Saints @ Bears (Mack)
Drew Brees / Lance Moore / Marques Colston / Devery Henderson / Jeremy Shockey
Reggie Bush / Pierre Thomas / Deuce McAllister (vs. Chicago)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Indianapolis
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Philadelphia
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 16
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 15
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15

Passing Game Thoughts: Those who own a player on the Saints who’s NOT named Drew Brees have learned that the New Orleans passing game has been a frustrating proposition in 2008. Brees has been everything we all expected, no doubt. But it’s been a season-long head-scratcher trying to figure out which receiver will produce from game to game. Last week Devery Henderson was the go-to guy; the week before it was Lance Moore, and in week 12 it was Marques Colston. While that offensive diversity certainly helps in the NFL, it absolutely stinks in fantasy. And perhaps the biggest culprit has been Colston. He’s been painfully inconsistent since his return from injury, and it seems Brees at times goes an entire half without even looking his way. And during this time of win-or-go-home fantasy football, having someone as unpredictable as Colston in your line-up is a scary idea.

Chicago has the 28th ranked pass defense in the league, although they’ve played well the last three games. However, Brees, the leader of the league’s #1 ranked pass offense, puts a lot of pressure on opposing secondaries with his precise throws and sheer command of the Saints’ offense, so the Bears’ pass defense may be in retreat mode for much of the game. Brees will continue to spread the ball to all his weapons, but good luck figuring out who will be the greatest beneficiary. If I were a betting man, though, I’d put my money on Moore. He’s been the most consistent and most productive receiver for the Saints this season—his last two games with five total catches notwithstanding. Before last week’s three-catch-for-35-yard performance against Atlanta, Moore had scored in five straight games, which is more than can be said for any other receiving option on the team. Jeremy Shockey should see some love from Brees and of course Reggie Bush will play a prominent role in the passing game. If you feel lucky, put Colston in your line-up and keep your fingers crossed.

Running Game Thoughts: In the “traditional” sense, the Saints’ running game is a relatively nonexistent component of an offense that would much rather chuck the ball through the air on every play. They haven’t had a runner carry the ball more than 18 times in a game since week 4 when Deuce McAllister had 20 rushes. However, Saints RBs Reggie Bush, Pierre Thomas and McAllister have all been fairly productive with those limited rushing opportunities, running for a total of 13 TDs between them. With the way in which this team is constructed, a lot of the production from the RBs comes via the passing game. Bush, even though he missed four games due to injury, remains second on the team in receptions with 50.

Similar to the WRs, it’s tough to determine who on the Saints beyond Reggie Bush (when healthy) will see the most action from the RB position. McAllister was given a reprieve last week when his suspension was overturned, but he only got one carry—despite being healthy. Thomas instead split carries with Bush and together they rushed for a combined 26 times for 182 yards and a TD. Bush is the definite no-brainer this week, but Thomas and McAllister both remain the wildcards. I believe this will be a high-scoring affair, with the ground game of the Saints making way for the aerial assault conducted by Brees. Consequently, keep McAllister out of your line-up and use Thomas only if you’re in an absolute squeeze at the RB position.

Projections:
Drew Brees: 275 yards / 2 TDs / 1 INT
Lance Moore: 90 yards / 1 TD
Marques Colston: 65 yards
Devery Henderson: 30 yards
Jeremy Shockey: 35 yards
Reggie Bush: 45 yards rushing - 55 yards rec./ 1 TD
Pierre Thomas: 40 yards rushing
Deuce McAllister: 15 yards rushing

Kyle Orton / Rashied Davis / Devin Hester / Greg Olson / Desmond Clark
Matt Forte (vs. New Orleans)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Saints this season: Tampa Bay
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Saints this season: San Francisco
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 9.25
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 12

Passing Game Thoughts: Kyle Orton has yet to fully regain the level of production he and his fantasy owners enjoyed before his ankle injury six weeks ago, but if last week’s game against Jacksonville is any indication, he’s at least on his way. While it wasn’t reminiscent of a Drew Brees-type game, Orton threw for an efficient 219 yards, 2 TDs and an interception against the Jags. Now he gets to play pitch-and-catch against a New Orleans defense that’s every bit as vulnerable as Jacksonville, so that bodes well for the prospects of Orton producing. New Orleans CBs Randal Gay and Jason David have been torched most of the season, although David does have three interceptions in his last three games. I anticipate New Orleans scoring more than 28 points in this game, so that means Chicago will have to keep up by throwing the ball.

Devin Hester and Rashied Davis should play huge roles this week, with Hester getting a deep ball or two thrown his way as he streaks past Jason David with regularity. Greg Olson will use his wide receiver skills at the TE position to gain separation from defenders as he creates havoc in the middle of the Saints defense while opening up things for Hester and Davis on the outside. I think this will be a fun game to watch and perhaps even a better game if you’re lucky enough to have a player on your team participating in it, as it should be a game in which many points are scored. Although gametime temperatures may hover around the 20-degree mark, the forecast does not call for any precipitation or wind of any significance, so weather should not be a factor.

Running Game Thoughts: To say that Matt Forte is the straw that stirs the offensive drink in Chicago would be the understatement of the season. This guy continues to lead the team in both rushing attempts and receptions, and the durability he has displayed while being the bellcow for the Bears has been nothing short of spectacular. In standard scoring leagues, Forte has scored in double figures in each game this season. Not many RBs can say that. He also has at least 20 carries in six of the last seven games, so he gets every opportunity to put up numbers. Forte will once again be the lead dog offensively for Chicago, so obviously he needs to be in your line-up. The great part about this game relative to Forte is the fact that it should be a shoot-out and Forte’s involvement in the passing game only solidifies his standing as a top RB option for this week.

Projections:
Kyle Orton: 225 yards / 2 TDs / 1 INT
Devin Hester: 55 yards
Rashied Davis: 40 yards / 1 TD
Greg Olson: 60 yards / 1 TD
Desmond Clark: 20 yards
Matt Forte: 110 yards rushing / 1 TD – 50 yards rec.

Redskins @ Benglas (Mack)
Jason Campbell / Santana Moss / Antwaan Randle El / Devin Thomas / Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis / Ladell Betts (vs. Cincinnati)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: Tennessee
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: Tennessee
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 10.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Ok, I’m going to attempt to keep my distain for the Washington passing game under wraps here, having been a frustrated owner of Jason Campbell and all. With that said, the Redskins’ air attack has been nauseatingly boring for the past 2 ½ months. It lacks creativity, downfield throws, and perhaps the greatest indictment—the ‘Skins have no explosiveness whatsoever. Campbell hasn’t thrown for more than one TD in a game in over two months, and he has six interceptions in his last give games.

On paper, it appears that both Santana Moss and Chris Cooley are capable of exploiting a Cincy secondary that has been a fantasy owner’s best friend all season. The speed and big-play ability of Moss and the multi-skilled Cooley are textbook weapons in any offense, but somehow the west coast offense that’s employed by the Redskins seems to inhibit their effectiveness. Even with the Bengals as the opponent, I can’t suggest with any level of confidence to start anyone on Washington. This is money time in fantasy football—a time when you start those players who have produced for you on a regular and consistent basis. That can’t be said for anyone on the Redskins. Stay away. Your sanity will thank you for it.

Running Game Thoughts: Clinton Portis spoke the words this week about head coach Jim Zorn that I’m sure many fantasy owners loved. He shared his frustration about not being involved more in the running game, although both men supposedly kissed and made up on Tuesday. Zorn, being the rookie coach who may be more interested in not ruffling the feathers of his veteran players, should look to comply to some degree with what his star RB wishes. In the end, this may not be an attempt to pacify Portis, but getting him more carries is the best way to ensure Washington controls the clock. Portis claims he’s healthy, and if that is indeed the case, he will see 20-25 carries as the Redskins continue their conservative, close-to-the-vest, sleep-induced offensive approach. Nevermind Portis’ previous two games when he combined for 22 carries against two of the league’s toughest defenses (Giants, Ravens). He will run with purpose and reward his owners with a stellar performance.

Projections:
Jason Campbell: 190 yards / 1 TD / 1 INT
Santana Moss: 70 yards
Antwaan Randle El: 40 yards
Devin Thomas: 20 yards
Chris Cooley: 55 yards / 1 TD
Clinton Portis: 110 yards / 1 TD
Ladell Betts: 25 yards

Ryan Fitzpatrick / TJ Houshmandzadeh / Chad Johnson / Reggie Kelly
Cedric Benson (vs. Washington)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: Detroit
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: Detroit
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 1.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 8

Passing Game Thoughts: The passing attack in Cincinnati has been an unmitigated disaster from day one. The QB play has been, at best, suspect (even when Carson Palmer was healthy), there are no big plays in the offense, and the fact that there’s little threat in the running game means defenses can tee off on the overmatched Ryan Fitzpatrick. Plus, the porous O-line has given up 48 sacks this year, and that pressure makes an already shaky Fitzpatrick even more of a liability.

Even though most of the Bengals have been a wasteland for fantasy football in 2008, the production of TJ Houshmandzadeh should not be lost on anyone. He’s the NFL’s best possession receiver, and he’s absolutely money in PPR leagues. Houshmandzadeh’s 89 receptions are third most in the league and represent a mind-boggling 34 percent of the Bengals’ pass completions. He’s a must-start every week but Chad Johnson continues to be useless. Keep him on your bench. Cincinnati’s offense doesn’t incorporate the tight end at all, so Reggie Kelly is a non-factor as well.

Running Game Thoughts: Since his 100-plus yard performance against Jacksonville five weeks ago, Cedric Benson has been nothing more than bench fodder. I’m not sure if it’s his ineffectiveness or the struggles of the running game as a whole, but rest assured the Bengals’ ground game has done nothing all year and should not be counted on in the least bit. Washington’s defense has quietly been a force. They are 10th in the league against the run and have held in check runners such as Brian Westbrook, Brandon Jacobs and Willie Parker. Benson will see no daylight in this game, as the ‘Skins will employ an eight-man front and dare the Bengals to take to the air. There’s no one on the Bengals who should dare be in your line-up.

Projections:
Ryan Fitzpatrick: 170 yards / 1 TD / 2 INT
TJ Houshmandzadeh: 80 yards / 1 TD
Chad Johnson: 45 yards
Reggie Kelly: 30 yards
Cedric Benson: 45 yards

Steelers @ Ravens (Mack)
Ben Roethlisberger / Hines Ward / Santonio Holmes / Nate Washington / Heath Miller
Willie Parker / Mewelde Moore / Gary Russell (vs. Baltimore)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: New York Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: Washington
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 5

Passing Game Thoughts: Ben Roethlisberger has settled down at the most opportune time for fantasy owners. After a stretch mid-season that saw him throw eight INTs in three games, Big Ben has only tossed one in the last four. While his four TDs during that same period is not earth-shattering, he has at least played well enough to warrant consideration for a starting spot in your line-up. But before you go etching that decision in stone for this week, pay close attention to the Steelers’ opponent. The Baltimore Ravens and their 2nd ranked defense pose a considerable threat to all of what Pittsburgh does on offense. When these two teams met the first time in September, the Steelers had a few big pass plays to Santonio Holmes and Hines Ward, but for the most part Pittsburgh struggled on offense, totaling only 237 yards.

The scary part is Baltimore’s defense has only gotten better since then. Their 22 INTs lead the league, and safety Ed Reed is the conductor of perhaps the most opportunistic defense in the NFL. While Big Ben has been a steady and reliable fantasy player the last several weeks, this week is now the time when you put him on your bench in favor of (hopefully) someone with a better match-up. This will be a low-scoring contest, and if the Las Vegas over/under is more than 30 points I’ll be surprised. This game will be in the low teens, rendering the passing game of each team null and void. So in addition to Roethlisberger, Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes and Heath Miller should all be on your bench as well.

Running Game Thoughts: Doesn’t it seem like the Willie Parker who torched the Houston Texans for 138 yards and three TDs in the first game of the season was eons ago? Where is that Fast Willie? He’s certainly not been around recently. And while injuries have had a lot to do with it, the Willie Parker who has suited up is a far cry from anything remotely resembling the lightening rod that ushered in 2008. Not only has his production waned, but he now gets to battle Mewelde Moore for playing time and TD vulture Gary Russell for those precious goal line opportunities. With Parker’s recent struggles, now’s certainly not the time to dust off your patience with him and put him in your line-up. He and every Steeler RB will be better served staying on your bench. There will be next to no production on the ground from either team, quite frankly, so there’s no need for you to gamble in the biggest game of the season.

Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger: 175 yards / 1 TD / 1 TD
Hines Ward: 65 yards / 1 TD
Santonio Holmes: 40 yards
Nate Washington: 20 yards
Heath Miller: 40 yards
Willie Parker: 60 yards
Mewelde Moore: 20
Gary Russell: 15 yards

Joe Flacco / Derrick Mason / Mark Clayton / Todd Heap
Willis McGahee / Le’Ron McClain / Ron Rice (vs. Pittsburgh)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: Houston
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: Jacksonville
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 4

Passing Game Thoughts: I have to admit, I was as wrong about Joe Flacco heading into this season as I’ve been in a long time. I thought he would come in and continue the tradition of struggling Raven QBs who enter the season with great hope but end it with a loud and resounding thud. Au contraire. Flacco has not only played well, but he’s done enough to—hold onto your hat—be considered for a starting fantasy position. Before we get carried away, though, that does not include this week’s game against the Steelers—a game in which points and production through the air will be few and far between. Flacco has presented himself well and has developed a great rapport with his receivers.

That’s a good sign heading into 2009 but let’s deal with the game this week. In only his 3rd NFL start, the young rookie fared well in the first game against the Steelers and I’m sure, with the additional seasoning he’s gotten since that game, he will once again be an efficient signal caller who will do very little to put his team in precarious situations. With all that being said, you’d be a Riverboat Gambler if you decide to start him. Keep the rook on your bench and secure him as a top keeper heading into 2009.

Running Game Thoughts: Owning Willis McGahee this season has got to be one of the more frustrating aspects of the 2008 fantasy football season. Both his production and involvement in the running game have been all over the map. And couple that with the bumps and bruises he’s endured all year and what you have is a player who I’m sure many fantasy owners have soured on and who will think long and hard about drafting him next year. But with McGahee’s drop in production comes Le’Ron McClain’s ascension up the fantasy ranks. He’s a poor man’s version of Brandon Jacobs, but with a greater tendency to remain healthy. McClain will be the battering ram in this game as the Ravens attempt to forge a physical presence. He may see 25 carries this game and may even sneak in the end zone once. McClain is the only Raven RB I’d feel any level of confidence in starting.

Projections:
Joe Flacco: 160 yards
Derrick Mason: 60 yards
Mark Clayton: 40 yards
Todd Heap: 25 yards
Le’Ron McClain: 75 yards / 1 TD
Willis McGahee: 30 yards
Ron Rice: 25 rec. yards

Bills @ Jets (Marcoccio)
JP Losman/Lee Evans/Roscoe Parrish/Robert Royal
Marshawn Lynch/Fred Jackson (vs. NYJ)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: BUF
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: BUF
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 16.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 10.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 6.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.6/24.1/8.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 18.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Trent Edwards missed last week’s game and may sit again in favor of JP Losman. Losman looked terrible last week. As bad as the Jets pass defense has been all season (only Seattle has been worse statistically), the Bills passing game has been so out of synch in recent weeks I can’t see them doing much in Week 15. Losman can throw a nice deep ball so perhaps we may see a nice long TD from Lee Evans. As I said last week when looking at the Bills favorable match up with Miami, a good game from the Buffalo passing unit is not out of the question against a poor Jets secondary, but do you really want to risk your team’s playoff life on it?

Running Game Thoughts: Marshawn Lynch continued his disappointing season last week with 31 yards on 13 carries against an above average Dolphin run defense. This week the match up is even tougher as Buffalo travels into New Jersey to face the No. 4 ranked run defense. The Jets allow only 83.5 rushing yards per game and have allowed only 8 TDs in their 13 games. Lynch had his worst game of the season when the Jets went to Buffalo and I’d seriously consider benching Lynch for a player with a more favorable match up.

Projections:
JP Losman: 205 yds passing, 1 TD
Lee Evans: 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
Roscoe Parrish: 15 yds receiving
Robert Royal: 35 yds receiving
Fred Jackson: 20 yds rushing / 25 yds receiving
Marshawn Lynch: 55 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving

Brett Favre/Laveranues Coles/Jericho Cotchery/Dustin Keller
Thomas Jones/Leon Washington (vs. BUF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: NYJ
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: NYJ
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 7.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 6.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 1.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 16.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.5/18.3/9.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 15.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Brett Favre’s season has been a rollercoaster ride for his fantasy owners with many highs and lows – and much like a roller coaster effects some people, some of Favre’s low performances may have caused his owners to lose their lunch. It’s dangerous to play him at this important time of year due to his inconsistency. Buffalo’s pass defense has been solid, although injuries in the secondary have caused it to be a little shaky in recent weeks. On the season they have allowed 2031.1 yards per game and 13 TDs. Rookie TE Dustin Keller has become Brett’s main target in recent weeks much to the detriment or Jerricho Cotchery and Laveraneus Coles. I’d expect for the duo to turn it around over the next three weeks as they are just too dangerous to ignore, but safer options may be the way to go until Favre gets back on track.

Running Game Thoughts: Thomas Jones has been the steal of many drafts after his value plummeted based on his one TD in 2007. He’s a must start every week now and has proven he can run on even the toughest runs defenses (see Tennessee). Jones leads the AFC in rushing and already has 12 rushing TDs. Leon Washington ran for a TD last time he faced Buffalo and is usually a good flex option for owners in a pinch. Buffalo’s run defense is mediocre (16th in the league, so the Jets should have a productive day running the ball.

Projections:
Brett Favre: 220 yds passing 1 TD
Laveranues Coles: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Jerricho Cotchery : 60 yds receiving
Dustin Keller: 45 yds receiving
Leon Washington: 45 yds rushing, 1 TD / 30 yds receiving
Thomas Jones: 105 yds rushing, 1 TD / 10 yds receiving

Giants @ Cowboys (Marcoccio)
Eli Manning/Dominek Hixon/Amani Toomer/Steve Smith/Kevin Boss
Brandon Jacobs/Derrick Ward/Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. DAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: DAL
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Giants season: DAL
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 7.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 9.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 4.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 17.5/18.1/4.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 19.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Dominek Hixon’s drop of what would have been an 85-yard TD reception changed the direction of the Giants passing game last week. A catch by Hixon there and you likely would not have heard one mention of the Giants being “distracted” by the Plaxico Burress debacle. The Dallas Cowboys passing defense has really turned it around since Wade Phillips got more involved with its direction – and getting a few key components back healthy didn’t hurt either. The unit is now ranked 10th giving up 197.5 yards per game. Manning has been able to throw on this unit in the past and with Brandon Jacobs banged up, I’m thinking that OC Kevin Gillbride opens up the passing game a little more this week. Kevin Boss has been a pleasant surprise after a slow start, look for him to make a few plays against the Cowboy linebackers who are not that great in coverage.

Running Game Thoughts: Brandon Jacobs pulled himself out of the last game after once again suffering a knee injury. He’s expected to be a game-time decision but locally he has expressed confidence that he will play. It’s possible though that the Giants may limit his carries given the fact that they have already clinched the division and have capable backup RBs in Derrick Ward and Ahmad Bradshaw. The Cowboys pose a pretty tough match up having allowed only 94.8 yards per game and 8 rushing TDs on the season. Ward is probably the safest play out of all the Giant backs since he’s always in the mix for carries anyway and could see an increased workload if Jacobs either sits out or is limited.

Projections:
Eli Manning: 245 yds passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT
Dominek Hixon: 90 yds receiving, 1 TD
Amani Toomer: 45 yds receiving
Steve Smith: 20 yds receiving
Kevin Boss: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Brandon Jacobs: 35 yds rushing
Derrick Ward: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 25 yds receiving
Ahmad Bradshaw: 25 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving

Tony Romo/Terrell Owens/Patrick Crayton/Roy Williams/Jason Witten
Marion Barber III/Tashard Choice (vs. NYG)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season: NYG
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cowboys season: NYG
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 23.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 9.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 17.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.8/19.5/7.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 10.0

Passing Game Thoughts: For all the good Tony Romo does for the Cowboys his failure to protect the football puts the team in some tough situations from time to time. In his defense two out of his three interceptions were probably not his fault, but nevertheless those turnovers cost the Cowboys in what was a tough close game. Terrell Owens has shown flashes of his greatness but has been extremely inconsistent this season. Roy Williams has yet to make much of an impact and is showing the struggles usually associated with a wide receiver joining a new team before he fully absorbs the offense. Jason Witten is the safest fantasy option as he has been Romo’s “go to” guy all season. The success the Dallas o-line has against the Giant pass rush will dictate whether the Cowboys can win this game. If the Giants can force Romo into a few bad decisions they should end their one game losing streak.

Running Game Thoughts: Marion Barber showed a lack of toughness last week by sitting out with a toe injury. Note to Mr. Barber those where Jerry Jones words, not the humble 185 pound writer’s words. I think you’re plenty tough. Tashard Choice ran hard in Barber’s place and is a decent stop gap for Dallas and for fantasy owners alike should Barber miss this week’s game (which is unlikely in my opinion). The Giants are very tough on opposing RBs, allowing only 89.9 yards per game and 8 TDs on the season so it could be tough for Barber at less than 100% to have a big day.

Projections:
Tony Romo: 285 yds passing 2 TDs, 2 Ints.
Terrell Owens: 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
Patrick Crayton: 30 yds receiving
Roy Williams: 35 yds receiving
Jason Witten: 75 yds receiving, 1 TD
Marion Barber: 65 yds rushing, 1 TD / 35 yds receiving
Tashard Choice: 25 yards rushing

49ers @ Dolphins (Marcoccio)
Shaun Hill/Bryant Johnson/Isaac Bruce/Jason Hill/Vernon Davis
Frank Gores (vs. MIA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Dolphins season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.4/24.4/1.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 16.1

Passing Game Thoughts: Shaun Hill has been more effective than most anticipated after taking the reigns from J.T. O’ Sullivan. Most importantly, he hasn’t turned the ball over as much as O’Sullivan did. Jason Hill has taken advantage of his chance to play due to injuries to other WRs and is starting to look like a solid pass catcher. Isaac Bruce is back to relevance after a mid-season slump and it’s a joy to watch him run routes so smoothly and effectively. Miami has struggled all season defending the pass and the Niners who have been playing well under Mike Singletary could cause the Dolphins some trouble if Hill plays as smart and effectively as he did last week against the New York Jets.

Running Game Thoughts: Frank Gore is questionable this week after leaving with a knee injury during the second half of last weeks game. Should he miss the game former Panther DeShaun Foster will carry most of the load. While Gore’s loss will hurt, Foster is a veteran back who has been effective at times in the past so the 49ers should at least be able to pose some threat of a running game to keep the Dolphins honest.

Projections:
Shaun Hill: 240 yds passing, 2 TDs / 10 yds rushing
Bryant Johnson: 55 yds receiving
Jason Hill: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Isaac Bruce: 45 yds receiving
Vernon Davis: 35 yds receiving
Frank Gore: 75 yds rushing / 20 yds receiving, 1 TD

Chad Pennington/Davone Bess/Ted Ginn, Jr./Anthony Fasano/David Martin
Ricky Williams/Ronnie Brown (vs. SF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the 49ers this season: SEA, NE, BUF
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the 49ers this season: DAL, BUF, NYJ
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 9.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 1.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 12.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.9/19.9/3.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 16.7

Passing Game Thoughts: ESPN’s Mike Greenberg stated last week that Chad Pennington is a legit MYP candidate. While Greenberg is known to have some serious man love for Chad, the statement isn’t that far-fetched. While Pennington doesn’t have the flashy numbers of Warner and Brees, he has led a team that had one win all of last season to 8 wins already and a shot at a division title. The 49ers pass defense is poor (21st in the league, allowing 221.2 yards per game), but they do have Nate Clements at CB who has played well so it could be a rough day for Tedd Ginn if he’s matched up with Clements. Rookie Davone Bess has strung together a few nice games after replacing Greg Camarillo, and could be an option in deep leagues.

Running Game Thoughts: The Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams duo has been solid on the field, but other than a few outstanding weeks (Week 3 most notably), they haven’t been great fantasy running backs. Ronnie Brown could finish the season strongly though as he’s now had more than a year to recover from his torn ACL and with Williams having carries some of the load Brown shouldn’t be worn down. The 49ers are mediocre against the run, allowing 104.4 yards per game. With the ‘Phins knowing they control their own destiny, don’t be surprised if they lean heavily on their best offensive player in Ronnie Brown over the next three weeks.

Projections:
Chad Pennington: 200 yds passing, 1 TD
Davone Bess: 55 yds receiving
Ted Ginn, Jr.: 35 yds receiving
Anthony Fasano: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
David Martin: 20 yds receiving
Ricky Williams: 35 yds rushing / 5 yds receiving
Ronnie Brown: 105 yds rushing, 2 TDs / 15 yds receiving

Browns @ Eagles (Marcoccio)
Ken Dorsey/Braylon Edwards/Joshua Cribbs/Steve Heiden
Jamal Lewis (vs. PHI)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: CHI, SEA, CIN, BAL
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 8.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 19.1/21.6/5.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 12.0

Passing Game Thoughts: With The Browns down to starting Ken Dorsey at QB and with Kellen Winslow likely to miss another game there really isn’t much to say in a section titled “Passing Game Thoughts”. My thoughts are to start the Philadelphia defense if you have them rostered or are able to pick them up off waivers.

Running Game Thoughts: Jamal Lewis looks like what I thought he’d look like last season - toast. In fairness he hasn’t been that bad, but hasn’t got a lot of support from the Cleveland passing game and his o-line has had some injury issues. The Eagles are 8th in the league in run defense and are coming off a week where they were able to shut down the Giants top rushing offense in the league. Jamal needs to stay on your bench, where I expect he is anyway.

Projections:
Ken Dorsey: 145 yds passing, 1 TD / 3 INTs
Braylon Edwards: 25 yds receiving
Joshua Cribbs: 35 yds receiving
Steve Heiden: 40 yds receiving, 1 TD
Jamal Lewis: 55 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving

Donovan McNabb/Reggie Brown/DeSean Jackson/Kevin Curtis/LJ Smith
Brian Westbrook/Correll Bukhalter (vs. CLE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: DAL, WAS
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: PITT, JAX, BAL, TEN
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 17.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 13.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 11.2/16.4/3.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 23.6

Passing Game Thoughts: Donovan McNabb didn’t need to do much last week and that could very well be the case this week as well. The Eagles should have this game in hand pretty early given the combination of Cleveland’s mediocre defense and poor offense. Cleveland can be abused through the air as they allow210.8 passing yards per game and have given up 16 TDs on the season; it’s just that Philly may not need to do so.

Running Game Thoughts: Brian Westbrook struggled for a few weeks, but is back on track. He’s a must start any week he is healthy and this week could be another goldmine for his owners. Cleveland is the 28th ranked run defense allowing 148.5 yards per game and have nothing but pride to play for. I’m guessing that no one is considering benching Westbrook after his last two starts, so I’ll just point out that the list of RBs I would start over him this week is very short – in fact the list may not even exist.

Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 205 yds passing 1 TD / 25 yards rushing
Reggie Brown: 45 yds receiving
Kevin Curtis: 25 yds receiving
DeSean Jackson: 65 yds receiving, 1 TD
LJ Smith: 35 yds receiving
Brian Westbrook: 145 yds rushing, 2 TDs / 35 yds receiving
Correll Buckhalter: 20 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving

Seahawks @ Rams (Eakin)
Seneca Wallace/Deion Branch/Bobby Engram/John Carlson
Maurice Morris (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: Seahawks
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: Seahawks
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 26.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.0/9.5/9.0
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 37.8

Passing Game Thoughts: The Seahawks beat the Rams 37-13 in week three. QB Matt Hasselbeck is very doubtful to play again so Seneca Wallace will get the start. Wallace was a stud last week against the Patriots throwing for 212 yards, 3 TDs, and while leading the team in rushing yards with 47. The disappointing Seahawks have lost three close games in row to playoff caliber opponents so they come in to this game hungry to give departing coach Mike Holmgren and couple late wins. The Rams are middle of the pack in terms of QB fantasy points allowed so they are not as pathetic as one might think. Look for Wallace to have another solid day throwing to the now healthy Seattle receiving core. Deion Branch should have some big plays and catch 4-8 balls. TE John Carlson has been solid all year and should produce but the Rams are tough on TEs with the 12th best ranking in TE Fantasy points allowed. Wallace is a good athlete who can move the chains with his legs when the Rams don’t keep their gap integrity. They may sag coverage and force Wallace to pick his way down field with short passes. They will look to avoid big plays so they can establish Steven Jackson and not fall behind quickly.

Running Game Thoughts: Maurice Morris started over Julius Jones last week and there is no indication that will change. Morris carried 14 times for 39 yards. Despite the poor performance Morris could still be a solid RB2 this against the much weaker Rams run defense. The Rams are currently the second worse defense in RB points allowed. Morris will also get some catches but often lose goal line carries to the Seattle FBs.

Projections:
Seneca Wallace: 220 yds passing/1 TD
Deion Branch: 75 yds receiving
Bobby Engram: 60 yds receiving
John Carlson: 65 yds receiving/1 TD
Maurice Morris: 80 yds rushing/25 receiving

Marc Bulger/Torry Holt/Donnie Avery
Steven Jackson (vs. SEA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Rams
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Rams
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 7.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 6.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 5.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 8.0
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 20.7/25.3/5.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 16.6

Passing Game Thoughts: Marc Bulger hopefully isn’t in play for your team this week. Most teams in the fantasy playoffs have better options. He has struggled to move the ball all year. HE does have two big things going for him this week. The Seahawks are the worst ranked defense in QB points allowed and Steven Jackson looked healthy last week. Despite the great matchup and healthy Jackson, I would be very reluctant to rely on Bulger. He had a healthy Jackson and another poor pass defense against Arizona last week and was average at best with 228 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT. Donnie Avery has been cold for several weeks and has lost some playing time to Dane Looker. Torry Holt has been cold all year.

Running Game Thoughts: Steven Jackson broke some big runs last week. It was enough of a tease to make him a difficult play choice this week. The Seahawks give up an average of 20 fantasy points per game to opposing RBs. Alex Barron should return to help open holes this week after being sat for three quarters for arriving late to some team meetings. With another week of rust shaken off and the offensive line a little stronger, Jackson will get his twenty as well.

Projections:
Marc Bulger: 165 yds passing/1 TD/1 INT
Torry Holt: 70 yds
Donnie Avery: 60 yds/1 TD
Steven Jackson: 80 yds/1 TD/25 receiving

Chargers @ Chiefs (Eakin)
Philip Rivers/Chris Chambers/Vincent Jackson/Malcom Floyd/Antonio Gates
LaDainian Tomlinson (vs.ATL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Chargers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Chargers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 30.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 6.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 19.0
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 24.0/25.9/7.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 21.2

Passing Game Thoughts: Phillip River didn’t make too many fantasy owners, likely playing the first round of their playoffs, very happy last week. The 2008 Chargers waited until week 14 to play like the 2007 Chargers. It helped that they were facing the hapless Oakland team with no pride or motivation. The Chiefs are a tougher better coached and will be more of a fight. They will play tough at home against a division foe. Kansas City will however struggle to stop the many passing weapons of the Chargers. The Chiefs just aren’t healthy or talented enough to stop the Chargers offense. If they keep their safeties deep Tomlinson will kill them. If they focus on Tomlinson than Rivers can return to form and eat them up. Most of the years the Chiefs have kept their safeties deep in a “bend but don’t break” cover 2. This means that Rivers will have lots of completions to Tomlinson and Gates on underneath routes. Vincent Jackson is coming off a huge 148 yard performance. He is established as the Chargers clear go to WR.

Running Game Thoughts: Unfortunately, LaDainian Tomlinson rushing for 91 yards and a TD constitutes a huge day for him this year. Last year it would have been a letdown if he put up those numbers against the Raiders. The Chiefs are worse against the run so L.T. is a good play for around 100 yards and a TD with some catches.

Projections:
Phillip Rivers: 290 yds/2 TDs
Vincent Jackson: 90 yards/1 TD
Chris Chambers: 45 yds
Malcom Floyd: 50 yards
Antonio Gates: 60 yards/1 TD
LaDainian Tomlinson: 90 yds/1 TD/20 receiving

Tyler Thigpen/DeWayne Bowe/Mark Bradley/Tony Gonzalez
Larry Johnson (vs. OAK)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season: Chiefs
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season: Chiefs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 9.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 9.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 6.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 9.9/14.2/.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 22.2

Passing Game Thoughts: Tyler Thigpen has had some bright spots since inheriting the starting BQ job but he is more of a manager than fantasy starter the last few weeks. He got glowing reviews for a his play last week which consisted of 187 yards and one TD. The Chargers are a notch worse than the Broncos at pass defense but the gap is not enough to think that Thigpen will go back to his explosive fantasy value. He is a QB2 this week at home against the Chargers in my eyes. Two good plays in this offense are DeWayne Bowe and Tony Gonzalez. Gonzalez is still chugging out league leading numbers. DeWayne Bowe is currently the 16th best WR in fantasy points scored making him a solid WR2 in a good matchup week.

Running Game Thoughts: Larry Johnson is 34th in RB fantasy points scored due to injuries, suspensions and lack of performance. Quite a disappointment for a player drafted in the second round of most drafts this year. He is still an inconsistent play. Two weeks ago he performed well only to follow it up with an 11 carry 36 yard performance against the poor Denver run defense last week. The Chargers stuffed the superior Raider rush offense last week and should do the same to Johnson Sunday.

Projections:
Tyler Thigpen: 225 yards/2 TD/1 INT
DeWayne Bowe: 85 yds
Mark Bradley: 50 yds/1 TD
Tony Gonzalez: 80 yds/1 TD
Larry Johnson: 60 yds/1 TD

Vikings @ Cardinals (Eakin)
Gus Ferotte /Bernard Berrian/Bobby Wade/Visanthe Shiancoe
Adrian Peterson (vs. ARI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season: Chargers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season: Chargers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 30.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 6.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 19.0
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 24.0/25.9/7.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 21.2

Passing Game Thoughts: The big story here is that QB Gus Ferotte, the starter since week 2, injured his back last week. So far he has not practiced nor looked healthy. If he can’t go then it’s back to the Tavaris Jackson show. Jackson was inconsistent as a starter and would not be a starter worthy play. The loss of Ferotte would also drop Bernard Berrian a notch considering the last time Jackson played he was very wild with his deep throws which is what Berrian lives on. This game is serves as a tie breaker for two playoff teams with 9-5 records. It will be the Card’s pass versus the Vikings run.

Running Game Thoughts: This matchup will be the key to the game. The Cardinals are 12th against the run. The Vikings will run the ball right at them anyways. Adrian Peterson should be in line for another top end RB1 performance. The QB will again come in to play here. Ferotte is enough of a threat to keep defenses somewhat honest. There’s no telling what Jackson will do, but he will need to establish some threat early in the game or the Cardinals will be able to stack the line enough to slow the Vikings enough for a win.

Projections:
Gus Ferotte: 200 yds/1 TD/1 INT
Bernard Berrian: 70 yds/1 TD
Bobby Wade: 40 yds
Visanthe Shiancoe: 45 yds
Adrian Peterson: 120 yards/ 2 TDs

Kurt Warner/Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin/Steve Breaston
Tim Hightower (vs. MIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season: Colts
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season: Colts
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 22.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 14.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 11.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 17.4/17.9/4.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.8

Passing Game Thoughts: The Minnesota defense is rated 9th in QB points allowed. They have improved since early on in the season when they were ranked poorly. They generate good pressure from DE Jared Allen. He will need to have a big game going up against the league’s best pass offense. Antoine Winfield is a talented CB, but the Vikings do not have three of him. The Cardinals will spread them out with three wide and play matchups. Warner will look to pick on Cedric Griffin and Bennie Sapp in the slot. The Cardinals WRs will win those matchups as long as Warner has time to throw.

Running Game Thoughts: Tim Hightower has been struggling. He rushed for a meager 32 yards on 13 carries against a poor Ram Defense last week. This might have been a good matchup if the Vikings DT Williams’ tandem would have had their suspension held up. However, the substance violation has been held up and both Pat and Kevin Williams will start. They are the key to the Vikings tough run defense. This is not a good matchup for the struggling rookie Tim Hightower. Consider him a low end flex play.

Projections:
Kurt Warner: 300 yds/3 TDs/1 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 90 yds/1 TD
Anquan Boldin: 90 yds/1 TD
Steve Breaston: 60 yds
Tim Hightower: 50 yds/1 TD

Patriots @ Raiders (Eakin)
Matt Cassel/Randy Moss/Wes Welker
Sammy Morris/Kevin Faulk (vs. OAK)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: Falcons
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season:
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 11.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.7/14.3/4.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.8

Passing Game Thoughts: The Patriots have everything to play for. Oakland does not. Or it didn’t appear as though they did in their drubbing in San Diego. Matt Cassel is questionable due to the passing of his father this week. Best wishes Matt. Most expect him to play given the must win situation. He will be throwing to a fired up Randy Moss looking to show up his old team. Moss versus Nnamdi Asomugha will be the key matchup. If the Raiders attempt to single cover him he has the potential for a very good day, regardless of Asomugha talent. Wes Welker will be Wes Welker. No one on the Raiders will stop him from catching his 8-10 balls for 80-100 yards.
Look for Kevin Faulk to be a big factor on passing downs catching screens and swings out of the backfield.

Running Game Thoughts: I think Sammy Morris can have a big day. The Patriots will want to keep their defense fresh. They will run the ball at the Raiders and I don’t see the Raiders having the will stop them. If the Pat’s come out passing then they could also get out to a big lead and run the ball a lot. Either way, Morris and Faulk will both be very involved in the game and good RB2 or flex plays. Running the football is a often a matter of will. The Patriots have more of it than the Raiders.

Projections:
Matt Cassel: 315 yds/2 TDs
Randy Moss: 100 yds/1 TD
Wes Welker: 90 yds/1 TD
Sammy Morris: 80 yds/1 TD
Kevin Faulk: 30 yds/30 receiving

JaMarcus Russell/Ronald Curry/Ashlie Lelie/Zach Miller
Justin Fargas (vs. NE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season:
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season:
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 21.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 20.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 12.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 8.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 26.7/25.7/10.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 16.1

Passing Game Thoughts: JaMarcus Russell is questionable after turning an ankle last week. If he can’t go Andrew Walther will. Both QBs have struggled equally. The Raiders do have a matchup to exploit via the air. TE Zach Miller is their best pass catching weapon and the Patriots struggle against opposing TEs. With the injuries that have decimated New England’s starting LB core, the Patriots have had to resign veterans Junior Seau and Rosevelt Colvin. Miller should be able to exploit the older; slower LBs. Miller is the only fantasy worthy player involved in the dismal Raider pass offense.

Running Game Thoughts: Justin Fargas is the bell cow for the Raiders rush attack. Darren McFadden just has not gotten on track and only has a few carries in the last several games. The Patriots can be a good run defense when healthy but their defensive line and line backing core has a rash of injuries questionable to play. The end result will be that Fargas gets some yards and maybe a TD until the Raiders fall too far behind to continue running the ball.

Projections:
JaMarcus Russell: 150 yds/1 TD/1 INT
Ashlie Lelie: 40 yds
Ronald Curry: 40 yds
Zach Miller: 70 yds/1 TD
Justin Fargas: 85 yds/1 TD

Bucs @ Falcons (Dhawan)
Jeff Garcia/Antonio Bryant/Joey Galloway/Ike Hilliard/Michael Clayton/Jerramy Stevens/Alex Smith
Warrick Dunn/Cadillac Williams (vs. ATL)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +13.7%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +4.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +3.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +19.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: QB Jeff Garcia had a huge game last week in the loss to Carolina, and found WR Antonio Bryant for 200 yards and 2 TDs. This is usually not the output for these players on this offense, but it was great from a fantasy point of view. Gruden will want the defense the keep games closer, so do not expect this again this week against the Falcons.

Running Game Thoughts: Cadillac Williams scored a TD again, and Warrick Dunn was solid with 50 yards. The Falcons ground defense does yield yards, and gave Broncos HB Peyton Hillis a nice fantasy output of 100-plus yards and a TD. Expect solid combo stats for these runners this week.

Projections:
Jeff Garcia: 270 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Antonio Bryant: 90 rec/1 TD
Joey Galloway: 30 rec
Ike Hilliard: 60 rec
Michael Clayton: 30 rec
Jerramy Stevens: 40 rec/1 TD
Alex Smith: 20 rec
Cadillac Williams: 55 rush/1 TD
Warrick Dunn: 70 rush

Matt Ryan/Roddy White/Michael Jenkins/ Brian Finneran/Justin Peelle/ Harry Douglas
Michael Turner/Jerious Norwood (vs. TB)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -18.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +1.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -50.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +17.3%

Passing Game Thoughts: “Matty Ice” is closing on the most important games of his young career. He rushed for a TD last week to keep his fantasy stats high. Expect tempered numbers against the tough Tampa2 defense that broke him in week2 of this season. He will want to make better decisions and show his new long ball capability. WR Roddy White should get deep on Ronde Barber.

Running Game Thoughts: Michael Turner has been one of the fantasy MVPs this season. He can take over a game and win match ups himself. He has a tough test against the Bucs who just got demolished on MNF. They will want to atone for this display, and play rugged tackling defense against the main cog in the Falcons offense.

Projections:
Matt Ryan: 270 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Roddy White: 70 rec/1TD
Michael Jenkins: 50 rec/1 TD
Brian Finneran: 50 rec
Justin Peelle: 40 rec
Harry Douglas: 50 rec
Michael Turner: 95 rush/1TD
Jerious Norwood: 50 rush

Broncos @ Panthers (Dhawan)
Jay Cutler/ Brandon Marshall/ Eddie Royal/ Brandon Stokley/ Tony Sheffler/ Daniel Graham
Tatum Bell (vs. CAR)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +12.2%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +26.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -26.3%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +3.0%

Passing Game Thoughts: Jay Cutler knows these games down the stretch are important; yet, it still may not temper his frenetic style of play. One week he is on, the next he plays like JP Losman---no clue. The Panthers defense was jolted by Antonio Bryant last week for 200 yards, so Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal will be licking their chops to get a crack at this secondary. Expect big stats either in a shootout or blowout.

Running Game Thoughts: How many running backs have died for the Broncos this season? More than stars in the sky. Peyton Hillis was having a great month and now is shelved with a hamstring injury. Tatum Bell will get the carries, but he will not be effective. Expect more passing, and temper all running back waiver pickups and stats.

Projections:
Jay Cutler: 290 pass/3 TD/2 INT
Brandon Marshall: 100 rec/1TD
Eddie Royal: 80 rec
Brandon Stokley: 40 rec
Tony Sheffler: 40 rec
Daniel Graham: 20 rec
Tatum Bell: 35 rush
Peyton Hillis: out

Jake Delhomme/Steve Smith/Muhsin Muhammad/Dwayne Jarrett/ Jeff King
DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart (vs. DEN)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -14.6%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -34.2%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +64.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +14.6%

Passing Game Thoughts: Jake Delhomme was still mistake prone last week in a dominant performance with the Bucs. It looks like the running game is great, but he doesn’t use it to maximize his stats. Fantasy owners still cannot rely upon him for consistent production. Temper expectations against the Broncos secondary that may get CB Champ Bailey this week and still has CB Dre Bly to shadow Steve Smith.

Running Game Thoughts: The world now knows the capability of the rebuilt Panther formula to win games. Both runner were explosive and strong in the victory last week. Expect great stats the rest of the way as the team tries to solidify a high playoff seed down the stretch with tough but winnable games, including the conference leading Giants.

Projections:
Jake Delhomme: 200 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Steve Smith: 70 rec/1 TD
Muhsin Muhammad: 50 rec
Dwayne Jarrett: 30 rec
Jeff King: 30 rec
DeAngelo Williams: 80 rush/2 TD
Jonathan Stewart: 40 rush/1 TD

Lions @ Colts (Dhawan)
Dan Orlovsky/Calvin Johnson/Shaun McDonald/Mike Furrey/Michael Gaines/John Owens
Kevin Smith/Rudi Johnson (vs. IND)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -25.3%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -13.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -41.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -0.7%

Passing Game Thoughts: This is just about the worst team in organized football history. The only thing happening weekly besides losing is star WR Calvin Johnson showing he can still make fantasy owners and fans happy with his huge catches and TDs. Keep playing him despite the poor team and QB play, as he is great for long TD bombs. No one else merits consideration.

Running Game Thoughts: Rookie RB Kevin Smith keeps a strong head and posts nice stats despite losing and having nothing to look forward to. Rookie T Gosder Cherilus made his biggest splash last week when he hit DE Jared Allen below the knee. You can start Smith as a flex HB3 with decent expectations.

Projections:
Dan Orlovsky: 160 pass/1 TD/3 INT
Calvin Johnson: 85 rec/1 TD
Shaun McDonald: 45 rec
Mike Furrey: concussion
Michael Gaines: 30 rec
John Owens: 10 rec
Kevin Smith: 70 rush/1TD
Rudi Johnson: 25 rush

Peyton Manning/ Marvin Harrison/ Reggie Wayne/ Anthony Gonzalez/ Dallas Clark/ Tom Santi
Joseph Addai/ Dominic Rhodes (vs. DET)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -23.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -30.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +22.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +79.2%

Passing Game Thoughts: The third in a series of woeful opponents for this offense to destroy and post monster fantasy stats. Manning was his usual self last week with 3 TDs and no INTs. Reggie Wayne has disappointed since the Steelers game, but other targets got paid last week, including Harrison, Clark, and Gonzalez, all with TDs. Expect another smothering performance this week.

Running Game Thoughts: The running game will be used a lot to ice away a blowout victory. Joseph Addai still has not regained health or form, and his carries have declined the past 4 weeks. Look for sideshow RB Dominic Rhodes to continue to get looks and stats this week.

Projections:
Peyton Manning: 300 pass/4 TD/0 INT
Marvin Harrison: 70 rec/ 1TD
Reggie Wayne: 110 rec/ 1 TD
Anthony Gonzalez: 50 rec/1 TD
Dallas Clark: 40 rec/1 TD
Tom Santi: 20 rec
Dominic Rhodes: 90 rush/2 TD
Joseph Addai: 20 rush

Titans @ Texans (Dhawan)
Kerry Collins/Justin Gage/Justin McCareins/Brandon Jones/LaVelle Hawkins/ Bo Scaife
LenDale White/Chris Johnson (vs. HOU)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +9.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -40.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +28.6%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +12.3%

Passing Game Thoughts: Kerry Collins knows this is a trap game against a rising team that can core points and move the ball. He will make sure not to turn the ball over and feed the Texans offense, and keep his reads to Bo Scaife and Justin Gage simple. Expect medium stats for the solid fantasy QB2.

Running Game Thoughts: HBs Chris Johnson and LenDale White still power this team and they will continue to post great stats for fantasy playoff squads. This week will be a tough test against the game Texans, but production will still be there. The unit did stop the jaguars 2 weeks ago, so be warned.

Projections:
Kerry Collins: 210 pass/1 TD
Justin Gage: 50 rec
Justin McCareins: 30 rec
Brandon Jones: 40 rec
LaVelle Hawkins: 45 rec
Bo Scaife: 45rec/1TD
LenDale White: 55 rush/1 TD
Chris Johnson: 75 rush/1 TD

Matt Schaub/Andre Johnson/Kevin Walter/Andre Davis/Owen Daniels
Steve Slaton (vs. TEN)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -12.6%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -1.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -9.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -5.6%

Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Schaub is back directing the offense, and had a great game last week. He posted 400 yards and showed the full ability of the team on the road in the cold. They will have a tough test this week, but have the weapons to score. Look for Andre Johnson and Kevin Walter to continue their downfield success and Schaub should be good for 2 scores with less INTs than usual.

Running Game Thoughts: Steve Slaton is starting the conservations about his 2009 draft status. He broke fantasy opponents’ and the Jaguars backs with a late game TD burst on MNF 2 weeks ago, and last week was solid against the Packers. He shows the durability we all questioned at the combine when he was labeled a smallish slasher type runner. Expect tough going this week against the Titans, but he may still hit the edge for a long gain and keep the offense balance.

Projections:
Matt Schaub: 275 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Andre Johnson: 80 rec/1 TD
Kevin Walter: 70 rec/ 1TD
Andre Davis: 40 rec
Owen Daniels: 50 rec
Steve Slaton: 65 rush/1 TD

Packers @ Jaguars (Dhawan)
Aaron Rodgers/Greg Jennings/Donald Driver/James Jones/Jordy Nelson/Donald Lee
Ryan Grant/Brandon Jackson (vs. JAX)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -13.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -9.3%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +23.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -1.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: Aaron Rodgers is losing the mettle battle with Brett Favre. His team scores points, great for fantasy, but cannot win important games. Furthermore, he loses games in the end and never makes any real comebacks. Look for him to continue his great stats season, and post the normal 280-plus yards and some scores. Receivers Greg Jennings and Donald Driver continue to be great plays. Pickup Jordy Nelson for a flex WR3. Star CB Rashean Mathis is out, so this looks good for fantasy stats.

Running Game Thoughts: Ryan Grant has returned to the yardage form he had last December stretch, but his scoring is down from a year ago. Now T Mark Tauscher is out for the rest of the season, and Tony Moll is the replacement on the right side. Expect solid stats for Grant [remember, Steve Slaton shredded this team for huge stats 2 weeks ago.]

Projections:
Aaron Rodgers: 315 pass/3 TD/1 INT
Greg Jennings: 100 rec/1TD
Donald Driver: 85 rec/1 TD
James Jones: 30 rec
Jordy Nelson: 35 rec/1 TD
Donald Lee: 35 rec
Ryan Grant: 90 rush/ 2TD
Brandon Jackson: 40rush

David Garrard/Dennis Northcutt/Reggie Williams/Marcedes Lewis
Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. GB)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +12.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +13.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -9.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +48.7%

Passing Game Thoughts: QB David Garrard is closing a terrible season. He posted only 3 INTs last year, but has not been the same this year. Do the regular offensive line players mean that much to this team? Or do they not have enough quality depth? It is eye opening to see what has happened to this promising squad from 2007. Matt Jones is finally out of the lineup [suspension], so Reggie Williams needs to play harder and make an impact. Do not hold breath waiting for this to happen.

Running Game Thoughts: Maurice Jones-Drew is now the leading receiver and runner for the Jags offense. Great for fantasy owners, who are riding him to playoff berths over the past month. He will have a nice time running against the soft Packers, and should post nice stats. Fred Taylor is now out with injury, and his career in the sunny state may be jeopardy due to age and contracts.

Projections:
David Garrard: 210 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Jerry Porter: 15 rec
Marcedes Lewis: 45 rec
Dennis Northcutt: 50 rec
Reggie Williams: 50 rec/1 TD
Matt Jones: suspended
Fred Taylor: out
Maurice Jones-Drew: 85 rush/40 rec/ 2 TD