomas Jones and Leon Washington if you have them. Hell, you may want to start Curtis Martin, Adrian Murrell, Johnny Hector, Freeman McNeil, Emerson Boozer or any other RB that has worn the green and white if you have them.

Projections:
Brett Favre: 225 yds passing 1 TD, 1 INT
Laveranues Coles: 65 yds receiving
Jerricho Cotchery : 45 yds receiving
Chris Baker: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
Leon Washington: 65 yds rushing, 1 TD / 25 yds receiving
Thomas Jones: 125 yds rushing. 2 TDs / 10 yds receiving

Buccaneers @ Cowboys (Marcoccio)
Jeff Garcia/Antonio Bryant/Michael Clayton/Alex Smith
Earnest Graham/Warrick Dunn (vs. DAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season: PHI, GB, WAS
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season: CLE, GB, ARI
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 22.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 1.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 5.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 19.0/26.9/0.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 19.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Jeff Garcia looked like the perfect fit to run the Buccaneer offense last week, which makes one wonder why Jon Gruden allowed his ego to over-rule his brain and start Brian Griese for a couple of weeks. Garcia moves well in and out of the pocket (and I don’t even need to add the disclaimer “for a 39-year-old, QB”) and is a very smart and accurate passer. Antonio Bryant has always been the poster boy for “million dollar athlete with the ten cent head”, but it looks like his has finally found a home after bouncing around from Dallas to Cleveland to San Francisco and then “taking” the 2007 season off. Michael Clayton who had one of the top-five seasons for a rookie WR has never been a factor again, but is still hanging around, managing to start with ancient duo Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard sidelined.

The Dallas defense has allowed teams to move the ball through the air on them in 2008 and have gotten progressively worse as the season moves on. They are now down two starting CBs and a safety (Terrence Newman, Adam Jones and Roy Williams). They have allowed 1,422 yards and nine scores through the air.

Running Game Thoughts: Much to the dismay of his fantasy owners, but earning the gratitude of Jon Gruden and the admiration of fans, starting tailback Earnest Graham volunteered to play full back after BJ Askew went down. He has still managed to be effective – scoring TDs each of the last two weeks – but has traded some carries for big blocks as he’s led the way for the refreshed Warrick Dunn. At 32, Dunn still has some life left in his legs and provides a nice contrast to the physical Graham. The Buccaneer o-line has played very well, allowing a successful running game. The Bucs did sign a fullback, veteran Jameel Cook, prior to last week’s game so Graham may return to his role as a full-time runner.

The Dallas defense is ranked 16th against the run this season and has allowed 705 rushing yards and 6 TDs (including 3 last week from Stephen Jackson). Roy Williams wasn’t much in pass coverage, but was a very effective run stopper so his loss could cause the ranking to fall further. The Cowboy linebackers are either glorified DEs (DeMarcus Ware and Greg Ellis) or in decline (Zach Thomas) further hurting their chances against the run.

Projections:
Jeff Garcia: 195 yds passing, 1 TD / 20 yards rushing
Antonio Bryant: 80 yds receiving, 1 TD
Michael Clayton: 35 yds receiving
Alex Smith: 30 yds receiving
Earnest Graham: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 10 yards receiving
Warrick Dunn: 45 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving

Brad Johnson/Terrell Owens/Patrick Crayton/Roy Williams/Jason Witten
Marion Barber III (vs. TB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Buccaneers this season: CHI, DEN, CAR
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Buccaneers this season: ATL, CHI, GB, SEA
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 13.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 11.1/13.9/5.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 9.8

Passing Game Thoughts: Brad Johnson threw thee picks and newly acquired WR Roy Williams did not catch a ball and that alone tells you what kind of day it was for the Cowboys passing attack last week. Terrell Owens, who has been a non-factor most of this season, caught only two balls and things could start to get ugly in Dallas soon as TO steams about the way he is being used. The Cowboys face two of the NFC’s top teams without Tony Romo to potentially head into their bye at 4-5 after many anointed them Super Bowl champions earlier this season. Jason Witten has been the top fantasy TE all season by a wide margin, but had his worst game with Johnson at the helm. He still finished with a respectable 6 catches for 44 yards. At 40 Johnson has lost some arm strength – and his arm was never that strong to begin with – but should still be smart and accurate enough to get the job done with the weapons at his disposal, so don’t write those next two Cowboy losses in pen just yet.

Statistically. Tampa Bay has not been the dominant defense that they have been in the past and are only the 22nd ranked defense in passing yards allowed with 1,408 yards and 9 TDs given up on the season. If the Cover 2 defense has a weakness, it is that it can be exposed down the middle, and with Jason Witten at their disposal, the Cowboys should go that route which then may open things up on the outside for Owens and Williams.

Running Game Thoughts: Marion Barber ran for 100 yards and a TD last week to continue his fine season as the feature back of the Cowboys. With Felix Jones sidelined for 2-4 weeks (including last week), Barber should see even more carries to the delight of his owners.

The Bucs are the 12th ranked defense against the run from a yardage standpoint, allowing 91.6 yards per game, but have amazingly not allowed a rushing TD in the seven games they have played making them a tough match up for fantasy RBs. Barber meanwhile has scored 7 TDs in 7 games (5 rushing) so something will have to give this Sunday.

Projections:
Brad Johnson: 205 yds passing 1 TD
Terrell Owens: 45 yds receiving
Patrick Crayton: 20 yds receiving
Roy Williams: 25 yds receiving
Jason Witten: 65 yds receiving, 1 TD
Marion Barber: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving

Falcons @ Eagles (Marcoccio)
Matt Ryan/Roddy White/Michael Jenkins/Harry Douglas
Michael Turner/Jerius Norwood (vs. PHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: CHI
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: StL, DAL, CHI, WAS, SF
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 14.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 9.6/7.7/12.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 23.4

Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Ryan is already playing at the level that I thought was about his ceiling during his career – a good leader that would play mistake free football and who could step up and make plays when needed. The fact that he is at that level as a rookie tells me he is likely capable of greater things down the road. Roddy White has not really missed a beat from his breakout 2007 campaign despite playing with a rookie. Ryan has played every bit as well as the journeymen QBs that led the Falcons last season. Former Louisville WR Harry Douglas is starting to expand his role, and could move past career underachiever Michael Jenkins on the depth chart at some point this season.

On the season, the Eagles have allowed 1,127 yards passing and 7 TDs through the air to rank 7th overall. They have sacked opposing QBs an impressive 21 times in six games despite lacking a standout pass rusher. Defensive ends Juqua Thomas (4.5 sacks), Darren Howard (3.5) and Trent Cole (3 sacks) lead the way, but a lot the pressures they put on opposing QBs come as a result of their famous blitz packages. Matt Ryan will truly impress if he remains poised under the constant pressure he is likely to see on Sunday.

Running Game Thoughts: Michael Turner’s overall numbers look very impressive - 597 yards rushing 6 TDs through six games – but a closer look shows that he has feasted on some poor defenses (DET, KC, GB) and has struggled against some stout run defenses (TB, CAR, CHI). The man is impressive however, as he has the size to bull through people and outstanding straight line speed after he breaks through. Jerious Norwood still has the change of pace role he had when Warrick Dunn was around and continues to impress in small doses. He’s the classic all or nothing back in that he lacks the strength to break tackles and often gets stopped for no gain, but has the stutter step and speed to break long runs when he does see space. The young o-line for Atlanta has really come together under Head Coach Mike Smith after being asked to do what it couldn’t under Bobby Petrino.

The Eagles run defense was at one point ranked first in the NFL, but have slipped and are now ranked 7th in the league. They have allowed 100-yard rushers in back-to-back games (Clinton Portis, Frank Gore). While Turner is not yet on the level of those two RBs, he could find some running room is the Eagles did not spend the bye week plugging some holes.

Projections:
Matt Ryan: 165 yds passing, 1 INT / 15 yards rushing
Roddy White: 65 yds receiving
Michael Jenkins: 15 yds receiving
Harry Douglas: 40 yds receiving
Michael Turner: 95 yards rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving
Jerius Norwood: 45 yards rushing / 15 yards receiving

Donovan McNabb/Reggie Brown/DeSean Jackson/Kevin Curtis/L.J. Smith
Brian Westbrook/Correll Buckhalter (vs. ATL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Falcons this season: GB
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Falcons this season: CAR, CHI
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 32.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 16
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 8.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 12.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 26.2/27.5/12.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Donovan McNabb is likely going to get back his two starting WRs for Week 8 – Reggie Brown and Kevin Curtis. Brown played three weeks ago after missing time with a hamstring injury and stepped right in and contributed 70+ yards, but then missed the following week. Kevin Curtis has missed all season with a hernia injury, but was explosive at times last season. Rookie sensation DeSean Jackson has been dynamic thus far and should still see his hare of throws in his direction but may be moved to the slot which could actually help his production in this offense. Tight end LJ Smith has missed time with a back injury and is also expected to return.

Atlanta’s pass defense is ranked 21st in the league having allowed 1,390 yards and 10 TDs in the Falcon’s first six games. They can be passed on which doesn’t bode well when facing a pass first offense. They have not generated much of a pass rush with only 10 sacks on the season and young corners. As the numbers above indicate the Atlanta defense is a very favorable match up for your passing game fantasy players, so McNabb should have a nice day for his owners.

Running Game Thoughts: Brian Westbrook missed the last two games with broken ribs, but should be back following the bye. Correll Bukhalter may be asked to carry some of the load as he stepped in and contributed nicely in Westbrook’s absence, but the offense should still flow around Westbrook as they are better when it does.

Atlanta is the 17th ranked run defense, having allowed 708 yards rushing and six TDs on the ground. They have been improving steadily under Mike Smith, but are still young and inexperienced outside of a few veterans like Keith Brooking and Lawyer Milloy.

Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 305 yds passing 3 TDs / 15 yards rushing
Reggie Brown: 45 yds receiving
Kevin Curtis: 55 yds receiving, 1 TD
DeSean Jackson: 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
L.J. Smith: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
Brian Westbrook: 65 yds rushing, 1 TD / 35 yds receiving
Correll Buckhalter: 35 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving

Redskins @ Lions (Mack)
Jason Campbell / Santana Moss / Antwaan Randle El / Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis / Shaun Alexander (vs. Det)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: Chicago
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: Minnesota
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 26
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 16.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 21
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 9

Passing Game Thoughts: Jason Campbell has been a pleasant surprise so far this season, both from a fantasy and NFL perspective. He doesn’t wow you with his stats or his play-making ability, but he’s been productive, efficient and most of all, turnover-free. What’s frustrating about Washington’s passing game is, well, that they’re such a great running team. Head coach Jim Zorn relies so heavily on RB Clinton Portis that Campbell isn’t call upon very much to win games. While that’s fantastic for the ‘Skins, it’s painful for fantasy owners. Zorn’s conservative play calling is nauseatingly dreadful and handcuffs any explosive potential Campbell may have.

Ok, enough of the selfish talk. The bottom line is Washington’s passing game has been effective this year, and this week’s match-up against the winless Detroit Lions sets up beautifully for the Redskins’ skill players. The Lions have no one quick or fast enough to cover Santana Moss, no LBs athletic enough to keep up with the swift-footed Chris Cooley, nor do they have the pass rush necessary to disrupt Campbell in any discernable way. Points in the NFL come from the passing game, and the Lions are last in the league in that category, giving up 31 points per game. This game has blowout written all over it, so the only worry I would have as an owner of someone on the ‘Skins’ passing game would be them jumping ahead early and relying on Portis for the bulk of the game.

Running Game Thoughts: Portis’ 818 yards through seven games leads the league, and now he gets to run all over the Lions and their 31st ranked run defense. He has been tremendous this year, showing the acceleration and vision we haven’t seen from him since his days in Denver. Portis is on pace to have 372 carries for the season, which would be the most in his career. Who knows if that could play into Zorn’s decision to spell Portis more often during games as the year unfolds, especially with Shaun Alexander now in the mix? Plus, Portis has been battling a hip flexor injury that has limited him in practice the last several weeks, in addition to shin, ankle and neck injuries. But as last week’s game proves, it hasn’t affected Portis’ production much.

With the potential this game has of becoming one-sided in a hurry, Portis has an opportunity to match last week’s numbers. The Lions are overmatched defensively at every level, and the Tampa Two defense the Lions employ that includes countless rejects from Tampa Bay has been ineffective. Teams have thrown on the Lions and teams have run on them and they can do nothing to stop them. If Portis is healthy and the game remains competitive for more than a half, he may threaten 200 yards.

Projections:
Jason Campbell: 250 yards passing / 2 TDs
Santana Moss: 145 yards rec. / 1 TD
Antwaan Randle El: 60 yards rec.
Chris Cooley: 55 yards rec. / 1 TD
Clinton Portis: 165 yards / 2 TDs
Shaun Alexander: 35 yards

Dan Orlovsky / Calvin Johnson / Mike Furrey / Shaun McDonald
Kevin Smith / Rudi Johnson (vs. Was.)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: St. Louis
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: Cleveland
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A

Passing Game Thoughts: Fourth year QB Dan Orlovsky hasn’t been the abject failure I thought he would be, but he hasn’t set the world ablaze either. Considering what he is (average to below-average QB) and what the Lions’ offense is (the worst in the league), heck, he hasn’t done half bad. It’s never a good thing for a QB to lose a receiver weapon the way Orlovsky lost Roy Williams. That now leaves Calvin Johnson as Detroit’s one-trick pony in the passing game. Teams can now double team #81 and leave the other less talented WRs one-on-one against opposing D-backs. Johnson was targeted only four times last week against Houston, despite the Lions being down by 21 points in the first half. That’s simply not good enough. He has to get the ball thrown his way if Detroit is to mount any kind of fight.

The Redskins come into this contest with only nine sacks, but the Lions have surrendered 24. Getting the ball to Johnson will be a moot point if Detroit can’t keep defenders from harassing its young QB. CBs Shawn Springs and Fred Smoot are battling injuries and may be unable to play, so that could be a huge plus in the Lions’ favor. Detroit has the league’s worst running game, so the ability for the Lions to move the ball will fall on the shoulders of Orlovsky and the passing game. But the Lions simply don’t have the talent on offense besides Johnson, so that makes them easy to defend. The Lions haven’t been in any game so far and I don’t see why that would change with one of the best teams in the NFC pays a visit to Ford Field.

Running Game Thoughts: It’s a painful sight to watch the Lions’ run the football. The offensive line consistently has difficulty opening holes for whoever totes the rock, and quite frankly, with the Lions falling behind in games so fast, the ground game is rendered useless before their opponents work up a sweat. And with Detroit’s 30th ranked running attack going headlong against Washington’s 7th ranked run defense, it stands to reason that the going will continue to be tough for both Kevin Smith and Rudi Johnson.

Head coach Rod Marinelli’s mantra of “pound the rock” sounds good, but the coach’s vision of having a physical offensive philosophy has been a pipedream. The Lions have not had anything resembling an above-average running since he arrival in Motown. As has been the case for all Lions’ games so far this season, expect Detroit to play from behind most of the afternoon. Both Johnson and Smith will be non-factors and should be as far away from your starting line-up as possible.

Projections:
Dan Orlovsky: 180 yards passing / 1 TD / 2 INT
Calvin Johnson: 95 yards rec./ 1 TD
Mike Furrey: 50 yards rec.
Shaun McDonald: 35 yards rec.
Rudi Johnson: 45 yards rushing
Kevin Smith: 30 yards rushing

Raiders @ Ravens (Mack)
JaMarcus Russell / Javon Walker / Ronald Curry / Ashley Lelie / Zach Miller
Darren McFadden / Justin Fargas / Michael Bush (vs. Bal.)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: Cleveland
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: Tennessee
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 10
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 4

Passing Game Thoughts: JaMarcus Russell has quietly put up fairly respectable numbers for a second year QB. His stats won’t jump off the page, but compared to the ill-prepared, erratic player he appeared to be last year, his career seems to be on an upward trajectory. His development is made even more surprising because the Raiders are devoid of much talent at the WR position, Javon Walker’s good game last week notwithstanding.

Russell will really find out what an NFL defense is capable of when Oakland makes the cross-country trip to play Baltimore. The Ravens’ exotic blitz schemes and playmakers galore on the defensive side should give Russell fits. Walker and fellow WRs Ronald Curry and Ashley Lelie will be no match for Baltimore’s ball-hawking secondary, although TE Zach Miller should be a force on seam routes. Ravens’ defensive coordinator Rob Ryan may try to show his brother, Rex, how it’s done. Rex is Oakland’s defensive coordinator. Sibling rivalries aside, the Raiders lack the offensive firepower to put a dent in Baltimore’s defense. This may prove to be a low-scoring contest, so the passing game for both teams may take a back seat to the defenses.

Running Game Thoughts: Justin Fargas appears fully recovered from the groin injury that sidelined him earlier in the season. His 28 rushing attempts more than tripled that of rookie Darren McFadden. Although Fargas’ yards per carry was a minuscule 2.6, it’s yet more proof that Oakland is committed to the ground game and hopes to maintain that approach as JaMarcus Russell continues his development.

Oakland’s 5th ranked running game and Baltimore’s top ranked run defense will be where this game is won or lost. The Raiders will utilize the two-headed monster of Fargas and McFadden in an attempt to show a physical presence. Both backs will be used in the passing game, as Russell looks to avoid the inevitable pressure from the Ravens by short dump-off throws to Fargas and McFadden. I don’t suspect either will put up numbers of any significance, both as a result of their opponent and the fact that they share carries. Tread with caution if you have to rely on one of these backs.

Projections:
JaMarcus Russell: 165 yards passing / 1 TDs / 1 INT
Javon Walker: 55 yards rec.
Ronald Curry: 20 yards rec.
Ashley Lelie: 20 yards rec.
Zach Miller: 35 yards rec. / 1 TD
Justin Fargas: 65 yards rushing
Darren McFadden: 50 yards rushing / 35 yards rec.

Joe Flacco / Derrick Mason / Mark Clayton / Todd Heap
Willis McGahee / Le’Ron McClain / Ron Rice (vs. Oak)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: Kansas City
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 16

Passing Game Thoughts: After two sub-par games against Tennessee and Indianapolis in which he tossed a total of five INTs, Joe Flacco delivered big time last week. He threw for 232 yards with a 74 percent completion percentage and a TD against Miami on the road. The Dolphins aren’t the best pass defense in the world, but the rookie needs all the good fortune he can get. Oakland’s defense is not an overpowering unit, so Flacco should continue his fine play this week.

Derrick Mason is one of the most underappreciated fantasy players around. Each year we write him off and apply some obscure reason: he’s a year older…his QB stinks…. he’s only a possession WR…. blah, blah, blah. Meanwhile, Mason continues to provide value as a #3 WR in the fantasy world even WITH all of the shortcomings. Mason is the Ravens’ only receiving threat. He has more than twice the number of receptions as the guy at #2—Mark Clayton. And Todd Heap seems to have fallen from the fantasy landscape; he’s been a complete non-factor. Mason, however, will have a battle on his hands going up against Oakland’s Nnamdi Asomugha, who last week held the Jets’ Jerricho Cotchery to one catch for zero yards.

Running Game Thoughts: Willis McGahee had his best game last week, running for 105 yards and a TD against Miami. He showed vision, quickness, balance and an explosiveness he hadn’t exhibited all season. But with the nagging injuries he sustained late in preseason and into the regular season, it’s easy to see why. Baltimore’s trio of backs (McGahee, Ron Rice, Le’Ron McClain) complements each other well, with each bringing something different to the game. That kind of a diversified backfield may create problems for an Oakland team that has had its share of difficulties stopping the run in 2008.

This will prove to be a game in which RBs on both teams earn their paycheck. A game plan centered on a running attack in an attempt to get and keep the ball out of Flacco’s hands seems to be the most logical choice for Baltimore. The Ravens had 35 running plays compared to 23 pass plays last week and still scored 27 points; that’s Ravens football and that’s the formula I suspect they will use against Oakland. McGahee will once again lead the way, with Rice and McClain spelling him throughout the contest.

Projections:
Joe Flacco: 165 yards passing / 0 TDs / 1 INT
Derrick Mason: 90 yards rec.
Mark Clayton: 40 yards rec.
Todd Heap: 35 yards rec.
Willis McGahee: 85 yards rushing / 1 TD
Le’Ron McClain: 30 yards rushing / 1 TD
Ron Rice: 25 yards rushing

Giants @ Steelers (Mack)
Eli Manning / Plaxico Burress / Amani Toomer / Steve Smith
Brandon Jacobs / Ahmad Bradshaw / Derrick Ward (vs. Pit)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: Philadelphia
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: Baltimore
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 8

Passing Game Thoughts: As of this writing, Plaxico Burress is questionable with neck and shoulder problems. Who knows if he will play or not, but if week 5 is any indication, the Giants will make due just fine without him. New York scored a season-high 44 points during Burress’ suspension—a game against Seattle. Granted, it’s the Seahawks, but you get the point. Eli Manning has been a solid, if not spectacular fantasy player so far in 2008. He has spread the ball around nicely to all of his weapons. New York’s top three WRs (Burress, Smith, Toomer) all have at least 20 catches, proving it’s difficult to lock down on one WR.

Manning and is crew will have a tough go on Sunday. Pittsburgh as the league’s top-rated overall defense, and in typical Steeler fashion, they bring the heat. Pittsburgh’s 25 sacks lead the league, but the Giants have only given up six. That should be an interesting battle-within-the- battle. Manning had better know where Steeler S Troy Polamalu is at all times. He’s one of the top three safeties in the league and will take full advantage of any Manning mishap.

Running Game Thoughts: This is the encounter I can’t wait to see: the league’s top-ranked running offense vs. its second best run defense? It doesn’t get much better than that: The irresistible force against the immovable object. Classic. The Giants’ RBs are all gifted in their area of specialty. Brandon Jacobs is the bulldozer, Derrick Ward is the receiving specialist and Ahmad Bradshaw is the homerun hitter. They all will have tough match-ups on Sunday, but it’s going to be worth the price of admission.

The key to the running game will be Manning’s ability to keep down-and-distance manageable. The Giants are at their best when it’s 2nd and 5 or 3rd and 3. If they find themselves in 2nd and 3rd and longs against Pittsburgh’s defense, the running game will be an afterthought and New York’s game plan will be out the window. But if those down-and-distances are manageable throughout the game, the Steelers should expect to see a heavy dose of Jacobs, followed by the contrasting styles of Bradshaw and Ward.

Projections:
Eli Manning: 190 yards passing / 1 TD / 1 INT
Plaxico Burress: 85 yards rec. / 1 TD
Steve Smith: 55 yards rec.
Amani Toomer: 40 yards rec.
Brandon Jacobs: 65 yards rushing / 1 TD
Derrick Ward: 35 yards rushing / 25 yards rec.
Ahmad Bradshaw: 20 yards rushing

Ben Roethlisberger / Hines Ward / Santonio Holmes / Nate Washington / Heath Miller
Mewelde Moore / Willie Parker (vs. NYG)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: Washington
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: Washington
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 8

Passing Game Thoughts: Ben Roethlisberger has been ablaze during the past three games, throwing six TDs against only two INTs. He’s stilling getting beat to a pulp in the pocket, but he’s shown tremendous courage while under siege in the pocket my opposing defenses. If the Steelers want their signal caller to make to Halloween, they’d best make every effort of protect their $100 million investment. Big Ben has taken way too many hits this year, and I’m sure his fantasy owners cringe with fear each time he drops back to pass.

The Giants’ 21 sacks are tied for second place in the league and the Steelers have given up 19 while allowing pressure on Roethlisberger countless other times. That’s not a good sign when the aggressive Giants are paying you a visit. The tape is out there for all to see, so I’m sure the Giants have identified the apparent flaws in Pittsburgh’s protection scheme and will use their athletic front four to take advantage of them. Hines Ward has started to come on as of late, and Nate Washington proven a healthy surprise. Santonio Holmes will add pressure with deep routes while Ward works things underneath. With the chances that the Giants like to take, there will be opportunities for big plays down the field. So when New York brings the heat, Pittsburgh must be able to capitalize.

Running Game Thoughts: Pittsburgh’s Mewelde Moore has filled in admirably for the injured Willie Parker. He’s averaged 110 yards per contest in the two games he started. Moore entered the season as the third string RB, but he has become a very nice addition to countless fantasy rosters and will continue be so as long as Parker remains out of the line-up. As of Thursday evening, Parker’s status remains in question, so Moore may get the start once again. If that is the case, I like him to continue his solid play.

The Giants are stingy on defense against the run, ranking 5th in the league. But I think the Steelers will test them. I believe Pittsburgh will open up the game with an emphasis on the running game, loosening up the defense a bit before attempting an over-the-top throw deep to Holmes. It’s going to be crucial that Pittsburgh establishes a ground game because they do not want to become predictably one-dimensional against the Giants’ defense. As far as Parker’s ability to play, I say he tries to give it a go, but he may be eased back into action while sharing carries with Moore. That makes them both question marks heading into the game, but obviously keep an ear open for the latest developments regarding Parker’s status.

Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger: 210 yards passing / 2 TDs
Santonio Holmes: 90 yards rec. / 1 TD
Hines Ward: 70 yards rec.
Heath Miller: 35 yards rec. / 1 TD
Mewelde Moore: 55 yards rushing
Willie Parker: 45 yards rushing

Chargers @ Saints (Dhawan)
Philip Rivers/Chris Chambers/Vincent Jackson/ Malcolm Floyd/Antonio Gates
LaDainian Tomlinson/ Darren Sproles (vs. NO)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -5.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +8.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -5.2%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -29.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: Philip Rivers started the season on a roll, as Tomlinson and the run game was slowed by injury and asynchrony. He has, however, slowed down after the hot start and become very predictable, averaging less than 10 yards per completion last outing. In Chris Chambers’ absence, Malcolm Floyd and Vincent Jackson have posted back-to-back games with yards and a TD. Antonio Gates has become mortal, unable to post the ethereal stats of his prior 4 campaigns. Rivers should post well against a New Orleans defense still soft through the air. This game is at Wembley Stadium, England, so take into account the travel and time conflicts upon the players.

Running Game Thoughts: Fantasy footballers pulling the trigger on Tomlinson as their first overall player are waiting for the ROI [return on investment]. He has shown some flashes of his brilliance, but has by and large been a disappointment. Most will hope that the bye week after this overseas game will heal the key offensive line members [T Marcus McNeill and C Nick Hardwick] as well as Tomlinson himself. Expect a rebound, but this is still the Saints unit that shutdown Adrian Peterson.

Projections:
Philip Rivers: 255 pass/ 2 TD/ 2 INT
Chris Chambers: questionable
Vincent Jackson: 85 rec/1 TD
Malcolm Floyd: 70 rec/1 TD
Antonio Gates: 50 rec
LaDainian Tomlinson: 70 rush/30 rec/1 TD
Darren Sproles: 40 rush/ 20 rec

Drew Brees/Marques Colston/Devery Henderson/Lance Moore/Robert Meachem/ Jeremy Shockey/Billy Miller
Deuce McAllister (vs. SD)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +5.7%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -8.7%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +37.7%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -7.0%

Passing Game Thoughts: Last week, we saw the first glitch in the “Drew Brees 2008 passing show”. The Panthers were able to harass the QB and contain the receivers, even on deep routes. More significant may have been the injury to Reggie Bush [knee], as his customary mismatch flat routes were not available to clear space in the middle of the field. I would expect a big rebound after a bad outing, and the Chargers defense is not the same unit as last season, unable of placing constant pressure on QBs.

Running Game Thoughts: Reggie Bush is out with a knee injury, so preseason long shot/handcuff Pierre Thomas gets the call alongside Deuce McAllister. Deuce has posted 100 yards total in his past 2 games, but will be called upon a lot in the next month as Bush rehabs from arthroscopy [meniscus repair, predicted absence 3-4 weeks]. The Chargers have allowed running back success this year, so start these players with confidence.

Projections:
Drew Brees: 300 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Marques Colston: 50 rec
Devery Henderson: 75 rec/1 TD
Robert Meachem: 60 rec
Jeremy Shockey: 55 rec
Billy Miller: 30 rec
Reggie Bush: out
Deuce McAllister: 50 rush/1 TD
Pierre Thomas: 40 rush/ 30 rec

Cardinals @ Panthers (Dhawan)
Kurt Warner/Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin/Steve Breaston/ Early Doucet/Leonard Pope
Edgerrin James/Tim Hightower (vs. CAR)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -36.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -50.1%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +20.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -23.1%

Passing Game Thoughts: The Cardinals posted impressive back-to-back victories over the Bills and Cowboys prior to their bye. QB Kurt Warner continues his fantasy sleeper value with a high level of play despite the injury and recovery of WR Anquan Boldin [hopes to suit up this week]. Steve Breaston has been solid opposite Larry Fitzgerald, posting nearly 300 yards and a TD over his past 3 games. Look for continued stats from this explosive pass offense.

Running Game Thoughts: Edgerrin James has seen his touches diminish rapidly over the past month, with 2 outings of only 9 carries each. The rugged RB who built his reputation as a Colt has also posted a career low YPC this season. Rookie HB Tim Hightower has seen about 10-12 touches per game this year, and has 5TDs. Expect a continued mix of touches in this pass first offense desperate for run balance. Dynasty owners should temper their moves for Hightower, as he is not yet a proven every down commodity.

Projections:
Kurt Warner: 270 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 100 rec/1TD
Anquan Boldin: 50 rec
Steve Breaston: 50 rec
Early Doucet: 30 rec
Leonard Pope: 20 rec/1 TD
Edgerrin James: 65 rush/1 TD
Tim Hightower: 35 rush

Jake Delhomme/Steve Smith/Muhsin Muhammad/ D.J. Hackett/ Dwayne Jarrett/ Dante Rosario
DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart (vs. ARI)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +56.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +45.3%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +34.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -19.3%

Passing Game Thoughts: Jake Delhomme ran a very methodical show last week versus the Saints. He mixed runs with his passes, and hit Steve Smith for a long TD. His arm still looks good, and he continues to rehash his rapport with Muhsin Muhammad. The Cardinals secondary is talented, but still lacks elite awareness; their pass rush, however, performed at an elite level the last two victories. Darnell Dockett in particular has played lights out, so he could harass Delhomme enough to slow the pass game.

Running Game Thoughts: The run game recipe was equal parts Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams last week. Both backs toted the rock 17 times, and each posted 60 yards and a TD [Stewart on the ground, Williams in the air]. That will not change as HC John Fox is firm in his plan and formula to winning. This will be a tough game as Arizona has not allowed a 70 yard rusher the past 4 contests.

Projections:
Jake Delhomme: 230 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Steve Smith: 80 rec/1 TD
D.J. Hackett: 30 rec
Muhsin Muhammad: 55 rec/1 TD
Dwayne Jarrett: 10 rec
Dante Rosario: 40 rec
DeAngelo Williams: 40 rush
Jonathan Stewart: 40 rush

Colts @ Titans (Dhawan)
Peyton Manning/ Marvin Harrison/ Reggie Wayne/ Anthony Gonzalez/ Dallas Clark/ Tom Santi
Joseph Addai/ Dominic Rhodes (vs. TEN)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -25.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -38.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +11.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +25.9%

Passing Game Thoughts: With nearly half a season gone, Peyton Manning has only 1500 yards and 8 TDs. The pundits will point to HC Tony Dungy’s control of the club, and his surefire message that patience and time will clear up the mishaps and misfortunes of this season. After all, the conference and season had been handed to them on a silver platter, as nemesis New England is down for the count. So what gives? Is it ultimately timing and not yet being at razor sharp level? This was the thought on two questionable throws that were intercepted and returned for TDs. Is it the inevitable downturn in the careers of the stalwart Colts? Most analysts will tell you that as long as Dungy and Manning are there, this team will be fine. Owners must still play the super QB and his catch men, as evidenced by his classical explosion versus the vaunted Ravens 2 games ago. The Titans have the league’s best defense right now, but #18 is always a good bet on MNF.

Running Game Thoughts: Waiver wire rats who snared HB Dominic Rhodes were rewarded with 80 yards and 2TDs. Joseph Addai continues to nurse a pulled hamstring, and Rhodes is the play for the next 2 games. This week is a big test against the defensive front of the Titans and Defensive MVP candidate Albert Haynesworth. Rhodes is still a play as the Colts need play calling balance to setup the play action deep to Wayne, Harrison, Gonzalez, and Clark.

Projections:
Peyton Manning: 280 pass/3 TD/1 INT
Marvin Harrison: 40 rec/1 TD
Reggie Wayne: 100 rec/ 1 TD
Anthony Gonzalez: 50 rec
Dallas Clark: 50 rec/1 TD
Tom Santi: 30 rec
Dominic Rhodes: 50 rush/1 TD

Kerry Collins/Justin Gage/Justin McCareins/Brandon Jones/LaVelle Hawkins/Alge Crumpler/Bo Scaife
LenDale White/Chris Johnson (vs. IND)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -21.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -33.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -28.3%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +25.9%

Passing Game Thoughts: The Titans remain undefeated under the leadership and direction of veteran QB Kerry Collins. Using the most powerful run game in football, Collins has played with poise, precision, and command. He is finally getting ex-Falcon TE Alge Crumpler into the mix, and developing WRs Justin Gage, LaVelle Hawkins, and Chris Davis. None of these are fantasy plays yet, but Collins is a low level QB2/QB3. He will complete passes against the zone, as long as Colts pass rushers Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis do not get loose on bookend tackles David Stewart and Michael Roos.

Running Game Thoughts: It is official: LenDale White’s 80 yard TD run will be among the top 10 highlights of the season. No one knew the big guy could rumble that distance that quickly, but he did. This is the best running duo in football, with a HC and game plan committed to running and splitting the carries. ‘Superjets’ is making his play for ROY, and White has accrued 8TDs thus far. Owners should trade for either runner if possible, as Tennessee will not deviate from its winning formula down the December stretch.

Projections:
Kerry Collins: 200 pass/1 TD/1 INT/
Justin Gage: 30 rec
Justin McCareins: 30 rec
Brandon Jones: 30 rec
LaVelle Hawkins: 20 rec
Alge Crumpler: 40 rec
Bo Scaife: 40 rec/1TD
LenDale White: 70 rush/1 TD
Chris Johnson: 80 rush/1 TD

Browns @ Jaguars (Dhawan)
Derek Anderson/Braylon Edwards/Donte Stallworth/Kellen Winslow/Syndric Steptoe/Steve Heiden
Jamal Lewis (vs. JAX)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +33.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +33.6%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +30.3%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -12.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: Derek Anderson broke out of his season long slump on MNF versus the SB champion Giants, finding star WR Braylon Edwards for repeated big gains and TD. The offensive line protected him well, and he displayed the confidence in his arm and receivers that made him a 29TD passer last year. Last week’s hiccup against the rebounding Redskins was palatable, but a return to form will be expected this week. TE Kellen Winslow will miss his second straight game following an illness and hospitalization due to team suspension [his appeal will be held Tuesday, with possible reimbursement of his game check]. Edwards will have battle against top flight corner Rashean Mathis. Anderson must use the other targets to post good stats.

Running Game Thoughts: Jamal Lewis got back on track with two good games [160 combined rush yards, 1TD] thanks to the health of his blockers. He should be able to push around the Jaguars front for solid yardage, as they have been notably below their usual level of play. Lewis scored 4TDs last season against the similarly built defense of Seattle.

Projections:
Derek Anderson: 225 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Braylon Edwards: 90 rec/1 TD
Donte Stallworth: 50 rec
Kellen Winslow: suspended
Syndric Steptoe: 40 rec/1 TD
Steve Heiden: 40 rec
Jamal Lewis: 90 rush/1 TD

David Garrard/Matt Jones/Dennis Northcutt/Reggie Williams/Marcedes Lewis/Greg Estandia
Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. CLE)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -28.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -16.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -45.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +9.5%

Passing Game Thoughts: David Garrard was sharp his last outing against the Denver Broncos. He should have been, as the Broncos are allowing an atrocious 70+% completion rate to opposing QBs: yes, a secondary with CBs Champ Bailey and Dre Bly allows that many completions. 3 words---zero pass rush. Matt Jones will start his 3 game suspension this week, and has been the main cog for Garrard, although his found 8 different players last game. Expect Reggie Williams to be the main target against Browns corners Brandon McDonald and Eric Wright.

Running Game Thoughts: Maurice Jones-Drew torched the Broncos for his best outing of the season, a 93 yard 2TD effort. Fred Taylor is still woozy from the concussion in week 6, so watch for his carries to be diminished. Jones-Drew and fullback hybrid Greg Jones would benefit from this split in the workload. The Browns are still the 25th worst rush defense, so the plan stays the same for the Jaguars.

Projections:
David Garrard: 260 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Matt Jones: suspended
Dennis Northcutt: 40 rec
Reggie Williams: 70 rec/1 TD
Marcedes Lewis: 30 rec
Greg Estandia: 30 rec/1 TD
Fred Taylor: 30 rush
Maurice Jones-Drew: 80 rush/2 TD

Bengals @ Texans (Dhawan)
Ryan Fitzpatrick/Chad Johnson/TJ Houshmandzadeh/Antonio Chatman/Chris Henry/Ben Utecht
Cedric Benson/Chris Perry (vs. HOU)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +19.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -8.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +12.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +27.1%

Passing Game Thoughts: Carson Palmer is still out with an elbow injury. The speculation is growing that the injury is more than a lingering one, and that after physician consultation last week, coupled with the team’s plummeting and horrid record, Palmer may be placed on the Injured Reserve list soon. Fitzpatrick is serviceable, but is not a franchise player, and his effect on the weapons in Cincy is massive. Johnson is enduring an abomination of a season, while Houshmandzadeh has found successful outbreaks only when Palmer suited up. Now, they are both decent PPR league value if anything. Chris Henry’s return is wasted as no deep ball can be found. Yet, Fitzpatrick is an intriguing play this week. Why? His previous meeting with the Texans in 2005 yielded his career performance, a 300 yard/3 TD thriller ending in OT.

Running Game Thoughts: Cedric Benson is the starting running back for the Bengals. That is just about where the positives end. The offensive line has been terribly inconsistent and unable to open holes for the injury ridden player who has finally found health and the starter job. The offense cannot move, so he is not even a TD threat. Unless you are in a deep league with bye week issues, Benson or Perry are viable options.

Projections:
Ryan Fitzpatrick: 265 pass/2 TD/ 2INT
Chad Johnson: 70 rec/ 1TD
TJ Houshmandzadeh: 70 rec/ 1TD
Antonio Chatman: 40 rec
Chris Henry: 30 rec
Ben Utecht: 40 rec
Cedric Benson: 50 rush

Matt Schaub/Andre Johnson/Kevin Walter/Andre Davis/Owen Daniels
Steve Slaton/Ahman Green (vs. CIN)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +3.1%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -0.1%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +7.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +29.9%

Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Schaub posted another great game last week, pasting the Lions secondary to the tune of 83% completion rate and 2 TDs. Andre Johnson owners, especially in PPR, loved the huge stat line of 11 receptions for 141 yards. TE Owen Daniels grabbed 6 catches for 66 yards and both scores. Schaub should continue his confident streak against the bad Bengals defense that will either get no help from its offense, or [as this author has predicted] in a shootout game with multiple scoring opportunities.

Running Game Thoughts: Rookie Steve Slaton rebounded from his broken streak of 3 games with at least 1 TD, posting a nice 80 yards and one score. He should get plenty of work this second half of the season, as the offensive line builds its confidence in execution of the zone blocking technique we touch upon every week. Ahman Green is slowly raising his game as well. He has gone from tallying meaningful carries with a solid YPC to scoring his first TD last week. Expect the split to maintain, with help from the passing game moving the runners into red zone TD opportunities.

Projections:
Matt Schaub: 270 pass/3 TD/0 INT
Andre Johnson: 100 rec/1 TD
Kevin Walter: 50 rec/1 TD
Andre Davis: 50 rec/1 TD
Owen Daniels: 50 rec
Steve Slaton: 75 rush/1TD
Ahman Green: 50 rush/1 TD