Bengals @ Steelers (Mack)
Ryan Fitzpatrick / T.J. Houshmandzadeh / Chad Johnson / Chris Henry / Ben Utecht
Cedric Benson (vs. Pittsburgh)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: Washington
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: Cleveland
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 3.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 6

Passing Game Thoughts: After a four-game stretch of average football in which he never threw for more than 164 yards, Ryan Fitzpatrick had perhaps his best game last week against Philadelphia since replacing incumbent Carson Palmer. Even though he was sacked eight times and pressured countless others, Fitzpatrick stood strong in the pocket while tossing 261 yards, 1 TD and no turnovers. He gets to test his mettle once more this week against Pittsburgh. The Steelers and Eagles are tied for the league lead with 36 sacks, so whether or not Fitzpatrick can deliver while undoubtedly being under the same pressure as last week remains to be seen. But playing a divisional foe that’s jockeying for playoff position, on the road and in front of a national television audience may prove too daunting a task for Fitzpatrick.

If he is to succeed, however, he has to continue to get the ball to TJ Houshmandzadeh. TJ is well off the torrid pace he put up last year, but he has still proven to be a viable fantasy option—PPR leagues, especially without an experienced QB. TJ’s owners hope last week’s monster game continues into this week, and with cornerbacks Deshea Townsend and Bryant McFadden likely out, it’s a real possibility. Chad Johnson, on the other hand, continues to be a shadow of his former dominant self. In a year where many top receivers have been disappointing, there’s maybe no one who’s been more so than Johnson. Not only is his 9.3 yards per reception more than 2 yards fewer than his previous career low, but his explosiveness also seems to be lacking as well. It’s well past the point of debating whether to start him; at best, he’s an inconsistent #3 WR who this week goes up against the league’s top-ranked pass defense. That’s not a good combination. Keep Ocho Stinko on your bench.

Running Game Thoughts: To his credit, Cedric Benson has revitalized a Cincy running game that looked dreadful during the first quarter of the season. Granted, improving upon what Chris Perry did early in the year was not too difficult to accomplish, but Benson does provide the Bengals with a physical presence in the running game—a trait that must be in heavy supply this week. Benson should be the focus of Cincy’s offensive approach. There’s no way they can allow Fitzpatrick to be put in the crosshairs of the aggressive Pittsburgh pass rush. As a result, expect Benson to get between 18-22 carries.

Here’s the caveat: Benson saw a lot of action last week (23 carries), but averaged less than 2 yards each attempt. That won’t cut it. Benson was involved heavily in the passing game, however. His six receptions was a season-best for him, and with the pressure applied by the Steelers on Fitzpatrick, his time in the pocket will be brief, thus resulting in short dump-offs to Benson. Will Benson make up the production as a receiver that he won’t get on the ground? That’s the million-dollar question for those contemplating putting Benson in their line-up. If you do, do so at your own peril.

Projections::
Ryan Fitzpatrick: 175 yards / 1 TD / 1 INT
TJ Houshmandzadeh: 70 yards / 1 TD
Chad Johnson: 40 yards
Chris Henry: 25 yards
Ben Utecht: 15 yards
Cedric Benson: 55 yards rushing – 25 yards rec.

Ben Roethlisberger / Hines Ward / Santonio Holmes / Nate Washington
Willie Parker / Mewelde Moore (vs. Cincinnati)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: New York Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: Jacksonville
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 17
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 12
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 12

Passing Game Thoughts: Ben Roethlisberger followed up a three-interception clunker two weeks ago with an efficient performance last week vs. San Diego. He threw for more than 300 yards with no turnovers while spreading the ball around very well—four Steeler receivers had at least five receptions. Roethlisberger continues to get sacked at an alarming rate—four more last week. That’s disconcerting, especially for a QB still nursing a bum shoulder. The Bengals don’t rush the passer very well, so he should be able to comfortably scan the secondary.

Hines Ward has returned to form as one of the best possession receivers in the league. He has 19 catches over the past two games and has been the Steelers’ most reliable receiving option. Ward’s physical style will put tremendous pressure on Cincy’s corners. Jonathon Joseph may not play with a foot injury, leaving Leon Hall as the best (and perhaps the only) viable option to defend Ward. Ward must be in your line-up this week. Santonio Holmes has done little so far this year to warrant any serious consideration for a starting spot on anyone’s fantasy team, but this game shapes up well for him. Nate Washington should catch a deep pass or two and his involvement could increase because both tight ends (Heath Miller, Matt Spaeth) are battling injuries.

Running Game Thoughts: Willie Parker hushed those whispers of a supposed lingering shoulder problem by toting the rock 25 times last week. For those who have been waiting on his return and for those who traded for him for the stretch run, the physical style of play he exhibited was reassuring to say the least. The Steelers are in the bottom third of the league running the ball, but I have a feeling they get back to basics this week and pound the Bengals with a steady diet of a fresh and healthy Willie Parker.

Be mindful, though, that the Bengals have allowed only two 100-yard rushers (Chris Johnson & Mewelde Moore). Plus, they put the clamps on Brian Westbrook last week, so it’s no guarantee that Parker goes off. But he will be given every opportunity to produce. He should see 25 carries and get a short touchdown run (or two). Mewelde Moore was involved in the passing game last week and should see similar action this week, but probably not enough for a spot in your line-up.

Projections::
Ben Roethlisberger: 220 yards / 1 TD
Hines Ward: 90 yards / 1 TD
Santonio Holmes: 65 yards
Nate Washington: 50 yards
Willie Parker: 110 yards / 2 TDs
Mewelde Moore: 20 yards

Eagles @ Ravens (Mack)
Donovan McNabb / DeSean Jackson / Kevin Curtis / Reggie Brown / LJ Smith
Brian Westbrook / Correll Buckhalter

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: New York Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: Houston
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 2

Passing Game Thoughts: Let’s put Donovan McNabb’s horrible game last week at Cincinnati in proper fantasy perspective: it was only the third time in his career that he threw three interceptions. What makes that game even more painful for McNabb owners was that Cincy came into the contest with only five all year, so it was a complete aberration on many levels. Unfortunately, that won’t soothe the wounds inflicted by McNabb’s uncharacteristic play in week 11, and neither will this week’s opponent.

The Ravens come into this game tied for second in the league with 15 INTs. With cornerback Chris McAlister already lost for the season and Samari Rolle battling his own injuries, Baltimore is shorthanded in the secondary. But Philly may not have the weapons on the outside to take advantage of this perceived weakness. The Eagles’ receivers have been nonexistent all year. Kevin Curtis has shown signs of productivity, but he had several crucial drops last week. And Reggie Brown has struggled mightily since coming off his hamstring injury, as his three catches over the last five games proves. Conventional wisdom says if the Eagles stumbled offensively against the Bengals, what chance do they have against Baltimore? The answer: not much.

Running Game Thoughts: It was a sickening feeling last week to see Brian Westbrook, one of the best offensive weapons in the league, handcuffed by his own coaching staff. They must have believed that running the football was against the rules or something. McNabb threw the ball 58 times—58 times!—in a game where the deficit was never more than 10 points. And worst yet, only eight of those 58 throws were toward Westbrook. And only 14 rushing attempts for Westy? It’s beyond anyone’s comprehension what the thinking was on the Eagles’ sideline last week.

This week’s match-up is tough, no doubt. But they must—I repeat, they must—get Westbrook involved early and often in the offense if they’re to have any shot in the game. Westbrook has said on several occasions recently that he’s still battling through his myriad of injuries. Ok, fine. If he’s hurt, sit him down; but if he’s playing, apparently he’s healthy enough to do so and thus healthy enough to produce. But the going will be tough this week against a defense that got slaughtered on the ground last week against the Giants. So they will come into this game with an extra “umph” in their step and see to it that they’re not carved up again. I’m a Westbrook owner and will have him comfortably resting on my bench. If you have a viable option, I’d suggest you do the same.

Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 190 yards / 1 TD / 1 INT
DeSean Jackson: 70 yards
Kevin Curtis: 45 yards / 1 TD
Reggie Brown: 30 yards
LJ Smith: 25 yards
Brian Westbrook: 50 yards rushing / 20 yards rec.
Correll Buckhalter: 20 yards rushing

Joe Flacco / Derrick Mason / Mark Clayton / Todd Heap
Willis McGahee / Le’Ron McClain / Ray Rice (vs. Philadelphia)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: Chicago
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: Chicago
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 10

Passing Game Thoughts: After playing lights out over the previous three games in which he tossed five TDs and zero picks, Joe Flacco came back to earth with a loud thud last week against the Giants. His 61 percent completion percentage was good, but the two picks hurt. The O-line held up for him (allowing only one sack), but he was simply unable to do anything with the time afforded him. The play up front, however, bodes well for Flacco’s chance at success this week. Philly is tied with Pittsburgh for the league lead in sacks with 36, plus they come after the QB with the same ferocity that the Giants do, so Baltimore’s O-line must summon the effort put forth against New York if Flacco is to become a viable fantasy option this week.

Derrick Mason, possession receiver extraordinaire, continues to do his thing despite his advancing age and the fact that the Ravens are devoid of anyone beyond #85 on the outside. Mark Clayton has a handful of good plays this year, but not enough to merit a spot on your team. And Todd Heap has returned to the also-rans of tight ends after a 2-TD performance against Houston in week 10. Don’t even think about putting anyone in this group other than Derrick Mason in your line-up.

Running Game Thoughts: A cursory glance at Willis McGahee’s numbers from last week would lead many to think that he had a bad game. And sure, by all measures he did. But the Ravens were out of the game so fast that running the ball was a moot point by the middle of the second quarter. Perhaps the best gauge as to how McGahee has done recently is taking a look at the last three games in which he had significant playing time: 275 yards and 4 TDs. Not bad. It’s even more impressive when you consider both Ron Rice and Le’Ron McClain still get their share of the running responsibility.

The Ravens will have their hands full against the Philly’s 8th ranked defense. It will be important, however, for the Ravens to hammer away at the running game. The Eagles have shown vulnerability this year, giving up at least 101 yards to Clinton Portis, Frank Gore and Brandon Jacobs most recently. Look for McGahee to see 20-25 carries while being the centerpiece of what may be a conservative game plan.

Projections:
Joe Flacco: 175 yards / 1 TD
Derrick Mason: 70 yards / 1 TD
Mark Clayton: 45 yards
Todd Heap: 35 yards
Willis McGahee: 120 yards / 1 TD
Le’Ron McClain: 35 yards
Ron Rice: 20 yards

Texans @ Browns (Mack)
Sage Rosenfels / Andre Johnson / Kevin Walter / Owen Daniels
Steve Slaton / Ahman Green (vs. Cleveland)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: New York Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A

Passing Game Thoughts: After relieving Matt Schaub in the Minnesota game in week 9 and playing well—all things considered—in the process, Sage Rosenfels’ production has fallen off the table. One TD and 5 INTs in his last two games is not going to endear him to fantasy players. Cleveland’s defense is average, especially their secondary. Before snagging three interceptions early in last week’s game against Buffalo, they surrendered an average of 326 yards to Jacksonville, Baltimore and Denver over the previous three games, including six passing TDs and no interceptions. So the Browns can be had.

One of the more shocking stats so far this season is Kevin Walter’s six TD receptions are the most on the Texanss. Oddly, those six TDs are twice as many as All-Pro WR Andre Johnson’s three. Quite peculiar. Johnson’s stats have taken a nosedive recently. After a three-game stretch during weeks 6-8 that saw him grab 32 receptions and one TD, his next three games have totaled only 15 catches with one TD. Whether teams are doing anything differently than they were during the first half of the season is debatable, but AJ owners have to be concerned. I believe he snaps out of his funk this week—if not with one of his 10 catch gems, certainly with a performance worthy of a top-10 ranking at game’s end.

Running Game Thoughts: Rookie Steve Slaton has maintained a consistent level of play all year long. He averages 5.1 yards per carry and has become a capable and reliable #2 fantasy running back. But wouldn’t you know, at the most crucial time of the fantasy season, Mr. Brittle himself, Ahman Green resurfaces to play TD vulture. On several drives last week, Slaton did all the heavy lifting, only to have Green trot into the game and snatch two TDs from him, keeping the rookie from having a TD hat trick.

This week should be fruitful for the Texans. Cleveland’s defense is vulnerable to the run, and a multi-dimensional threat such as Slaton should give the Browns all kinds of fits. With the recent struggles of Houston’s passing game, I think they attempt to establish the ground game early. The Texans’ O-line will have to contend with a motivated Shaun Rogers, Cleveland’s burly nose tackle, if they’re to mount sustainable production. I think they will and Slaton should have a good day. But be mindful of the nuisance that is Ahman Green.

Projections:
Sage Rosenfels: 190 yards / 1 TDs
Andre Johnson: 85 yards
Kevin Walter: 60 yards / 1 TD
Owen Daniel: 40 yards
Steve Slaton: 95 yards / 1 TD
Ahman Green: 20 yards

Brady Quinn / Braylon Edwards / Donte Stallworth / Steve Heiden
Jamal Lewis (vs. Houston)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Texans this season: Cincinnati
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Texans this season: Cincinnati
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 27
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 20
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 13

Passing Game Thoughts: Brady Quinn’s finger supposedly won’t keep him from playing this week. His second start last week didn’t go as well as his first when he tossed two scores against Denver. This week’s opponent, Houston, has a middle-of-the-road defense that Cleveland’s skill players should be able to exploit. The Texans’ secondary is nothing special and their D-line, outside of Mario Williams, is average. So Quinn should be afforded the time to do what he needs to do.

Drop passes continue to plague the Browns. Although the drops don’t occur as often as they did earlier in the season, it remains an issue. It’s gotten to the point now that when the catch the ball it seems shocking. Braylon Edwards is the main culprit, but he’s straightened up his act and has actually played well recently. Put him in your line-up and hope the dropsies are far behind him. Winslow is battling a shoulder injury and I don’t think he plays. But keep an eye out on his availability.

Running Game Thoughts: It’s painful to watch Jamal Lewis run the football. Those small, pity-pat steps he runs with has done him no good and fantasy players are starting to feel the pinch. Granted, the offensive line’s run blocking has been a disappointment, but he has shown no explosion to and through the hole. His fantasy value is dropping with each passing game, so play him if you have a strong stomach.

Perhaps the most shocking aspect of the Browns’ running game is when Jerome Harrison spelled Lewis against the Bills last week, he quickly made something happened and totaled 80 yards on just two carries. Lewis then returned to the game and it was back to the same-old same-old. I say all that to say the running game in Cleveland is fool’s gold. Stay away from it; you’ll be glad you did.

Projections:
Brady Quinn: 175 yards / 1 TD / 1 INT
Braylon Edwards: 90 yards / 1 TD
Donte Stallworth: 45 yards
Steve Heiden: 35 yards
Jamal Lewis: 75 yards
Jerome Harrison: 30 yards

Bucs @ Lions (Mack)
Jeff Garcia / Antonio Bryant / Joey Galloway / Michael Clayton / Alex Smith
Warrick Dunn (vs. Detroit)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: Jacksonville
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: Jacksonville
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 21
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 16.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Jeff Garcia over the past month has been good enough to remain relevant, but not good enough to warrant a starting spot in your line-up. He’s averaged more than 280 yards passing per game in the last four contests, but he only has two TDs and one interception during that stretch. Playing his former team on the road, a place where last year he had multiple turnovers to seal the win for Detroit, and what you have this week is a motivated Garcia going into Ford Field ready to redeem himself.

The Lions’ defense has cured what ailed many of their opponents so far in 2008. Jeff Garcia and his receiving weapons should be no different. Joey Galloway is working himself back into shape, but Antonio Bryant and Ike Hilliard are skilled enough to cause damage to the 31st ranked defense. There’s little to no speed in the Lions’ secondary, so Bryant should get deep on several occasions. This is a good time, I think, to put him in your line-up; he should reward you with a decent game worthy of a #3 fantasy WR option.

Running Game Thoughts: Earnest Graham was placed on injured reserve this week, meaning pint-sized Warrick Dunn should see plenty of action against the worst run defense in the NFL. Dunn has been remarkably productive this year—something I thought was not possible this year. Graham’s injury may open the door for Cadillac Williams to make his 2008 debut after a knew injury last season. Head coach Jon Gruden remains uncertain if Williams will play, but if he doesn’t, Dunn may split carries with BJ Askew.

Whoever carries the rock for the Bucs is destined for a good game. The generous Detroit defense allowed both Carolina running backs to crack the century mark last week and there’s no reason to think that it can’t happen again. The Lions’ tackling was horrific, and one week is not enough time to remedy that. The Bucs should be able to have there way on the ground (and through the air) this week, so if you have any Bucs on your team, get ‘em in your line-up.

Projections:
Jeff Garcia: 225 yards / 2 TDs
Antonio Bryant: 110 yards / 1 TD
Ike Hilliard: 50 yards
Joey Galloway: 40 yards
Alex Smith: 30 yards / 1 TD
Warrick Dunn: 120 yards / 1 TD
BJ Askew: 50 yards / 1 TD

Daunte Culpepper / Calvin Johnson / Shaun McDonald / Michael Gaines
Kevin Smith / Rudi Johnson (vs. Tampa Bay)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bucs this season: Kansas City
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bucs this season: Kansas City
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 10

Passing Game Thoughts: All things considered, Daunte Culpepper has played ok since taking over the starting gig in Detroit. The bad news is the rust surfaces from time to time in the form of poor decisions and even worse throws. But Culpepper’s presence under center increases Calvin Johnson’s fantasy stock, although it hasn’t manifested as of yet. Tampa Bay brings its 4th ranked defense to the Motor City, so Culpepper will face his stiffest challenge since his return.

Johnson has picked up his play over the last month and a half. He’s scored a TD in five of the last six games and has been the only bright spot on the entire team. Johnson will no doubt be the target of every player in Tampa’s secondary, meaning Shaun McDonald will have to pick up the slack. Mike Furrey may not play and Michael Gaines is more of a blocking tight end. They’ve tried to incorporate RB Kevin Smith into the mix, but he’s still a work in progress. Obviously, Johnson is a definite start, but the others—including Culpepper—should be left on your bench.

Running Game Thoughts: Kevin Smith finally got the bulk of the carries and what’d he do: rip Carolina for 112 yards. That makes two consecutive games that the rookie cracked the century mark. The knock on him early in the season was his lack of patience and speed, but he has displayed both remarkably well against Jacksonville and Carolina over the past two weeks. Sure, the Bucs have one of the toughest defenses in the league, but Smith is playing well enough for you to give serious consideration for him to be in your line-up.

Veteran Rudi Johnson has been a spectator recently, but he adds depth and insurance in case Smith’s play takes a dip. He’s only gotten 15 carries over the last three weeks, so he’s no longer a viable handcuff. It’s going to be key that the Lions keep this game close early so that the running game can remain in play. That was their bugaboo early in the season; they’d get behind by so much so fast that the running game was rendered useless. But with the team’s improved play, the running game has been relevant and it’s delivered. If you’re in a tight pinch, put Smith in your line-up and keep your fingers crossed.

Projections:
Daunte Culpepper: 190 yards / 1 TD / 1 INT
Calvin Johnson: 110 yards / 1 TD
Shaun McDonald: 45 yards
Michael Gaines: 20 yards
Kevin Smith: 65 yards rushing / 35 yards rec.

Bills @ Chiefs (Eakin)
Trent Edwards/Lee Evans/Josh Reed/Robert Royal
Marshawn Lynch/Fred Jackson (vs. KC)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Falcons
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Jets
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 9.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 22.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 20.6/24.7/9.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 20.0

Passing Game Thoughts: For the past few seasons the Bills franchise had been dealing with uncertainty at QB. They had drafted J.P. Losman and seemed to have mixed feelings on him. Then came Trent Edwards and again he and Losman rotated. The end of last year and beginning of this year brought hope that the QB position was finally secure for the future when Edwards played well to be considered the foundation for future success. After a five-game win streak to start the year, the Bills have hit the skids. Doubt is again rising over the QB position. Edwards threw three picks in his first eleven pass attempts and again put forth a poor outing. Lee Evans did not catch a pass for the first time in his career. The gun-shy QB did little more than throw dump offs to RB Marshawn Lynch. The future of the Bills franchise depends upon Edwards getting his mojo back. The Chiefs are not a push over in pass defense. They are 12th in Fpts allowed for QBs despite playing with a patchwork defense with rookies in the secondary.

Running Game Thoughts: Marshawn Lynch is currently 15th in RB Fpts scored. A little bit of a disappointment to owners that drafted him in the 5-12 positions this year. However, a lot can be said for consistency and durability, which Lynch has delivered in spades. He runs hard and scores the TDs, but he is lacking in the yardage department. The Chiefs have the league’s worst rush defense so Lynch is a good play and should be able to deliver a good performance. His toughest obstacle may be his own teammate, Fred Jackson. The Coe University graduate and former United Football League Co-MVP continues to make big plays and work his way on to the field.
Projections::

Trent Edwards: 180 yds passing/2 TD/2 INT
Lee Evans: 80 yds receiving/1 TD
Josh Reed: 30 yds receiving
Robert Royal: 30 yds receiving
Fred Jackson: 40 yds rushing/20 yds receiving/1 TD
Marshawn Lynch: 85 yds rushing/1 TD/20 receiving

Tyler Thigpen/DeWayne Bowe/Mark Bradley/Tony Gonzalez
Larry Johnson (vs. BUF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season: Jaguars
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season:
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 5.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 13.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 13.6/14.4/2.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 21.6

Passing Game Thoughts: While the Bills thought they had their franchise QB and are now having doubts, the Chiefs are in the opposite position. They figured to have lost all chances to have a secure QB of the future after the demise of Brodie Croyle. Then unknown rookie QB Tyler Thigpen, drafted out of Coastal Carolina last year, is used out of desperation and has delivered nothing but quality starts. Of course Herm Edward’s insistence to use Thigpen prior to this run speaks somewhat in the beleaguered coach’s favor.

Thigpen is off to a good start and hope springs eternal. He does a good job of spreading the ball around. He has been working in the spread offense delivering quick and accurate passes. He does lack ideal arm strength and despite posting more points than the Chiefs are accustomed, he has not been able to close out games. The Chiefs will have a big decision whether or not to invest a top pick in another QB in the off-season. The Bills possess one of the better defenses in the league. They are 7th in QB Fpts allowed and they do a really good job on opposing TEs. If they can bottle up Tony Gonzalez then they will make Thigpen uncomfortable and force some poor decisions, which is what I expect to happen.

Running Game Thoughts: If Larry Johnson struggles to run versus the New Orleans Saints then it will be a major effort to run with success on the Bills. They have been stellar against the run all year, led by mammoth defensive tackle Marcus Stroud. Johnson has slowed down a bit and is no longer the dominant force of the past. The Bills should be able to get penetration from the front seven and stop Johnson from getting the head of steam he needs to be effective. L.J. is a RB2 or flex starter in this match up.

Projections::
Tyler Thigpen: 215 yds passing/1TD/2 INT
DeWayne Bowe: 70 yds/1 TD
Mark Bradley: 40 yds
Tony Gonzalez: 45 yds
Larry Johnson: 65 yds rushing/1 TD

Giants @ Cardinals (Eakin)
Eli Manning/Plaxico Burress/Amani Toomer/Kevin Boss
Derrick Ward/Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. ARI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season: Dolphins
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season: Bills
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 28.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 14
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 3.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.3/21.3/4.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 13.1

Passing Game Thoughts: Eli Manning is 10th in QB fpts scored. Ignore his lackluster outing against the Ravens last week. The Giants were on a mission to prove they could run the ball on the Ravens vaunted run defense. They did not pass the ball a great deal and Manning finished 13/23 with a TD and an INT. They only concern with the Giants offense is the sporadic play of Burress. However the Giants have proven they can produce even on Plaxico’s bad days with the likes of Steve Smith, Amani Toomer, and Domenik Hixon. The Cardinals are weaker against the run than the pass so they may attack Arizona accordingly. Arizona’s top pick, CB Dominique Rodger-Cromartie, has been starting for several weeks now and has played solid, including a pick to seal the game last week.

Running Game Thoughts: If last week proved anything it’s that the Giants can run the ball against anyone. Period. The Cards have a solid run defense, but they aren’t shut down Ravens good. Brandon “Okoye” Jacobs is a beast at 264 lbs of speedy muscle. He’s a freak. It’s amazing to think he was in the same backfield with Carnell Williams and Ronnie Brown at Auburn. I’d give that trio a major edge over Arkansas alums Darren McFadden, Felix Jones, and Peyton Hillis. Jacobs did suffer an injury in the first half against the Ravens and the Giants will rest him as their eyes are on the playoff run. Ward and Bradshaw will likely share carries. All three backs average over five yards a carry because everything starts with the offensive line play. The G-Men will still move the ball on the ground regardless of who gets the carries. Ward is second on the depth chart and will be the better play between the two.

Projections::
Eli Manning: 245 yards/2 TD
Plaxico Burress: 75 yards/1 TD
Amani Toomer; 45 yards
Steve Smith: 40 yards
Kevin Boss: 25 yards
Derrick Ward: 75 yards/1 TD
Ahmad Bradshaw: 55 yards/20 receiving/1 TD

Kurt Warner/Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin/Steve Breaston
Tim Hightower
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: Falcons
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: Jets
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 20.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: .5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 8.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 17.9/18.9/2.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 10.4

Passing Game Thoughts: The Cardinals are the aerial version of the Giants ground attack; meaning I’m not sure how to stop them. Of course we all thought the same of the Patriots last year. This will be a big test for the Giants defense. Can they shut down an elite pass offense as they did last year? I was thinking just a couple weeks ago some possible playoff scenarios and I remember thinking this match up would be one of the most interesting. I forgot they would bang heads in the regular season. The match up here is all about protection versus pass rush. The Cards don’t give up sacks and Warner helps the line achieve this result with his quick release. The Giants do a great job of getting pressure but are not the league-leading unit they were with Osi Umenyiora and Michael Strahan gone.

Running Game Thoughts: It’s hard to believe that Edgerrin James is really on ice. But he lost his job to rookie Tim Hightower and even J.J. Arrington is getting more looks. You have to wonder what’s going on behind the scenes there. After three games as a starter, Hightower is a disappointment. His first start went well, but he hasn’t broken 40 yards in his last two outings. There is no controversy with Hightower’s job for now because they believe he is the future. Perhaps a little case of the rookie wall is at hand. However The Cards pass well enough that they can afford to be patient with him. The Giants are tough to run against and should once again hold Hightower below the century mark.

Projections::
Kurt Warner: 290 yards/2 TDs/1 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 85 yards/1 TD
Anquan Boldin: 85 yards/1 TD
Steve Breaston: 70 yards
Tim Hightower: 60 yards/ 1 TD

Raiders @ Broncos (Eakin)
JaMarcus Russell/Ronald Curry/Ashlie Lelie/Chaz Schilens/Zach Miller
Justin Fargas/Darren McFadden (vs. DEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Broncos this season: Falcons
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Broncos this season: Jets
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 17.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 10.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.2/14.9/9.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 22.4

Passing Game Thoughts: JaMarcus Russell went 15/22 for 156 yards against Miami last week. When compared to 31 yards passing the week before you could say he stepped up his game. He actually had Oakland in position to steal one from the upstart Dolphins. The majority of the yards by air for Oakland came from Ronald Curry and the two TEs Zach Miller and Tony Stewart. Curry is fresh from the doghouse after Javon Walker’s season ending ankle injury after reportedly being told by Al Davis that he would be deactivated the rest of the year and possibly released. Another curious decision considering Curry has been their best WR the past two years and seems to have done nothing wrong. Several teammates have backed Curry in the perplexing decision. If healthy, rookie Chaz Schilens will return to the starting line-up despite Curry putting up the most productive WR performance at WR for the Raiders this year. The Raiders longest play from scrimmage was 27 yards so they continue to be unable to capitalize on the major asset that had them enthralled with Russell when they drafted him, his huge arm. Their best down field speed is in Johnnie Lee Higgins who returned a kickoff 90 plus yards for their only TD. Other than a couple big plays to him, the Oakland offense has lacked explosiveness all year. Some teams are successful at sustaining long drives with short plays, but it requires a level of execution the Raiders do not posses. Multiple penalties and six sacks were too much for this offense to overcome. Denver is always tough at home and despite their defensive woes they should be able to bottle up the Oakland attack by matching up Dre Bly on Curry or Schilens and having their quick LBs help with TEs or McFadden out of the backfield.

Running Game Thoughts: The Raiders rush attack is still led by Justin Fargas. But his play has been held in check this year. Top pick Darren McFadden saw a return to action but only had two attempts. He is still battling turf toe on both feet. Oakland has some talent in the backfield and we have seen Fargas do well, so the lack of run success is mostly a product of poor line play. This could also explain Russell’s inability to get the ball downfield. Denver is beat up and have been poor against the run all year so there is some chance for Oakland to grind out some yards, but if the Raiders don’t start well they will be in a hole in short notice and have to throw to keep up with one of the league’s best pass attacks.

Projections::
JaMarcus Russell: 165 yards
Ronald Curry: 55 yards
Johnnie Lee Higgins: 45 yards
Zach Miller: 35 yards
Justin Fargas: 75 yards/1 TD
Darren McFadden: 15 yards/15 receiving

Jay Cutler/Brandon Marshall/Eddie Royal/Nate Jackson
Peyton Hillis/P.J. Pope (vs. OAK)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: Broncos
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: Broncos
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 20.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: .7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 7.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 12.0/16.8/1.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 28.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Jay Cutler is still not quite back to the level they started the year, but he is capable of lighting the scoreboards up at anytime. The Tampa Bay Cover-2 defense laid the template out for the league on how to slow the Bronco passing attack. Play deep and make them work underneath. This has been successful in eliminating Brandon Marshall’s big plays and serves to make Cutler patient, which is not his style. Eddie Royal is small and very quick in and out of his breaks, and he runs precise routes. This has made him a good option for Cutler as teams focus on Marshall. The Raiders have one very good CB in Nnamdi Asomugha to shadow Marshall and that will be the match up to watch. With DeAngelo Hall gone I expect Royal to have success working one on one against Chris Johnson.

Running Game Thoughts: Peyton Hillis makes a third former Arkansas RB from the same collegiate team to play a significant role in the NFL. He is a fullback that was forced in to action for Denver due to their string of injuries. Hillis hits the hole hard with heavy forward lean, which made him an effective redzone option, scoring twice in his starting debut. The Broncos also gave P.J. Pope a shot. Pope showed some flashes a talent that could lead to more carries until Selvin Young’s returns to the line-up. Young’s return is unlikely to happen at this point so Pope and Hillis should share carries. Hillis is the safer to pick to have a big day against a poor Oakland run defense.

Projections::
Jay Cutler: 285 yards/2 TD
Brandon Marshall: 90 yards/1 TD
Eddie Royal: 75 yards/1 TD
Nate Jackson: 35 yards
Brandon Stokely: 35 yards
PJ Pope: 35 yards
Peyton Hillis: 50 yards/1 TD

Bears @ Rams (Eakin)
Kyle Orton/Rashied Davis/Brandon Lloyd/Greg Olsen
Matt Forte (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Vikings
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Lions
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 14.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: .8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 11.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 20.6/25.4/11.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 17.3

Passing Game Thoughts: Kyle Orton returned to the lineup and did not play well. Whether it was his sprained ankle, another leg injury he suffered during the game, or just the Packers good pass defense, the Bears were held to three points and unable to generate any offense through the air. Despite this performance, the Bears offense has played beyond expectations this year and should only be stronger with the return of Brandon Lloyd to play alongside the emerging Rashied Davis. The Rams pass defense is the league’s 8th worst in QB fpts allowed so the Bears will likely right the ship this week.

Running Game Thoughts: Rookie sensation Matt Forte continues to be among the top five fantasy scoring RBs in the NFL. Forte is heavily involved as a receiver much like Frank Gore. So even against good run defenses he is still productive. The Rams do not have one of those stiff run defenses, ranking second to last in fpts allowed. Frank Gore ran for over 100 yards and a score against them last week, so Forte is in line for another good day. The Rams starting DT Adam Carriker is probable with a sprained ankle along with DE Leonard Little and S O.J. Atogwe. All three of them are key to helping slow the Bear rush attack.

Projections::
Kyle Orton: 235 yards/2 TDs
Rashied Davis: 80 yards
Brandon Lloyd: 70 yards
Greg Olsen: 35 yards/1 TD
Matt Forte: 90 yards/1 TDs/30 receiving/1 TD

Marc Bulger/Donnie Avery/Torry Holt
Antonio Pittman (vs. CHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 16.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 20.7/19.9/7.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 35.3

Passing Game Thoughts: Since the last coach was sent packing after removing Marc Bulger as the starting QB the interim coach Jim Haslett will stay the course despite Bulger turning the ball over three times last week. At 19th in QB fpts allowed the Bears have a nice defense but are not dominant against the pass. Donnie Avery has cooled off as of late mostly due to the pounding Bulger has taken in recent weeks. Avery leads Torry Holt in fpts scored despite starting three fewer games. Key Bulger protector, OT Orlando Pace, is out indefinitely and being replaced by Adam Goldberg. He will need to slow down Chicago’s talented defensive ends, particularly Alex Brown, in order for St. Louis to have time to complete plays down field. History tells us that the Rams line goes from poor to terrible without Pace in the line-up.

Running Game Thoughts: Steven Jackson will not play. It must be an extremely deep thigh bruise to miss three weeks and possibly more. Antonio Pitman is a decent replacement some weeks, but against the Bears I’d say he’s a borderline RB2 or decent flex play. Now the Rams O-line is undergoing some shuffling with Pace out and guard Richie Incognito nursing a wing. Any momentum the Rams garnered in coach Haslett’s first couple games is zapped and the physical Bears should out muscle the Rams in the trenches.

Projections::
Marc Bulger: 180 yards/1 TD/2 INT
Torry Holt: 65 yards
Donnie Avery: 70 yards/1 TD
Antonio Pitman: 70 yards/1 TD

Redskins @ Seahawks (Eakin)
Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Antwaan Randle El/Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis (vs. SEA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Niner’s
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Niner’s
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 13.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 13.0
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.3/14.4/6.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 19.7

Passing Game Thoughts: The Dallas Defense was able to shut down Jason Campbell last week. The Cowboys have not been a top pass defense this season. The return of Terrence Newman was certainly helpful. Washington had trouble preventing penetration up the middle, which threw off their timing. For most of the year Jason Campbell has had better protection. The West Coast Offense is designed around short passing so protection shouldn’t be a problem. His play has been down of late, but he has faced some tough defenses. The Seahawks could be good medicine for the Redskins offense because they have not played well this year. However, the Cardinal WRs that torched Seattle are big and strong. They made a living out jumping the smaller Seattle defenders. The Redskin WRs are quick, but not very big. The Seahawk secondary will match up much better in this game. Add the 3000-mile journey from D.C. to Seattle and I see this being another below par effort for Washington’s Campbell. IF you have better options, it may be best to avoid Campbell this week.

Running Game Thoughts: Last week, no one expected Clinton Portis to play on a sprained knee, but he was a go after a game time decision. It wasn’t a stellar effort for Portis, but he has set some high standards for himself as the top RB in the league. It doesn’t look as if Portis did anything to aggravate the injury so it’s reasonable to assume he will play again. Seattle is 20th in RB fpts allowed. Normally Portis would be in line for a huge day, but keep his health in mind. He’s not a hundred percent but I would still start him if you can be certain he is going to play.

Projections::
Jason Campbell: 225 yards/2 TDs/1 INT
Santana Moss: 80 yards/1 TD
Antwaan Randle El: 65 yards
Chris Cooley: 45 yards/1 TD
Clinton Portis: 85 Yards/1 TD

Matt Hasselbeck/Bobby Engram/Deion Branch/John Carlson
Julius Jones (vs. WAS)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: Rams
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: Jets
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 13.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 9.0
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 21.4/25.3/5.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 22.1

Passing Game Thoughts: Well, all the pieces of the Seahawk offense were on the field last week, it’s just that all the kings horses, and all the kings men couldn’t glue them back together in time to challenge the Cards last week. Don’t wager too much on them returning to form this week either. The Redskins defense is 8th in QB fpts allowed and has an excellent secondary with big corners that can disrupt timing. Being a finesse offense takes chemistry and Seattle needs another week or so before it starts clicking again.

Running Game Thoughts: Seattle generated absolutely no ground game last week. Julius Jones started but only gained 19 yards on 10 carries. I’m no math major, but at first glance that looks like less than two yards per carry. The good news is that his starting FB Leonard Weaver is expected to play. Maybe he will block for him. It won’t be enough for Jones to be anything more than a flex play.

Projections::
Matt Hasselbeck: 200 yards/2 TD/2 INT
Bobby Engram: 65 yards/1 TD
Deion Branch: 60 yards
John Carlson: 35 yards/1 TD
Julius Jones: 65 yards

Patriots @ Dolphins (Marcoccio)
Matt Cassell/Randy Moss/Wes Welker/Benjamin Watson
Sammy Morris/Kevin Faulk (vs. MIA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: NE, BUF
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: NYJ, NE, BUF
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 20.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 11.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.2/14.7/5.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.1

Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Cassell may have made himself a nice chunk of change with his 400 yard, 3 TD effort last Thursday Night against the Jets. I’d still be a little leery that Cassell could be an AJ Feely v.2 if he goes to another team. Cassell has shown some improvement, particularly in his footwork and decision making, but he does get to work with Randy Moss and Wes Welker as pass catchers, which can help make any QB look better than he is. He has been making better decisions, especially when it is wise to tuck the ball under his arm and take off, but at times he still tends to look at the pass rush and not downfield. He is also not a very good deep ball passer. It isn’t that he lacks the arm strength; he’s just unable to put the proper loft under the ball to get it to the deep receiver. He often over-throws or under-throws the ball when he looks downfield. He is a good dink and dunk type QB though in that he is accurate and smart. If I’ve done anything for you in this space, I did alert anyone interested to pick up Benjamin Watson if he was in your FA pool and to start him if you were weak at the TE position. The Jets have been very kind to opposing TEs and he did not disappoint with 8 catches for 88 yards and a TD. Don’t be surprised if Belichick puts the passing game back under wraps this week, but do bear in mind that the ‘Phins have been easy to pas against and tough to run on so it could be another good week for the Pats passing game.

Miami’s pass defense is ranked 20th in the NFL and they give up 222.6 yards per game and have allowed 12 TDs through the air in 10 weeks. Over the last couple of weeks they have started to show some improvement, but against the likes of Seneca Wallace and JaMarcus Russell so that could have something to do with it. Will Allen and Andre Goodman are average at best CBs and as a team they have only intercepted 7 balls on the season. The Dolphins have struggled with big and fast WRs this season so Randy Moss could have a nice day.

Running Game Thoughts: BenJarvus Green-Ellis broke a 100 yards and scored a TD against Buffalo two weeks ago. So how does the mastermind reward him? By giving him two carries the following game of course. Sammy Morris did make it back into the line-up and looked decent for a back that missed a few weeks with a knee injury, but the New England running game never got on track and the Pats attacked the Jets through the air where they are much more vulnerable. Kevin Faulk continues to be a nice complement to whichever “power” back the Pats use and is a good flex player in ppr leagues.

The Miami run defense has been a tough unit on opposing RBs all season. They are currently the 9th ranked run defense in the league, allowing 913 yards and 5 TDs in 10 games. Amazingly, they finished dead last in 2007 and really brought in no impact players to change the run defense allowed. In fact, they lost their two best – albeit aging - defenders this off-season in Jason Taylor and Zach Thomas. Joey Porter is playing like his old self after a down 2007 and Channing Crowder has been healthier in 2008, but the change is the run defense really comes down to a change in coaching philosophy than anything else.

Projections::
Matt Cassell: 245 yds passing 2 TDs / 25 yds rushing
Randy Moss: 65 yds receiving, 1 TD
Wes Welker: 85 yds receiving
Benjamin Watson: 15 yds receiving, 1 TD
Kevin Faulk: 35 yds rushing / 30 yds receiving
Sammy Morris: 65 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving

Chad Pennington/Greg Camarillo/Ted Ginn, Jr./Anthony Fasano/David Martin
Ricky Williams/Ronnie Brown (vs. NE)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season: MIA
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season: MIA
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 12.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 24.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 19.2/20.9/5.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.1

Passing Game Thoughts: Chad Pennington keeps winning games for a team that had one win all last season. He has completes 67 % of his passes for 2,374 yards and 8 TDs. Ted Ginn, Jr. has emerged as a very nice weapon in the passing game for Miami over the last several weeks. Greg Camarillo has slowed down a little as Ginn’s role has increased but is still a solid WR #3-4 in ppr leagues. Last time these two teams played the Dolphins introduced their Wild Cat offense and ran all over New England, but Pennington still managed to throw for 226 yards.

Last week, Brett Favre had his way with the Pats secondary. On the season, the Pats are ranked a mediocre 14th in passing yards allowed (2,044), and have allowed 16 TDs in 10 games. The Patriots have been adequate at rushing the passer on the season (19 sacks), but with Adalius Thomas out, they will need Richard Seymour from the outside and Vince Wilfork up the middle to apply pressure on Pennington who has had his ups and downs against the Pats in the past.

Running Game Thoughts: We all know what happened the last time these two teams faced each other, but I’ll reiterate for those that may have been in the Ukraine for the last three months. Ronnie Brown ran for 113 and 4 TDs and Ricky Williams ran for 96 yards in what at the time seemed to be a gimmick offense - the single wing or Wild Cat attack - but has since been used very effectively almost every week.

One would think the Pats will be a little more prepared for the Miami Wild Cat formation this time. However, being prepared and executing are two different animals, and the lack of team speed on the Pats defense can again make them vulnerable. The Patriots are ranked 13th against the run on the season, giving up 104 yards per game, but have held opponents to only 5 rushing TDs (Ronnie Brown got 4 of them in the first meeting). Thomas Jones was able to break 100 and score a TD last week though and Leon Washington looked good as well. Rookie Jerrod Mayo was a monster last week and must continue to step up in Adalius Thomas’ absence.

Projections::
Chad Pennington: 210 yds passing, 1 TD
Greg Camarillo: 45 yds receiving
Ted Ginn, Jr.: 65 yds receiving
Anthony Fasano: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
David Martin: 15 yds receiving
Ricky Williams: 75 yds rushing / 5 yds receiving
Ronnie Brown: 120 yds rushing, 2 TDs / 15 yds receiving

49ers @ Cowboys (Marcoccio)
Shaun Hill/Bryant Johnson/Jason Hill/Vernon Davis
Frank Gore (vs. DAL)

Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cowboys season: PHI, WAS
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 10.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 25.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.8/13.9/6.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 26.2

Passing Game Thoughts: Shaun Hill has not exactly turned the fortunes of the forty-niners around, but has been more effective and less inclined to turn the ball over than JT O’Sullivan was in his stint as starting QB. Last week, Hill put up impressive numbers against the hapless Rams defense, 213 yards and 2 TDs (plus a rushing TD). While he may be a little too slow in his reactions to run the Martz offense long term, there’s no guarantee the Martz offense will be long term in San Francisco. Bryant Johnson has been very inconsistent after the spending the off-season as everyone’s favorite “sleeper” in the fantasy community. He has shown flashes and with the Niners down to only a few healthy WRs with rookie Josh Morgan and veteran Arnez Battle potentially missing time, he should get more looks. Jason Hill (no relation to Shaun) has taken advantage of his chance to play and has been effective over the last three weeks. TE Vernon Davis may have had his eyes opened after being singled out by interim HC Mike Singletary in Singletary’s first game, as he’s been pretty effective since being kicked off the field.

The Dallas defense may have received a little future hope with Adam Jones being reinstated, but the unit was starting to turn it around anyway. Despite numerous injuries to their starters, they have improved from the bottom half and now rank 7th overall in passing yards allowed with 1,880 on the season. They have given up 13 scores through the air. The improvement coincides with the return of Anthony Henry and Terrance Newman who both missed some time due to injury. Rookie Mike Jenkins did a respectable job during the starter’s absence and may have a nice future with the ‘Boys.

Running Game Thoughts: Frank Gore is the one true consistent threat on the Niners offense and it’s a testament to his talent that even though most teams must know that to be the case. Only the New York Giants have been successful in taking him out of the game this season. Gore is one of the rare backs that combine power, shiftiness, and speed in one package. These are attributes found among the list of successful former Miami Hurricane RBs including Edgerrin James and Clinton Portis.

The Dallas defense is ranked 15th against the run this season and has allowed 1,056 rushing yards and 8 TDs. The Cowboy linebackers are going to have to control their desire to rush the passer and concentrate on Frank Gore in order for the Cowboys to shut down the 49er offense. If they do over-commit to the pass rush, then Gore could break off a few huge plays on draws or screen passes.

Projections::
Shaun Hill: 205 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT / 10 yds rushing
Bryant Johnson: 55 yds receiving
Jason Hill: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Vernon Davis: 35 yds receiving
Frank Gore: 105 yds rushing, 1 TD / 45 yds receiving

Tony Romo/Terrell Owens/Patrick Crayton/Roy Williams/Jason Witten
Marion Barber III (vs. NYG)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the 49ers this season: ARI, NYG
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the 49ers season: NYG
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 29.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 19.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 25.8/36.8/.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 13.2

Passing Game Thoughts: The most famous pinky in the state of Texas had the nation’s eyes on it last Sunday night. It got a little tedious listening to Al and John blame every poor throw made by Romo on his injured digit. All in all Romo looked pretty good, despite the Cowboys offense not looking nearly as explosive as it was earlier in the season. Jason Witten still seems to be a little slowed by his rib injury, but has had a couple of weeks to recover and should only get healthier as the season goes on. Terrell Owens continued to be quiet both on the field and surprisingly in the media. One has to wonder if a blow up (on the field and/or in the media) is coming any time this season. Watching him play, he doesn’t appear to have slowed down any in the open field, but perhaps his age and wear have made him a little less explosive on his cuts because the separation just isn’t quite there.

The 49er pass defense is amongst the worst in the league. Highly paid Nate Clements has been good, but the rest of the secondary has struggled. San Francisco gives up 234.9 passing yards per game and has allowed 15 passing TDs on the season. This is a good match up for Tony Romo to get his rhythm and timing back. Over the last three weeks fantasy owners have been extremely happy to see their QBs and WRs square off against San Francisco.

Running Game Thoughts: After being grossly underused the first time around against Washington, Marion Barber ran 24 times for 114 and a score in Week 11. The talk is that promising rookie Felix Jones may not be able to return anytime soon and could be lost for the season, so Barber will continue to carry the full load for the ‘Boys on the ground in the immediate future.

As bad as they are against the pass, San Francisco isn’t much better against the run: they rank 16th in the league, giving up 106.8 yards per game and 10 TDs on the season. Patrick Willis burst on the scene as a rookie and while he hasn’t exactly fallen off the face of the earth, I don’t think Chuck Norris no longer shakes in fear from the mention of the linebacker’s name. Willis just hasn’t been the force that he was last season.

Projections::
Tony Romo: 265 yds passing 2 TDs, 1 Int.
Terrell Owens: 45 yds receiving
Patrick Crayton: 30 yds receiving
Roy Williams: 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
Jason Witten: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Marion Barber: 125 yds rushing, 1 TD / 35 yds receiving

Packers @ Saints (Dhawan)
Aaron Rodgers/Greg Jennings/Donald Driver/James Jones/Jordy Nelson/Donald Lee
Ryan Grant/Brandon Jackson (vs. NO)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +29.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +19.6%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -5.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +20.3%

Passing Game Thoughts: Aaron Rodgers is still battling the Brett Favre comparisons. Last week’s stunning blowout over the Bears was a big step in his favor. Last season, with Favre at the helm, the Packers racked up a 13-3 record, but lost both games to these Bears; Rodgers directing the dismantling of a fierce division rival is a big confidence boost for him and GB management. After 2 sub par games, he found the range with an efficient outing, and got WR Greg Jennings back into the swing of things with a TD. He needs the porous Saints secondary to get him back to his September form, when he was a top3 player in all of fantasy football. Look for him to strike deep often, especially to WR Donald Driver who will want to play big despite disconcerting off the field issues [father].

Running Game Thoughts: Ryan Grant returned to full health this week with a great breakout game versus a tough Bears rush defense [yes, the on that shutdown the Titans]. HC Mike McCarthy was stern to his players who had not been practicing yet playing in games and somewhat underachieving [OT Chad Clifton among them]. Grant showed the inside toughness and break-to-the-outside moves he displayed last December en route to aiding fantasy teams to their playoffs. Although this Saints rush defense is most noted for shutting down Adrian Peterson this year, expect the committed offense to post nice stats.

Projections:
Aaron Rodgers: 280 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Greg Jennings: 85 rec/1TD
Donald Driver: 100 rec/1 TD
James Jones: 25 rec
Jordy Nelson: 25 rec
Donald Lee: 30 rec
Ryan Grant: 110 rush/ 2TD
Brandon Jackson: 35rush

Drew Brees/Devery Henderson/David Patten/Robert Meachem/ Lance Moore/Billy Miller
Reggie Bush/Pierre Thomas/Deuce McAllister (vs. GB)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -37.1%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -55.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -37.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +40.5%

Passing Game Thoughts: Drew Brees has stumbled upon a revelation: when he posts his usual high stats, they lose; then he posts pedestrian stats, they win. Fantasy owners are hoping this does not cloud his judgment and make him a better reality QB than fantasy rock in the lineup. Most of this year he has been among the top fantasy MVPs [3200 yards in 10 games], regularly posting his 300-plus yard games with no concern over personnel in his lineup. WR Marques Colston is back, and has been up and down [one 140 yard game, another a 30 yard game]. WR Lance Moore is once again the flavor of the week, posting a nice 100 yard, 1TD effort last week. This Green Bay secondary is a big playmaking unit, with INT return TDs as common as pollen in spring. CB Charles Woodson has resurrected his career the past two seasons since coming over from Oakland, and fellow CB Al Harris continues to be a force with his physical bump-and-run style [he blanked WR Bernard Berrian of the Vikings two weeks ago]. If fantasy bust TE Jeremy Shockey can get his head straight, this would be a great opportunity for him to work the seams. HB Reggie Bush will test his recovering knee and see if he can play; the Saints will want to exploit his match up on backup LBs as did the Vikings [HB Chester Taylor 47 yard catch and run TD], with stud LB Nick Barnett out for the season [knee].

Running Game Thoughts: Deuce McAllister posted a great game for himself last week, showing some old form and probably just now fully recovering from his 3rd operation from knee injury over the past 2 seasons. HB Reggie Bush was held out of practice early this week, and will surely be a game time decision in a pivotal game for the Saints’ playoff hopes. The Packers were stout last week in holding the Bears to just 80 total yards rushing. Expect less ground yardage but with some scores in this impending shootout.

Projections:
Drew Brees: 340 pass/2 TD/2 INT
Marques Colston: 60 rec
Devery Henderson: 60 rec
David Patten: out
Robert Meachem: 30 rec
Lance Moore: 80 rec/ 1TD
Billy Miller: 40 rec
Jeremy Shockey: 30 rec/ 1TD
Reggie Bush: [knee]
Deuce McAllister: 40 rush/1 TD
Pierre Thomas: 30 rush/ 30 rec/ 1TD

Panthers @ Falcons (Dhawan)
Jake Delhomme/Steve Smith/Muhsin Muhammad/Dwayne Jarrett/ Jeff King
DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart (vs. ATL)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +17.5%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +18.7%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +35.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: +14.0%

Passing Game Thoughts: Who would have predicted the Panthers would rebound this year to post a great 8-2 record by the end of November? HC John Fox was probably the one driving that horse and wagon; now, the wagon is chalk full of patrons, with more and more jumping on as the weeks go by and their formula strengthens. QB Jake Delhomme has not needed to air out the ball and wear out his surgically repaired elbow, which has been bad news for owners of WR Steve Smith, who since the by week has just 7 catches for 72 yards. This key game against the rival Falcons will determine the division and playoff picture in the NFC. The Falcons secondary has been tough this year, led by safeties Lawyer Milloy and Erik Coleman. Smith will want to breakout, but the running formula of the Panthers and Falcons cover guys will keep him in check.

Running Game Thoughts: The Panthers love their running game, and fine tuning it with the weak Lions before this big match up with the Falcons was helpful. Both HB DeAngeloWilliams [he of the constant 50 yard breakaway TD runs] and Jonathan Stewart got their gravy last week and pose a sturdy threat to the Falcons rush defense, which yielded 125 yards, 5.0 YPC, and 2 TDs to the patchwork Bronco runners last week. Expect a tough effort by Atlanta, yet steady stats for this Panther tandem.

Projections:
Jake Delhomme: 190 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Steve Smith: 70 rec
Muhsin Muhammad: 55 rec/ 1TD
Dwayne Jarrett: 25 rec
Jeff King: 35 rec
DeAngelo Williams: 90 rush/1 TD
Jonathan Stewart: 60 rush/ 1TD

Matt Ryan/Roddy White/Michael Jenkins/ Brian Finneran/Laurent Robinson
Michael Turner/ Jerious Norwood (vs. CAR)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -0.3%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +1.8%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -9.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -20.3%

Passing Game Thoughts: You just have to love the new nickname for young franchise QB Matt Ryan---“Matty Ice”. The young buck almost pulled of another home comeback last week versus the Broncos. He showed poise and tenacity while the Falcons were behind at home for the time since the 11 seconds in the Bears game [which Ryan calmly ended with a sick corner route to WR Michael Jenkins to set up K Jason Elam’s game-ender with 1 second remaining]. Carolina’s pass rush front has sparked this year, with super DE Julius Peppers back to his sacking ways. Ryan has not folded under pressure, and still protects the football very well. Look for him to take his shots deep and keep the game close for a heroic effort in the end to win it.

Running Game Thoughts: Michael Turner did what he supposed to do last week versus the bad Broncos rush defense---score TDs. Fantasy owners probably wanted more than the 80 yards and 2 TDs, as his home games this season have featured two 28-plus point performances. Turner is still among the leaders in rushing yards and TDs and will be a key weapon in keeping the Panthers pass rush of off QB “Matty Ice”. If Turner can grind out the yards, the offense will have a great chance to score a win. Look for committed carries for Turner, with solid yardage and a score

Projections:
Matt Ryan: 230 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Roddy White: 90 rec/1TD
Michael Jenkins: 40 rec
Brian Finneran: 40 rec
Laurent Robinson: 20 rec
Michael Turner: 85 rush/1TD
Jerious Norwood: 45 rush/ 25 rec

Vikings @ Jaguars (Dhawan)
Gus Frerotte/Bernard Berrian/Sidney Rice/Bobby Wade/Aundrae Allison/Visanthe Shiancoe
Adrian Peterson/Chester Taylor (vs. JAX)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +6.1%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: +22.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: -13.3%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -13.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: QB Gus Frerotte used to be “not pretty”, but still winning games. Now he has become just “not pretty”. The past 3 weeks have had mixed results for Frerotte, as he has posted declining yardage totals of 200 to 150 to just 138 last week. He does, however, have 6 TDs with 4 INTs those 3 games, but the Jaguars pass defense has allowed a 94 QB rating to opponents this season. Owners starting him will need to remember his prone to mistakes, and CB Rashean Mathis has 2 INT-TDs already this season. Look for the Vikings to setup the play action bomb off of the run, as the Titans were successful with long gains last week.

Running Game Thoughts: HB Adrian Peterson showed he cannot carry the team on his back every week. The rugged Bucs stifled the star runner less one 28 yard burst. Peterson needs the balance of the passing game, especially against tough opponents with playoff quality defenses [as Tampa Bay has]. This week is a welcome rush defense on his plate and he should explode for nice gains and TDs. The Jaguars rush defense has not been the same this year since losing DT Marcus Stroud [Buffalo] alongside DT John Henderson.

Projections:
Gus Frerotte: 195 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Bernard Berrian: 55 rec
Sidney Rice: 40 rec/1TD
Bobby Wade: 40 rec
Aundrae Allison: 20 rec
Visanthe Shiancoe: 30 rec
Adrian Peterson: 125 rush/2 TD
Chester Taylor: 40 rush

David Garrard/Jerry Porter/Dennis Northcutt/Reggie Williams/Matt Jones/Marcedes Lewis
Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. MIN)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: -0.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -13.7%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +74.2%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -21.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: QB David Garrard was regarded a safe fantasy QB who does not mistakes and will garner steady points on a weekly basis. This season he has been quite the contrary. He has just 8 TDs this year, with 6 INTs [double his 2007 total]. Lack of receiver stability has hurt him as well, with his stats fluctuating versus good and bad defenses [recent games against Cleveland and Cincinnati]. Last week, WR Matt Jones was out of the lineup, and Garrard suffered, despite finding WR Jerry Porter the prior week for his first TD. The Vikings pass rush front is ferocious, and should feast on this hampered offensive line to create mistakes and dreadful day for Garrard.

Running Game Thoughts: Maurice Jones-Drew has racked up huge TD stats the past month, and is now making owners anoint him a possible top5 2009 fantasy draft selection. He has posted a huge 11 TDs thus far, but has only 3 games above 70 yards rushing [thoughts of the old Brandon Jacobs or first year Marion Barber come to mind]. Expect a tough outing against the rush defense of the Vikings, which still has not heard on possible suspensions for DTs Kevin and Pat Williams.

Projections:
David Garrard: 190 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Jerry Porter: 45 rec
Marcedes Lewis: 45 rec/ 1TD
Dennis Northcutt: 50 rec
Reggie Williams: 40 rec
Matt Jones:
Fred Taylor: 50 rush
Maurice Jones-Drew: 50 rush/1TD

Jets @ Titans (Dhawan)
Brett Favre/Jerricho Cotchery/Laveranues Coles/David Clowney/Chansi Stuckey/ Dustin Keller
Thomas Jones/Leon Washington (vs. Titans)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +5.1%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -34.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +31.9%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -18.5%

Passing Game Thoughts: Brett Favre has shown he can win a big game for the Jets. It was not ideal, but on two late game drives, he was methodical, cool, and savvy as only he can be in directing a go-ahead TD and game-winning FG. His completions percentage this season has been an awesome 69.8%, but he is getting only 10 yards per completion [below his career mark of 11.4 yards per completion]. Still, fantasy owners love the steady-Favre, who has found rookie TE Dustin Keller to be a hugely dependable target and coincidentally has helped the QB to 0 INTs his past 2 games [both with big stats for Keller]. Expect this game to be won on Favre’s arm, as the Titans rush defense will stifle the Jets ground game, even with their newfound success. Favre can make the consistent throws to beat the Titans corners, and he will test them deep with Coles and Clowney.

Rushing Game Thoughts: The Jets are finally enjoying the fruits of the labor. Free agent acquisitions G Alan Faneca and T Damien Woody were instrumental in the victory over New England, both helping to power tough yards on the ground especially in the red zone. This Titans rush defense does not give up anything on the ground, and it will be difficult for Faneca and company to move DT Albert Haynesworth and his wrecking crew. DE Kyle Vanden Bosch is back healthy, and fellow DE Jevon Kearse has changed his MO to include backside rush defense, Jones should have tempered fantasy expectations this week.

Projections:
Brett Favre: 275 pass/ 3TD/ 1INT
Jerricho Cotchery: 75 rec/ 1TD
Laveranues Coles: 65 rec/ 1TD
David Clowney: 45 rec
Chansi Stuckey: 35 rec/1 TD
Dustin Keller: 55 rec
Thomas Jones: 65 rush
Leon Washington: 45 rush/40 rec/ 120 return

Kerry Collins/Justin Gage/Justin McCareins/Brandon Jones/LaVelle Hawkins/ Bo Scaife
LenDale White/Chris Johnson (vs. NYJ)

OPP FF Points Allowed vs. QBs: +15.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. WRs: -2.0%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. TEs: +74.4%
OPP FF Points Allowed vs. RBs: -43.4%

Passing Game Thoughts: Kerry Collins now jumps into the fulltime season MVP discussions. The grizzled veteran who last tossed TD bombs in Oakland circa 2005 showed the fans he is for real and can indeed win games on his arm in a variety of ways. Against the Bears, he sliced and diced the secondary with multiple completions; last week, the Jaguars found out Collins still has the deep ball, as WR Justin Gage took 2 TDs to the house off of a 4 catch, 147 yard effort. Most liked by analysts was the killer instinct displayed by HC Jeff Fisher and Collins to bomb for a TD late in the game when their usual strategy to ice a lead is to pound the football. He will need to beat the soft jet corners this week, fresh off a 400 yard shredding at the hands of once backup Matt Cassel. Answering all the critics is not Collins’ game---he just wants to continue to play good football and help his team win. He is starting to be a productive fantasy QB2 as well.

Running Game Thoughts: HBs Chris Johnson and LenDale White have not wowed the fans or their fantasy owners lately. Johnson is scoreless his past 2 games, while White has continued his usual 6-7 point output [14 yards, 1TD versus the Bears; 52 yards last week versus the Jaguars]. The Jets rush defense is ranked 4th overall, but they have not been tested with the kind of commitment to the run that the Titans bring to the table. DT Kris Jenkins is playing back at his 2003 form, when he challenged then top DT Warren Sapp as the best positional player and fueled a ferocious defensive line in Carolina that propelled that team to the Super Bowl. Expect tough running for the Titans runners, with a breakaway run late for Johnson versus a tiring Jets defensive front.

Projections:
Kerry Collins: 230 pass/1 TD/1 INT/
Justin Gage: 50 rec
Justin McCareins: 35 rec
Brandon Jones: 55 rec
LaVelle Hawkins: 40 rec
Bo Scaife: 45rec/1TD
LenDale White: 45 rush/1 TD
Chris Johnson: 75 rush/35 rec/1 TD