Broncos @ Chiefs (Eakin)
Jay Cutler/Brandon Marshall/Eddie Royal/Tony Scheffler
Selvin Young/Andre Hall/Michael Pittman (vs. KC)

Passing Game Thoughts: The only thing that will slow down the Broncos offense in this game is Mike Shanahan pulling his starters once they have an insurmountable lead. We’re talking about a team averaging 40 points per game. Brandon Marshall is the league’s leading WR despite having only played 2/3 of the season. Jay Cutler is the league’s top QB. Tony Scheffler is the top fantasy TE. The offensive line has yet to give up a sack. They are 3-0 and have outgunned the Chargers and Saints in back to back shootouts. And this week they face the 0-3 chiefs that have two rookie CBs starting in the defensive backfield.

The starting defensive line for the Chiefs has yet to record a sack. Tamba Hali had a solid season playing opposite NFL sack leader Jared Allen, but has not been as effective trying to fill his shoes. The Chiefs couldn’t get pressure on Atlanta’s rookie QB Matt Ryan so the prospects of slowing Cutler and company seem relatively hopeless.

Running Game Thoughts: I listed all three Denver, RBs but I’m hoping you don’t have to rely on any of them. However, if there is a game to start them this isn’t a bad matchup. Mike Shanahan was quoted this week reinforcing his support of the running back rotation. Selvin Young and Andre Hall rotate every five carries and Michael Pittman gets short yardage and goal line duties. That is their defined roles until you hear or see otherwise. Between Young and Hall, Young has been the more effective player, averaging more yards per game and one TD to Hall’s zero. Overall Pittman has been slightly more productive, averaging 9.8 points per game to Young’s 8.5.

Projections:
Jay Cutler: 335 pass/3 TD
Brandon Marshall: 150 rec/2 TD
Eddie Royal: 70 rec
Tony Scheffler: 75 rec/1 TD
Selvin Young: 75 rush
Andre Hall: 55 rush
Michael Pittman: 10 rush/1 TD

Damon Huard/Dewayne Bowe/Devard Darling/Tony Gonzalez
Larry Johnson (vs. DEN)

Passing Game Thoughts: Herm Edwards inserted Tyler Thigpen, the unproven and unknown rookie QB from a place people call Coastal Carolina, hoping to catch lightning in a bottle. The experiment seems to have failed although there is speculation that Herm may have accidentally thrown a pinch of salt over his right shoulder instead of his left. Nonetheless, Damon Huard will return for his second start of the year. It appears Edwards has shortened his rotation getting ready for the MLB playoffs. Wait. I’ve got my sports confused. Damon Huard is a conservative game manager at this point in his career so TE Tony Gonzalez should benefit the most from this change. The good news is that the Denver defense has been poor to this point, but the numbers could be inflated, having played two of the best offenses in the league the last two weeks.

Running Game Thoughts: Larry Johnson has not been himself this year. Before you get too excited about last week keep in mind that minus one 48-yard untouched jaunt, he had 23 carries for 73 yards and no receptions. That’s just barely 3 yards per carry against a poor Falcon defense. Johnson will get plenty of carries in the first half hoping to churn the clock and shorten the game. Expect them to be down by halftime and need to start throwing. It is inexcusable that Johnson has only one reception on the year. I’m not sure he will be a quality starter the entire year. The Chiefs could turn to their young players once the playoffs are out of reach.

Projections:
Damon Huard: 190 pass/1 TD/2 INT
DeWayne Bowe: 70 rec/1 TD
Devard Darling: 35 rec
Tony Gonzalez: 75 rec
Larry Johnson: 70 rush/15 rec/1 TD

Bills @ Rams (Eakin)
Trent Edwards/Lee Evans/Josh Reed/Robert Royal
Marshawn Lynch (vs. STL)

Passing Game Thoughts: Trent Edwards and the (3-0) Bills are off to a good start this year. It may be a little too soon for Bills fantasizing about another run of Super Bowl losses, but things are looking more promising. Edwards is Stanford smart and was very highly rated coming out of college by our own “Gut Check” author Matt Waldman in his Rookie Scouting Portfolio. Perhaps this is the year Lee Evans stops teasing and lives up to his yearly fantasy ranking. So far he is only 22nd in points, but his play has been more consistent than in years past. Evan’s battery mate, Josh Reed, has improved his targets and receptions every game so keep an eye in him as he’s on the verge of becoming a low end WR3 start. Special teams standout and previous slot receiver Roscoe Parrish needed to get surgery on a finger and will miss a few weeks. This will open the door for sleeper rookie James Hardy to get more opportunity on the field and especially in the red zone. The Rams defense is fantasy gold for all opposing offensive players. Edwards is a good bye week QB replacement this week.

The Rams cut their best (oxymoron present) cover corner Fakhir Brown after last week’s loss to the Seahawks. Ron Bartell will replace him and the newly acquired Jason Craft, cut from the Saints roster, will play the nickel. The best cure for the Rams ills may be the return of pass rushing specialist Leonard Little. He is questionable with a pulled hamstring. The rams allow the third most QB fantasy points per game despite playing the passing challenged Seahawks last week.

Running Game Thoughts: Marshawn Lynch has been very consistent if not explosive. He’s 7th in RB fantasy points per game (17.2) averaging 75 yards and a TD. The Rams could be the boon Lynch owners have been waiting for. With star left tackle Jason Peters back and a poor run defense Lynch needs to improve his yards per carry. He remains the center of the offense and despite rumors of backup Fred Jackson getting more involved in the offense, he remains a top end starter and could be should be a top three start this week.

Projections:
Trent Edwards: 235 pass/2 TD
Lee Evans: 105 rec/1 TD
Josh Reed: 70 rec
Robert Royal: 55 rec/1 TD
Marshawn Lynch: 135 rush/20 rec/2 TD

Trent Green/Torry Holt/Dane Looker/Randy McMichael
Steven Jackson (vs. BUF)

Passing Game Thoughts: In the “battle of the Trents” the Rams turn to 38-year-old Trent Green after watching former QB Marc Bulger get a case of the pocket jitters from phantom pressure. Bulger got decent protection, but missed scoring opportunities. Green was the leading QB in passing yards for a recent three-year stretch, but head injuries derailed his career. Despite concern from many former players such as Marshall Faulk, doctors have cleared Green to play. His last comeback attempt in KC failed, but you never know what can happen with a player of his ability. Expect quick hit slants, TE seams and RB swings that get the ball out quick and help him find some rhythm.

The Bills give up the 9th least fantasy points for QBs. They are lead by young star safety Donte Whitner and playmaking CB Terrence McGee. The strength of their defense is their defensive line. I can’t figure out why Jacksonville let Marcus Stroud get away. He is a beast. He and Kyle Williams get great push up the middle hampering opposing QBs from stepping up in the pocket. Chris Kelsay and Aaron Schobel are solid rushing ends that pressure from the side and will benefit from Stroud’s presence.

Running Game Thoughts: The offense is built around Steven Jackson. He has had a rough start but hope is not lost. He is as talented as ever, but they have fallen behind often and he has been under utilized. Last week was the first time he got the ball 20 times. The Rams line is getting people back and healthy so hopefully they can get back on track. That being said, I don’t think this is the week it happens. Jackson may produce RB2 numbers this week on sheer attempts, but they must open some lanes for him to get some break away carries that he has yet to produce. It was announced that the Rams RB2 Antonio Pitman suffered a fracture in his lower leg and is expected to miss 4-6 weeks.

Did I mention my disbelief in Jacksonville letting Stroud get away? Let me rant further. The Jag’s whole identity as an up and coming player in this league was built around him and John Henderson dominating the middle. Teams simply couldn’t run at all on them. Now Stroud is dominating in Buffalo while the Jags are bleeding. The Bills are 6th in RB points allowed and the vaunted Jacksonville rush defense without Stroud…24th. Ouch. They lost one of their 3 most valuable commodities and in the end his loss will have just as much to do with their failure to live up to expectations as their offensive line injuries everyone is talking about.

Projections:
Trent Green: 190 pass/1 TD
Torry Holt: 60 rec
Dane Looker: 40 rec
Randy McMichael: 55 rec/1 TD
Steven Jackson: 70 rush/40 rec/1 TD

Chargers @ Raiders (Eakin)
Phillip Rivers/Chris Chambers/Vincent Jackson/Antonio Gates
LaDainian Tomlinson (vs. OAK)

Passing Game Thoughts: After breaking down games with the Rams, Chiefs, and now Raiders I’m starting to get a negativity complex. Anyways, this will be another lopsided affair. The Chargers are on a mission after starting 0-2 on two, last-minute plays so there is little chance of them looking past the Raiders. Phillip Rivers is playing better well and carrying the offense while L.T. gets right. Rivers is 2nd only to Jay Cutler in the QB ranks. While his yardage has not been spectacular, he is throwing a lot of TDs and making big plays. The key to him is that he does a great job of spreading the ball around and utilizing his many weapons, taking what the defense gives him. Even fullback Mike Tolbert has been effective catching balls out of the backfield. Antonio Gates says last week was the first game that his toe did not bother him and swell up after the game. He is optimistic he will get back to full strength and be able to complete the season.

The Raiders pass defense played well for one half against the Bills. DeAngelo Hall picked a ball and they sacked Trent Edwards three times. Scouts blame the comeback on Rob Ryan’s decision to play protect defense in the second half. Star CB Nnamdi Asomugha is questionable with an elbow strain, but should play and DT Gerard Warren left the game with a strained neck and pectoral. His condition also remains unclear. Keep an eye on his practice time as he did not practice Wednesday. Their best pass rush end Derrick Burgess is also nursing a tricep strain but is expected to practice Thursday and play this week but the Raiders are banged up and lack the depth to lose too many players on the front line.

Running Game Thoughts: LaDainian played more than I expected last week, but was about as effective as expected. Meaning he played solid, but unspectacular. He scored twice, but only rushed for 67 yards. He is just not right. Last week was a desperate must win game and after all the questions of his heart last year he wasn’t going to sit. The Chargers should try to open it up early and get enough of a lead to rest Tomlinson late. His “mighty mite” back up Darren Sproles is the more explosive player at this point so I would expect them to split carries fairly evenly if the game is in hand.

Projections:
Phillip Rivers: 265 yds passing/2 TD/1 INT
Chris Chambers: 65 yds receiving
Vincent Jackson: 60 yds receiving/1 TD
Antonio Gates: 65 yds receiving/1 TD
LaDainian Tomlinson: 75yds rushing/15 yds receiving/1 TD
Darren Sproles: 35 yds rushing/20 yds receiving

JaMarcus Russell/Ronald Curry/Ashlie Lelie/Zach Miller
Darren McFadden/Michael Bush (vs. SD)

Passing Game Thoughts: After three games Johnnie Lee Higgins has only one reception yet leads the team in receiving yards with 84. That says it all about the state of the Oakland pass offense. JaMarcus Russell completed only 10 passes last week. Until this things get better there is little to discuss. If Russell is struggling then one would think they could at least generate some short passes and screens to get him on the stat sheet.

The Chargers defense turned things around last week and Antonio Cromartie looked like Antonio Cromartie. He picked off Favre for a TD and dropped one that also would have been taken to the house. Second year safety Eric Weddle is getting up to speed and is starting to become the play maker the Chargers expect him to be.

Running Game Thoughts: Oakland as a team has the 10th most productive rushing attack. Darren McFadden is big and fast, but from what I’ve seen I tend to agree with the scouts that claim he lacks the lateral quickness to become a supremely elite RB in the NFL. He will break big runs when the blocking is there, but I don’t see him making a lot of people miss. Having a sore toe certainly doesn’t help his cause. He and Michael Bush will split carries and both are possible flex options but not top line starters.

Projections:
JaMarcus Russell: 125 yds passing
Ashlie Lelie: 40 yds
Ronald Curry: 40 yds
Zach Miller: 35 yds
Darren McFadden: 65 rush/15 rec/1 TD
Michael Bush: 55 yds rushing /1 TD

Cardinals @ Jets (Marcoccio)
Kurt Warner/Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin/Ben Patrick
Edgerrin James/Tim Hightower (vs. NYJ)

Passing Game Thoughts: Kurt Warner and the Arizona passing game continued to post nice numbers in last week’s loss at Washington. Warner has shown this season that he still has plenty of life left in his aging arm despite its years leading the “Greatest Show on Turf”, tossing the pigskin around in the Arena League, and bagging all those groceries. He has 750 yards and six TDs on the season. It certainly doesn’t hurt that he has arguably (is it still arguable?) the most dominant starting wide receiver combination in the NFL in Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, who account for 540 of those yards and all 6 TDs. Both are complete players that have size, strength, speed, route running ability, and intelligence and the two make it nearly impossible to double either. It seems TE Ben Patrick has surpassed TE Leonard Pope in terms of production at least if not on the depth chart, but as you see from the above numbers not much is left over for others after Boldin and Fitzgerald get theirs.

The Jets pass defense was lit up by Philip Rivers and the Chargers this past Monday Night and didn’t fare too well against former QB Chad Pennington in Week 1 either, so its hard to imagine they will really slow down the high flying Cardinals. New York ranks 21st in passing yards allowed and has allowed 5 TDs and 634 yards through the air and that’s including a game in which they faced a QB that hadn’t started a game since high school. However it should be noted that despite the high number of passing yards and touchdowns allowed by the Jets, corner backs Darrell Reivas and rookie Dwight Lowry have played very well. In fact only one TD on the season has been scored by an opposing WR (Chambers) with three going to TEs (Fasano, Martin, Gates) and one to a fullback (Tolbert). So perhaps Boldin and Fitzgerald may produce numbers lower than they are accustomed to producing.

Running Game Thoughts: Edgerrin James has managed to grind out 248 yards this season on 4.0 ypc. He no longer has the burst he once possessed, but his tough running style and savvy still allow for him to be effective with the support of Arizona’s feared passing attack. James still gets his fair share of carries so he’s a decent spot start during the right match up, but he has lost goal-line carries to rookie Tim Hightower and isn’t used much in the passing game so owners shouldn’t really expect any monster games on the horizon.

The Jets run defense has been much-improved in 2008, allowing only 260 yards and three TDs thus far to rank 8th in the league, thanks in large part to Kris Jenkins who has finally given the Jets the big nose tackle that they’ve been lacking to tie up blockers at the line of scrimmage. However, Jenkins left the game with a back injury in the first half Monday Night and his status is uncertain for Sunday. ILB David Harris has made the Jet fans forget all about the team having shipped off popular MLB Jonathan Vilma - who did not fit the scheme that Eric Mangini preferred to run - as he’s been a tackling machine since the middle of last season.

Projections:
Kurt Warner: 265 yds passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 80 yds receiving
Anquan Boldin: 110 yds receiving, 1 TD
Ben Patrick: 15 yds receiving, 1 TD
Edgerrin James: 75 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving
Tim Hightower: 25 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving

Brett Favre/Laveranues Coles/Jericho Cotchery/Dustin Keller
Thomas Jones/Leon Washington (vs. NE)

Passing Game Thoughts: Brett Favre was finally unleashed this Monday Night and Jet fans saw the good and bad as Brett threw for 271 and three TDs but also was picked off twice, one of which was returned for a TD by the Chargers. Surprising second-year receiver Chansi Stuckey scored his third TD in three games and has 12 catches for 122 yards on the season. Jerricho Cotchery rebounded from a silent Week 2 grabbing 10 balls for 76 yards and WR Laveranues Coles finally got in step with Favre scoring his first TD on 75 yards receiving. Rookie Dustin Keller finally paid dividends for those who took a late round flier on him - that is if they had him in their line up - after two invisible weeks grabbing his first NFL TD.

Arizona is the 11th ranked pass defense in terms of passing yards allowed and has only allowed two TDs this season. Their pass rush led by Bertrand Berry has gotten to the QB eight times in three weeks which may not bode well for the Jets who have not protected Favre very well so far. Arizona will be tested this week by No. 4 though as he is the best QB that they have faced thus far. This defense is still young and may be schooled by the old man who has grown a little more comfortable with the offense and his teammates.

Running Game Thoughts: Thomas Jones had a very effective Week 1, rushing for 101 yards and a TD, but has combined for only 107 rushing yards and no TDs the last two weeks. The Jets abandoned the running game in Week 3 based in part by San Diego getting out to an early lead and perhaps because the coaching staff was heavily criticized by media and fans for not relying enough on Brett Favre this season after acquiring him in the off season. Jones ran well when called upon against the Chargers and will face an Arizona team that is not very strong against the run. Leon Washington once again showed off his dynamic kick return skills, but has yet to be fully utilized by the coaching staff in the normal offense. His open field skills are among the best of all NFL RBs and he could be a very effective weapon for Favre if the Jets let him be one.

Arizona is ranked 14th in rushing yards allowed with 316 yards in three games and have allowed a rushing TD each week. The Cardinals high flying offense and quick scoring ability however can help protect the run defense by getting out to early leads on their opponents. Karlos Dansby is developing into one of the better young linebackers in the league and does not miss many tackles, but the Jets would be wise to attack the Cards on the ground if they wish to control the game.

Projections:
Brett Favre: 265 yds passing 2 TDs, / 1 INT
Laveranues Coles: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Jerricho Cotchery : 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
Chansi Stuckey: 35 yds receiving
Dustin Keller: 40 yds receiving
Leon Washington: 35 yds rushing / 25 yds receiving
Thomas Jones: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 10 yds receiving

Redskins @ Dallas (Marcoccio)
Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Antwaan Randle El/Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis (vs. DAL)

Passing Game Thoughts: Jason Campbell has shown vast improvement and a greater understanding of the West Coast Offense each week he has played. After Week 1 many owners panicked and claimed that Campbell was going to be a disaster, but it now looks like Campbell could be a potential fantasy starter. He now has 647 yards passing and 4 TDs without an interception in 2008. Rookie wide-out Devin Thomas was finally healthy enough to get in the mix and showed his explosiveness when he scored on a 66-yard TD catch that unfortunately was called back by a penalty. Santana Moss has been an elite fantasy WR thus far (19-276-3) and Antwaan Randle El (14-149) and Chris Cooley (13-151) have performed reasonably well, too. It seems the Skins may really be an offensive force under Jim Zorn’s version of the West Coats Offense as the season progresses.

The Dallas defense is ranked 19th in passing yards allowed giving up 623 yards and 2 TDs through 3 weeks. The loss of safety Roy Williams could actually help the Cowboy pass defense, as the big safety has been a liability in pass coverage. The Washington o-line could face its biggest challenge since Week 1 against the Giants when they line up against a Dallas defense in Week 4 that has amassed 10 sacks on the year and features Marcus Spears, DeMarcus Ware and Greg Ellis.

Running Game Thoughts: Quietly, Clinton Portis has 248 rushing yards and 3 TDs on the season, which again makes him one of the more underrated backs in fantasy circles. He hasn’t been as involved in the passing games (4 receptions for 22 yards) as I would have expected given the new offensive system, but he has still been used as the workhorse back that he has been throughout his career. Portis has the ability to run inside behind his effective line, despite his small stature, and the speed to take the corner against most NFL linebackers. It’s easy to pencil him in for his usual 85-100 yards and a score each week.

The Dallas defense is ranked 6th against the run this season allowing only 84.3 rushing yards per game but has allowed three TDs. The unit has looked good against all runners they have faced thus far (Jamal Lewis, Brian Westbrook and Ryan Grant), but Westbrook did score twice and Lewis and Grant were suffering hamstring injuries. Run stopping safety Roy Williams will miss a few games in the upcoming weeks, which is not as devastating as Indianapolis losing Bob Sanders, but it may affect the overall unit nevertheless.

Projections:
Jason Campbell: 245 yds passing, 1 TD / 30 yards rushing
Santana Moss: 90 yds receiving
Antwaan Randle El: 55 yds receiving
Chris Cooley: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
Clinton Portis: 85 yards rushing, 1 TD / 15 yards receiving

Tony Romo/Terrell Owens/Patrick Crayton/Jason Witten
Marion Barber III/Felix Jones (vs. WAS)

Passing Game Thoughts: The 2008 Cowboys offense has been 2007 Patriots-like. Yes they have looked that good (and more balanced) through 3 Weeks against some pretty tough defenses in Cleveland, Philadelphia, and Green Bay. The only real knock on Tony Romo (892 yards passing with 5 TDs) has been his some times careless approach to the game. He has fumbled the ball and thrown some bad interceptions more often than most elite QBs and often in the worst possible situations on the field. However, Romo has one of the quickest releases in the league and the ability to leave the pocket to make plays both of which make it extremely difficult for the opposition to get and/or keep good coverage on the Cowboy receivers. Terrell Owens, even at 34, is one of the three most dangerous wide receivers in the game and dominated the Cleveland and Philadelphia secondary, although he did disappear last week in Green Bay. TE Jason Witten has yet to find the end zone, but has put up good yardage each week. Third WR Austin Miles had a big game last week. Austin has learned to catch the ball more with his hands rather than letting it hit his body like in the past and his speed makes him very difficult match up for nickel backs. Its possible he starts cutting into inconsistent Patrick Crayton’s playing time.

Washington’s pass defense continues to be very average (16th in passing yards allowed in 2007, 16th in passing yards allowed in 2008) despite having many former high draft picks in their secondary. They have given up 592 yards thus far and have allowed three passing TDs. However, Washington has been able to take the ball away from opposing teams with four interceptions and two fumble recoveries so far. Romo’s aforementioned ball protection issues may come into play if he’s not more careful in Week 4 which is one way Washington may be able to hang with the ‘boys.

Running Game Thoughts: Marion Barber has been one of the more impressive backs in 2008 rushing for 285 yards and four TDs while also grabbing 10 catches for 87 yards and a TD. I mentioned previously in this space that he may very well threaten 20 TDs on the season. In this offense and with his ability to score in so many different ways that number may be conservative. Meanwhile, rookie RB Felix Jones has scored a TD in every game thus far – although one was on a kick return. Last week he showed great vision and speed by taking one to the house from 60 yards out. Even with as good as Barber has been, it’s going to be awfully tough to keep this kid off the field. The massive Cowboy offensive line should get some credit as they could make any RB look good, however it appears they are now blocking for two very special RBs.

The Washington run defense struggled mightily during the pre-season and continued to do so during Week 1, but it is looking like they have turned the corner a little after holding the Saints and the Cardinals running games in check the last two weeks. Washington is 16th in the league in rushing yards allowed (352) and have allowed only one opposing RB (Pierre Thomas) to score a rushing TD against them (QB Eli Manning had a rushing TD in Week 1). Veteran London Fletcher has been one of the better run stopping line backers in the league during his time with Washington, but maybe running into a buzz saw in Week 4 when he’s looking at Marion Barber running through him and Felix Jones running by him.

Projections:
Tony Romo: 265 yds passing 3 TDs, 2 INTs
Terrell Owens: 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
Patrick Crayton: 30 yds receiving
Jason Witten: 75 yds receiving, 1 TD
Marion Barber: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving
Felix Jones: 45 yds rushing / 25 yds receiving, 1 TD

Atlanta @ Carolina (Dhawan)
Jake Delhomme/Steve Smith/Muhsin Muhammad/ D.J. Hackett/ Dwayne Jarrett/ Dante Rosario
DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart (vs. ATL)

Passing Game Thoughts: Scary moment last week for Jake Delhomme and his fantasy owners when CB Antoine Winfield hit a ‘grand slam’ against him (sack, forced fumble, fumble recovery, return TD); but Delhomme’s arm is fine and he finished the game. Steve Smith is back, catching 4 passes for 70 yards last week. The duo should have success versus a DeAngelo Hall-less Falcons secondary. Watch out for DE John Abraham wrecking havoc---he has 6 sacks already and the Vikings pressured Delhomme for 5 sacks last week.

Running Game Thoughts: The Falcons have allowed some nice opponent rushing performances the past 2 weeks (160 and 120 rush yards to the Bucs and Chiefs, respectively), so this bodes well for tailbacks Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams. Expect solid stats in the run game to buy time and complement the pass game.

Projections:
Jake Delhomme: 240 pass/1 TD/0 INT
Steve Smith: 90/1 TD
D.J. Hackett: 40 rec
Muhsin Muhammad: 40 rec
Dwayne Jarrett: 20 rec
Dante Rosario: 40 rec
DeAngelo Williams: 65 rush
Jonathan Stewart: 85 rush/2TD

Matt Ryan/Roddy White/Michael Jenkins/ Laurent Robinson
Michael Turner/ Jerious Norwood (vs. CAR)

Passing Game Thoughts: Are the Carolina Panthers a bad team or good team? This is your only question when determining Falcons fantasy starts. They were excellent versus the bad Lions and Chiefs; young, inexperienced, and terrible versus the polished and good Bucs. Matt Ryan rides the game momentum well. When the running game is clicking, he takes timely shots downfield to Roddy White and Michael Jenkins. Panthers CB Chris Gamble plays much like his namesake, so there could be another White TD bomb in the stat sheet this week.

Running Game Thoughts: The explosive Michael Turner should have nice success against the Carolina run defense, which has surrendered 3 straight 100+ yard games to open the season. Overly criticized 1st round tackle Sam Baker has been better than advertised in the run blocking department (although pass blocking still needs improvement), and mammoth guard Justin Blalock has been a mauler in opening holes. Expect another 100 yards with 1-2 scores.

Projections:
Matt Ryan: 210 pass/1TD/1INT
Roddy White: 100 rec/1TD
Michael Jenkins: 40 rec
Laurent Robinson: 30 rec
Michael Turner: 110 rush/2TD
Jerious Norwood: 50 rush

Texans @ Jaguars (Dhawan)
Matt Schaub/Andre Johnson/Kevin Walter/Andre Davis/Owen Daniels
Steve Slaton/Chris Taylor (vs. JAX)

Passing Game Thoughts: It was expectedly difficult to perform post-Ike. QB Matt Schaub is starting to cause a stir, with only 1 TD, 5 INTs, and a QB rating of 50, which is worse than even the David Carr era. Sage Rosenfels has always had streaky success when thrust into the lineup, and HC Gary Kubiak may be considering him at this point. All Andre Johnson 2nd round drafters and owners are desperate for production, and Rosenfels’ patented deep ball may be a welcome sight. It’s still Schaub’s job, so expect low stats and high INTs versus shutdown corner Rashean Mathis and a Jaguar defense that feels better after a big road upset in Indy last week.

Running Game Thoughts: rookie Steve Slaton looked good in his first start, tallying 116 yards and a TD with a 50-yard run. Alex Gibbs has this offensive line learning the cut-block system, and it is starting to show results. As noted last week, the Jags rush defense has not been at their accustomed level, currently ranked 17th overall. This might help young Slaton get close to the century mark with another score.

Projections:
Matt Schaub: 195 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Andre Johnson: 60 rec/1 TD
Kevin Walter: 40 rec
Andre Davis: 20 rec
Owen Daniels: 30 rec
Steve Slaton: 80 rush/1TD
Chris Taylor: 35 rush

David Garrard/Jerry Porter/Dennis Northcutt/Reggie Williams/Matt Jones/Marcedes Lewis
Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. HOU)

Passing Game Thoughts: Where in the world is Jerry Porter? You’ll have an easier time finding Carmen Sandiego. David Garrard has thus far been atypical of his 2007 season; yet, last week he juiced his completion rate above 70%, although he did toss another INT. It was enough due to the running show the Jags put on while All-Pro safety Bob Sanders watched his defensive teammates fried like the chicken of Colonel Sanders. The reeling Texans are just what Garrard needs to get fully on track---look for nice yards, and two scores with no INTs.

Running Game Thoughts: They proved once again that they are good for at least one demolition of the Colts every three seasons. The last time they did this, it was a pulverizing 300-plus yards; although not quite as bad this time, the execution and powerful effort produced long faces and broken wills on the Indy sideline while rejuvenating the tough, physical reputation of the Jags that has been more than covered this first 3 weeks of 2008. Expect Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew to rack up another 80-100 yards each, with a couple of scores between them. Add one more TD by Greg Jones, and that’s the trifecta.

Projections:
David Garrard: 225 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Jerry Porter:
Marcedes Lewis: 30 rec
Dennis Northcutt: 60 rec
Reggie Williams: 30 rec/1TD
Matt Jones: 80 rec
Fred Taylor: 80 rush/1TD
Maurice Jones-Drew: 100 rush/1TD

Packers @ Buccaneers(Dhawan)
Brian Griese/Joey Galloway/Ike Hilliard/Michael Clayton/Jerramy Stevens
Earnest Graham/Warrick Dunn (vs. GB)

Passing Game Thoughts: Let’s apply some simple logic: if the Chicago defense is supposed to be twice as good as the Tampa Bay defense, then Brian Griese should throw for 800 yards this week, right? One would like to think so, especially his owners. Griese posted a stunning 400-yard, 2 TD performance leading a comeback victory for the Bucs on the road at Soldier Field. The offensive line seemed able to protect him enough for him to deliver the football to multiple players, including Jerramy Stevens, Ike Hilliard, and once again, Antonio Bryant, back from his three-year stint in the Witness Protection Program. The Packers are without bump-and-run corner Al Harris, and Charles Woodson cannot cover everyone, as we saw last week when Dallas roasted the rest of the secondary. Expect Griese to repeat his high pass attempt, high stat outing with a couple of scores. The receivers should all be good plays, especially in PPR leagues.

Running Game Thoughts: so much for Jon Gruden trying to balance the play calling. He went from 20 rushes and 40 throws the previous week to 10 rushes and 900 throws last week (at least it looked like it!) The Packers defense is a 27th ranked unit overall, and gives up a lot of yards, including the run. Expect Earnest Graham to continue his fantasy HB2 value with a solid 80-100 yards and TD. Veteran Warrick Dunn continues to be a play in deep leagues with his contributory 40-50 weekly yards.

Projections:
Brian Griese: 270 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Joey Galloway: 40 rec
Ike Hilliard: 70 rec
Michael Clayton: 30 rec
Antonio Bryant: 70rec/1TD
Jerramy Stevens: 50rec/1TD
Earnest Graham: 95 rush/1 TD
Warrick Dunn: 40 rush

Aaron Rodgers/Greg Jennings/Donald Driver/James Jones/Jordy Nelson/Donald Lee
Ryan Grant/Brandon Jackson (vs. TB)

Passing Game Thoughts: Aaron Rodgers has shown he is more than capable of running the Green Bay spread/west coast hybrid offense, especially with all the talent they have at the pass catching positions. He faced his first tough test last week, but still padded the stats sheet with nice yardage, no INTs, and a rush TD. The Bucs have been shredded the last three games though the air, and this may be no different. Look for Rodgers to go deep to beat the Cover Two, and rack up 300 yards with multiple scores. Watch for the veteran INT by the young player (last week, disguised screen coverage forced Orton into a defensive lineman INT).

Running Game Thoughts: Ryan Grant has not yet returned to full health stemming from his preseason hamstring injury. He is losing steam to Brandon Jackson, who posted 60 yards and a TD in his absence despite the Pack aerial shows. Do not lose faith or confidence in Grant, as a few more weeks to heal up to full strength will position him as the beneficiary of this potent offense that scores in bunches (see last year’s November and December). Expect low to medium yards by both runners.

Projections:
Aaron Rodgers: 320pass/3TD/1INT
Greg Jennings: 100rec/1TD
Donald Driver: 80rec
James Jones: 40rec
Jordy Nelson: 30rec/1TD
Donald Lee: 30rec/1TD
Ryan Grant: 50rush
Brandon Jackson: 40rush/1TD

Vikings @ Titans (Dhawan)
Kerry Collins/Justin Gage/Justin McCareins/Brandon Jones/LaVelle Hawkins/ Bo Scaife
LenDale White/Chris Johnson (vs. MIN)

Passing Game Thoughts: Kerry Collins looked as poised and controlled as we expected him to be, directing the offense versus a spry post-Ike Houston Texans defense. His comfort blanket running game will be hard pressed this week against the monster run defenders of the Minnesota Vikings; thus, Collins will need to step up to determine the outcome of this game, with plays down the field and few mistakes. Look for him to try and isolate tight end Bo Scaife on rookie safety Tyrell Johnson, and try the deep sideline route to Justin McCareins, who grabbed 3 catches for 86 yards last week.

Running Game Thoughts: This slugfest will resemble their 2007 wildcard playoff game against the San Diego Chargers. Running yards and points will be at a premium, and passing plays will determine the final outcome. LenDale White will prove his plow horse worth against the double-Williams of Minnesota, Kevin and Pat. Chris ‘super jets’ Johnson will be used in the screen game a lot, and might have a chance to break his customary long run on the perimeter, although CBs Antoine Winfield and Cedric Griffin are as rugged defending the edge as they come.

Projections:
Kerry Collins: 200 pass/1 TD/2 INT/
Justin Gage: 40 rec
Justin McCareins: 40 rec
Brandon Jones: 30 rec
LaVelle Hawkins: 20 rec
Bo Scaife: 40rec/1TD
LenDale White: 50 rush/1 TD
Chris Johnson: 40 rush/55 rec

Gus Frerotte/Bernard Berrian/Sidney Rice/Bobby Wade/Aundrae Allison/Visanthe Shiancoe
Adrian Peterson/Chester Taylor (vs. TEN)

Passing Game Thoughts: Last week, Vikings took on a mirror image of their week 4 opponent, inserting veteran QB Gus Frerotte into the starting lineup to avoid the dreaded 0-3 start. Mission accomplished, as Frerotte calmly led the Adrian Peterson-featured offense on three scoring drives, and won the game with help of a defensive TD. This week, he will be more settled and willing to use his still big arm to make downfield plays to speedster Bernard Berrian and tall jump ball specialist Sidney Rice. Expect TE Visanthe Shiancoe to continue getting hot reads as defenses stack 8 defenders to stop Peterson and Chester Taylor.

Running Game Thoughts: This will be among the toughest tests in young Adrian Peterson’s career. Still nursing a sore hamstring, he managed 77 yards last week, but this will be a different story. Haynesworth, Vanden Bosch, Bullock, and company specialize in run-stopping, and even a healthy Peterson would be challenged finding holes on them. He is still an must start, as you never know when this phenom will do his thing, as evidenced by his nuclear performances last season against the likes of the Bears and Chargers, among the top-rated rush defenses. Chester Taylor will contribute some in the ground game, but like Chris Johnson, more in the screen game.

Projections:
Gus Frerotte: 230pass/2TD/1INT
Bernard Berrian: 80rec/1TD
Sidney Rice: 40rec/1TD
Bobby Wade: 20rec
Aundrae Allison: 20rec
Visanthe Shiancoe: 30rec
Adrian Peterson: 60rush
Chester Taylor: 30rush/30rec

Niners @ Saints (Dhawan)
Drew Brees/Devery Henderson/David Patten/Robert Meachem/ Lance Moore/Billy Miller
Reggie Bush/Pierre Thomas/Deuce McAllister (vs. SF)

Passing Game Thoughts: Drew Brees is a wonder among quarterbacks: he keeps losing his guys, yet increasing his yardage output. Now tight end Jeremy Shockey (sports hernia repair) joins marquee wideout Marques Colston (thumb ligament repair) on the bench for the next 3-6 weeks. Brees continues to utilize Reggie Bush on the perimeter, and fledgling Robert Meachem continues to grow, catching a 74-yard bomb last week. Look for WR Lance Moore and TE Billy Miller on the waiver wire, with Brees maintaining the number-one pass offense in a shootout with San Francisco.

Running Game Thoughts: Reggie Bush has done well on the perimeter sweeps and catching passes, but has yet to learn the inside run. However, Coach Sean Payton has worked around it with Pierre Thomas. Reality and fantasy fans complained last week that Deuce McAllister was not properly deployed in the heartbreaker versus Denver. Is there more to this than we know? McAllister continues to be suited up on the sideline, yet does not get the goal line or short yardage call. Does Sean Payton think McAllister’s days of blasting 1-2 tough yards on those repaired knees are over? We’ll see this week, as he stated in an interview that they implemented the red zone and goal line packages on Monday practice (customarily installed during the Thursday practice). The Niners sport the 21st rated rush defense, so yards should be available, but more for Thomas than Bush.

Projections:
Drew Brees: 335 pass/3 TD/1 INT
Devery Henderson: 50 rec
David Patten: 40 rec
Robert Meachem: 60 rec/1TD
Lance Moore: 45 rec/1TD
Billy Miller: 30rec
Reggie Bush: 40 rush/80 rec/1TD
Deuce McAllister: 20 rush
Pierre Thomas: 50rush/30rec/1TD

J.T. O’Sullivan/Isaac Bruce/Bryant Johnson/Arnaz Battle/Josh Morgan/Delanie Walker/Vernon Davis
Frank Gore (vs. NO)

Passing Game Thoughts: QB JT O’Sullivan, or ‘JTO’, has started to show he can muscle up like a GTO, posting a 66% completion rate and 105 QB rating. It has not exactly been the Rams’ 1999 show as I predicted, but statistically pleasing nonetheless. He is getting the ball to veteran Isaac Bruce, Cardinals castoff Bryant Johnson, and reliable Arnaz Battle. Frank Gore owners in PPR leagues are happy with the 13 receptions in three games thus far. Like most Mike Martz offenses, JTO has also been plastered for 13 sacks, and his durability will be in question to owners. Look for stellar stats versus a bad New Orleans secondary and an old-fashioned shootout game.

Running Game Thoughts: RB Frank Gore has quietly put together a nice start to the season, ranking 5th in rushing yards and tied for 7th with 3 rushing TDs. Oakland Raiders castoff Barry Sims has taken over at right tackle, and youngsters Adam Snyder (G) and Joe Staley (T) have solidified the left side. The Saints are surrendering 130 yards and a TD on average their first 3 contests, so Gore should pound out a solid effort with a score or two.

Projections:
JT O’Sullivan: 310pass/2TD/0INT
Isaac Bruce: 80rec/1TD
Bryant Johnson: 50rec
Arnaz Battle: 40rec
Josh Morgan: 40rec/1TD
Delanie Walker: 30rec
Vernon Davis: 30rec
Frank Gore: 120rush/30rec/2TD

Browns @ Bengals(Mack)
Derek Anderson / Braylon Edwards / Donte Stallworth / Kellen Winslow
Jamal Lewis (vs CIN)

Passing Game Thoughts: The Cleveland Browns offense has been abysmal so far this season. They have been unable to run the ball, throw the ball or protect the QB. As a result, Derek Anderson’s starting gig at QB is tenuous at best. Certainly, there’s enough blame to go around, what with dropped passes galore from the receivers and tight end. Anderson appears to be the polar opposite of what he was last season. Gone is the poise in the pocket, the accuracy, the confidence that propelled him to his first Pro Bowl in 2007. Anderson’s weaponry, however, will be improved this week as oft-injured WR Donte Stallworth returns from a quad strain injury.

This week’s game against Cincinnati provides the best opportunity for Cleveland to put up numbers. Although Cincy’s defense played admirably last week on the road against the Giants, they still surrendered almost 300 yards passing to Eli Manning. Plus, the Bengals only have one sack and zero interceptions this season. This game sets up nicely for Cleveland’s offense and should be reminiscent of the early season shoot-out from last year between these two teams. But if the Browns sputter in the first half, don’t be surprised if Brady Quinn spells Anderson for the second half. But I say Anderson plays well enough in this game to hold off the dogs for at least another week.

Running Game Thoughts: What happened to the supposed good, young offensive line in Cleveland? Outside of a 26 yard run against Dallas in the season opener when the Cowboys were in a prevent defense, the o-line has opened no holes for Jamal Lewis and the running game. Ninety-five percent of Lewis’ runs consist of taking the ball from the QB and running into a wall of humanity at the line of scrimmage. That kind of production up front is certainly not conducive to productivity from the running game.

But here’s the good news for Jamal Lewis owners (myself included). The Bengals have given up at least 80 yards and a TD to an opposing team’s running back this year. Couple that with Lewis mouthing off in the press this week about his lack of touches and I envision a scenario where he gets 25 carries on his way to his best game so far in 2008.

Projections:
Derek Anderson: 225 yards passing / 2 TD
Braylon Edwards: 95 yards rec. / 1 TD
Kellen Winslow: 80 yards rec. / 1 TD
Donte Stallworth: 40 yards rec.
Jamal Lewis: 130 yards rushing / 1 TD

Carson Palmer / Chad Johnson / TJ Houshmandzadeh / Antonio Chatman
Chris Perry (vs. CLE)

Passing Game Thoughts: After God-awful performances during the first two weeks of the season, few thought the toothless Bengals’ offense would travel to the Meadowlands and battle the New York Giants the way they did. But to most everyone’s surprise, they competed and was within a few plays of pulling off an upset. Carson Palmer played his best game of the season despite being sacked six times and pressured countless others. The Bengals’ offensive line remains the biggest concern for the passing game, but the Browns’ defense has shown no signs of being able to apply pressure on the QB to raise any serious concerns for those who own Palmer.

Perhaps the biggest head-scratcher regarding the Bengals’ fantasy relevance is Chad Johnson’s slow start. With only eight catches through the first three games, Johnson has punished his owners with dreadful performances, but much like the other skill position players in this game, the opportunity is there for him to match or even surpass his season totals in this one game. Cleveland’s secondary is atrocious and is vulnerable to being picked apart. Palmer, Johnson, Houshmandzadeh and even diminutive Antonio Chatman should all have outstanding games.

Running Game Thoughts: Compared to the choppy and mechanical footwork of former Bengal RB Rudi Johnson during the previous four seasons, Chris Perry appears to be playing at another speed. He gets the ball and there’s little hesitation. Although his numbers don’t reflect it, he’s played quite well so far. He’s a versatile threat, with power to run between the tackles, speed to get to the perimeter and the swiftness to catch the ball out of the backfield and make something happen. Those are all skills that should allow him to do very well against a Cleveland defense that can’t stop anyone right now.

Most think this game will be a shoot-out, but that shouldn’t give owners of Perry any trepidation. I suspect Perry will be as successful running the ball as he will catching the ball. The Browns don’t have the skill at linebacker to contain a multi-threat running back such as Perry, so he will be counted on to provide productivity all afternoon. Kenny Watson should get a sniff of action, but not enough to warrant any consideration for putting him in your line-up.

Projections:
Carson Palmer: 315 yards passing / 3 TDs / 1 INT
Chad Johnson: 135 yards rec. / 1 TD
TJ Houshmandzadeh: 85 yards rec. / 2 TDs
Antonio Chatman: 50 yards rec.
Chris Perry: 90 yards rushing / 1 TD / 50 yards rec.

Eagles @ Bears (Mack)
Donovan McNabb / Hank Baskett / DeSean Jackson / Reggie Brown
Brian Westbrook / Correll Buckhalter (vs CHI)

Passing Game Thoughts: Donovan McNabb should play this week despite the chest injury he sustained against Pittsburgh. It never ceases to amaze me how productive McNabb continues to be with average receivers. His top two receiving options have played little this season, yet McNabb continues to be a must-start fantasy player. That trend continues this week as the Eagles invade Soldier Field. Last week’s shoot-out with the Bucs notwithstanding, however, the Bears defense has been a tough nut to crack. Both Peyton Manning and Jake Delhomme can vouch for that. But McNabb has proven that he can put up solid numbers despite the opponent, and Sunday night’s tilt in his hometown should prove yet again that McNabb is the truth. Tight end LJ Smith will more than likely miss this game; starting WR Kevin Curtis is out as well and Reggie Brown is slowly being worked back into playing shape, so that leaves the brunt of the receiving chores to Hank Baskett and rookie DeSean Jackson, both of whom have flashed good skills worthy of a starting spot on your roster.

Running Game Thoughts: The hearts of Brian Westbrook’s owners simultaneously sank last week when he injured his ankle while trying to avoid a teammate. In classic Westbrook fashion, it appears he’s going to play against Chicago, and if history is any indication, he should play well. There were times last year when he’d enter the weekend listed as questionable with a knee issue, only to play the entire game as if there was never any question. The only caveat with this current situation is the game is on Sunday night, so if you’re going to put your trust in Westbrook playing, you’d best keep your finger crossed and hope there’s no setback during warm-ups.

Westbrook is perhaps the game’s most gifted two-way RB. His toughness as a runner is rivaled only by his elusiveness as a receiver, so taking a chance on putting a skilled player with those assets in your line-up is worth the gamble. The Eagles line him up all over the field and his fantasy points come in almost every conceivable variety. Outside of the minor bumps and bruises he takes during the season, it’s fun having Westbrook on your team. Every week, you know he will be featured heavily in the game plan and given every opportunity to produce. We can’t ask for more than that as fantasy players. Chicago is a formidable opponent with a great group of linebackers, but I say Westbrook starts and plays well and gives his owners a huge sigh of relief after witnessing his disheartening departure from last week’s game.

Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 250 yards passing / 2 TDs / 1 INT
Hank Baskett: 80 yards rec.
DeSean Jackson: 70 yards rec. / 1 TD
Reggie Brown: 45 yards rec.
Brian Westbrook: 65 yards rushing / 1 TD / 55 yards rushing

Kyle Orton / Brandon Lloyd / Rashied Davis / Greg Olson
Matt Forte (vs PHI)

Passing Game Thoughts: The next time the Bears ask Kyle Orton to win a game for them will be the first time. Orton is the perfect QB for the Bears’ system. He’s a game manager with an ego that appears to be in check who so far has made few mistakes. In the wild game against the Bucs last week, his receivers stepped up for him big time, especially Brandon Lloyd. Whether or not that was only a one-week display of his skills remains to be seen, but the fact that he was able to put up 124 yards and a TD against a pretty good defense in Tampa Bay is certainly a sign that he’s capable of producing.

With that said, I wouldn’t expect another such performance from anyone wearing a Bears’ uniform. Philly will bring the heat against Orton early and often to see if he’s capable of making split-second decisions in the passing game. Orton doesn’t strike me as someone who can on a consistent basis, but he will be given a chance to prove to everyone that he is. I believe the game will be taken out of his hands and put into the hands of rookie sensation, Matt Forte. But the few times Orton will be called upon to make a play, I believe he will have to navigate around countless defenders in his face, and it remains to be seen if he can stay vertical and deliver productivity to those desperate owners pressed into starting him in week four.

Running Game Thoughts: The NFL Gods smiled on the Chicago Bear franchise with the arrival of rookie Matt Forte. They’ve drafted their share of scrub RBs over the years, so it’s nice to see them finally strike gold with Forte. He’s everything that should embody a Bear running back: durable and physical with the versatility a three-down back requires. Forte provided a glimpse into his potential fantasy football All-Star ability last week with 89 yards on the ground and another 66 yards through the air with a TD. I must say it seems strange to see a player as skilled as Forte wear a Chicago uniform. That position as been devoid of talent on the Bears’ team for some time.

Philadelphia’s defense has been ferocious against the run so far this season, yielding an eye-popping 46 yards per game. It may be a challenge for Forte to repeat his performance from last week, but he will be given every opportunity to do so. The Bears’ offense is centered around Forte, and as the rookie becomes more accustomed to the pro game, he will become an even bigger handful for opposing defenses. This game may prove to be a low scoring affair, and if that’s the case, Forte will get his 20 -25 carries and put up solid numbers.

Projections:
Kyle Orton: 165 yards passing / 0 TD / 1 INT
Brandon Lloyd: 65 yards rec.
Rashied Davis: 50 yards rec.
Greg Olson: 40 yards rec.
Matt Forte: 65 yards rushing / 1 TD / 50 yards rec.

Ravens @ Steelers (Mack)
Joe Flacco / Derrick Mason / Mark Clayton / Demetrius Williams / Todd Heap
Willis McGahee / Le’Ron McClain / Ray Rice (vs PIT)

Passing Game Thoughts: Baltimore’s offensive approach doesn’t call for rookie QB Joe Flacco to do much, but all things considered, he’s played ok. He should expect to see exotic blitz schemes from the Steelers unlike any he’s seen in his brief career. Derrick Mason, Mark Clayton and Co. are going to have to step it up another notch or two if Flacco is to provide any semblance of productivity.

This group of receivers hasn’t shown much so far in 2008, and week four against the ninth-ranked pass defense is not the time to work out the kinks. This may prove to be an ugly game from Flacco’s perspective. Mistakes from the rookie will be aplenty, and perhaps the only unit worth staring in this scenario is Pittsburgh’s defense. There’s no speed on the outside for the Ravens and their offensive line is suspect, which will put the rookie in precarious predicaments all afternoon. It should be a struggle all game long from an offensive perspective for Baltimore.

Running Game Thoughts: The Ravens’ running game has turned into a mess from a fantasy perspective. The three-headed monster of McGahee, McClain and Rice essentially renders them all useless. The styles of each complement each other, but it’s frustrating to decide who to start out of this group. It may not matter much anyway. Pittsburgh’s run defense is a force, ranking second in the league in that category with a 65 yards per game average.

McClain is a 260 lbs. battering ram who has shown he can produce, Rice is a good back with deceptive power and McGahee showed a lot during his debut in week three. If you’re stuck in a quandary trying to decide who to start in the Ravens backfield, good luck. But if I were a betting man, I’d go with McGahee. He’s the most talented of the trio with the best track record. Granted, his production might not yield much this week, but he should give you better numbers compared to Rice and McClain against a stingy Pittsburgh defense.

Projections:
Joe Flacco: 125 yards passing / 0 TDs / 2 INTs
Derrick Mason: 55 yards rec.
Mark Clayton: 40 yards rec.
Demetrius Williams: 30 yards rec.
Willis McGahee: 65 yards rushing
LeRon McClain: 40 yards rushing / 1 TD
Ray Rice: 20 yards rushing

Ben Roethslisberger / Hines Ward / Santonio Holmes / Heath Miller
Rashard Mendenhall (vs BAL)

Passing Game Thoughts: Big Ben took a beating last week in Philly, so it stands to reason that the Baltimore coaching staff will review that game film and exploit the weakness in the Steelers’ pass protection scheme. Philly’s defense sacked Pittsburgh’s QB nine times, and the pressure they applied all afternoon left Big Ben gun shy the entire game. He bruised his throwing hand in the process of the beat down, but Steelers’ brass assures us that #7 will play.

The opportunistic Ravens’ defense will jump on any and all mistakes Roethlisberger makes. Safety Ed Reed is back roaming the secondary and veteran Chris McAlister continues to be a force as well. This contest has a 17-14 game written all over it. Consequently, Roethlisberger’s success will be minimal, and assuming he stays upright long enough, he probably won’t be worthy of a start that warrants confidence from his fantasy owners.

Running Game Thoughts: Willie Parker got battered and bruised last week to the point where he’s out for at least this week. That leaves the duties to rookie Rashard Mendenhall, and assuming he has his fumble-itis cured, he should be a good, bye week start. Keep in mind, however, that the Ravens field the third best run defense in the league, giving up a stingy 70 yards per game. The rookie will have his baptism by fire in week four and whether or not he’s capable of coming through it and produce is yet to be seen.
This is a thin week for most fantasy owners, with six teams on bye. It stands to reason, then, that Mendenhall could very well be an integral part of most games this week. The expectations of his performance, though, should be kept in check.

Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger: 160 yards passing / 1 TD
Hines Ward: 70 yards rec. / 1 TD
Santonio Holmes: 55 yards rec.
Heath Miller: 35 yards rec.
Rashard Mendenhall: 60 yards rushing