9/12/08
NE @ NYJ | PHI
@ DAL | NO @ WAS | TB @ ATL
| CAR @ CHI | JAX @ BUF | BAL
@ HOU | CIN @ TEN
IND @ MIN | GB @ DET | PIT
@ CLE | NYG @ STL | SF @ SEA
| SD @ DEN | MIA @ ARI
| OAK @ KC
(Marcoccio)
Matt Cassell/Randy Moss/Wes Welker/Benjamin
Watson
Laurence Maroney/Sammy Morris (vs. NYJ)
Passing Game Thoughts: By now,
all readers of this article are fully aware that Tom Brady will
not be playing for the Patriots in 2008 after suffering a knee
injury that will require surgery. Incredibly, Matt Cassell has
not started a football game since he was in high school in 1999,
so it’s pretty safe to say that he is an unknown to most
fans. However, after a pretty terrible pre-season Cassell looked
reasonably good in relief of Tom Brady against the Kansas City
Chiefs, throwing for 152 yards and a TD. Fantasy Footballers must
lower their expectations for all Patriot skill players in Brady’s
absence, but don’t totally discount them, either. Randy
Moss managed a touchdown and 116 yards last week and has had no
problems making effective quarterbacks out of a washed-up Randall
Cunningham, a washed-out Jeff George, a journeyman Gus Frerotte,
and youngsters Daunte Culpepper and Brad Johnson (I’m conveniently
leaving out his Oakland days as I chalk those seasons up to attitude).
Welker’s receptions should drop, but he should still make
a decent #3 fantasy WR as he could be an outlet on short routes
for Cassell. However, Jabar Gafney and Ben Watson (if healthy)
will likely be afterthoughts in fantasy circles most weeks, as
the drop off from Tom Brady to Matt Cassell has to mean stats
will suffer.
The Jets pass defense which was respectable statistically last
season played reasonably well against their former QB Chad Pennington
last week, but did give up 251 yards passing and two touchdowns
(both to Miami TEs), so it wasn’t a great showing by any
means. CBs Darrell Revis and rookie Dwight Lowery both were outstanding
in Week 1 limiting the Miami wide-outs and breaking up potential
TD passes. Calvin Pace earned his first paycheck leading a fierce
pass rush that got to Pennington four times overall with Pace
getting two sacks alone.
Running Game Thoughts: The carries
were split up evenly last week between Laurence Maroney (10 carries
for 51 yards) and Sammy Morris (10 carries for 53 yards, TD) and
one would think those 20 carries will be increased with Brady
on the shelf. It should be noted that Morris got the all important
goal-line opportunities in Week 1, making him the better play.
Kevin Faulk gets thrown back into the mix after a one week suspension
for off the field transgressions and that may limit the other
back’s receiving opportunities. Perhaps Lamont Jordan may
see more time than last week as well, but it’s tough to
gauge what the HC of the NEP will do from week to week.
The Jets defense which was the NFL equivalent of a sieve last
season held the Miami RB tandem of Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown
to 47 yards in Week 1. Kris Jenkins took to his new nose tackle
position and tied up blockers at the line of scrimmage leaving
David Harris and Eric Barton to pick up the pieces. The Jets run
defense appears to be much improved so far so plan accordingly
when making line-up decisions.
Projections:
Matt Cassell: 185 yds passing 1 TD / 1 INT
Randy Moss: 75 yds receiving
Wes Welker: 40 yds receiving
Benjamin Watson: 30 yds receiving, 1 TD
Laurence Maroney: 55 yds rushing / 5 yds receiving
Sammy Morris: 45 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving
Brett Favre/Laveranues Coles/Jericho Cotchery/Dustin
Keller
Thomas Jones/Leon Washington (vs. NE)
Passing Game Thoughts: Brett
Favre played reasonably well for a 39-year-old quarterback who
was a little rusty and who was only familiar with about 75% of
the playbook. He showed the arm strength that has been sorely
lacking for the Jets by completing a 51-yard bomb to Jerricho
Cotchery and showed his flair for improvisation on a prayer pass
to Chansi Stuckey for a TD on fourth down. Cotchery is looking
like he will be at least a legit #2 fantasy WR with Favre being
able to take advantage of his skills. Rookie Dustin Keller did
not catch a pass (but was targeted) and Favre did look to veteran
TEs Chris Baker and Bubba Franks more often. For now I’m
still thinking that Keller is the most fantasy relevant option
at the position – though I do see Baker as having some value
as well. Laveranues Coles was the first WR to catch a pass from
Favre, but that was his only catch on the day and he also booted
a patented Favre slant pass to him later in the game, but as the
pair gets their timing down and Coles gets his game legs under
him the two should hook up more often.
It was hard to gauge the effectiveness of the New England pass
defense as neither Brodie Croyle nor Damon Huard are true tests
for any team, but the unit performed well statistically and only
allowed one passing TD. Keep in mind that a stronger 2007 unit
(presumably losing their best cornerback in Assante Samuel makes
them weaker) gave up 23 TDs in the air, so they were vulnerable
at times and may be again this week against a far better quarterback
in No. 4.
Running Game Thoughts: Thomas
Jones had a very effective Week 1, rushing for 101 yards and a
TD where the new and improved o-line opened holes and gave him
room to run. Jones is far from a special back, but runs hard and
has the vision and experience to find running room when it does
exist. He is also an effective enough pass catcher out of the
backfield. As expected, the new o-line and new QB under center
make him a viable fantasy running back this season after a disappointing
2007. Leon Washington wasn’t as big a part of the game plan
as the coaches probably envisioned but he did see the field more
than a true backup RB would. As long as Jones is effective Washington
will be hit or miss for fantasy owners depending on if he is able
to break a big play or two in his limited opportunities.
The Patriots were 10th in rushing yards allowed and only allowed
7 TDs to opposing running backs last season. They held Larry Johnson
to 74 yards in Week 1 and kept him out of the endzone. Safety
Rodney Harrison (14), rookie Jerod Mayo (6) and Vince Wilfork
(6) led the way in tackles so the Pats were strong up the middle
and may be a tough matchup for Jones. The defense which will need
to step up now that the offense likely takes a step backwards
should be able to contain the Jets running game, allowing them
to look to capitalize on a Favre mistake to keep them in the game.
Projections:
Brett Favre: 265 yds passing 3 TDs, / 2 INT
Laveranues Coles: 45 yds receiving
Jerricho Cotchery : 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
Chris Baker: 15 yds receiving, 1 TD
Dustin Keller: 50 yds receiving, 1 TD
Leon Washington: 35 yds rushing / 25 yds receiving
Thomas Jones: 65 yds rushing / 20 yds receiving
(Marcoccio)
Donovan McNabb/Reggie Brown/Hank Baskett/DeSean
Jackson/LJ Smith
Brian Westbrook (vs. DAL)
Passing Game Thoughts: McNabb had what will likely be his best
game of the season in Week 1 against a Rams’ defense that
was "only a rumor" (stealing Dan Patrick's line). He
threw for three touchdowns and had three wide receivers, Hank
Basket, Greg Lewis and rookie DeSean Jackson, all breaking 100
yards. Tight end LJ Smith who was injured for most of last season
looked good and caught a touchdown. WR Reggie Brown was expected
back this week, but may be limited by the hamstring issue that
has plagued him throughout the pre-season. He did not practice
Thursday, which means he’s likely a game-time decision,
at best.
The Dallas defense made Derek Anderson look like the one-year
wonder that many message board gurus have claimed him to be, allowing
him only 114 passing yards and one TD. The artist formerly known
as Pac Man (a/k/a Adam Jones) looked a little rusty filling in
for starter Terrance Newman (who is expected back this week),
but was able to contain Braylon Edwards for the most part. The
Cleveland Browns were able to limit the fearsome Dallas pass rush
(no sacks) by keeping six and sometimes seven players in to block
on most passing downs, something the Eagles may look to emulate.
Should the Eagles decide not to leave a TE or RB in to help block,
DeMarcus Ware and Marcus Spears will look to harass McNabb into
making a costly mistake or two.
Running Game Thoughts: Brian Westbrook continued where he left
off in 2007 scoring TDs on a rush and a reception. The versatile
runner gets lost behind his huge o-line and could cause fits for
the Cowboys’ defense that were able to contain a banged
up Jamal Lewis in Week 1 but had problems with smaller quicker
backs last season. Westbrook’s TDs both came inside the
5-yard line, but when the Eagles went into a “big”
formation at the goal line with Dan Klecko lined up as a fullback,
it was starting fullback Tony Hunt who got the carry and scored
the TD.
The Dallas defense finished 13th against the run last season and
gave up 19 rushing TDs. The unit looked good in Week 1 but, was
facing a banged up and rusty Jamal Lewis and were helped by the
fact that the Dallas offense got off to a big lead by scoring
at will against the Cleveland defense. They added Zach Thomas
in the off-season but the veteran has seen his better days and
lost wide-body Jason Ferguson. What safety Roy Williams lacks
in coverage skills he makes up for with his ability to help play
the run, but when he does so it makes the Cowboys susceptible
to big pass plays down the middle. Westbrook should be able to
gain yardage on this defense behind the big bodies on his still
effective offensive line.
Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 245 yds passing 2 TD / 1 INT
Reggie Brown: 45 yds receiving
Hank Basket: 60 yds receiving
DeSean Jackson: 70 yds receiving, 1 TD
L.J. Smith: 55 yds receiving, 1 TD
Brian Westbrook: 105 yds rushing, 1 TD / 35 yds receiving
Tony Romo/Terrell Owens/Patrick Crayton/Jason
Witten
Marion Barber III/Felix Jones (vs. PHI)
Passing Game Thoughts: The Cowboys passing game clicked on all
cylinders last week, and when you consider the weapons QB Tony
Romo has at his fingertips it is likely it wasn’t just because
the Cleveland pass defense still isn’t very good. Terrell
Owens even at 34 is one of the three most dangerous wide receivers
in the game and dominated the Cleveland secondary. TE Jason Witten’s
size, speed, and sure hands also put him in the top three at his
position. Lining up on the other side of Owens is the inconsistent,
but dangerous when he’s on, Patrick Crayton. The former
college QB has effectively made the transition from to NFL WR
better than most of the players who have attempted the same. Romo
has one of the quickest releases in the league making it extremely
difficult for the opposition to hold his receivers in check, he
should continue to make his fantasy owners happy in 2008.
The Eagles dominated the line of scrimmage against the Rams and
shut down all phases of the Rams offensive game plan. Its one
of those “chicken – egg” situations that we
fans cannot quite figure out after one week though: Is the Philly
defense that good or is the Rams offense that bad? After last
season, I’d lean more towards the ineffectiveness of the
Rams o-line, but the Philadelphia pass defense which added big
play corner back Assante Samuel should be much improved. However,
look for Dallas to move the ball much more effectively than the
Rams did against last season’s 18th ranked defense in passing
yards allowed.
Running Game Thoughts: Marion Barber earned his “Barbarian”
nickname last week, plowing through the supposedly improved Cleveland
run defense for 80 yards rushing and 2 TDs. Rookie Felix Jones
also managed to score a TD on his first career carry. The massive
Cowboy offensive line had their way with the Cleveland front seven
all day. Barber is a force at the goal-line and has the ability
to leap the pile, burst through the hole, knock a tackler out
of his way or even get to the pylon. In this offense he could
very well approach 20 TDs in 2008.
As stated above the Eagles defense decimated the Rams’ offense
allowing them little room to run the ball. Stephen Jackson did
his best to deal with defenders regularly being in the backfield
but only managed to rush for 40 yards on the day. The Eagles were
a top ten in run defense in 2007 but Stewart Bradley and Omar
Gaither will have a much tougher time dealing with the Cowboys
top notch o-linemen than they did with the Rams.
Projections:
Tony Romo: 265 yds passing 2 TDs, 1 INT
Terrell Owens: 105 yds receiving, 1 TD
Patrick Crayton: 35 yds receiving
Jason Witten: 65 yds receiving, 1 TD
Marion Barber: 95 yds rushing, 1 TD / 25 yds receiving
Felix Jones: 25 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving
(Marcoccio)
Drew Brees/David PatteRn/Devery Henderson/Jeremy
Shockey
Pierre Thomas/Reggie Bush (vs. WAS)
Passing Game Thoughts: Marques
Colston’s thumb injury will be disappointing to his fantasy
owners, however owners of Drew Brees shouldn’t let Colston’s
injury affect their line-up decision at QB. While it doesn't help
Brees, I don't think it will hurt him as much as logic would indicate.
Brees is a smart, accurate QB that will find the open WR. While
none really stand out, all his receivers are at least adequate
and have specific roles. If I was to take a flyer on any it would
be Devery Henderson. He's not a great NFL WR, but from a fantasy
standpoint his deep speed will allow him to put up some nice games
– many times due to one huge play making his day - as evidenced
by Week 1 where his one catch was an 82-yard touchdown. FFToday
hero David PatteRN should also be a solid play in ppr leagues
and he should be Brees’ go to guy on the outside. For obvious
reasons Jeremy Shockey and Reggie Bush's value goes up as they
are likely targeted more with Colston out.
Eli Manning and Plaxico Burris played pitch and catch with the
Washington secondary, especially in the early going. Shawn Springs
sat out and is expected back in Week 2, but Carlos Rodgers and
Fred Smoot had no answers for the fast and lanky Burris. To their
credit they did settle down a little after a shaky start, but
last year’s 16th ranked defense in passing yards allowed
faces a much tougher task with New Orleans coming to town even
with Colston missing the game. Expect Brees to hit many different
targets as he picks apart a Washington defense that may be on
the field quite a bit if their offense struggles like it did in
Week 1.
Running Game Thoughts: To some
people’s surprise Deuce McAllisterj, who was active, did
not see a carry last week. Instead, Pierre Thomas, who, was good
enough to keep Rashard Mendenhall on the bench at Illinois and
who finished 2007 strong, was the power back for the Saints. Reggie
Bush had 163 total yards and a TD and may have put last year’s
disappointing season behind him and could live up to the hype
that came with him from USC. Bush looked quick like he did as
a rookie and was the back many thought he could be as he carved
up a pretty tough Tampa Bay defense.
The Washington run defense struggled mightily during the pre-season
and continued to do so during Week 1 of the regular season. Brandon
Jacobs smashed through them for 116 yards and Derrick Ward added
39 more yards on the ground. London Fletcher, Marcus Washington
and Rocky McIntosh are a fine line-backing unit, but most of their
many tackles came deeper down the field after Jacobs and Ward
busted through the Skins’ D-line.
Projections:
Drew Brees: 305 yds passing, 2 TDs
David PatteRn: 55 yds receiving, 1 TD
Devery Henderson: 80 yds receiving, 1 TD
Jeremy Shockey: 65 yds receiving
Pierre Thomas: 65 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving
Reggie Bush: 45 yds rushing, 1 TD / 40 yds receiving
Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Antwaan Randle
El/Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis (vs. NO)
Passing Game Thoughts: Jason
Campbell predictably struggled at the start of his third new offensive
system since entering the NFL. He did not look very good at all,
but a lot can be blamed on the Washington play calling where Jim
Zorn looked more like yours truly did back in calculus class,
standing on the sideline looking like a glazed donut. Santana
Moss’ speed and quickness should make him a dangerous part
of the new offensive scheme but he didn’t show much in Week
1 as Antwaan Randle El was the lone bright spot in the passing
game with 7 receptions for 73 yards. Surprisingly, Chris Cooley
was only targeted once despite being the TE of QB Jason Campbell’s
fantasy football team – note to Jason, you only get fantasy
points when your players accumulate stats.
The Saints were ranked 30th against the pass in 2007, but managed
to hold old (and I use that term with dual meanings) nemesis Joey
Galloway in check, as he finished with only 56 yards. Jeff Garcia
was injured leading up to the game and looked pedestrian during
it, leading Jon Gruden to replace him in Week 2. Given the state
of the Redskins passing game, the Saints may look much improved
from its poor showing last season, statistically at least, after
the first two weeks facing sub par passing offenses.
Running Game Thoughts: Clinton
Portis led the NFL in carries last season and it looks like he
may do so again, as even when the Redskins were down by two scores
with the minutes dwindling down they still gave him the ball to
run it into the gut of the defense. He looked good running the
ball, but didn’t do much for his fantasy owners, finishing
with only 107 total yards without a trip to the endzone.
The Saints did a lot to bolster their run defense this off-season,
drafting massive Sedrick Ellis and trading for whirling dervish,
Jonathan Vilma, but they still gave up a bunch of yards (146)
to steady Earnest Graham and the ancient Warrick Dunn. If the
Skins hope to keep the game close and keep the high powered Saints’
offense off the field, they will need to run the ball and against
this defense they should be able to do so effectively.
Projections:
Jason Campbell: 185 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT / 15 yards rushing
Santana Moss: 55 yds receiving, 1 TD
Antwaan Randle El: 65 yds receiving
Chris Cooley: 25 yds receiving
Clinton Portis: 105 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving
(Dhawan)
Matt Ryan/Roddy White/Michael Jenkins/
Laurent Robinson
Michael Turner/ Jerious Norwood (vs. TB)
Passing Game Thoughts: Can you start a career better than Matt
Ryan did last weekend with his opening day, opening play, TD post-pass
for 62 yards? Scripts and dreams do not come any better! Ryan
was poised, confident, and protected by another gigantic surprise---the
Michael Turner running game. They needed only 13 passes due to
an overdose of rushes; this protected the rookie passer and he
performed magnificently. Enter the Tampa Bay cover two defense,
fresh off allowing the Saints a 300-yard passing game. Ryan will
need to take what the defense gives him, and stay patient with
underneath routes. On the other hand, going deep is a known cover
two-buster, so we may see Michael Jenkins and Roddy White with
big-gainers again [each had a reception over 40 yards last week].
Running Game Thoughts: Shadow? What shadow? Backup? Who’s
a backup? Not Michael Turner, that is for certain. The free agent
running back ready for his first opportunity as a lead running
back exploded onto the stat sheets with a monster 220-yard, 2-TD
effort. The Bucs rush defense can become suspect, especially against
battering ram grinders. Given enough rushes, Turner and backup
Jerious Norwood can eventually hit long runs and gain field position
in another test for a young team. Look for steady doses of both
runners.
Projections:
Matt Ryan: 175 pass/1TD/2INT
Roddy White: 70 rec/1TD
Michael Jenkins: 50 rec
Laurent Robinson: 20 rec
Michael Turner: 90 rush/20 rec/1TD
Jerious Norwood: 50 rush
Brian Griese/Joey Galloway/Ike Hilliard/Michael
Clayton
Earnest Graham/Michael Bennett (vs. ATL)
Passing Game Thoughts: Jeff Garcia will miss the game with a
sprained ankle, so Brian Griese gets another opportunity in the
NFL. He should be able to deliver solid stats against a soft,
rebuilding Atlanta secondary. Joey Galloway was obviously hampered
by his groin injury, as he did not explode as accustomed against
the Saints. Antonio Bryant did have a sighting last week after
several years in the witness protection program, and Ike Hilliard
was solid with 6 receptions and TD. Expect more of the same this
week with Griese at the helm.
Running Game Thoughts: Last week was a nice showing for the Buccaneer
running game. They averaged more than 7 yards per carry on the
day, with lead runner Earnest Graham breaking away on an atypical
46-yard gain. The 20 rushes versus 40 passes was probably not
to coach Jon Gruden’s liking, so expect more runs this week
with backup Brian Griese running the offense against a suspect
Atlanta defense.
Projections:
Brian Griese: 200 pass/1 TD/0 INT
Joey Galloway: 60 rec/1 TD
Ike Hilliard: 50 rec
Michael Clayton: 50 rec
Earnest Graham: 75 rush/1 TD
Michael Bennett: 70 rush
(Dhawan)
Kyle Orton/ Marty Booker/ Rashied Davis/
Devin Hester/ Brandon Lloyd/ Desmond Clark/Greg Olsen
Matt Forte/ Kevin Jones (vs. CAR)
Passing Game Thoughts: We were not surprised by the efficient
game of Kyle Orton last week versus the Colts. He did not make
mistakes, and hit several open receivers on critical passing downs
[Greg Olsen deep on a 3rd down]. He was not special, but he did
his job and let the ferocious defense do the rest. The Panthers
supposedly revamped defense was not spectacular versus the Chargers,
giving up three passing TDs and registering only one sack, none
by All-Pro Julius Peppers. Orton should remain solid and steady
this week – logging nice yardage and a TD toss deep. Look
for them to try and get Devin Hester behind the secondary this
week.
Running Game Thoughts: Last week, on the message board of one
of my leagues, I predicted that at least one of the first round
rookie tailbacks would have a home run TD. So I was right about
the rookie, wrong about the selected round. Matt Forte looked
impressive in his rookie debut, showing inside running skills
with breakaway speed on a long TD run. The Bears shaky offensive
line markedly handled the Colts defensive front. They should be
able to push around a still suspect Carolina defensive front and
garner tough yards. Expect the rookie delight to please once again.
Projections:
Kyle Orton: 190 pass/1 TD/0 INT
Marty Booker: 30 rec
Rashied Davis: 50 rec/1TD
Devin Hester: 30rec
Brandon Lloyd: 10 rec
Desmond Clark: 10 rec
Greg Olsen: 30 rec
Matt Forte: 100 rush/20 rec/1TD
Jake Delhomme/Steve Smith/Muhsin Muhammad/ D.J.
Hackett/ Dwayne Jarrett/ Dante Rosario/
DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart (vs. CHI)
Passing Game Thoughts: The surgically repaired elbow of quarterback
Jake Delhomme held up well in his first test since early 2007.
He was comfortable in the pocket without star receiver Steve Smith
[suspended for 1 more game by head coach John Fox], hitting three
passes of 25-plus yards, including the game-winning TD to Dante
Rosario as time expired. The Bears pass rush went all-out to test
the rust of all-world Peyton Manning last week, and will probably
do the same to a recovering Delhomme minus his star weapon. If
there is no pass rush again, Delhomme can probably match last
week’s yardage, and toss 2 TDs, one to last week’s
hero Rosario.
Running Game Thoughts: The Chargers are among the top rush defenses
in the league, yet Carolina mounted a steady run game, with Deangelo
Williams logging 18 carries and rookie Jonathan Stewart adding
10 more [both hovered at the 5 yards per carry mark]. Commitment
to the run will remain the key versus the aggressive Bears, and
ultimately keep the Panthers in the game until the end. I expect
both runners to continue a balanced workload, with tempered but
solid expectations. Don’t be surprised to see a long run
versus a defense that gave them up at an alarming clip last season.
Projections:
Jake Delhomme: 265 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Steve Smith: suspended by team 1 game
D.J. Hackett: 45 rec
Muhsin Muhammad: 55 rec
Dwayne Jarrett: 40 rec
Dante Rosario: 80 rec/1TD
DeAngelo Williams: 70 rush
Jonathan Stewart: 70 rush
(Dhawan)
David Garrard/Jerry Porter/Troy Williamson/Dennis
Northcutt/Reggie Williams/Matt Jones
Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. BUF)
Passing Game Thoughts: Last week’s “clash with the
Titans” left the Jaguars offensive line destroyed: two starters
out for the year, a third to miss significant time. David Garrard
was exceptional at ball control last year [only 3 INTs], but threw
2 INTs last week [both to my aforementioned rugged, underrated
cornerback Cortland Finnegan]. Dink and dunk was the flavor of
the day against a fierce rush, and the only receiver to distinguish
himself was drug-charged, Matt Jones. The Bills pass rush clamped
Matt Hasselbeck last week, holding him to 40% completions and
sacking him 5 times. Garrard will see more of the same if the
run game does not help him. Expect a semi-bounceback performance,
with moderate yards and a TD.
Running Game Thoughts: This was an astounding performance of
one of the top rushing teams in the league. Watching this dynamic
duo of Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew held to 30 combined
rushing yards was shocking despite the injury woes. It was an
impressive performance for the Titans defense, their line in particular.
How much will the offensive line losses affect these backs? We
do not know for sure, but hope they can still produce yards and
TDs. This week will be another tough test versus a Bills squad
that allowed only 85 total yards rushing last week, with 24 coming
from one Julius Jones scamper. Temper expectations until we see
them function with these key injuries.
Projections:
David Garrard: 220 pass/1 TD/0 INT
Jerry Porter: 20 rec
Troy Williamson: 20 rec
Dennis Northcutt: 35 rec
Reggie Williams: 30 rec
Matt Jones: 65 rec/1TD
Fred Taylor: 50 rush
Maurice Jones-Drew: 50 rush/1TD
Trent Edwards/ Lee Evans/ Josh Reed/ Roscoe
Parrish/James Hardy/ Robert Royal
Marshawn Lynch/Fred Jackson (vs. JAX)
Passing Game Thoughts: Trent Edwards looked polished and confident
last week versus a very good Seattle defense, in particular pass
rush. He looked similar to the quarterback across the field from
his this week, David Garrard. Following the lead of the defense
and minimizing mistakes makes him a solid play. He even tossed
3 completions of 30-plus yards [two to Evans, the other to Royal].
Expect rookie James Hardy to be activated and catch a jump ball
near the red zone, while Evans and Royal continue to be prime
targets.
Running Game Thoughts: The run game is the signature in Buffalo.
They retooled the offensive line last year, and it showed dividends
late when then rookie Marshawn Lynch posted solid numbers. Now,
Pro Bowl tackle Jason Peters returns from a hold out, and Lynch
attacks a Jags defense that was worn to yield 30 carries and 4.3
yards per rush. Jacksonville will want to re-establish its reputation
among the most physical teams in football, so stats may be hard
to come by until late in the game. Count on 80-100 yards and TD.
Projections:
Trent Edwards: 210 pass/1 TD/0 INT
Lee Evans: 90 rec
Josh Reed: 40 rec
Roscoe Parrish: 30 rec
James Hardy: 35 rec/1TD
Marshawn Lynch: 95 rush/1 TD
Fred Jackson: 40 rush
(Dhawan)
Matt Schaub/Andre Johnson/Kevin Walter/Andre
Davis/Owen Daniels
Steve Slaton/Chris Taylor (vs. BAL)
Passing Game Thoughts: A different season, but the same old story
in Houston: high potential, low yield. Matt Schaub took his streaky
preseason into the teeth of the Steelers 3-4 defense and got mauled.
He was beaten with 5 sacks and gave up 3 turnovers [a fumble and
2 interceptions]. The pass game never got into rhythm, and Schaub
was afforded no protection to allow downfield routes to develop,
as evidenced by the paltry 8 yards per completion. The Ravens
vaunted defense once again proved its reputation with stars Ray
Lewis, Bart Scott, Terrell Suggs, Ed Reed, and Chris McAlister
locking down Carson Palmer and the Bengals last week, as well
as that “name changing wide receiver”. When afforded
a breather and cup of Gatorade, they rise to the elite level and
clamp even top offenses, much less dysfunctional ones like these
Texans and Bengals. Expect another beating with bad stats for
the QB, but some garbage time stats for Johnson, Walter, and Daniels.
Running Game Thoughts: This has been the non-factor for the franchise
since its inception in 2002. Expansion drafted All-Pro left tackle
Tony Boselli was unable to play a single down, and things faltered
from there. Has-beens have carried the load, and this season was
no different. Ahman Green, he of the last meaningful season in
2006, started last week’s game, but left with a sprained
ankle. Now rookie Steve Slaton gets his turn, and hopes to slash
his way to some success in HC Gary Kubiak’s one-cut zone-block
system. Relax expectations until this offensive line can demonstrate
any cohesive play.
Projections:
Matt Schaub: 160 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Andre Johnson: 50 rec
Kevin Walter: 30 rec
Andre Davis: 40 rec
Owen Daniels: 30 rec/1TD
Steve Slaton: 40 rush
Chris Taylor: 30 rush
Joe Flacco/Derrick Mason/Mark Clayton/Darrent
Williams/Todd Heap
Willis McGahee/LeRon McClain/Ray Rice (vs. HOU)
Passing Game Thoughts: The second rookie debut from last week
that concluded in a victory belonged to Joe Flacco. He reminded
owners of his combine comparison to former MAC QB Ben Roethlisberger:
tall, rifle-armed, and mobile. Flacco made the Bengals defense
look silly in a highlight reel, 38-yard TD scamper. He completed
enough short routes to move the chains, which was great in reality
but bad for fantasy. Do not expect much fantasy impact again this
week, but do look for improvement. The receivers are only viable
plays in point-per-reception leagues.
Running Game Thoughts: The run game was back in pre-2005 form,
with big Jared Gaither assuming the role of left tackle with the
retirement of HOF caliber Jonathan Ogden. A mouth-stuffing 46
carries ground out 200-plus yards at 5 yards per rush, including
a nifty 42-yard double reverse by wide receiver Mark Clayton for
a TD. Look for the same gravy this week, with continued use of
rookie Ray Rice and unknown LeRon McClain. Where is Willis McGahee?
No definitive news on that one yet; thus, follow pre-game reports
and plan lineups accordingly.
Projections:
Joe Flacco: 180 pass/1 TD/0 INT
Derrick Mason: 50 rec/1TD
Mark Clayton: 40 rec
Darrent Williams: 40 rec
Todd Heap: 35 rec
Willis McGahee: ?
LeRon McClain: 75 rush
Ray Rice: 85 rush/45 rec
(Mack)
Kerry Collins / Justin Gage / Justin McCareins
/ Alge Crumpler / Bo Scaife
LenDale White / Chris Johnson (vs. CIN)
Passing Game Thoughts: The passing game for the Tennessee Titans
received an unexpected boost when incumbent QB Vince Young got
injured in week one and subsequently (and allegedly) checked out
mentally. In steps veteran Kerry Collins, who obviously doesn’t
possess the multi-dimensional threat Young does, but is more efficient
through the air than Young even at this advanced stage of his
career. Tennessee’s receivers pose zero threat to NFL foes,
and thus have very little value in fantasy football. The duo barely
showed a pulse in week one, totaling 2 catches and 25 yards combined.
But going up against the porous Cincinnati defense has been the
magic elixir for countless players in years past. Tight ends Alge
Crumpler and Bo Scaife are the most reliable receiving options
on the team and both should be factors in week two.
Something’s got to give in this contest. Tennessee’s
receiving corps is less than stellar and Cincy’s secondary
is young and fairly inexperienced. Perhaps the aspect that tilts
the scale in Tennessee’s favor is the strength of its good,
albeit no-name offensive line. If Collins is forced to throw more
than 25 times, the Titans will be in trouble. Make no mistake;
this game will be put in the hands of the running backs and the
offensive line. Collins should play the role of game manager and
engineer of a conservative, ball control scheme. The few times
they choose to air it out, however, Collins should be effective
enough to move his team but probably not enough to warrant a start
on your fantasy team.
Running Game Thoughts: The only thing physical about the Bengals
is how hard they hit the canvas when their opponent punches them
in the mouth. Tennessee will be doing a lot of punching in week
two with the twosome attack at running back in LenDale White and
Chris Johnson. Both backs had 15 carries apiece in week one, with
White softening Jacksonville’s defense and Johnson applying
pressure with his speed on the perimeter. It was a classic battle
last week pitting two physically imposing teams and the Titans
prevailed, mainly due to the running game. Cincinnati will serve
as the proverbial punching bag, as White and Johnson will rip
the Bengal’s defense to pieces. This is the same unit, mind
you, that allowed Baltimore Raven rookie QB Joe Flacco to dart
through virtually untouched on a 38-yard bootleg. Ouch.
Although White and Johnson had 30 carries between them last week,
you should expect that number to increase substantially this week.
Head coach Jeff Fisher will take the air out of the ball and grind
it out in an effort to potentially keep the crowd out of the game.
Projections:
Kerry Collins: 160 yards passing / 1 TD
Justin Gage: 55 yards rec.
Justin McCareins: 40 yards rec.
Bo Scaife: 30 yards rec. / 1 TD
Alge Crumpler: 25 yards rec.
LenDale White: 75 yards rushing / 1 TD
Chris Johnson: 90 yards rushing / 1 TD
Carson Palmer / Ben Utecht / Chad Ocho
Cinco / TJ Houshmandzadeh
Chris Perry / Kenny Watson (vs. TEN)
Passing Game Thoughts: It was a dreadful performance by Cincinnati’s
offense last week against the Baltimore Ravens. The Bengals were
battered and bruised and beat to a pulp. Specifically, Cincy air
attack did nothing and frustrated fantasy owners of Palmer and
Co. to no end. The bad news for those same fantasy owners is the
Titans defense is cut from the same cloth as the Ravens, so unfortunately
the results from week one can very well duplicate themselves in
week two.
Palmer has not recently looked like the sure-fire frontline fantasy
QB he was several years ago. His descent into mediocrity-ville
started late last season and continued through week one when he
threw for a jaw-dropping 94 yards on 9 of 24 passing. WRs Ocho
Cinco (gosh, I hate that) and Houshmandzadeh combined for 4 catches
and 66 yards; that will have to improve for the Bengals to sustain
any semblance of offensive productivity. It’s not going
to be easy. Tennessee’s secondary doesn’t have many
well-known players, but head coach Jeff Fisher seems to always
design a defensive scheme that makes opponents earn their pay.
I’m sure he will review the game tape from Cincy’s
game last week and deploy a similar attack to neutralize the once
explosive Bengals passing game.
Running Game Thoughts: When the Bengals chose to sever ties with
RB Rudi Johnson, the team’s physical presence departed with
him. What’s left is a finesse style of a ground game that
generally is unsuccessful when opposed by a tough, blue collar
defense, which Tennessee possesses. It’s going to be a difficult
road to navigate when the Bengals utilize their running game with
Chris Perry and Kenny Watson. The two combined for 55 yards last
week vs. Baltimore and the going should be just as tough against
the Titans. Cincy’s offensive line is nothing special, and
it lacks the physical presence to enforce its will on opponents.
It’s essential that the Bengal’s running game shows
life if they hope to move the football. Becoming one-dimensional
would put the already struggling passing game in great peril if
that occurs. The Titans front seven is one of the toughest and
versatile in the league and it will give Cincinnati fits all game
long. There won’t be much running room for Perry nor Watson,
especially if the secondary locks down Cincy’s passing game
the way they’re capable of. The only true production owners
can hope for in Perry and Watson is stats generated through the
passing game; otherwise, I’d keep my expectations low for
all Bengals in this affair.
Projections:
Carson Palmer: 180 yards passing / 1 TD / 2 INT
Chad Ocho Cinco: 75 yards receiving
TJ Houshmandzadeh: 60 yards receiving / 1 TD
Ben Utecht: 15 yards receiving
Chris Perry: 45 yards rushing
Kenny Watson: 25 yards rushing / 35 yards receiving
(Mack)
Peyton Manning / Reggie Wayne / Marvin
Harrison / Anthony Gonzalez
Joseph Addai (vs. MIN)
Passing Game Thoughts: The passing game of the Indianapolis Colts
looked one step slow last week vs. Chicago. It was an odd sight,
especially considering the emotion playing on a Sunday night and
christening a brand new stadium. Indeed, Peyton Manning looked
like someone who hadn’t taken a real snap on training camp.
But that dilemma will be a distant memory at the conclusion of
Indy’s battle with Minnesota. The Vikings have traditionally
been stout against the run but one of the least productive defenses
against the pass. Manning will look to redeem himself with a great
performance against a suspect secondary. WRs Reggie Wayne, Marvin
Harrison and Anthony Gonzalez should all put up respectable numbers
in this contest. Last week, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers was an
efficient 18 of 22 passing against this team, Manning could put
on a good showing for his owners.
The Vikings, however, realized during the off season that the
best way to strengthen downfield coverage in the secondary is
to put heat on the QB. They signed free agent and sack master
DE Jared Allen to do just that. He is one-quarter of the best
defensive line in the NFL, and he will make LT Tony Ugoh work.
But the real concern will be pressure up the middle. Center Jeff
Saturday has been declared healthy enough to play, but the Williams
duo (Kevin and Pat) could force enough pressure up the middle
the Manning will have more difficulty coping than the nimble Rodgers.
The Packer starter was successful because of pre-designed rolls
to find open lanes on the edge of the defense. Manning is crafty
enough to not take too many sacks. He should be able to have the
time in the pocket to throw darts to his WRs on their way to a
very nice comeback after an ugly performance in week one.
Running Game Thoughts: For the second consecutive year, RB Joseph
Addai got injured in the season’s first game. Neither injury
was serious, but it speaks to his ability to routinely get nicked
at seemingly the wrong time. Apparently he got his bell rung against
Chicago last week and did not return. He didn’t do much
when he was in the game, no doubt leaving those who spent perhaps
a top-six draft pick on the LSU product kicking themselves. Minnesota’s
run defense has proven over a long period of time that few can
be productive on the ground against them. Many teams shun the
running game altogether and choose instead to pick them apart
through the air; I suspect the Colts will do same on Sunday. It’s
simply too tough to keep DTs Pat and Kevin Williams at bay long
enough to do anything on the ground. Start Addai with limited
expectations, keeping in mind not only the Viking’s tough
run defense, but Addai’s apparent fragility.
Projections:
Peyton Manning: 285 yards passing / 3 TDs
Reggie Wayne: 110 yards receiving / 1 TD
Marvin Harrison: 95 yards receiving / 1 TD
Anthony Gonzalez: 65 yards receiving
Joseph Addai: 55 yard rushing / 35 yards receiving / 1 TD
Tarvaris Jackson / Bernard Berrian / Sidney
Rice
Adrian Peterson / Chester Taylor (vs. IND)
Passing Game Thoughts: I will admit that it’s painful watching
Tarvaris Jackson play QB. His mechanics are off on most throws,
he consistently inaccurate with his passes and his judgment on
when to throw the ball often leaves one scratching his head. Other
than that, he’s a great QB. Seriously, Jackson’s game
leaves a lot to be desired, and it personally frustrated me when
he overthrew WR Bernard Berrian last week on several occasions.
He has two essential ingredients any QB would want: a great offensive
line and a dynamic running attack, and Jackson seemingly can’t
do much with neither.
There is hope, however. Indy’s defense made Chicago’s
Kyle Orton—Kyle Orton!!—actually looked like a QB
last week. Although Orton’s numbers weren’t eye-popping,
he had receivers open all over the field on most occasions, and
he dropped the pass in the proper place and the proper time. And
Orton and Jackson is essentially the same player: game managers
who are asked to not make mistakes. However, Orton is a better
manager at this stage of his career than the more reckless Jackson.
It was refreshing to see, however, that Minnesota made a concerted
effort to throw deep to speedster Bernard Berrian in week one.
They did not connect on those long passes, but at least we all
know they’re in the offensive repertoire.
Running Game Thoughts: Minnesota’s running game begins
and ends with Adrian Peterson, we all know that. The Vikings have
one of the best O-lines in football, and they beautifully combine
AP’s ability with the five-man unit up front. Indy will
be without its starting DT Ed Johnson, who was arrested this week.
The team has said they will waive him as a result. That’s
not good news for a defense that allowed Chicago rookie RB Matt
Forte to carve them up for 123 yards in his first NFL game. Now
Peterson gets a shot at the Indy defense, and it should be a very
nice game for AP.
The Vikings will rely on Peterson to churn out yards all day
on Sunday. One can assume that the game plan will be to eat up
as much of the clock as possible in an effort to keep the explosive
Indy offense on the bench. Peterson will team with back-up Chester
Taylor to help shorten the game and make life easier for Jackson,
who undoubtedly will benefit from a productive running attack.
The versatile Minnesota offensive line will try to overpower the
undersized Indy defense with AP and Taylor finding small creases
to run through. What I’m most looking forward to is the
inevitable collision between Peterson and Colts safety Bob Sanders.
It should be an interesting encounter.
Projections:
Tarvaris Jackson: 145 yards passing / 1 TD / 1 INT
Bernard Berrian: 85 yards receiving / 1 TD
Sidney Rice: 35 yards receiving
Adrian Peterson: 135 yards rushing / 2 TDs
Chester Taylor: 40 yards rushing
(Mack)
Aaron Rodgers / Donald Driver / Greg Jennings
/ Donald Lee
Ryan Grant / Brandon Jackson (vs. DET)
Passing Game Thoughts: Aaron Rodgers displayed poise and confidence
during his first NFL start last week. Now he gets to play the
Detroit Lions, a team that allowed a rookie QB in Atlanta’s
Matt Ryan to sling a 62-yard TD pass on his first throw in the
league. Rodgers answered many questions during week one and those
answers should help him produce against the Lions in their home
opener. Detroit usually plays the Packers tough at home, and that
was with Hall of Fame QB Brett Favre under center. The Lions will
make it a battle on Sunday, but I see no way they can stop WRs
Donald Driver and Greg Jennings. They have the speed and athleticism
to run past Detroit’s revamped secondary with relative ease.
Green Bay allowed zero sacks last week against Minnesota’s
potent QB-attacking defensive line, and Detroit was the unexpected
victim of a rookie QB who completed 9 of 13 passes. The Lions
brass put much focus on improving the secondary, and it’s
yet to be seen if, in fact, they were successful. They failed
miserably in week one and with the outside weapons the Packers
bring with them in week two, it seems the deck is stacked against
the Lion defenders passing the second test as well.
Running Game Thoughts: Ryan Grant battled a hamstring injury
last week vs. Minnesota but still managed to rumble for 92 yards
on 12 carries against arguably the toughest run defense in the
league. Whatever ailments he’s experiencing, I’m sure
he will improve when he realizes who his opponent is on Sunday.
The Detroit defense gave up an Atlanta Falcon franchise record
220 yards rushing to RB Michael Turner. As a team, the Falcons
ran for more than 300 yards for the game. The Lions looked uninspired
and unprepared to play week one and the Falcons capitalized. Detroit
will put forth a better effort this week for sure, but whether
or not they have the talent to sustain 60 minutes of good football
remains to be seen.
Green Bay’s offensive line proved last week that they can
get movement against Minnesota’s defensive line. Detroit’s
D-line is nowhere near the caliber of the Viking’s, and
the fact that the Lions covet smaller, yet faster defenders could
put them at a disadvantage in this game. Moreover, from top to
bottom, the Lions may have one of the worst defenses in the league
and I’m sure Packer head coach Mike McCarthy will exploit
this weakness both through the air and on the ground and Grant
owners should rejoice (assuming, of course, he plays).
Projections:
Aaron Rodgers: 225 yards passing / 2 TDs / 1 INT
Donald Driver: 110 yards receiving
Greg Jennings: 85 yards receiving / 1 TD
Donald Lee: 35 yards receiving / 1 TD
Ryan Grant: 95 yards rushing / 1 TD
Brandon Jackson: 55 yards rushing
Jon Kitna / Calvin Johnson / Roy Williams
/ Shawn McDonald
Kevin Smith / Rudi Johnson (vs. GB)
Passing Game Thoughts: Here’s the simple beauty of Detroit’s
passing attack from a fantasy standpoint: WRs Calvin Johnson and
Roy Williams will receive the lion’s share of attention
in the passing game. They will rarely use multiple WR sets (certainly
relative to the Mike Martz-led offense from previous years) and
consequently, both Johnson and Williams’ numbers at the
end of the year will be disproportionately higher that the rest
of the skill players (a la Cincinnati’s passing game). That’s
gravy for fantasy owners of both. The one caveat, though, is the
porous offensive line. Kitna was under duress constantly last
week, and Atlanta’s DE John Abraham finished with three
sacks. If Kitna has time to throw and the score isn’t 21-0
before the 1st quarter is half done, the potential of Johnson
and Williams putting up gaudy numbers is very real.
Roy Williams has always said Packers corner Al Harris is the
toughest defender he faces. And with Charles Woodson on the opposite
side covering Johnson, Sunday’s match-up against four of
the best players at their position will be a treat indeed. The
Lions will win some and the Packers will win some, but the deciding
factor will be the pressure the Packers’ front four puts
on Kitna. He’s proven during his tenure in Detroit that
his production wanes considerably when he has defenders in his
face. That will be no different this week.
Running Game Thoughts: Rookie RB Kevin Smith did ok considering
the circumstances last week. Detroit’s mantra all training
camp was “Pounding the Rock.” They wanted to have
a physical presence in the running game and attempt to distance
themselves from the pass-first mentality of Martz’s offense
the last two years. The Lions were down three scores early in
the game last week, which rendered the running game useless. Smith
still displayed the quickness and vision that the Lions coaching
staff admired during the pre-season, and he even played a role
in the passing game.
It’s going to be interesting to see how dedicated the Lions
are to the run game if the contest against Green Bay remains close.
The Lions, however, have not shown the capacity to run block for
more than a year now. The offensive line struggled with its blocking
during pre-season and it spilled over into week one of the regular
season. As long as the Lions continue to display the inability
to create running lanes for their RBs, the more difficult it will
be for Kitna to do his thing in the passing game. I would expect
the Lions to come out fired up and attempt to establish the run
early. Smith should have a decent game with that approach, and
Rudi Johnson should be used some in the game as well.
Projections:
Jon Kitna: 240 yards passing / 1 TD / 1 INT
Calvin Johnson: 110 yards receiving / 1 TD
Roy Williams: 85 yards receiving
Shawn McDonald: 50 yards receiving
Kevin Smith: 75 yards rushing / 1 TD
Rudi Johnson: 30 yards rushing
(Mack)
Ben Roethlisberger / Santonio Holmes /
Hines Ward / Heath Miller
Willie Parker / Rashard Mendenhall (vs. CLE)
Passing Game Thoughts: Ben Roethlisberger had a masterful game
last week against Houston, missing on only one of his 14 pass
attempts while tossing two TDs. It seems his upward trajectory
to mega-stardom which started last season remains on course, although
one must admit that 14 passes in an NFL game is far from a true
litmus test. That’s what happens when you suffer a shoulder
bruise on your throwing arm. But the reality remains that Roethlisberger
is a bona-fide fantasy star and many fantasy owners will rely
on him to take their team to new heights. He should be ready to
play this week. The Steelers travel to Cleveland on Sunday in
an attempt to make it 10 straight victories vs. the Browns. Cleveland’s
defense was sliced and diced last week at home against Dallas,
and the Cowboys were able to do whatever they wanted offensively.
The Browns put little pressure on Dallas QB Tony Romo, especially
in the first half. If that continues against Pittsburgh, this
Sunday night match-up will be over before it starts. Cleveland’s
secondary was bad last year and it’s gotten progressively
worse since. The traded starting corner Leigh Bodden to Detroit
and last week they lost starting safety Sean Jones last week.
That’s not good. Roethlisberger will use his weapons all
over the field, and WRs Santonio Holmes and Hines Ward should
have field days against Cleveland’s secondary.
Running Game Thoughts: Smash mouth football is what Dallas hit
Cleveland with last week. Once the ground attack dazed the Browns,
Romo began carving up the secondary. Now comes the organization
perhaps most associated with smash mouth football. Pittsburgh
put a major league smack-down on Houston last week, and Willie
Parker ran for 138 yards and scored 3 TDs—one more than
he scored all of last season. Pittsburgh’s run-to-pass ratio
last week was almost 2-to-1; that’s vintage Steeler football
and you can be sure Cleveland will get the same thing. Cleveland
had no answer to Dallas’ physical brand of football in week
one. It was a simple, blue collar approach that Cleveland simply
could not handle. The Steelers will pounce on that indeed, and
Parker will have a second consecutive big game.
Cleveland will soon see in DT Shaun Rogers what the Detroit Lions
saw in him: a supremely gifted athlete with very little stamina.
It was amazing to see how easily he was pushed around by Dallas’
interior linemen. Pittsburgh will see this on film and you can
be assured they will employ the same style of running between
the tackles that will batter a defense that seems to get shell-shocked
quicker than most.
Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger: 175 yards passing / 2 TDs
Santonio Holmes: 85 yards receiving / 1 TD
Hines Ward: 65 yards receiving / 1 TD
Heath Miller: 25 yard receiving
Willie Parker: 115 yards rushing / 2 TDs
Rashard Mendenhall: 65 yards rushing
Derek Anderson / Braylon Edwards / Syndric
Steptoe / Kellen Winslow
Jamal Lewis (vs. PIT)
Passing Game Thoughts: It was a tough day at the office for the
entire Cleveland offense last week. They only had the ball for
22 minutes against the Cowboys and did little with the football
when they had it. Derek Anderson faltered out the blocks, completing
11 of 24 for a paltry 114 yards. He threw a TD, but the overall
performance was less than desirable. It won’t get easier
in week two. The Steelers pose a difficult threat to what Cleveland
wants to do. The Browns have nice receiving options in Braylon
Edwards and Kellen Winslow, but Edwards appeared off last week
with four dropped passes to his credit. Oft-injured WR Donte Stallworth
would give the Browns another viable weapon in the offensive arsenal,
but his propensity to get injured surfaced last week when he tweaked
his groin during warm-ups.
Any hope of putting up numbers through the air starts with the
Cleveland’s offensive line. It’s ranked as one of
the league’s best after a good performance last year, but
they are going to have to prove it Sunday night. The Steelers
will come after Anderson early and often in an effort to rattle
the signal-caller. Anderson had productive games against Pittsburgh
last season, so it isn’t out of the realm of possibility.
But watching how both teams played in week one and owners of the
Browns’ skill players begin to develop serious doubt as
to whether or not Edwards and Co. can produce.
Running Game Thoughts: Jamal Lewis fought through a tight hamstring
last week. He ran hard when given the opportunity, but Cleveland
never seemed to have the ball. It’s going to be crucial
that the Browns incorporate the running game with Lewis against
Pittsburgh. He’s not listed on the injury report as of late
evening Thursday, so that bodes well for his chances of not being
hampered physically. Lewis should provide some stability to the
Browns offense as they attempt to right the wayward offensive
ship from last week.
Lewis is a definite physical presence on a team best known for
its ability to wing the football all over the field. That’s
not going to get it done vs. Pittsburgh. This game has to stay
close in order for Lewis to remain a factor. The Cleveland offensive
line has to make a statement in this game, and Lewis would be
the biggest beneficiary of this approach. He needs to get at least
25 carries for Cleveland to have a shot, and if that happens,
his fantasy numbers should be respectful.
Projections:
Derek Anderson: 220 yards passing / 1 TD
Braylon Edwards: 110 yards receiving / 1 TD
Kellen Winslow: 75 yards receiving
Syndric Steptoe: 40 yards receiving
Jamal Lewis: 95 yards rushing / 1 TD
(Eakin)
Eli Manning/Plaxico Burress/Amani Toomer/Steve
Smith/Sinorice Moss
Brandon Jacobs/Derrick Ward (vs. STL)
Passing Game Thoughts: Watching the game last week left the impression
that Eli passed better than the stat line showed (215 yards 0
TD 1 INT). He seemed to have pretty good control of the game and
more decisiveness than most of the 2007 regular season. His chemistry
with Burress was sharp considering Burress missed the preseason.
The glass half empty would say that there was little production
beyond Plaxico’s 10 receptions and 233 yards. The Giants
had no TE involvement and therefore struggled mightily in the
red zone. Shockey’s expected replacement, Kevin Boss has
been a blocking liability so his time on the field was limited.
The Giants need to get him in pass routes especially near the
red zone. The Rams gave up 5 receptions for 39 yards and a touchdown
to Philly TE LJ Smith last week so this will be a good opportunity
to get Boss on the stat sheet. Manning will also need to get secondary
receivers Toomer, Smith, and Moss more involved keeping their
offensive balance.
The Rams defense was awful in week one. Stat of the week: Philly
had three WRs reach 100 yds against St. Louis in week one. That’s
even more inexcusable when you consider neither of their starting
receivers even played! Somewhere in NY Mr. Burress is licking
his chops. A big problem for the Rams is the absence of DE Leonard
Little due to a hamstring pull. He isn’t expected back until
week three. Howie Longs first round offspring Chris has been slow
to get up to speed so far. Without pressure on the QB the Rams
secondary just doesn’t have the talent to cover good passing
teams.
Running Game Thoughts: If you could be certain Brandon Jacobs
was going to stay healthy for the entire season is there any reason
he shouldn’t be a top 5 pick? He is the most imposing RB
in the NFL bar none. He always falls forward a few yards once
he reaches the line at speed. He made Redskin DB’s look
like those unsuspecting sideline camera men that get wiped on
his way to 116 yards in 21 carries. It looks like Derrick Ward
not Ahmed Bradshaw will be the one called on to give Jacobs an
occasional blow. Both backups were effective in his absence last
year. That usually means the offensive line is getting the job
done. They looked sharp in the opener.
The Rams 4-3 system allows MLB Will Witherspoon to run around
and rack up tackles. He does a good job but is smallish at 6-1
240 and may struggle to stop Jacobs. The Ram safety Chavous and
Atogwe rack up a lot of tackles which usually points to a porous
front 7. They were 25th worst last season against fantasy RBs.
With Jim Haslett as the defensive coordinator there is some optimism
the unit will improve as the season progresses. He has solid credentials
including 2000 NFL coach of the year in New Orleans. There is
already water cooler talk of him getting the head gig if HC Scott
Linehan gets the boot this year.
Projections:
Eli Manning: 245 yards passing/2 TD/1 INT
Plaxico Burress: 120 yards receiving/1 TD
Amani Toomer: 45 yards receiving
Steve Smith: 35 yards receiving
Kevin Boss: 25 yards receiving/ 1 TD
Brandon Jacobs: 115 yards rushing/1 TD
Derrick Ward: 35 yards rushing/ 15 yards receiving
Marc Bulger/Torry Holt/Keenan Burton/Randy McMichael
Steven Jackson (vs. NYG)
Passing Game Thoughts: The Rams passing attack once tagged “The
Greatest Show On Turf” still plays under the big top but
now their nickname is simply the Circus. Isaac Bruce left town
and his replacement Drew Bennett heads to the inactive lsit this
week. His expected replacement is either Dane Looker or rookie
Keenan Burton.
Few teams put as much pressure on opposing QBs as Philadelphia.
Unfortunately for the Rams, the Giants are one of them. Kiwanuka
and Tuck are a tandem most defensive coordinators would be happy
starting even if that’s not what the Giants hoped coming
into the season. Look for Bulger to get hit often in this game.
It won’t be pretty and it could be a game where we see Bulger
and Trent Green if they don’t have success with the short
passing game. If this happens, Bulger could be in for a big day
because he’ll make better reads than the less experienced
Campbell did last week.
Running Game Thoughts: Too bad for the Rams that Mathias Kiwanuka
is a better run defender than pass rusher because they won’t
have an edge to exploit with Steven Jackson. The Rams will do
their best to run the ball against a Giants unit that gave up
some decent yardage to the Redskins defense. The yardage will
come for Jackson if the Rams can stay in the ball game. If not,
expect some garbage time yardage, too. I do expect the Rams to
keep it close enough in the first half for Jackson to “get
his.”
Projections:
Marc Bulger: 190 yards passing/1 TD/2 INT
Torry Holt: 60 yards receiving
Dane Looker: 45 yards receiving
Randy McMichael: 60 yards receiving
Keenan Burton: 25 yards receiving
Donnie Avery: 25 yards receiving
Steven Jackson: 95yards rushing/ 35 yards receiving/1 TD
(Eakin)
Matt Hasselbeck/Julius Jones/Courtney Taylor/Logan
Payne/Billy McMullen
Seneca Wallace/John Carlson/ Jeb Putzier (vs. SF)
Passing Game Thought: Based on past history…Seattle will…eh…hmm.
Let’s see, Courtney Taylor is the veteran presence at WR
for the ‘Hawks now that Burleson, Engram, Branch, Obamanu,
(am I missing anyone?) are all out with injuries. Logan Payne,
a second year player out of Minnesota and Courtney Taylor, in
his 3rd year out of Auburn, will likely start. Together they have
the same number of career receptions (9) as Denver rookie Eddie
Royal who has played one game. Hasselbeck does have excellent
rapport with Seneca Wallace…but only as a fellow QB. Nevertheless,
Wallace may get some time at wide-out until the patches are filled.
Billy McMullen, a former Eagle, was picked up Tuesday and has
played in West Coast offenses similar to Seattle’s. I expect
Seattle to run quite a bit of two TE sets with Carlson and Putzier
both in the formation. Carlson is a rookie out of Notre Dame,
but played solid in his first start with 4 catches and 52 yards.
Avoid all Seattle offensive player’s with the possible exception
of Carlson as a low end TE in deeper leagues.
The Niner’s actually did a decent job of holding the explosive
aerial attack of the Cardinals in check last week keeping Kurt
Warner less than 200 yards passing with only one TD pass. Slowing
down the newly formed Seattle pass effort (attack seemed too strong
a word) should be somewhat easier to contain. Look for Nate Clements
and Walt Harris to lock up the Seattle WRs freeing up SS Michael
Lewis to play closer to the line of scrimmage and make tackles
or guard TEs and RBs in passing situations. Newly acquired pass
rushing DE Justin Smith will team up with 3-4 outside linebackers
Parys Haralson and Manny Lawson to put pressure on Hasselbeck.
They currently hold the 9th best pass defense after one game which
isn’t too bad considering they went up against Arizona.
Running Game Thoughts: As if
their receiving corps problems weren’t bad enough, the Seahawks
go into this game without their top rusher, Maurice Morris. ‘Mo’
Mo’’ is expected to miss several weeks after spraining
his knee. Welcome to center stage Mr. Julius Jones. Can he deliver?
The Seattle rushing attack was 18th in the league in 2007. They
signed Julius Jones from Dallas expecting a starter but he has
been outplayed by perennial back-up Morris to this point. Jones
only averaged 3.5 yards per carry last season in a superior rushing
offense. He will have tough sledding against a defense focused
on him and little established passing threat.
Projections:
Matt Hasselbeck: 185 yards passing/1 TD/1 INT
John Carlson: 70 yards receiving/1 TD
Courtney Taylor: 45 yards receiving
Logan Payne: 45 yards receiving
Jeb Putzier: 25 yards receiving
Julius Jones: 75 yards rushing/20 yards receiving
J.T. O’Sullivan/Isaac Bruce/Arnaz Battle/Josh
Morgan/Vernon Davis/Bryant Johnson
Frank Gore (vs. SEA)
Passing Game Thoughts: J.T. O’Sullivan was 14/20 for 195
yards 0 TDs and 1 INT against Arizona in week one. Vernon Davis,
Frank Gore, and Bryant Johnson led the way each with around 50
yards receiving. Last year Vernon Davis spent a majority of time
helping protect the QB so it was a good sign to see him free and
running routes more in week one. He should have a better year
if that trend holds up. The real disappointment was Isaac Bruce
who rolled a big gutter ball in week one. He is a veteran with
the most experience in the system so it is concerning that his
abilities may have eroded to the point being ineffective.
On the bright side, JT O’Sullivan said after the game that
he had Bruce open for a certain, 20-yard score if he weren’t
blindsided on the play. Add to the fact that Mike Martz said O’Sullivan
played well, but his starting receivers were “rusty from
lack of work” in the preseason and its possible Bruce’s
demise has been greatly exaggerated. Give him another week or
two but if it continues then upstart Josh Morgan should take his
place in the line-up. Until further notice, the only relevant
players are Gore and Davis, but keep tabs of Bryant Johnson. He
had an o.k. outing for being in a new offense, with a new team,
and not seeing any action in preseason so there’s still
hope for him as a WR3 this year if your WR corps needs help.
Seattle gave up 215 yards and 1 td to Buffalo in week one. Not
a bad performance for an opening road game on the east coast with
anemic offensive supporting. Seattle will lean on their defense
until the offense gets healthy. They boast one of the top LB cores
in the league with Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, and Lofa Tatupu.
They will dial up the pressure with Peterson (9.5 sacks in 2007)
any Patrick Kearney (14.5 sacks in 2007) get pressure on O’Sullivan.
Arizona got him 4 times last week so Seattle should be able to
match that and look to force him in to turn the ball over.
Running Game Thoughts: The rushing totals for Gore and crew will
need to maintain production with fewer attempts. They will spread
the field out and force opposing defenses in nickel packages,
creating greater rushing lanes for Gore’s explosive ability.
It worked last week against a talented Cardinal front seven, but
Seattle is generally more talented against the run. Fortunately
for Gore owners, the 49ers runner tends to have the Seahawks number.
Look for him to have another nice outing especially with the Niners
passing game clicking in comparison to last week.
Projections:
J.T. O’Sullivan: 260 yards passing/1 TD/1 INT/1 Fumble
Isaac Bruce: 60 yards/
Josh Morgan: 45 yards
Vernon Davis: 40 yards/1 TD
Arnaz Battle: 35 yards
Bryant Johnson: 25 yards
Frank Gore: 90 yards rushing/ 45 yards receiving/1 TD
(Eakin)
Phillip Rivers/Chris Chambers/Vincent Jackson/Antonio
Gates
LaDainian Tomlinson (vs. DEN)
Passing Game Thoughts: You have
to admire the heart of Phillip Rivers. He stepped up and delivered
three TDs to put his team in position to win. While he hit some
big plays they didn’t sustain drives like they would want.
Beyond the big plays he did not throw a lot or complete many passes
to their WRs. Gates played and was effective but not dominate
as he continues to nurse a sore toe. The pass will only be used
for stretching the field and keeping balance because the game
plan will be built around Tomlinson.
Denver corners Champ Bailey and Dre Bly will look to lock up the
inconsistent Charger WRs in the same manner they did in Oakland.
They have the ability to shut them down and free up safeties to
creep up in the box and support the run. The problem matchup will
be TE Antonio Gates. He will need to keep the chains moving along
with RBs coming out of the backfield to convert 3rd down opportunities.
Running Game Thoughts: LaDainian Tomlinson rushed for 97 yds on
21 carries for no TDs. Are very average performance but the Carolina
defensive front is more talented than Denver’s. The absence
of center Nick Hardwick is a factor and he won’t be back
yet this week. The Chargers offensive line is not as dominant
as it has been in the past. They will still serve Denver a heavy
heaping of L.T. and he should fare much better than week one.
Denver’s weakness last season was stopping the run. In the
opener they gave up 140 yds rushing on 27 carries (5.2 yds per
carry) to the Raiders. It could have been worse had Oakland not
fallen so far behind. The Broncos need better production from
their defensive line. The Line backing unit is improved with Nate
Webster playing well in the middle.
Projections:
Phillip Rivers: 180 yards passing/1 TD/1 INT
Chris Chambers: 55 yards receiving
Vincent Jackson: 55 yards receiving
Antonio Gates: 45 yards receiving/1 TD
LaDainian Tomlinson: 115 yards rushing/35 yards receiving/2 TD
Jay Cutler/Brandon Marshall/Eddie Royal/Tony
Scheffler
Andre Hall/Selvin Young (vs. SD)
Passing Game Thoughts: Jay Cutler is really coming of age. He
was the 12th ranked fantasy QB last year while unknowingly dealing
with diabetes. He looked like a top QB last week while shredding
the vaunted Oakland secondary without his best WR. He threw for
nearly 300 yards and 2 TDs while completing 67% of his passes.
He also uncovered a new diamond in rookie Eddie Royal, who caught
9 passes for 146 yards and 1 TD. Now his breakout WR from last
season Brandon Marshall returns from league suspension to add
to the mix. The Broncos will look to free up TE Tony Scheffler
in the same way Carolina did with Rosario. The year looks very
promising and Cutler should have success against the Chargers
defense.
The Chargers gave up 247 yards to Jake Delhomme without Steve
Smith. The Chargers were shredded by TE Dante Rosario for 7 receptions
for 97 yards and 1 game-winning TD. Antonio Cromartie and Quentin
Jammer need to have an improved effort if they hope to slow down
the Denver Passing attack. Cromartie is nursing a hip injury and
is questionable to play this week. The loss of Shawn Merriman
hurts the Charger’s ability to put pressure on the QB so
they will need to blitz more to make up the difference. The chain
reaction of his loss will be felt throughout the season and the
Chargers will struggle not be the dominating defense they were
last year.
Running Game Thoughts: Selvin Young has a real uphill battle to
reach his goal of 2000 yards. He was not the featured back most
expected him to be. He was given only seven attempts to Hall’s
ten. Both backs were effective averaging over five yards per carry.
Shanahan carries a grudge against Oakland so it remains to be
seen if he will feature the pass more than the run as he did.
Denver is known as a running team but Shanahan could very well
turn the offense over to Cutler, his best player. If so, then
no Denver RB will stay consistent enough to be a safe start on
a weekly basis.
The Chargers gave up 130 yards rushing to Carolina. Star defensive
tackle Jamal Williams is the critical run stopping force for them
but he is not yet fully healthy. Even with him not at 100 percent
they should be able to contain the Denver rushing attack. Denver
may rely on Selvin Young and Andre Hall getting outside lanes
to run through after setting up the run with the pass.
Projections:
Jay Cutler: 275 yards passing/2 TD
Brandon Marshall: 90 yards receiving/1 TD
Eddie Royal: 75 yards receiving
Tony Scheffler: 65 yards receiving/1 TD
Selvin Young: 45 yards rushing
Andre Hall: 45 yards rushing/ 30 yards receiving/1 TD
(Eakin)
Chad Pennington/Ted Ginn/Derek Hagan/David
Martin/Anthony Fasano
Ricky Williams/Ronnie Brown (vs. ARI)
Passing Game Thoughts: “In
Chad We Trust” was the week one moniker. Parcells must have
had an identity crisis watching his team throw the ball 43 times
last week. Pennington (26 of 43 for 251 yards 2 TDs 1 Int) looked
early and often to both TEs Martin (4 rec 53 yards 1 TD) and Fasano
(8 rec 84 yards 1 TD). Their WR core lacks the experience and
ability in some cases to excel at short to intermediate routes.
Ginn Jr. and Hagan both like to get downfield which doesn’t
really match Pennington’s strengths. He is a short timing
route QB. They will need to develop this or the TEs will remain
a healthy duo for the remainder of the season. Fasano can and
should be a starting fantasy TE for most leagues. Ernest Wilford
will be activated this week and may look to develop some short
route opportunity as well as rookie Davone Bess.
Bertrand Berry and Travis LaBoy totaled 4 sacks last week but
it’s tough to judge a pass rush on that since they were
facing a Martz offense that avoids protecting QBs. The Dolphins
also gave up 4 sacks so expect Arizona to keep Pennington under
duress throughout the game. Both teams run 3-4 defense so the
offensive lines will be more prepared than most in dealing with
the more complex blocking assignments.
Running Game Thoughts: What happened to the two-headed monster
of Williams (10 for 24 yards) and Brown (6 for 23 yards)? They
were shutdown pretty well by Team Favre and the revamped ManGenius
defense. Surely the Big Tuna will review ‘old school football
101’ class with those crazy coaches and return to pounding
the ball against Arizona. Miami will need to fill the void of
rookie guard Donald Thomas who is now on the IR. They will have
problems blocking the Cardinal’s Dockett and company.
The Cardinal front allowed Gore to get going pretty well in the
first half but was saved by time of possession and 49er turnovers
(5) in the second half. They will have to play better because
Miami will not be as mistake prone with Pennington managing the
game. Darnell Dockett is a premier player but they need the other
DTs to get healthy with both Alan Branch and Gabe Watson questionable.
Once healthy this will be a strong group and probably be the difference
in dethroning Seattle as the NFC west champs.
Projections:
Chad Pennington: 190 yards passing/1 TD/1 INT
Derek Hagan: 45 yards receiving
Ted Ginn: 35 yards receiving
Anthony Fasano: 45 yards receiving/1 TD
David Martin: 35 yards
Ronnie Brown: 45 yards rushing/25 yards receiving
Ricky Williams: 40 yards rushing/15 yards receiving/1 TD
Kurt Warner/Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin/Steve
Breaston/ Leonard Pope
Edgerrin James (vs. MIA)
Passing Game Thoughts: Is Kurt Warner a new man? He played somewhat
conservative (19 for 30 197 yards 1 TD 0 Int’s) with a renewed
focus on limiting turnovers against the 49ers. That’s not
the man fantasy owners know and love. When Leinart was expected
to start I thought that Boldin could have a better year than Fitzgerald
because he was more efficient with his opportunities and Leinart
would opt for the shorter safer routes of Boldin. Now it appears
a possibility that Warner is looking to do the same. Both WRs
will be good producers, but Boldin will be the more valuable pick.
He pulled in 8 receptions for 82 yards - most coming during the
grinding long ball control drives that ate up 22 out 30 minutes
in the second half.
The Cardinals have always been criticized for not using Edgerrin
James in the passing game enough and there was talk by James that
would change. Interestingly, the more explosive rookie Hightower
got the receiving looks out of the backfield, not James. Leonard
Pope didn’t score but they targeted him in the red zone.
Steve Breaston once just a return man has the making to put together
a solid season in the slot with a few big games along the way.
If you’re getting desperate for WR help, keep an eye on
him. It appears 50 yards a game and a TD every few games are likely.
The Dolphins do not boast one of the leagues better pass defenses.
Will Allen is a solid young corner but they are young and learning
a new system. They will look to create pressure off the edge in
their 3-4 with Porter and Roth. Miami held Favre to 15 for 22
for 194 yards and 2 TDs. If the Jets and Favre are up and running
that’s a good day, but I suspect they are still keeping
it pretty vanilla when you consider Favre is getting a better
handle on the playbook. Expect a good day for Warner and crew.
Running Game Thoughts: Edgerrin James continues to put up solid
totals because he gets a lot of carries. It took him 26 carries
to reach the century mark vs. San Francisco. They run a similar
3-4 as Miami and actually have similar run stopping personnel.
Channing Crowder is the building block and Porter is still an
effective OLB. Miami gave up 101 yards to Thomas Jones on 22 carries
but they have a much more seasoned offensive line. James will
need another 25 plus carries if he is going to reach 100 yards
because he just doesn’t get the big plays anymore. He’s
a grinder.
Projections:
Kurt Warner: 250 yards passing/2 TD/1 INT/
Anquan Boldin: 90 yards receiving/1 TD
Larry Fitzgerald: 75 yards receiving
Steve Breaston: 50 yards receiving
Leonard Pope: 25 yards receiving/1 TD
Edgerrin James: 85 yards rushing
Tim Hightower: 25 yards rushing/30 yards receiving
(Eakin)
JaMarcus Russell/Ronald Curry/Javon Walker/Zach
Miller
Justin Fargas/Darren McFadden (vs. KC)
Passing Game Thoughts: The Raiders
want to control the game on the ground so they will limit their
passing as much as possible. Russell is a strong armed QB but
still green. His best threat in this game will be Ronald Curry
and Zach Miller as Walker is banged up and still questionable.
Curry will work some intermediate routes and Miller will be targeted
if they get in the red zone.
The Chiefs pass defense was very good in holding down opposing
QBs last year. They have to excellent safeties in Pollard and
Page that don’t give up a lot big plays. Expect Oakland
to test rookie CB Brandon Flowers a few times down field. A good
match-up to watch will be DE Tamba Hali against the ailing offensive
tackle Kwame Harris. Hali should be able to wreak havoc in the
pass rush here especially if Harris is unable to go. Two fist
round picks of recent memory will square off in Robert Gallery
vs. Glenn Dorsey. Dorsey will likely occupy two blockers allowing
one-on-one’s for the rest of the Chiefs D-line.
Running Game Thoughts: Oakland was fifth in rush attempts last
year and will not win if they don’t run successfully. They
didn’t do a good job of getting McFadden in space last week.
He ran a lot of two hole runs between guard and tackle and I expect
more sweeps, stretches, and passes in the flat to create more
space for him. Fargas was effective gaining 97 yards on 18 carries.
He will need DT Glenn Dorsey to be neutralized to remain as productive.
Kansas City was the ninth best defense for opposing RBs to face
in 2007 so Dorsey is a key component to toughening up their defense.
Both Pollard and Page can fill well and put on big hits, just
ask Tom Brady. The chiefs Linebacker core is still a work in progress.
For now there is a battle raging at MLB between Napoleon Harris
and Pat Thomas who started last week and had seven tackles last
week. Donnie Edwards and Derrick Johnson are both solid on the
outside.
Projections:
JaMarcus Russell: 205 yards passing/1 TD/1 INT
Ronald Curry: 55 yards receiving
Javon Walker: 45 yards receiving
Zach Miller: 45 yards receiving/1 TD
Justin Fargas: 75 yards rushing/25 yards receiving/1 TD
Darren McFadden: 45 yards rushing/25 yards receiving
Damon Huard/Dwayne Bowe/Devard Darling/Tony
Gonzalez
Larry Johnson/Jamaal Charles (vs. OAK)
Passing Game Thoughts: Damon Huard will be a boost to the passing
game. Look for Dwayne Bowe to reap the largest reward. The Chiefs
will line him up against DeAngelo Hall who was smoked by a rookie
last week. As our writer Matt Waldman pointed out, four of Bowes
last five TDs were thrown by Huard not Croyle. The problem is
Huard may be in a part of a rotation with Tyler Thigpen. ‘Father
Time’ Tony Gonzalez will be the other main pass target and
should have a good game if trends continue since Denver TE Tony
Scheffler was able to get loose for a big play last week.
The Raider pass defense was a huge let down week one. A lot of
money was spent on Gibril Wilson and DeAngelo Hall and management
was expecting one of the best DB groups in the league. I kept
waiting for them to line-up stud CB Asomugha on Eddie Royal to
end the “Monday Night Massacre” but it never happened.
Apparently they don’t like to switch sides at CB because
it messes up communication and assignments. No wonder Lane Kiffin
wanted to run defensive coordinator Rob Ryan out of town. Al Davis
wouldn’t allow it and the team has effectively been without
a leader ever since. Bowe could have a monster day if Hall doesn’t
improve and they don’t adjust that strategy.
Running Game Thoughts: I have really been watching Larry Johnson
closely this season because I had the 10th pick in a draft and
was eyeing him as a possibility. I saw him taking the hits he
used to give out. His legs get pounded by incoming tacklers because
he’s not moving as fast and as a result he’s going
down on first contact more often than not. His ferocity is gone
and I’m not sure he will ever be a top 10 rusher again.
Jamaal Charles looked much faster and averaged 5.6 yds per carry
to Johnson’s 3.4 per tote. Ouch. It’s not just a problem
of KC’s offensive line. At least the threat of Huard passing
may stretch the defensive focus enough that he will put up some
yards.
Oakland was very poor against the run last year and don’t
be fooled by Denver’s pedestrian 97 yards rushing on Monday
Night because they did it on only 17 carries. That’s 5.6
yards per carry according to mathematicians. The real story is
that the spurned ex-Raider coach Mike Shanahan was running up
the score and kept passing even after the game was out of reach.
Hasn’t anyone learned the principles of Karma from New England
yet? KC will have success on the ground and soften the “D”
for Bowe to make big plays downfield.
Projections:
Damon Huard: 220 yards passing/2 TD/1 INT/
Dwayne Bowe: 90 yards receiving/1 TD
Tony Gonzalez: 65 yards receiving/1 TD
Devard Darling: 30 yards receiving
Larry Johnson: 75 yards rushing/ 20 receiving/1 TD
Jamaal Charles: 35 yards rushing/15 yards receiving
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