Ravens @ Dolphins (Marcoccio)
Joe Flacco/Mark Clayton/Derrick Mason/Todd Heap
Willis McGahee/LeRon McClain (vs. MIA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: NE
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: NYJ, NE, HOU
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 21.2/26.3/4.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 10.4

Passing Game Thoughts: Joe Flacco has looked incredibly poised in his rookie season and much like fellow MAC alum Ben Roethlisberger as a rookie. He has made the throws when called upon but for the most part has managed the game while relying on his upper echelon defense to keep his team in games. Derek Mason the cagey veteran seems to be Flacco’s first look, but in all honestly no player who is part of the Baltimore passing game should be in your line-up in any role greater than a bye week filler, as the team is built on running the football and playing solid defense.

Miami’s pass defense is ranked 19th in the NFL after giving up 1,195 yards through the air and 8 TDs. As such they have been a good match up from a fantasy standpoint for opposing QBs and WRs. Matt Shaub and Andre Johnson lit them up last week. Fortunately for the Dolphins this week Baltimore plays into the Dolphins strengths on defense as they are not capable of beating a team through the air and try and grind it out on the ground.

Running Game Thoughts: Due to various injuries Willis McGahee has been in and out of the line-up at a rate that his owners likely find maddening. After a stellar 2007 he has been unreliable thus far and almost unstartable as a result. Ray Rice has been mediocre after many expected great things from the rookie, but he did run a lot better last week than at any time during his short career. Rice’s struggles has opened the door for unheralded LeRon McClain, who is built like a linebacker, but shows later quickness worthy of a scat back. McClain has 264 yards rushing with 4 TDs and another 68 yards through the air. Last week he delivered a stinker, but has been Baltimore’s most useful back thus far.

It would be easy to say the Miami run defense is improved in 2008 (since they were ranked dead last in the NFL in 2007), but they have been more than just improved, as they are currently the fifth-ranked run defense in the league. They allow only 89 yards per game on the ground and have allowed only 3 touchdowns on the ground through five games. Baltimore may find tough sledding if they cannot establish control of the line of scrimmage against the suddenly stingy Dolphin run defense.

Projections:
Joe Flacco: 165 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT
Derek Mason: 40 yds receiving
Mark Clayton: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
Todd Heap: 15 yds receiving
Willis McGahee: 65 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving
LeRon McClain: 45 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving

Chad Pennington/Greg Camarillo/Ted Ginn, Jr./Anthony Fasano/David Martin
Ricky Williams/Ronnie Brown (vs. BAL)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: TEN, HOU
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: TEN
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.4/22.6/5.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 10.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Chad Pennington has been just what the young Miami Dolphins needed. He has been incredibly efficient while being enough of a threat to keep teams from stacking the box in order to stop Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown. He has also developed into a great WR in the Wild Cat formation – ok he usually does nothing but stand around and throw a weak block or two but last week the Phins has him effectively throw a pass out of that formation which was a long TD to FB Patrick Cobbs. Greg Camarillo is an effective WR3 in ppr leagues but otherwise the Miami WRs have been very quiet while the two TEs have performed very well as pass catchers but from a fantasy football standpoint have vultured each other enough to make them each difficult starts on their own.
Baltimore is the No. 1 rated pass defense for the season from a yardage standpoint (772 yards allowed, but a string of injuries have made them more susceptible over the last couple of weeks and they have allowed 6 TDs in five games. As the numbers above indicate the last three weeks (IND, TEN, PIT) passing offenses have been effective against the Ravens, however other than Tennessee the teams they have faced have superior QBs to Pennington.

Running Game Thoughts: The Miami Dolphins have been running hog wild over the NFL since instituting the Wild Hog offense (or single wing offense for purists). Ronnie Brown has been nearly unstoppable lining up as the QB in the formation and Ricky Williams has been very effective as well. I was one who thought that the show put on against New England would be virtually a one trick pony, but the Dolphins have used in effectively (albeit not as frequently) each week since. Ronnie Brown will likely change the notion of fantasy drafters avoiding back coming off ACL injuries as he has looked virtually the same as last season with the ball in his hands.
Baltimore also has the No. 1 rushing defense in the NFL, allowing only 66.4 yards per week and incredibly only one rushing TD for the season, so the Dolphins may be slowed down this week, facing off against Ray Lewis and company. Baltimore has the overall defensive quickness with Trevor Price, Terrell Suggs, and Ed Reed (who is banged up and questionable) that should limit the effectiveness of the single wing attack, but Miami has surprised me before. The last three weeks fantasy RBs have really struggled against this unit, but it should be pointed out that two of those games Baltimore faced backup RBs (Rashard Mendenhall, Mewelde Moore and Dominic Rhodes) – but it should also be pointed out that the Ravens knocked two RBs out of the ball game in those three weeks.

Projections:
Chad Pennington: 180 yds passing, 2 INTs
Greg Camarillo: 65 yds receiving
Ted Ginn, Jr.: 15 yds receiving
Anthony Fasano: 20 yds receiving
David Martin: 30 yds receiving
Ricky Williams: 35 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving
Ronnie Brown: 65 yds rushing, 1 TD / 10 yds receiving

Chargers @ Bills (Marcoccio)
Philip Rivers/Chris Chambers/Vincent Jackson/Antonio Gates
LaDanian Tomlinson/Darren Sproles (vs. BUF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: ARI
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: JAX, StL
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 17.7/21.3/2.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 30.1

Passing Game Thoughts: Philip Rivers has thrown for 1,489 yards and 14 TDs in his first five games, putting him squarely in the top 5 QBs in most fantasy league scoring systems. The Chargers have really responded to his leadership and has developed into a QB that can get multiple players involved in the passing game. That fact (along with his toe) hurts TE Antonio Gates a little as the ball is not forced into him as it was in the past, but he is still a top 5 TE in most scoring formats due to his TD totals. Chris Chambers missed last week’s game and his status for week 7 is unknown at the present time. Monitor his status before putting him in your line-up. Last week it was reserve Malcolm Floyd who picked up Chamber’s slack, not Craig Buster Davis, who was touted as a sleeper by many in the fantasy football community.

The Bills has a week off to lick their wounds after taking a shellacking from the Arizona Cardinals, but must now prepare to face another high-powered passing game when San Diego comes to town. On the season the Bills still rank fifth among all teams in passing yards allowed with 924 yards. They have allowed four TDs in five weeks, making them a tough match up for fantasy passers. It should be noted however that prior to the Cardinal game the Bills faced passing offense that were not really clicking at the time (or since in some cases): Seattle, Jacksonville, Oakland, and St. Louis. This week should see if last week was a trend or a mirage.

Running Game Thoughts: Ladanian Tomlinson has been slowed by a toe injury, but is reportedly feeling healthier with each passing week. He has not put up his usual numbers and has often looked like the inferior back to the diminutive Darren Sproles. Of course Sproles has been one of the more dynamic RBs in the NFL with the ball in his hands this season as his quickness and balance is superb. It does seem that this offense now belongs to Philip Rivers though and that the running game now supports the passing game when in the past the opposite applied.

The Bills have been a middle of the road, rushing defense, allowing 114.2 rushing yards per game and 7 TDs on the ground this season. Marcus Stroud has helped shore up the middle of the defense, but the Bills have not taken the step that many predicted this off-season. The next two weeks against San Diego and Miami will be a test for this run defense that may find itself buried deeper down the rankings if it does not step up. In their last two games (ARI, StL) the Bills have allowed fantasy RBs to have huge games, so LT may return to form this week.

Projections:
Philip Rivers: 265 yds passing 2 TDs, 1 INT
Chris Chambers: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
Vincent Jackson: 75 yds receiving
Antonio Gates: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
LaDanian Tomlinson: 95 yds rushing, 1 TD / 20 yds receiving
Darren Sproles: 20 yds rushing / 25 yds receiving

Trent Edwards/Lee Evans/Josh Reed/Robert Royal
Marshawn Lynch/Fred Jackson (vs. SD)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season: CAR, MIA, NE
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season: CAR, DEN, OAK, MIA
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.7/13.0/8.0
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 20.9

Passing Game Thoughts: Trent Edwards is expected to return to the starting line-up after getting his bell rung against Arizona and missing virtually the entire game. He has stated that the first couple of days dealing with the concussion were extremely difficult, but after resting for two weeks he is feeling ready to go. He has developed into a steady field leader who may not put up flashy stats, but can make all the throws when he needs to and is looked to as the leader in the huddle. Lee Evans was rewarded with a monster contract extension during the bye week and is developing into a steady wide receiver. He may not get the attention that guys like Terrell Owens or Larry Fitzgerald get, but is a difficult match up for any DB due to his speed and deceptive strength going for the ball. Rookie James Hardy has not grasped the game as quickly as many thought opening the door for veteran possession receiver Josh Reed to keep his starting role and contribute steady production each week.

The San Diego passing defense has been quite porous this season despite the big-play ability of Antonio Cromartie and a pass rush that has not missed Sean Merriman as much as would have been expected (16 sacks). They are above only Denver in passing yards allowed (1,521) and have given up 10 TDs through the air in six games. Keep in mind that just looking what fantasy QBs/WRs players have done against them the last three weeks may be a little deceiving as New England, Miami, and Oakland were on the schedule. It does seem like they are turning things around a little and the Buffalo passing attack is not a feared unit yet.

Running Game Thoughts: Marshawn Lynch is a tough inside runner with the speed to bounce outside, but has not put together the stat lines most fantasy owners have expected. He has only 334 total yards and four TDs on the year and is generally replaced by Jackson on passing downs. The bills o-line has not been opening many holes for Lynch, but the Bills should try and get him involved heavily this week as they look to avoid a shootout with the Chargers.

San Diego has been only slightly better defending the run that the pass and are 22nd in the league in rushing yards allowed (although unlike many teams they have not had their bye week yet). Still they are giving up 112.2 yards per contest, but they have allowed only 3 rushing TDs.

Projections:
Trent Edwards: 235 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT
Lee Evans: 70 yds receiving, 1 TD
Josh Reed: 65 yds receiving
Robert Royal: 15 yds receiving
Fred Jackson: 25 yds rushing / 55 yds receiving
Marshawn Lynch: 105 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving

Browns @ Redskins (Marcoccio)
Derek Anderson/Braylon Edwards/Donte Stallworth/Kellen Winslow
Jamal Lewis (vs. WAS)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: NYG, STL
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: ARI
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.1/17.9/6.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 10.0

Passing Game Thoughts: On Monday night, Derek Anderson finally looked like the guy who earned that big contract last season. He still showed signs of the inaccuracy in his throws that has plagued him – even when he was at his best – but looked deep and forced throws to his best weapon, Braylon Edwards, like the 2007 version DA. He finished with 310 yards and two TDs, while Edwards grabbed 5 balls for 154 yards and a TD. Kellen Winslow, Jr. sat out with enlarged testicles (allegedly), and I am currently unaware of his status for Week 7 (and I’m not checking to see if the swelling went down). The Cleveland o-line is finally healthy and they were able to give Anderson all the time in the world to throw against what was a fierce pass rush from the Giants.

Washington’s pass defense is ranked 20th in the league, having allowed 1,212 yards and 6 TDs in the first six weeks. They have not generated much of a pass rush with Jason Taylor hurting, and have only eight sacks in those six games. If Cleveland’s resurgence was not a one week anomaly they can exploit a passing defense that has not been very effective in 2008.

Running Game Thoughts: Jamal Lewis looks like he is recovering from the hamstring injury that has plagued him and ran harder and looked quicker than he had all year on Monday night. He finished with 88 yards and an impressive four-yard TD. As stated the Cleveland o-line is also now healthy and that should benefit Lewis going forward.

The Skins have been extremely difficult to run on and are in the top 10 in rushing yards allowed despite not yet sitting out for their bye week. They have allowed only 503 yards and three rushing TDs for the season – and one was to QB Eli Manning. This should be a test for Jamal Lewis to see if he is indeed back to form.

Projections:
Derek Anderson: 265 yds passing, 2 TDs / 1 INT
Braylon Edwards: 110 yds receiving, 1 TD
Donte Stallworth: 45 yds receiving
Kellen Winslow: 40 yds receiving, 1 TD
Jamal Lewis: 55 yds rushing / 30 yds receiving

Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Antwaan Randle El/Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis (vs. CLE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 11.5/19.4/3.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 13.6

Passing Game Thoughts: Jason Campbell has cooled off (statistically at least) after a three-week stretch where he was looking like a legit fantasy starting QB. He has now failed to toss a TD in his last two starts. At the same time Santana Moss has also struggled after a hot start to the season. The Redskins passing game has still been effective so it’s not time to panic. They’ve simply relied on the hot hand, RB Clinton Portis, the last two weeks.

Cleveland us the 7th ranked defense in passing yards allowed (940) and intercepted Eli Manning three times last week. For the season, they have allowed 4 TDs through the air. They have faced Joe Flacco, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Ben Roethlisberger (with heavy winds) so perhaps those numbers are not quite as good as they look.

Running Game Thoughts: Clinton Portis ate up a terrible St. Louis run defense last week and leads the NFL in rushing yards with 643 yards and 6 scores. Jim Zorn, who looked clueless during Week One’s nationally televised game against the Giants, has shown he does know what he’s doing, consistently getting the ball to his best offensive player. Former NFL MVP Shaun Alexander was signed this week to backup Portis with Ladell Betts injured. Don’t expect Alexander to see many carries, but he may be a good pick up for Portis owners just to allow them that warm fuzzy feeling of handcuffing your stud.

Detroit, who has struggled on defense so far, does not look very wise for unloading Shaun Rodgers this off-season – but then again when did the Mat Millen led Lions ever look wise? Rogers was a force Monday night against the pass and run. For the season, Cleveland has allowed 685 yards and seven TDs on the ground in five weeks but they did face some top rushing teams in Dallas, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, and New York while struggling on offense so they may be able to turn it around a little, but likely not this week against the NFL’s leading rusher.

Projections:
Jason Campbell: 235 yds passing, 1 TD
Santana Moss: 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
Antwaan Randle El: 35 yds receiving
Chris Cooley: 55 yds receiving
Clinton Portis: 135 yards rushing, 2 TDs / 15 yards receiving

49ers @ Giants (Marcoccio)
J.T. O’Sullivan/Isaac Bruce/Arnez Battle/Vernon Davis
Frank Gore (vs. NYG)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: WAS, SEA
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: WAS, STL
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.8/18.3/7.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 15.9

Passing Game Thoughts: After as good a start to the season as one could expect from a journeyman QB that played for eight NFL teams, J.T. O’Sullivan has been so bad the last few weeks that the team allegedly were interested in bringing in Jon Kitna at the NFL trade deadline. As it was under the Mike Martz offense in Detroit, picking the right San Francisco WR to start each week is a crap shoot, although the veteran Isaac Bruce has been relatively consistent thus far. The all hype-no substance Vernon Davis finally had a decent game last week, but owners should temper expectations, as the Eagles have been very poor in defending TEs all season long.

The Giants pass rush was stymied last Monday by the revamped Cleveland o-line, not recording a sack for the first time all season. The pass defense in general looked out of synch as Braylon Edwards burned CB Aaron Ross a few times and little used TEs Steve Heiden and Darnell Dinkens got open for big plays. For the season, the Giants still rank 6th in passing yards allowed (926) and have allowed only 5 TDs. San Francisco has been unable to protect O’Sullivan all year so the Giants pass rush should return to form in Week 7.
Running Game Thoughts: Frank gore has once again been the lone bright spot in the Bay area. Mad Mike Martz has done his best to abandon the run at times, but generally has been smart enough to realize that Frank Gore needs the ball in his hands or the Niner offense isn’t going anywhere.

The Giants rank 7th in the league in run defense. They have allowed only 472 rushing yards and two TDs on the ground. Antonio Pierce, the Giants’ best, run defender, left last week’s game in the first half and the Giants struggled to bring down Jamal Lewis without him. If Pierce does not play expect Gore to put up big numbers.

Projections:
J.T. O’Sullivan: 205 yds passing, 1 TD, 2 INT
Isaac Bruce: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Arnez Battle: 55 yds receiving
Vernon Davis: 25 yds receiving
Frank Gore: 115 yds rushing, 1 TD / 35 yds receiving

Eli Manning/Plaxico Burress/Amani Toomer/Steve Smith/Kevin Boss
Brandon Jacobs/Derrick Ward/Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. SF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the 49ers this season: DET, PHI
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the 49ers this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 24.6/33.7/3.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 24.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Eli Manning put to rest all the talk about being the better “Manning” with a three-interception performance. In his defense, he did look like he was in a lot of pain after being slammed down by massive Shaun Rogers in the first half. Plaxico Burress returned from his team-imposed suspension to grab a touchdown very similar to his Super Bowl game winner. Steve Smith starred for the Giants, getting open consistently and hauling in 9 balls for 94 yards. He seemed to be the go to guy when the Giants needed a completion and may be surpassing veteran Amani Toomer as the WR Eli trusts most to get open.

San Francisco is the 26th ranked pass defense giving up 226.3 passing yards per game and have allowed 8 passing TDs. They have allowed big games to Desean Jackson, Randy Moss, and Lance Moore over the last three weeks so Plaxico Burress should be a great start in Week 7.

Running Game Thoughts: Derrick Ward (a/k/a Wind or Fire depending on who you ask) was the most effective Giant runner Monday night, gaining 101 yards on 10 carries while Brandon Jacobs at least made his owners happy enough that he found the end zone. As I said in the past in this space it’s tough for a fantasy owner to feel great about starting a Giants RB as they have three very effective runners who all play a big part or a small part depending on game situation – last week Ahmad Bradshaw was limited to kick returns for stats.

The 49er run defense is ranked 25th in the NFL and has allowed 745 yards and 7 TDs on the ground. Patrick Willis who was all over the field last season is still a very good player, but hasn’t looked as devastating thus far.

Projections:
Eli Manning: 235 yds passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT
Plaxico Burress: 105 yds receiving, 2 TDs
Amani Toomer: 40 yds receiving,
Steve Smith: 65 yds receiving
Kevin Boss: 15 yds receiving
Brandon Jacobs: 75 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving
Derrick Ward: 35 yds rushing
Ahmad Bradshaw: 15 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving

Broncos @ Patriots (Marcoccio)
Jay Cutler/Brandon Marshall/Eddie Royal/Brandon Stokely/Daniel Graham
Michael Pittman/Selvin Young (vs. NE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season: NYJ, SD,
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season: KC, NYJ
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 27.1/27.7/5.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.4

Passing Game Thoughts: Jay Cutler has slowed down a little on the stat sheets after lighting it up early in the season. He is still a top 5 fantasy QB in most scoring formats and should be a guy that is in your line-up on a weekly basis. Brandon Marshall sat out Week 1, but has been a force ever since. He has 43 receptions for 521 yards and three TDs. Diminutive rookie, Eddie Royal, is expected back this week, moving Brandon Stokely back into his slot role. TE Tony Sheffler’s groin injury is apparently healing up but his status for Week 7 is questionable. Cutler is developing into one of the best young QBs and has a rocket arm, making the Broncos a quick strike offense and fantasy heaven.

The Patriots were lit up like a Christmas tree by Philip Rivers last week and now face another young gunner. For the season, the Pats are ranked 10th in passing yards allowed, but have allowed 9 TDs in 5 games. They have not generated much of a pass rush (7 sacks) and their aging defense has spent a lot more time on the field this year as their offense has struggled.

Running Game Thoughts: Last week it was the Michael Pittman show, prior to that Selvin Young and Andre Hall were rotating series. Welcome to the wonderful world of fantasy football hater Mike Shanahan. Selvin Young is expected back this week, but Shanny seems to have fallen in love with Michael Pittman the last couple of weeks, verbally hugging and kissing him in the press. My guess is that Pittman will continue to be the workhorse for this week at least, but I may have better odds guessing the lottery numbers than how Shanahan will use his RBs.

New England’s aging RBs have not been as effective this season against the run as they have been in the past – also as mentioned the defense has spent more time on the field which doesn’t help. The Patriots are ranked 16th against the run giving up 119.4 yards per game and almost a TD per game on average.

Projections:
Jay Cutler: 285 yds passing 2 TDs
Brandon Marshall: 95 yds receiving, 1 TD
Eddie Royal: 60 yds receiving
Brandon Stokely: 55 yds receiving
Daniel Graham: 10 yds receiving, 1 TD
Michael Pittman: 60 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving
Selvin Young: 35 yards rushing / 10 yds receiving

Matt Cassell/Randy Moss/Wes Welker/Benjamin Watson
Sammy Morris/Kevin Faulk (vs. DEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Broncos this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Broncos this season: TB
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.0/14.1/9.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 27.7

Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Cassell played quite poorly against the Chargers after a pretty decent week against the 49ers. Cassell seems to get “happy feet” when he gets pressured in the pocket and can’t decide whether to run or avoid the rush and look downfield. Billy is giving him another week, but rumors are flowing that rookie Kevin O’Connell is being groomed to take over. Meanwhile Randy Moss is getting that lethargic look about him and at times is not fighting for the ball like he did in the past. The truth though is that Moss is just too good for any QB to not get him the all, and Cassel should watch mediocre QBs like Gus Frerotte, Todd Bouman, and Jeff George looking like Marino while chucking the ball to Moss.

Rumor has it the Broncos have some pretty decent cornerbacks. While Dre Bly may be a little over-rated, a backfield featuring him and Champ Bailey shouldn’t be this bad. The Broncos cannot consistently rush the passer (11 sacks) and have given up 1,533 yards and 9 TDs on the season to rank dead last. Bear in mind the QBs that the Broncos have faced the last three weeks (Damon Huard, Brian Griese and David Garrard) when looking at the three week averages above. If Cassel doesn’t show anything this week, the HC of the NEP has to think about a QB switch.

Running Game Thoughts: Well China dolls Laurence Maroney and Lamont Jordan have made it a little easier on fantasy owners having missed last weeks game and have yet to practice so far this week. Sammy Morris has been getting the brunt or the work and is the usual goal line back. Yet two weeks ago it was Kevin Faulk getting the love at the stripe.

The Denver Broncos are slightly better at stopping the run than they are at stopping the pass, and rank 27th against the run. They have allowed 825 yards and seven TDs through six games.

Projections:
Matt Cassell: 215 yds passing 1 TD, 1 INT
Randy Moss: 80 yds receiving, 1 TD
Wes Welker: 70 yds receiving
Benjamin Watson: 15 yds receiving
Kevin Faulk: 25 yds rushing / 35 yds receiving
Sammy Morris: 60 yds rushing, 2 TDs / 15 yds receiving

Vikings @ Bears (Mack)
Gus Frerotte / Bernard Berrian / Bobby Wade / Visanthe Shiancoe
Adrian Peterson / Chester Taylor (vs. Chicago)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Tampa Bay
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Atlanta
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 22
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 15
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 5

Passing Game Thoughts: Gus Frerotte has revived a passing game in Minnesota that was DOA during the first two games of the season with Tavaris Jackson at the helm. Since his ascension to the starting spot, the Vikings are 3-1 and in the thick of the NFC North divisional race. His presence has also allowed components of the passing game (especially WR Bernard Berrian) to become relevant once again from a fantasy perspective. Frerotte, while he has certainly outplayed Jackson in many respects, has yet to throw more than one TD in any game. That’s peculiar, especially when you consider Minnesota’s last two opponents (New Orleans and Detroit) rank 21st and 30th respectively, in pass defense.

The Vikings forked over $16 million in guaranteed cash to WR Bernard Berrian and he has shown over the last two games that he is indeed worth every penny. Against the aforementioned defenses in the Saints and Lions, Berrian has racked up a total of 11 catches for 241 yards and two scores, and he’s averaging a shade under 20 yards per reception. Now he gets to play against his former team. Berrian has battled a knee injury most of the season but it has yet to limit him on game day. There is little doubt, however, that he will play and play well. Bobby Wade is a solid complement to Berrian. He works the underneath routes has become a nice #2 for Frerotte and the passing game.

Running Game Thoughts: What’s going on the Adrian Peterson? During the last two games against New Orleans and Detroit, Peterson has averaged only 3.1 yards per carry and has zero TDs. His longest run during that stretch is 13 yards, and he lost two fumbles against the Lions. Now as a consolation prize, he gets to play the Bears and their 5th ranked run defense. It’s not difficult to determine why Peterson has struggled recently. Peterson is the driving force behind the Vikings’ offense and teams have geared up to stop him. Meanwhile, the opposition’s attention on Peterson has left things wide open in the passing game and Minnesota has taken advantage of it. The Vikings have rallied and won the last two games despite Peterson’s struggles, but the formula has already be developed and it’s no secret that Chicago will certainly incorporate a similar approach taken by Detroit and New Orleans. Chester Taylor has done little at this point to warrant a spot on anyone’s roster who doesn’t have Peterson. It’s obvious he doesn’t have as big a role in the offense as he did in 2007, and so consequently his spot on your roster should be scrutinized.

Moving the ball on the ground versus the Bears is a tough road to hoe. Carolina’s Jonathon Stewart enjoyed the best day against the Bears this year at running back. His 77 yards in week 2 is the high-water mark for the season, so Peterson and the Vikings’ offensive line will have their work cut out for them against the Bears. Chicago is finally healthy again on defense after a 2007 season that saw several starters out due to injury. Having a full complement of play-making defenders will certainly keep the Minnesota offense and those fantasy owners who choose to play them up at night.

Projections:
Gus Frerotte: 200 yards passing 1 TD / 1 INT
Bernard Berrian: 85 yards rec
Bobby Wade: 60 yards rec. 1 TD
Visanthe Shiancoe: 35 yards rec.
Adrian Peterson: 90 yards rushing / 1 TD
Chester Taylor: 25 yards rushing

Kyle Orton / Devin Hester / Rashied Davis / Greg Olson / Desmond Clark
Matt Forte (vs. Minnesota)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season: Carolina
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season: Tennessee
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 13.5

Passing Game Thoughts: I recall the reaction I had when it was announced during preseason that Chicago head coach Lovie Smith chose Kyle Orton to be his starting QB for 2008. I said aloud to no one in particular: Who cares? Orton sucks just as bad as Rex Grossman. Au contraire. Orton has shown the NFL and the fantasy world what made him a bona-fide Heisman Trophy candidate during his collegiate playing days at Purdue. Orton has thrown for six TDs during the last three games while averaging 273 yards and completing 61 percent of his passes. Not bad for a fantasy player that went undrafted in literally 90 percent of fantasy leagues this year.

Orton has become the darling free agent pick-up so far this year, despite being devoid of a real receiving threat. Devin Hester, he of the otherworldly punt and kick return talent, doubles as the team’s #1 WR. While Hester is short on experience at the receiver position in the NFL, he has hauled in 14 receptions over the past three games and has scored in two of those contests. By all accounts, Hester’s route running skills have improved to the point where most observers see him as a receiver moonlighting as a kick returner, not the other way around. What does that all mean? It means the Bears have morphed into a predictably productive passing team. And with the scarcity of consistent top-notch QB play this year, that’s music to the ears of fantasy players everywhere.

Running Game Thoughts: Ok, I’ll admit. I have a serious man crush on rookie Matt Forte. Despite the fact that a divisional foe owns him in my big money league, I have become a huge fan of this kid. He appears to be the kind of RB Chicago fans will grow to love. Forte seems durable, tough, and his multi-dimensional skill set allows the Bears’ offense to be as creative as it wants to be—even with the dearth of talent at the WR position. His 27 receptions by a RB rank second in the league behind Reggie Bush, and that ability to take “long hand-offs” may have to be incorporated significantly in the game plan, what with Minnesota’s 4th ranked run defense coming to town.

Even before the Bears’ passing game began to take flight, Forte was able to put up tremendous numbers. Now with opponents having to put so much attention on stopping Orton and the aerial attack in Chicago, Forte should continue to wreck havoc on opposing defenses. Although Chicago’s O-line is not chock-full of perennial All-Pros (save C Olin Kreutz), they have managed to help steer the Bears to the 18th ranked running offense. DTs Kevin and Pat Williams remain anvils in the center of Minnesota’s D-line and their presence will always make it tough to run on the Vikings. This should be a tough battle all afternoon.

Projections: Kyle Orton: 195 yard passing / 2 TDs / 1 INT
Devin Hester: 60 yards rec. / 1 TD
Rashied Davis: 45 yards rec.
Greg Olson: 35 yards rec. / 1 TD
Desmond Clark: 20 yards rec.
Matt Forte: 70 yards rushing / 1 TD – 35 yards rec.

Steelers vs Bengals (Mack)
Ben Roethlisberger / Hines Ward / Santonio Holmes / Nate Washington / Heath Miller
Mewelde Moore (vs. Cincinnati)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: New York Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: Tennessee
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 17
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 12
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15

Passing Game Thoughts: A year after delivering on the promise of his immense talent with a 32 TD season, Ben Roethlisberger has had somewhat of a difficult time picking up where he left off. It is fair to point out, however, that he’s been under siege by opposing defenses thanks to an offensive line that has surrendered 19 sacks; to say nothing of the countless hits he’s taken. But Cincy’s defense only has five sacks so far, so if the Steelers give up sacks in bunches against their divisional foe, Pittsburgh has bigger problems than any of us could ever articulate. Roethlisberger performed big time in week five against a tough Jacksonville defense. He threw for 309 yards and three TDs—this after not throwing for more than 191 yards in a game through the first four.

To the surprise of most anyone, the Bengals have the 4th ranked pass defense in the league. Young CBs Leon Hall and Johnathan Joseph have done an admirable job keeping opposing WRs in check, including potentially explosive offenses in Dallas and the New York Giants. Cincy’s ability to play lockdown pass defense is even more impressive when you consider the Bengals’ inept pass rush. The Steelers, one would think, will still attempt to throw downfield against Cincy, especially if starting RB Willie Parker doesn’t play. Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes, and Nate Washington are all fine WRs with complementary skills, so it’s only natural to think Roethlisberger will put his weapons up against the underrated Cincy secondary.

Running Game Thoughts: This week’s game was the target date for Willie Parker’s return, but he apparently aggravated his injured knee during Wednesday’s practice. Too bad for Fast Willie owners. The Bengals have the 28th ranked run defense, and with Pittsburgh continuing to struggle with pass protection, it’s reasonable to think that they will attempt to hammer away at Cincy via the ground game. Mewelde Moore will get the nod should Parker be inactive. While Moore is really nothing special, he’s at least serviceable enough for you to give serious consideration to for a starting spot on your squad, especially if you’re in bye-week purgatory.

Perhaps the most uncharacteristic aspect of Pittsburgh’s season so far is its 20th ranked running game. Rookie Rashard Mendenhall promptly got injured during his first NFL start; couple that with Parker’s absence and what Pittsburgh is left with is a collection of average RBs who have more experience on the practice squad than the 53-man roster. With all of that being said, Moore should have a productive day against Cincy and put up numbers that should justify a typical “flex” position.

Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger: 225 yards passing / 2 TDs
Hines Ward: 70 yards rec. / 1 TD
Santonio Holmes: 60 yards rec. / 1 TD
Nate Washington: 40 yards rec.
Heath Miller: 15 yards rec.
Mewelde Moore: 80 yards rushing

Ryan Fitzpatrick / TJ Houshmandzadeh / Chad Johnson / Antonio Chatman
Chris Perry / Cedric Benson (vs. Pittsburgh)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: Baltimore
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 13
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 9

Passing Game Thoughts: Ryan Fitzpatrick, God bless him, has looked every bit like the below average QB that he is. What’s worse is that he’s bringing down the fantasy value of everyone on the Bengal’s team in the process. In his defense, however, it’s not like Cincy was blowing things up when Carson Palmer was healthy and in the line-up. For some reason this passing offense has yet to get on track in 2008. And for those who invested a high pick on Chad Johnson, I’m sure there have been times when you’ve wondered if he was even worth a roster spot.

The only player on this team worth having on your fantasy squad is TJ Houshmandzadeh. He’s had only two really great games sandwiched between four duds, but that’s more than can be said for the other stiffs combined on the Bengals. The Pittsburgh Steelers come to town and they surely won’t show any restraint while trying to keep the goose egg in the “W” column for the Bengals. Undoubtedly, Fitzpatrick will have to put his Ivy League smarts to the test because he will see the most elaborate blitz schemes he’s ever seen. He will be under duress all game and Houshmandzadeh and Johnson may struggle this game

Running Game Thoughts: The Bengals have the 31st ranked running game in the league, starting RB Chris Perry can’t hold onto the football and the Bengals were so desperate that they signed enigmatic RB Cedric Benson. Couple that with Pittsburgh’s 2nd ranked run defense and what you have is the making of a complete beat-down by the Steelers. Whatever combination of RBs the Bengals choose to utilize, it will be met with a well-rested and prepared defense that intends to build off of the Jacksonville win from two weeks ago.

With the struggles in Cincy’s passing game, Pittsburgh Safety Troy Polamalu will be free to roam all over the field. This will create all kinds of confusion up front for the Bengals and their running game should continue to be sub-par as a result. It is not advisable to start either RB for the Bengals. This will prove to be a one-sided affair from the beginning whistle to the final gun.

Projections:
Ryan Fitzpatrick: 145 yards passing / 1 TD / 2 INTs
TJ Houshmandzadeh: 65 yards rec.
Chad Johnson: 55 yards rec. / 1 TD
Antonion Chatman: 35 yards rec.
Chris Perry: 45 yards rushing
Cedric Benson: 30 yards rushing

Colts vs Packers (Mack)
Peyton Manning / Reggie Wayne / Marvin Harrison / Anthony Gonzalez / Dallas Clark
Dominic Rhodes (vs. Green Bay)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Packers this season: Dallas
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Packers this season: Seattle
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 17

Passing Game Thoughts: Has Peyton Manning knocked off all the rust that accumulated during his rehab from knee surgery? If last week’s dismantling of Baltimore is any indication, the passing game in Indy has returned with a vengeance. He’s thrown at least one TD in every game this season, but it was the way in which he played early on that had many fantasy owners worried a bit about their top QB. It seems the aerial attack in Indy has found its stride and now defenses must again be concerned with the unlimited potential of this offensive juggernaut.

Packer DB Al Harris remains out of the line-up, which means young Tramon Williams gets another start and faces future Hall of Famer Marvin Harrison. CB Charles Woodson is still battling a toe injury that has prevented him from practicing much this season, but he shows up every Sunday and puts on a show. It should be a fun to watch Woodson battle Reggie Wayne this week. The Packers have the 7th ranked pass defense but they’re still struggling with putting consistent pressure on the QB, which as we all know is essential to slowing down the Colts’ offense. I believe the game will be decided between Indy’s ability to move the ball through the air and Green Bay’s ability to neutralize them. Can the Packers be successful at home against a team gaining mid-season form? We will see.

Running Game Thoughts: Dominic Rhodes gets the start this week in place of Joseph Addai. Rhodes was one of the hottest free agent pick-ups this week after tearing through Baltimore’s defense last week. He always seems to do well in short spurts (remember the success he had during his rookie season when he replaced an injured Edge James?) and this opportunity should be no exception. Indy’s running game hasn’t exactly ripped it up so far this year (they’re last in the league), but with the Colts finally appearing like the offensive machine many of us envisioned during fantasy draft season, it’s only a matter of time before the running game starts churning out fantasy points at an impressive rate.

Rhodes’ ability in the short passing game should help his production this week. I believe Green Bay will attempt to put pressure on Manning and the Colts will counter with screens and short dump-offs to Rhodes to try and keep the Packers’ pass rush honest. Green Bay has an impressive group of linebackers and they will have Rhodes in their crosshairs, but I think the Colts are on the brink of resurrecting from the early season funk they found themselves in.

Projections:
Peyton Manning: 250 yards passing / 2 TDs
Reggie Wayne: 95 yards rec. / 1 TD
Marvin Harrison: 75 yards rec.
Anthony Gonzalez: 45 yards rec.
Dallas Clark: 35 yards rec. / 1 TD
Dominic Rhodes: 80 yards rushing / 1 TD

Aaron Rodgers / Donald Driver / Greg Jennings / Donald Lee
Ryan Grant (vs. Indy)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Colts this season: Houston
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Colts this season: Chicago
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 32
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 21

Passing Game Thoughts: Aaron Rodgers has certainly gained the respect of Cheeseheads everywhere. Once on the verge of not playing due to a shoulder injury two weeks ago, he has yet to miss a game and has thrown for 521 yards and five TDs during the last two games with that bum shoulder. Whether or not he’s trying to compete with the legacy of Brett Favre is debatable, but fantasy owners of Donald Driver and Greg Jennings are certainly smiling whenever they see Rodgers trotting out of the tunnel to take his place in the starting line-up.

It’s a shame that Indy DB Bob Sanders isn’t playing. He’s a joy to watch and he makes the Colts’ defense better in every way imaginable. Donald Driver, and especially, Greg Jennings should have awesome games. Indy DB Marlon Jackson should have the primary responsibility of keeping Jennings in his sights, but the WR from Western Michigan University has demonstrated an ability to produce despite who stands on the opposite side of the ball. Look for Green Bay to hold off the underachieving Colts’ pass rush long enough for the passing game to put up very good numbers.

Running Game Thoughts: Teams have attempted to run on Indy and they’ve found ultimate success. The Colts are the worst run defense in the league. So let’s get this straight: the Colts can’t run the ball and they can’t stop the run? Obviously they have difficulty with teams who can do both well, but the Packers aren’t that kind of team. Ryan Grant has yet to find the end zone this year after hitting pay dirt eight times last season while starting only seven games. If he’s to wake from his season-long slumber, he’s going to have to do it against the Colts.

There’s little depth behind Grant, so he should get the lion’s share of the workload. It’s going to be essential that the Packers’ defense keep the game close. One way that can be done is by slowing the game down via the running game. Indy has stopped no one so far, save for the Baltimore game last week. Granted, Green Bay is no Baltimore from an offensive perspective, but the point is a productive ground game will go a long way in helping the Packers remain committed to a running game that has so far burned Indy to a crisp in 2008. Grant will challenge for his best game this season in week 7.

Projections:
Aaron Rodgers: 210 yards passing / 2 TD / 1 INT
Donald Driver: 115 yards rec.
Greg Jennings: 80 yards rec. / 1 TD
Donald Lee: 35 yards rec. / 1 TD
Ryan Grant: 70 yards rushing

Titans @ Chiefs (Eakin)
Kerry Collins/Justin Gage/Justin McCareins/Alge Crumpler
LenDale White/Chris Johnson (vs. KC)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Raiders
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Raiders
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 15.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 38.3
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 42.5/56.7/7.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 56.2

Passing Game Thoughts: I realize the term “game manager” is overused and cliché, to steal from the French, but that’s what Kerry Collins has been since Vince Young’s mother placed an APB on him. Perhaps, outstandingly average is more original? He is 36th in fantasy points per game among QBs at 10.5. Nevertheless, he has done enough to keep the Titans undefeated has been able to get the ball down field when needed. There’s a good chance he will get his best receiver, Justin Gage, back from a knee injury this week. Gage could turn out to be a consistent WR#3 in fantasy terms for the rest of the year and be a solid waiver option in many leagues. Outside of Gage, TE Bo Scaife is the best receiving option despite Alge Crumpler being listed ahead of him on the depth chart and expectations. Scaife leads the team with 20 receptions.

The Chiefs have been dismal in most categories this year, like win totals for instance, but they have a solid ranking of 11th in QB points allowed. This seems almost remarkable considering they lost their best pass rusher in Jared Allen and are playing rookies at the CB position. Statistics can be a fickle game and one explanation may be the mercy rule, which states that teams get quick leads and run the ball more than they would if the game was close. The problem is that not many of their games have been blowouts so we’re forced to say Chiefs and above average in the same sentence. They did slow down Denver’s explosive pass offense and they play a safe bend but don’t break alignment similar to Tampa Bay.

Running Game Thoughts: This is the case of the 9th best rushing team vs. the worst run defense. The Titan ground attack was slowed down in their last two games but it came against two run stuffers in Baltimore and Minnesota. Tennessee has a great combination of speed and power in LenDale White and Chris Johnson. Johnson is the real star and will get more of the responsibility as the year progresses. He is 17th with 12.6 FPTs/game while White is 31st averaging 9.3 FPTs/game. Most scouts don’t see Johnson as an every down runner due to his smallish stature so his upside is slightly limited. I think the next step in his evolution needs to come from the pass ala Reggie Bush.

The Chiefs cut veteran MLB Napoleon Harris this week, but he hadn’t been contributing so it won’t affect their last place ranking against the run. They give up an average of five yards per carry. Defensive tackle Tank Tyler has leads the defensive line in tackles, but Dorsey draws the double teams. Derrick Johnson is their best player on defense and will need to play big to slow the Titans. Pat Thomas played well enough to get Napoleon Harris’ job, but is young and inexperienced. Playing good run defense isn’t just talent; it requires 11 men working in unison. With so many young players on defense they miss gap assignments. If LenDale White hits the missed gap he’ll get 5-10 yards. When Chris Johnson hits a missed assignment he’ll be in the secondary with a shot at pay dirt. I like Chris Johnson to have the big day.

Projections:
Kerry Collins: 195 yds passing/1 TD
Justin Gage: 65 yds receiving /1TD
Justin McCareins: 50 yds receiving
Bo Scaife: 45 yds receiving/1 TD
LenDale White: 40 yds rushing/1 TD
Chris Johnson: 85 yds rushing/20 yds receiving/1 TD

Brodie Croyle/DeWayne Bowe/Devard Darling/Tony Gonzalez
Kolby Smith/Jamaal Charles (vs. TEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Titans this season: Ravens
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Titans this season: Ravens
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 8.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 3.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 12.3
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 21.8/27.9/10.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 42.3

Passing Game Thoughts: It’s seems Brodie Croyle will win this week’s game of musical QB for the Chiefs now that he’s all healed up and the others were no better in replacing him. He started week one against New England, did not finish the game, and has not played since. His season totals are 11 for 19 with 88 yards, no TDs, no INTs. So there is not a lot of history to go on other than the Chiefs QB play in general. Croyle has a strong arm, but he is inexperienced and the jump from vanilla Alabama offensive schemes to the NFL is a long leap. KC will need a full year of Croyle under center to truly know if he’s going to be a NFL starter or perennial backup. HC Herm Edwards is a conservative guy who doesn’t like to open things up and won’t put the game in Croyle’s hands. When they do go down field, the talented DeWayne Bowe is their weapon of choice. The former LSU Tiger has size and speed to be a star, but won’t reach his ceiling until they get better QB play. Tony Gonzalez is the main beneficiary of the conservative passing attack and is relied on for moving the chains.

The Titans have one of the best pass defenses in the league. Both Albert Haynesworth and Kyle Vanden Bosch are Pro-Bowl caliber defensive linemen and can get after the QB. The Titans re-acquired Jevon Kearse from the Eagles and they have been happy with his contribution even though his stats aren’t impressive. The pressure the front creates generated lots of turnovers. CB Cortland Finnegan (who replaced Pacman Jones) is tied for the most INTs in the NFL along with teammate Michael Griffin. Safety Chris Pope is also a standout player that in the defensive backfield and leads the teams in tackles. They will not throw a very friendly welcoming party for a rusty Croyle and will cause him to be in a rush and make poor decisions.

Running Game Thoughts: Larry Johnson continues his inconsistent play and had his career worst performance last game with 2 yards rushing. Jamaal Charles was better, but not fantasy relevant either. The Chiefs RBs are match up plays at this point and the Titans are about the worst match up possible. With Johnson out this week, avoid both Kolby Smith and Jamaal Charles this week if at all possible.

The Titans are 15th in RB fantasy points allowed but the numbers are not indicative of their skill, because of a poor performance against Adrian Peterson. They are physical up front and will overwhelm the Chief offensive line. The linebackers and defensive backs are well-coached and sure tacklers. The RBs that have done best against them are speed rushers that hit holes fast and make sharp cutbacks. Kolby Smith is instinctive, but not explosive so history suggests he will struggle. Jamaal Charles is lightning fast and has a better chance of hitting a big play or two.

Projections:
Brodie Croyle: 165 yds passing/1 TD/3 INT
DeWayne Bowe: 70 yds/1 TD
Devard Darling: 30 yds
Tony Gonzalez: 45 yds
Jamaal Charles: 45 yds rushing/25 yds receiving
Kolby Smith: 35 yds rushing/10 yds receiving/1 TD

Cowboys @ Rams (Eakin)
Brad Johnson/Terrell Owens/Patrick Crayton/Jason Witten
Marion Barber (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: Giants
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 25.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 14.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 5.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 26.3
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 27.0/32.3/6.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 53.1

Passing Game Thoughts: I’m going to assume Brad Johnson is playing despite Tony Romo claiming he can play at practice Wednesday. Brad Johnson is 40 years old and hasn’t played regularly since 2005. Last we saw him was with Minnesota and a negative TD to INT ratio. He is a veteran that has won a Super Bowl, but has never been mobile or had a real strong arm. The likely scenario if Dallas caters to his style would be controlled quick hit plays like slants, short to medium outs, and a lot of Jason Witten in the middle of the field. With Romo and Terrell Owens, Dallas likes deep drops and slow developing plays that allow Owens to get deep and run long crossing routes. The result is Romo scrambling a lot and more sacks then expected as well as some long passing TDs. With Johnson they may become more efficient because of the style change and shorter drops. Jason Witten may see a slight increase in production while Owens gets more catches for fewer yards. Yes I am aware of the addition of Roy Williams, but football is a tough game to switch midseason. I’m sure Roy sees the field for a package of plays but it will take a couple weeks to fully takeover for Crayton and Austin Miles whom are both fantasy irrelevant as of now. The offensive line will need to play better or we will be breaking down the skills of the backup to the backup QB Brooks Bollinger next. It won’t happen this week with a soft Rams defense but the after this week Dallas has a tough few weeks upcoming.

Interim coach Jim Haslett, the former Saints head coach, and now former Ram defensive coordinator, is running the ship for the ousted Scott Linehan. Not bad so far from the standpoint that the Rams are (1-0) under his lead. Yep, they broke the egg last week against everyone’s flavor of the month, Washington Redskins. The key to victory was shutting down the Redskins West Coast pass attack. What is interesting is that the Rams first good defensive performance of the year coincides with the first game now head coach Haslett is NOT calling the defensive plays. How’s that for a brain twister? Maybe only time will tell. CB Fakhir Brown has been resigned after getting released for poor performance and “scape goatism” following the season ending foot injury to CB Ricky Manning Jr. I expect them to have trouble against the Cowboys attack despite his return.

Running Game Thoughts: There are few things I enjoy more in sports than watching Marion Barber run the football. You have to love his punishing style and it reminds me of Ricky Watters in his prime the way they both lower their shoulder while keeping their leg drive to break tackles. The Cowboys are big and strong which will work well against a smaller Rams defense. Maybe now that Romo is out they will finally play the physical brand of football they need to go further in to the playoffs.

Adam Carriker and Chris Long are two defensive lineman that the Rams invested high draft picks on. Both players are starting to pick up their play after slow starts. Carriker plays like you’d expect a former Nebraska Cornhusker to play and is more of a run stopper. Long is versatile in both run and pass. MLB Will Witherspoon is solid, but isn’t as productive as he has been the last two years.

Projections:
Brad Johnson: 225 yds passing/2 TD/1 INT
Terrell Owens: 70 yds/1 TD
Patrick Crayton: 40 yds
Jason Witten: 75 yds/1 TD
Marion Barber: 125 yds rushing/25 yds receiving/2 TD

Marc Bulger/Torry Holt/Donnie Avery/
Steven Jackson (vs. DAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Titans this season: Bengals
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Titans this season: Browns
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 8.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: .3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 7.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 58.4/91.7/4.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 34.8

Passing Game Thoughts: Trivia of the week; who’s the last and only Ram QB to throw for 200 yards this season? Hint; his name is not Marc Bulger. Haslett may have repaired team morale by reinserting Bulger in to the starting lineup but he responded with his worst game of the year throwing for 136 yards and no TDs. How’s that for some crack research eh? The Rams still have disappeared on offense and we can no longer blame the health of the offensive line. The bright spot of last week was a game saving performance by the first receiver taken in the draft, Donnie Avery. He has been starting and slowing improving since Drew Bennett was injured. Another positive note is that extends beyond the field is WR Dane Looker has been cleared to return to practice after undergoing test for a brain abnormality. No Young Frankenstein jokes please.

Adam Jones, formerly known as a NFL player, is gone for no less than four weeks. At that time Commissioner Roger Goodell will evaluate him. Jones was supposed to be clean and sober and seeking alcohol dependency help. He did none of the above and owner Jerry Jones talked about the Pacman is past tense suggesting his Cowboy days is over. Their other CB Terrence Newman is a card-carrying member of the training room and will miss 2-4 weeks…again. It leaves Anthony Henry and some rookie fodder to bat passes out of the air. DeMarcus Ware and Co. will heavily blitz to protect their secondary. Bulger will be sporadic with a couple big plays and some time on his backside.

Running Game Thoughts: Steven Jackson hasn’t been a total bust, but you’re likely not leading your league if you picked him first. If the Rams can stay in games he will end up a solid player in the top 10. Physically, he is as good as ever. If it weren’t for Josh Brown hitting the game winner last week there’s a good chance he’d be without the services of Richie Incognito to open holes for him. So there’s that to be thankful for.

Projections:
Marc Bulger: 165 yds passing/1 TD/2 INT
Torry Holt: 75 yds/1 TD
Donnie Avery: 45 yds
Steven Jackson: 85 yds rushing/25 yds receiving/1 TD

Jets @ Raiders (Eakin)
Brett Favre/Thomas Jones/Laveranues Coles/Jerricho Cotchery
Thomas Jones/Leon Washington (vs. OAK)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: Saints
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 23.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 20.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 13.3
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 42.9/25.9/27.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 63.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Favre is 8th in FPTs scored among QBs due in large part to his six TD bonanza against the Cardinals. Other than that game he has been good, but not great, and has yet to play a turnover-free game. As the year progresses his chemistry with Coles and Cotchery can only improve. One great thing about owning Favre is that he is very good at redzone TDs. Seven of his TDs this year have been for less than 15 yards. He likes to throw it in close and until last week, Thomas Joes has never been real productive in the red zone.

The Raiders favor press coverage with ball-hawking CBs DeAngelo Hall and Nnamdi Asomugha. Their style of play throws off timing routes and allows them to jump routes and create INTs. The drawback is that good QBs can diagnose single coverage opportunities and hit them for some big plays. This match up lends itself to a typical Favre type game with a couple TDs and a big turnover or two.

Running Game Thoughts: After waiting a short year and a half, Jets fans were finally treated to a big scoring day from Thomas Jones who scored three TDs. This is a great sign for an otherwise productive back. That said he’s still only 18th in RB FPTs per game. It was speculated that with the improvements along the line Joes would improve his poor yards per carry average and score some more TDs. Many considered him to have great upside for those reasons. There’s still time for those predictions if things continue to improve, but I’m not sure he doesn’t continue to remain the consistent plodder that he is to date. He’s a workhorse that reads blocks and runs tough, but much like Edgerrin James he doesn’t have the speed to generate a huge upside and have those really big days a RB needs to get to that next top 12 tier.

The Raiders were average against the run when they had a coach and hope. As their season swirls down the Al Davis commode they will continue to lose the effort and discipline it takes to play good team run defense. The Jets line will move them off the line enough to deliver a productive day from Jones.

Projections:
Brett Favre: 225 yds passing/3 TD
Laveranues Coles: 85 yds receiving /1TD
Jerricho Cotchery: 70 yds receiving/1 TD
Chris Baker: 35 yds receiving
Thomas Jones: 90 yds rushing/1 TD

JaMarcus Russell/Ronald Curry/Johnnie Lee Higgins/Zach Miller
Justin Fargas/Darren McFadden (vs. NYJ)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: Bengals
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: Cardinals
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 15.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 18.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 47.5/65.2/4.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 29.2

Passing Game Thoughts: JaMarcus Russell is 21st in QB fantasy points scored. That’s higher than most might have predicted for him until you consider he is 26th in points per game average. Injuries to QB’s are a big reason for his surprising overall ranking because he has been healthy all year. His best target is TE Zach Miller who leads the team in receptions and yards. Considering Russell’s big arm it’s curious as to why an outside WR doesn’t have more yards than a TE. The Raiders don’t have much talent at WR, which is even more perplexing given owner Al Davis’ love for throwing the deep ball. Somewhere in the NCAA I have to believe there’s a speed WR stud that’s about to hit a lottery ticket since the Raiders have the QB and RB situation taken care of. As a team the Raiders are 27th in passing and not very efficient but Russell has done a solid job of taking care of the football for a first year starter.

The Jets are the 8th worst team in QB fantasy points allowed. Some help may come in the form of CB Justin Miller who is expected to see the field for the first time in 2008. He has good speed and may replace rookie Dwight Lowery. Dallas free agents Shaun Ellis and Kenyon Coleman start at defensive end. Ellis is having a good year with four sacks already but Coleman is struggling. They also rush the passer from both OLB positions on Bryan Thomas and Calvin Pace. They both do a good job of getting to the QB as well so the pass defense struggles are coverage issues. The one secondary position the Jets don’t have issues with is Kerry Rhodes who may be the best safety in the NFL. Teams generally avoid passing in his direction for good reason.

Running Game Thoughts: The Oakland rush attack versus the Jet defense is the best match up of this game. Both are good at playing the run game. There is some concern that NT Kris Jenkins has a sore back and is sitting out of practice but at this point it is just to rest so expect him to play. He is having an excellent year and does a great job getting penetration and occupying blockers for the LBs to run and make plays. This battle may be decided by default if the Raiders fall behind quickly and can’t continue eating clock on the ground.

Projections:
JaMarcus Russell: 160 yds passing/1 TD/1 INT
Ronald Curry: 60 yds
Johnnie Lee Higgins: 50 yds
Zach Miller: 45 yds/1 TD
Justin Fargas: 45 yds rushing
Darren McFadden: 55 yds rushing/10 yds receiving/1 TD

Seahawks @ Buccaneers (Dhawan)
Seneca Wallace/Bobby Engram/Koren Robinson/Keary Colbert/John Carlson
Julius Jones

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Buccaneers this season: Packers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Buccaneers this season: Packers

OPP FF Points Allowed QBs: -9.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed WRs: -0.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed TEs: -51.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed HBs: -40.6%

Passing Game Thoughts: the battered Seahawks offense continues its woes this week, as Matt Hasselbeck finally succumbs to a back injury and sits in favor of backup Seneca Wallace. Wallace has led some high scoring days in the past as a late season starter to rest Hasselbeck prior to the playoffs, but this will be tough against the Tampa2. Deion Branch returned from his ACL repair only to bruise a heel; his status is uncertain. Koren Robinson is on the wagon again, and Carolina and Denver castoff Keary Colbert caught a single pass for a TD last week. Rookie TE John Carlson continues to be a nice sleeper play. Look for difficult going and modest stats this week.

Running Game Thoughts: Julius Jones had been hot with back-to-back great performances. He did not get many rushes in a lopsided affair last week with Green Bay. Mike Holmgren should try to establish him against the Tampa2 in an effort to slow the stifling pass defense on a backup QB and open the seam for his tight end. Be hesitant, as the Bucs completely shutdown the Panthers ground game last Sunday.

Projections:
Seneca Wallace: 165 pass/0 TD/2 INT
Bobby Engram: 60 rec
Koren Robinson: 40 rec
Keary Colbert: 30 rec
John Carlson: 35 rec
Julius Jones: 60 rush/1 TD

Jeff Garcia/Antonio Bryant/ Ike Hilliard/Michael Clayton/Alex Smith/Jerramy Stevens
Earnest Graham/Warrick Dunn

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Packers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Packers

OPP FF Points Allowed to QBs: +28.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed to WRs: +43.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed to TEs: -86.6%
OPP FF Points Allowed to HBS: +7.7%

Passing Game Thoughts: Jeff Garcia continues his razor sharp mastery of HC Jon Gruden's offense. He dissected the Panthers last week at a 75% completion rate, and utilized 8 different pass catchers. Joey Galloway ran in practice this week, and caught nearly 100 passes on the side of the practice session, so he should be ready by next week to once again stretch the field. Until then, we're still waiting for rookie Dexter Jackson to go long, but it has not happened. Thus, look for Garcia to manage drives with the run game and precision passes to tight ends and wide receivers on short comebacks and out routes. Expect lower end stats in a probable blowout.

Running Game Thoughts: the clash of reality and fantasy occurred again last week when Earnest Graham owners wondered where he went on the stat sheet. The back-story was a refreshing display of team commitment and unselfishness as Graham played fullback due to injury and allowed fellow veteran Warrick Dunn his first 100-yard effort since week 9 of last season. Fullback looks to be well this week, so expect the regular platoon of the backs with equal chance for nice yardage and a TD for each.

Projections:
Jeff Garcia: 220 pass/1 TD/0 INT
Antonio Bryant: 60 rec
Michael Clayton: 40 rec
Ike Hilliard: 50 rec
Jerramy Stevens: 30 rec/1 TD
Alex Smith: 20 rec
Earnest Graham: 90 rush/1 TD
Warrick Dunn: 70 rush/1 TD

Saints @ Panthers (Dhawan)
Drew Brees/Marques Colston/Devery Henderson/Robert Meachem/Lance Moore/Billy Miller/Jeremy Shockey
Reggie Bush/Deuce McAllister

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season: Chargers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season: Vikings

OPP FF Points Allowed to QBs: -40.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed to WRs: -52.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed to TEs: 0.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed to HBs: -21.5%

Passing Game Thoughts: Here's a thought---Drew Brees is awesome! Brady's a one-year elite level wonder and hurt for the season, Manning is rusty coming off knee surgery, and fumbling Romo takes sacks and has the most dysfunctional team in America. Brees lays to rest all preseason talk of which elite QB will perform best. This completed third of the season was done with injuries and backups [a point that cannot be overlooked]; yet, Brees posts stats like a giant, and looks to get his best two targets healthy this week. Marques Colston [thumb] and Jeremy Shockey [hernia] practiced this week and will play. Brees is averaging 290 pass yards over his last contests with the Panthers; so do not expect his 2008 show to stop now.

Running Game Thoughts: Even in the blowout last week of the Raiders, Reggie Bush could not get his running style in gear. He did post another 2 TDs, but he carried the ball for a paltry 1.9YPC on 14 attempts. Deuce McAllister did average 5.0YPC on his 13 totes, so that was promising. If the team continues to win and score with the prolific passing game, we won't hear too much of these rush inadequacies. However, in December and January, they will have to do better. Continue to play Deuce as the inside man, and Bush will still get his receptions and score in his multi-dimensional style.

Projections:
Drew Brees: 345 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Marques Colston: 75 rec/1 TD
Devery Henderson: 50 rec
Robert Meachem: 60 rec/1 TD
Lance Moore: 55 rec
Jeremy Shockey: 30 rec
Billy Miller: 20 rec
Reggie Bush: 30 rush/50 rec/1 TD
Deuce McAllister: 50 rush/1 TD

Jake Delhomme/Steve Smith/Muhsin Muhammad/DJ Hackett/Dwayne Jarrett/Dante Rosario
DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Saints this season: Redskins
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Saints this season: Bucs

OPP FF Points Allowed to QBs: -3.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed to WRs: +12.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed to TEs: +28.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed to HBs: -29.3%

Passing Game Thoughts: Jake Delhomme suffered his worst outing of the season against the Bucs last week, tossing 3INTs and no TDs. He had no run game support, which locked the safeties onto his downfield targets. Steve Smith has a much better success rate when the safeties are glancing at run support as he explodes downfield and eats up their cushions. The Saints defense has come alive the past two weeks, freezing Adrian Peterson and the Raider running backs. They have been soft through the air, and this division match up is usually a well fought one. Expect multiple attempts to get Smith and Muhammad deep on the injury-riddled, Saints secondary.

Running Game Thoughts: The tandem of Williams and Stewart was halted in their collective tracks last Sunday. Stewart owners rejoiced that the Williams outbreak in week 5 versus the Chiefs was not a sign of things to come; they did not however envision a run game meltdown in week 6. Injuries to both starting tackles became evident, and they will continue to plague this attack until health is achieved. Temper expectations against a feisty division foe rush defense.

Projections:
Jake Delhomme: 255 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Steve Smith: 80 rec/1 TD
Muhsin Muhammad: 70 rec
Dwayne Jarrett: 20 rec
DJ Hackett: 20 rec
Dante Rosario: 20 rec
DeAngelo Williams: 40 rush
Jonathan Stewart: 40 rush/1 TD

Lions @ Texans (Dhawan)
Matt Schaub/Andre Johnson/Kevin Walter/Owen Daniels/Andre Davis
Steve Slaton/Ahman Green

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: Falcons
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: N/A

OPP FF Points Allowed to QBs: +23.%
OPP FF Points Allowed to WRs: -24.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed to TEs: +48.7%
OPP FF Points Allowed to HBs: +43.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: Sigh, redemption. It was the theme for the QB position last week in a wild photo finish versus the game Dolphins, when Matt Schaub pulled a Steve Beurlein circa 1999, mimicking the veteran's 5-yard scamper into the end zone against the Packers as time expired. No one was probably happier than backup Sage Rosenfels, who thwarted the chance of victory a week earlier with his late attempted heroics. Andre Johnson owners who held on long enough, or buyers who bought low, were rewarded with a second straight massive game [10-180-1]. In this fourth straight home stand, expect the hometown Texans to thrill fans again against the reeling Lions, and all receivers are great plays this week.

Running Game Thoughts: Lost in the thrill of victory last week was the job the Fins 3-4 unit did of clamping the zone blocking style of the Texans. Steve Slaton cooled off after his back-to-back nice games. Ahman Green continues his health and excellent spelling of the rookie with consistent carries. They should find nice room versus a bad Lions defense yielding yards and points at will [although the schizophrenic Vikings needed a safety and late FG to eek out a 12-10 win last Sunday].

Projections:
Matt Schaub: 275 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Andre Johnson: 125 rec/1 TD
Kevin Walter: 70 rec/1 TD
Owen Daniels: 50 rec
Andre Davis: 30 rec
Steve Slaton: 80 rush/1 TD
Ahman Green: 50 rush

Dan Orlovsky/Calvin Johnson/Shaun McDonald/Mike Furrey/Michael Gaines
Kevin Smith/Rudi Johnson

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Texans this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Texans this season: N/A

OPP FF Points Allowed to QBs: +38.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed to WRs: +41.7%
OPP FF Points Allowed to TEs: +34.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed to HBs: +2.6%

Passing Game Thoughts: Boy, the Lions are trying to challenge the Cowboys, Hogans, and Kardashians as the most dysfunctional families in America. The firing of Matt Millen was welcome, and evident in the trade that sent WR Roy E Williams to the Cowboys [3 draft picks and potential cap dollars to start a fresh, logical base for this franchise in 2009, not too shabby]. Starter Jon Kitna was hampered with a back injury, and is now shutdown for the season [although he argues the team forced this decision]. Dan Orlovsky played admirable last week, and got the ball to newly anointed 'solo franchise WR' Calvin Johnson [85-1], with several deep attempts. Now he will get the predominance of the looks, so owners should not be too worried. Shaun McDonald, he of the usually productive Mike Martz play calling and offense, is back as the new WR2, and speedy Mike Furrey, the poor man's Wes Welker [along with Miami's Greg Camarillo], gets the nod as WR3. This secondary is not special so do no be afraid of Orlovsky and this unit this week.

Running Game Thoughts: the Lions have tried to rush with some semblance of consistency to setup their long balls to Johnson and company. They posted a surprising 100yards last week against Mount Rush-less in Minnesota [although most was accrued on one 50-yard tote by Kevin Smith], and were successful 3 weeks ago versus the Niners. Expect some medium production with a chance for a TD by the rookie Smith or veteran Johnson.

Projections:
Dan Orlovsky: 235 pass/2 TDs/1 INT
Calvin Johnson: 100 rec/1 TD
Shaun McDonald: 70 rec/1 TD
Mike Furrey: 40 rec
Michael Gaines: 25 rec
Kevin Smith: 50 rush/1 TD
Rudi Johnson: 50 rush