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Eli Mack, Sal Marcoccio, Chris Eakin, Rinku Dhawan


Inside The Matchup: Wk 1
9/5/08

WAS @ NYG | NYJ @ MIA | SEA @ BUF | KC @ NE | STL @ PHI | ARI @ SF | CAR @ SD | CHI @ IND
DET @ ATL | DEN @ OAK | TB @ NO | CIN @ BAL | HOU @ PIT | DAL @ CLE | MIN @ GB
| JAX @ TEN

Redskins @ Giants
Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Antwaan Randle El/Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis (vs. NY)


Passing Game Thoughts: Jason Campbell began to look like an NFL quarterback, throwing for 563 yards and five TDs in a two week stretch before succumbing to injury. Unfortunately he’ll be learning his third new offensive system in his short NFL career, this time it is Jim Zorn’s variation of the west coast offense. The Redskins brought in rookie pass catchers Devin Thomas, Malcolm Kelly, and Fred Davis, but injuries have derailed the two wide receivers from seeing the field much in the pre-season and Davis remains behind Chris Cooley on the depth chart. Santana Moss’ speed and quickness should make him a dangerous part of the new offensive scheme.

The Giants ranked 11th in passing yards allowed last season and had a league-leading 53 sacks. However, the Giants pass rush, which was largely responsible for their Super Bowl run, was devastated with the retirement of Michael Strahan and the injury to Osi Umenyiora. Jason Tuck and Mathias Kiwanuka should still be a pretty formidable duo, but the loss of depth is obvious. Aaron Ross had a fine rookie season teamed up with veteran Sam Madison at the corners and new safety Kenny Phillips from the University of Miami has looked very good this off-season.

Running Game Thoughts: Clinton Portis led the NFL in carries last season and should once again be the workhorse of the Redskins’ offense. Given the new scheme it is possible that Portis’ carries go down, but that loss should be made up with an increase in targets in the passing game. Portis is one of the “safest” running backs in fantasy football since he is a true feature back and the Redskins have one of the top run-blocking offensive lines in the NFL. The team has a fine backup to Portis in Ladell Betts.

New York finished 2007 as the 8th ranked rushing defense and only allowed opposing runners to score 12 TDs on the season. Antonio Pierce is there to take down any runners who get by the fine young run stoppers on the interior of the Giants o-line, Fred Robbins and Barry Coefield. This should be a tough unit for opposing running backs once again in 2008.

Projections:
Jason Campbell: 240 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT / 30 yards rushing
Santana Moss: 115 yds receiving, 1 TD
Antwaan Randle El: 45 yds receiving
Chris Cooley: 50 yds receiving
Clinton Portis: 80 yds rushing, 1 TD / 25 yds receiving

Eli Manning/Plaxico Burris/Amani Toomer/Kevin Boss
Brandon Jacobs/Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. WAS)


Passing Game Thoughts: Will Eli Manning be the inconsistent, inaccurate passer that defined him throughout most of his young career or did the light really go on for him during his miraculous Super Bowl run? The answer to that question will go a long way in determining how effective the Giants passing game will be in 2008. Even with Jeremy Shockey shipped out there may not be a deeper bunch of pass catchers than Plaxico Burress, Amani Toomer, Steve Smith, Kevin Boss, Sinorice Moss and Mario Manningham in the NFL (at least according to college scouts from Michigan). My guess is that we will see a much more confident and hence consistent Eli Manning going forward. Look for Burress to be on the other end of a good majority of Manning’s passes and look for Steve Smith, and not Kevin Boss, to take a lot of Shockey’s targets in 2008.

As most know, Washington tragically lost safety Sean Taylor to a violent crime last season and it will be a while before he can be adequately replaced. The pass defense was very average (16th in passing yards allowed) last year despite having talents like Carlos Rodgers, Fred Smoot, Shawn Springs and LaRon Landry in the secondary. The acquisition of pass rusher Jason Taylor (who is expected to miss Week 1) should help in 2008.

Running Game Thoughts: The Giants offensive line and system is tremendously underrated as proven by the seamless transition they made after Tiki Barber left for greener pastures. Bruising Brandon Jacobs was injured in Week 1 and veteran Derrick Ward stepped in and played like a pro-bowler. After Ward broke his leg, seventh round draft choice Ahmad Bradshaw came on strong in the playoff run. In fact Bradshaw was the more effective runner and garnered many of the important second half carries. Jacobs and Bradshaw should both see time in 2008 with Ward waiting to step in if either go down again.

Washington was very quietly an extremely tough run defense in 2007, finishing 4th in yards allowed. An unheralded line-backing corp. featuring veteran London Fletcher, Marcus Washington and Rocky McIntosh make it very difficult for opposing runners to find much room. However, the unit struggled during the pre-season so 2008 may be very different from 2007 unless they step it up under the brighter lights of the regular season.

Projections:
Eli Manning: 285 yds passing, 3 TDs, 1 INT
Plaxico Burris: 120 yds receiving, 2 TDs
Amani Toomer: 30 yds receiving
Kevin Boss: 45 yds receiving, 1 TD
Brandon Jacobs: 65 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving
Derrick Ward: 30 yds rushing/10 yds receiving
Ahmad Bradshaw: 55 yds rushing / 30 yds receiving

Jets @ Dolphins
Brett Favre/Laveranues Coles/Jericho Cotchery/Dustin Keller
Thomas Jones/Leon Washington (vs. MIA)


Passing Game Thoughts: Brett Favre who was last seen in Miami getting dumped by Mary much to the dismay of her brother Warren, returns to make his much anticipated Jets debut at Dolphins Stadium. Favre has looked relatively sharp in the preseason and while he may not have a total grasp of the entire Jets playbook, his many years in the league should allow him to take what the Miami defense gives him. Favre should allow Coles and Cotchery to finally reach their full potential now that they have a QB that will allow them to stretch the field on occasion. Both WRs are strong on the ball, fearless, and have surprising run after the catch ability. Dustin Keller, a rookie TE, has been very impressive this preseason but rookie TEs often struggle, so don’t expect miracles. I wouldn’t be surprised if the oft-forgotten Chris Baker becomes one of Favre’s favorite red zone targets in the Bubba Franks mold (who is now also a Jet, but no longer a legit weapon).

The Dolphins finished 2007 as the fourth-best pass defense based on passing yards allowed, however that stat could be viewed as deceiving when one sees that the team finished dead last in rushing yards allowed. Teams simply didn’t need to pass on Miami, since they could run at will against them. The stat is further enhanced because teams didn’t have to worry about the Miami offense putting up big points. They have some relatively young, but decent players in the secondary in Will Allen and Jason Allen, but after shipping off their best defensive lineman in veteran Jason Taylor, the Phins should not be able to garner much of a pass rush against the improved Jets o-line which in turn will expose the Miami secondary.

Running Game Thoughts: The Jets signed Pro Bowl G Alan Faneca and RT Damien Woody in order to shore up last season’s suspect offensive line. They also added veteran pile driver Tony Richardson at fullback. It only stands to reason that the Jets should be more successful running the ball in 2008. Thomas Jones a hard nosed, if not uber talented, back should benefit from the upgrades. He should get off to a great start against Miami, a team he rushed for 185 yards against last season. His only rushing TD also came against them. Leon Washington took a step up in 2008 and could be a serious weapon if his role expands further. Owners in a pinch could do worse by starting him this week.

As mentioned earlier, the Miami defense was ranked dead last against the run in 2007 and very little was done to improve the unit. Zach Thomas was released and while he was no longer the dominant force he once was, he was probably their best run stopper last season when healthy. Bill Parcells did bring in wide body Jason Ferguson who played under him in Dallas and New York. While he should help clog up some space he has seen his better days. Channing Crowder has talent, but he cannot be expected to do it all alone. Expect a long day for the defense on Sunday.

Projections:
Brett Favre: 240 yds passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT
Laveranues Coles: 65 yds receiving, 1 TD
Jericho Cothery: 75 yds receiving
Dustin Keller: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
Thomas Jones: 110 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving
Leon Washington: 45 yds rushing / 30 yds receiving
Chad Pennington/Derek Hagan/Ted Ginn, Jr./Anthony Fasano
Ricky Williams/Ronnie Brown (vs. NY)

Passing Game Thoughts: As if Brett Favre didn’t add enough intrigue to this match-up, former Jet QB Chad Pennington, who was unceremoniously dumped by the Jets in favor of No. 4, will be leading the Dolphins passing attack. Pennington is not known for his arm strength, instead he relies on his intelligence and incredible accuracy to beat his opponent. He’ll be out to show the Jets they made a mistake, but unfortunately for him he will be throwing to an inexperienced and perhaps unreliable receiving corp. Derek Hagan enters his fourth season and has been turning heads in camp, but he has yet to put together many catches in his NFL career. He also was demoted to second team reps in practice in favor of Greg Camarillo. We’ll see if it’s a statement of what will happen in the game. Ginn showed some flashes last season and Pennington should benefit from his after the catch ability. This could be a productive relationship along the lines of Pennington to Moss back in his early days in New York. Parcell’s brought over his former Dallas tight end Anthony Fasano in a pre-draft trade and the big TE should be able to get open and exploit some match-ups.

Much like Miami, the Jets pass defense was respectable statistically but it was more a reflection of teams being able to run at will against them. CB Darrell Reavis had a very nice rookie season, but whether it was Andre Dyson, Justin Miller, David Barret or Hank Poteat, the opposite corner was often exposed. This season rookie Dwight Lowery is expected to start over Miller and Barret. The secondary is rounded out by safety Kerry Rhodes who has developed into a dangerous playmaker. Newcomers Calvin Pace and Vernon Gholston are expected to help create pressure on opposing QBs something the Jets often struggled to achieve last season.

Running Game Thoughts: In a move which surprised some, 31-year-old, Ricky Williams was named as the starter at the running back position for Miami. The Rasta was the star of OTAs and training camp and could be in for a nice year. Last season’s starter Ronnie Brown will be eased in slowly after having surgery to repair a torn ACL suffered during last season. Expect Brown to come along in the season’s second half giving the Dolphins a real nice one-two punch in the backfield, but he may be a non-factor early so plan accordingly. The Miami o-line was much maligned last preseason but did a nice job of creating holes for Ronnie Brown and then Jesse Chatman after Brown went down. Having a former o-line coach – head coach Tony Sparano - running the show should only help further their development

The Jets had tremendous problems stopping opposing runners last season, finishing 29th in the league in rushing yards allowed. The team has added 360 lb. Kris Jenkins and converted him to nose tackle with good results so far this preseason. David Harris emerged as a tackling machine at inside LB during his rookie year, but received little help. The defense may be improved on paper, but until the unit proves otherwise, fantasy owners should look to start their RBs when facing the Jets defense.

Projections:
Chad Pennington: 185 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 INT
Derek Hagan: 50 yds receiving
Ted Ginn, Jr.: 70 yds receiving, 1 TD
Anthony Fasano: 45 yds receiving
Ricky Williams: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 15 yds receiving
Ronnie Brown: 35 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving

Seattle @ Buffalo
Matt Hasselbeck/Nate Burleson/Courtney Taylor/John Carlson
Julius Jones/Maurice Morris (vs. BUF)


Passing Game Thoughts: In the past, the Seattle passing game has been quite effective under Mike Holgrem’s playbook and Matt Hasselbeck’s quick decision making but it is somewhat clouded heading into 2008 due to a plethora of injuries. Last year’s leading pass catcher Bobby Engram is expected to miss the opener and likely more, Deion Branch will start the year rehabbing his knee, youngster Ben Obomanu is out for the year, and even Hasselbeck has been limited by a back injury throughout training camp. Nate Burleson managed to grab 9 touchdown passes in 2007, but hasn’t been very consistent in his young career. He will be asked to be Seattle’s # 1 WR at least in the early going. Courtney Taylor will line-up opposite Burleson and while he has talent, he lacks experience. Rookie TE John Carlson will replace the departed Marcus Pollard, but expecting much from a rookie tight end is generally not advisable.

Buffalo’s defense is young and talented, and should improve as they gain experience. The passing defense was ranked 29th in yardage allowed, but added rookie CB Leodis McKelvin to team up with youngsters Terrence McGee and Donte Whitner in the secondary. Aaron Schoebel terrorized o-linemen last season and the Bills will certainly need him to do the same in 2008 if they hope to improve their pass defense.

Running Game Thoughts: The Seahawks spent a lot of money bringing in free agent running backs Julius Jones and TJ Duckett, but incumbent Maurice Morris will get the starting gig. Morris is shifty and has nice hands out of the backfield, but he runs with little power and is a suspect pass blocker. Jones and Duckett have been career underachievers to date, but they should see some time on game days. Perhaps the change of scenery will do them good. Rookie Justin Forsett tore it up in preseason, but weighing less than 185 pounds stacks the deck against him being a major contributor in the running game.

The Bills were bad against the run statistically last season (giving up 124 yards a game), but brought in wide body Marcus Stroud from Jacksonville to help stop the run and the team will get Paul Posluszy back at linebacker. The Bills are a dark horse defense this year and should be much improved statistically when all is said and done.

Projections:
Matt Hasselbeck: 205 yds passing, 1 TD, 2 INT
Nate Burleson: 85 yds receiving, 1 TD
Courtney Taylor: 45 yds receiving
John Carlson: 25 yds receiving
Julius Jones: 45 yds rushing, 1 TD
Maurice Morris: 65 yds rushing / 30 yds receiving
Trent Edwards/Lee Evans/James Hardy/Robert Royal
Marshawn Lynch (vs. SEA)

Passing Game Thoughts: Trent Edwards looked very poised in 2007, however Buffalo was forced to run a conservative offense when the rookie quarterback was under center. Edwards’ expected development should open up the playbook a little, but Buffalo is still expected to be a team built on establishing the run and playing good defense. Lee Evans is a weapon when allowed to go deep, but he disappears at times and may have trouble in his match up with Marcus Trufant. Rookie wide out James Hardy is a big target and should help in the red-zone but he needs to use his size effectively to give Edwards the second target Buffalo has lacked for years. Robert Royal is a dependable tight end, but is not targeted often and has little value in fantasy circles. Of some concern should be standout LT Jason Peters’ holdout. Without Peters’ the mediocre Bills offensive line falls to below average.

Seattle’s pass defense was a middle of the road unit last season from a yardage standpoint but gave up the fewest passing touchdowns in the league (15). The opportunistic and talented secondary grabbed 20 interceptions (4th in the NFL) and the attacking front seven managed the fourth most sacks in the NFL (45). The Buffalo passing game could be in some trouble in this match up if they can’t pass protect.

Running Game Thoughts: Marshawn Lynch’s rookie year was overshadowed by Adrian Peterson’s eye-popping big games, but Lynch managed to turn in a pretty nice rookie campaign himself. Lynch is a hard, inside runner with the speed to get outside. He should be the player teams worry about when facing the Bills. Backup Fred Jackson performed well in Lynch’s absence, but he shouldn’t see much time on the field when Lynch is healthy. Peterson’s absence should have more of an impact on pass blocking than run blocking but it still cannot help to lose a player of his caliber.

The Seahawks were pretty effective against the run last season (12th in yards allowed), but did allow 16 rushing scores. They have one of the best young line backing corps. in the league with Lofa Tatupu, Julian Peterson and Leroy Hill and should continue to be a tough match up for most running backs, but not necessarily one where you need to bench a runner facing them.

Projections:
Trent Edwards: 165 yds passing, 2 INT
Lee Evans: 70 yds receiving
James Hardy: 35 yds receiving
Robert Royal: 15 yds receiving
Marshawn Lynch: 125 yds rushing, 1 TD / 20 yds receiving

Kansas City @ New England
Brodie Croyle/Dwayne Bowe/Devard Darling/Tony Gonzalez
Larry Johnson (vs. NE)


Passing Game Thoughts: Brodie Croyle wasn’t impressive in his first season as a starting quarterback, tossing only 6 TDs in 9 games (6 starts), but most young quarterbacks struggle early. Fans and fantasy footballers will need to see how he progresses in 2008 in order to determine if he’ll have a future in the NFL. However, his thin frame and limited mobility may not bode well for him behind what is still a substandard offensive line. Rookie wide receiver Dwayne Bowe emerged as a real bright spot in an otherwise dismal 2007 for the Chiefs’ offense. He showed excellent hands and tremendous after the catch ability. Tony Gonzalez was his usual dependable self and at 32 should be able to put up another pro-bowl level campaign. Former Raven Devard Darling has nice deep speed and will help stretch the field for the underneath game.

New England’s defense has looked old and slow so far this preseason, but it could be a case where Bellicheck has yet to unleash his genius. We’ll find out if the players are merely going through the motions or they are truly old and slow. The Pats ranked 6th in passing yards allowed last off-season, but did give up 23 TDs in the air. They were vulnerable before losing their best cornerback in Assante Samuel. Ellis Hobbs and Brandon Meriweather are expected to start and have been underachievers thus far. Rodney Harrison is another year older and not the same feared player he once was. With all that said, I wouldn’t bet against a Bellicheck defense.

Running Game Thoughts: Larry Johnson struggled early, came on a little, and then suffered a freakish ankle injury. He has made a full recovery, but has he fully recovered from his record-breaking number of carries in 2006? Time will tell, but I’d expect somewhere in between his monster 2006 stats and his mediocre 2007 totals. Rookie G/T Brandon Albert may help the line, but at best the unit should still be below average.

The Patriots were 10th in rushing yards allowed and only allowed 7 TDs to opposing running backs last season. Of course Mike Vrabel and Teddy Bruschi are another year older and presumably slower. The line backing unit does boast Adalius Thomas and rookie Jerod Mayo and with Vince Wilfork still eating up the middle of the defensive line, they are not exactly devoid of talent. Rushing yards and TDs could still be tough to come by.

Projections:
Brodie Croyle: 195 yds passing, 1 TD/1 INT
Dwayne Bowe: 65 yds receiving, 1 TD
Devard Darling: 40 yds receiving
Tony Gonzalez: 45 yds receiving
Larry Johnson: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 30 yds receiving

Tom Brady/Randy Moss/Wes Welker/Jabar Gaffney/Benjamin Watson
Laurence Maroney/Lamont Jordan (vs. KC)


Passing Game Thoughts: There isn’t much I can say about the New England passing game in 2007 that anyone interested enough in fantasy football to be reading this doesn’t already know. Heading into 2008 most would expect Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Wes Welker, et. al. to come back down to earth a little. Still, the passing game should be scary good despite some o-line injuries and Wes Welker’s secret foot ailment which caused him to spend some time on the PUP list during training camp. Bear in mind that Welker is also battling a rib injury he suffered in the preseason and Tom Brady had very little practice time due to a foot injury. Taking all of that into consideration, put all Pats in your starting line-up…immediately.

Kansas City’s pass defense was very respectable, allowing only 17 touchdowns through the air and finishing 5th in passing yardage allowed. However two key components are missing: the pass rushing sills of Jared Allen and the veteran leadership of Ty Law. Tamba Hali should still get to the passer, but without Allen on the other side it will not be as easy. The aging Patrick Surtain and inexperienced Brandon Flowers are not an imposing duo at cornerback, so the unit may decline from last season.

Running Game Thoughts: The Patriots often abandoned the running game due to the fact that their passing game was usually clicking on all cylinders. Laurence Maroney is a very talented runner – especially once he started listening to the coaching staff and hitting his holes instead of dancing. Last year he was often invisible due to not being used in the passing game much. Lamont Jordan led the team in pre-season rushing yards and could take over the role Sammy Morris occupied last season. Veteran Kevin Faulk sees the field often on passing downs but is out week one on suspension. No one could really claim to know how much the Pats will choose to run or how the carries will break down, but my thoughts are that they will try and be a little more balanced with their run pass selection than they were in 2007.

Part of the reason the Chiefs didn’t give up many yards through the air was because teams were getting chunks of yardage on the ground. Rookie DT Glen Dorsey and veteran LB Donnie Edwards should help change that a little, but one would be foolish to think the Chiefs are going to be stout against the run over-night.

Projections:
Tom Brady: 325 yds passing/ 3 TDs
Randy Moss: 110 yds receiving, 2TDs
Wes Welker: 85 yds receiving
Jabar Gafney: 45 yards receiving, 1 TD
Benjamin Watson: 35 yds receiving
Laurence Maroney: 85 yds rushing / 5 yds receiving
Lamont Jordan: 45 yards rushing, 1 TD / 15 yards receiving

Rams @ Eagles
Marc Bulger/Tory Holt/Drew Bennett/Randy McMichael
Stephen Jackson (vs. PHI)


Passing Game Thoughts: The Rams o-line suffered so many injuries last season, rumor had it that at one point the coaching staff considered throwing a jersey on one of the team’s blocking sleds and sending it on the field. Predictably quarterback Marc Bulger didn’t make it through the season after being pounded game after game, but returns in 2008 hoping to show to the form that made him a consistent second tier fantasy quarterback. Al Saunders, the Rams new offensive coordinator, has a long history of success at the NFL level. Trent Green who led some of those offenses while with the Chiefs re-joins the Rams as Bulger’s backup. Perennial Pro-Bowler Tory Holt, the once overrated and now under-rated Drew Bennett, and Randy McMichael make for a respectable corps of pass catchers.

The Eagles weren’t too tough against the pass lat season – finishing 18th in passing yards allowed – but added big play corner back Assante Samuel through free agency. Samuel will join Sheldon Brown in the starting secondary which will allow Lito Sheppard to move into a nickel back role with the team. If Trent Cole can deliver a consistent pass rush, the unit should be much improved in 2008.

Running Game Thoughts: Due to the aforementioned o-line issues and an injury of his own, Steven Jackson was a disappointment in 2007. His camp holdout this off-season may raise a red flag or two for the upcoming season, but right now he seems healthy and happy – especially since the team has promised to work out a new deal for him – and could be poised to return to his place as one of the top running backs in the game. The Saunders system has produced its share of top running backs including Priest Holmes and Clinton Portis. The line has been relatively healthy so far. If things break right Jackson could be in for a very big season.

The Eagles were effective against the run last season but could regress from their top ten finish in 2007 if the very young linebacker corp. lead by middle linebacker Stewart Bradley and weak-side linebacker Omar Gaither doesn’t step up after Takeo Spikes was let go. Hard hitting safety Brian Dawkins will be there in support, but the Eagles will be in trouble if he is the one making most of the tackles.

Projections:
Marc Bulger: 285 yds passing, 2 TDs/2 INTs
Tory Holt: 110 yds receiving, 1 TD
Drew Bennett: 45 yds receiving
Randy McMichael: 60 yds receiving
Stephen Jackson: 95 yds rushing / 40 yds receiving, 1 TD

Donovan McNabb/Reggie Brown/Hank Baskett/DeSean Jackson/LJ Smith
Brian Westbrook (vs. STL)


Passing Game Thoughts: McNabb struggled early last season, but as a quarterback that relies on his mobility and coming off an ACL tear it was to be expected. This is likely a make or break year for McNabb in Philly with Kevin Kolb waiting in the wings and I’d expect the veteran to step up to the challenge. Reggie Brown has sat out most of the pre-season with a hamstring injury, but is expected back for the game. Kevin Curtis will miss the early season with a sports hernia. Hank Basket is expected to start in his place, but rookie DeSean Jackson, who should line up in the slot, had a nice exhibition season and could be the main beneficiary of the injuries to the starting wide-outs.

The Rams defense was very bad last season, finishing 21st against the pass. Their secondary is young and still suspect, but perhaps the addition of rookie Chris Long will help change things a little. Long and veteran Leonard Little make a pretty formidable set of bookend pass rushers and if they manage to get some serious pressure the rest of the defense will benefit.

Running Game Thoughts: Brian Westbrook had his best season yet in 2007 and at 29 he still has at least another year to showcase his impressive skills. There isn’t a more dangerous threat out of the backfield in the NFL and his low center of gravity, balance, and surprising power allow him to be more successful than many think running inside. Westbrook even managed to stay on the field in most goal-line situations. Lorenzo Booker – a virtual Westbrook clone in stature and style – was brought in from Miami to help incumbent Correll Buckhalter backup Westbrook. Second-year running back Tony Hunt was moved to full back and may get a few short yardage carries and receptions from time to time in the Eagle offense.

The Rams were equally bad against the run as they were against the pass – finishing 20th in the NFL in rushing yardage allowed. Adam Carriker gets to move back inside with the addition of Chris Long at defensive end. Carriker is better suited at that spot and his presence in the middle should help the Rams play better against the run.

Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 215 yds passing, 2 TDs / 25 yards rushing, 1 TD
Reggie Brown: 35 yds receiving
Hank Baskett: 25 yds receiving
DeSean Jackson: 55 yds receiving
LJ Smith: 35 yds receiving, 1 TD
Brian Westbrook: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD / 40 yds receiving, 1 TD

Cardinals @ 49ers
Kurt Warner/Edgerrin James/Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin
Leonard Pope/Steve Breaston (vs. SF)


Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Leinart failed to live up to his draft position and salary this preseason so Coach Ken Whisenhunt has deferred to Kurt Warner as the starting quarterback. Warner is a top 15 fantasy QB and should be a better option for the Cardinals. In fact, Warner put up 484 yards in a week 12 shootout against the 49ers. San Francisco was the 22nd ranked passing defense in 2007, giving up 228 yds/game. I don’t expect Warner to enjoy the same success this year as the 49ers improved their pass rush. The return of a healthy Manny Lawson and the addition of Justin Smith should help create more pressure on Warner They still have solid corner backs in Nate Clements and Walt Harris and the addition of Michael Lewis from Philly upgrades their safety position. The defense should create a couple turnovers but not enough to stop Arizona entirely. Expect the Cardinals to control the time of possession and the talented passing offense to sustain a few solid scoring drives.

Running Game Thoughts: The story line of Edgerrin James returning to his glory days is becoming played out. He won’t ever be that guy he was for the Colts. Rookie Tim Hightower has been an impressively physical running back this preseason and there is speculation he will steal some short yardage opportunities from James. Whisenhunt, a former Steeler’s offensive coordinator, has the label of a run first coach. They will try establishing the running game early. The 49ers ranked 18th vs. the run, giving up 108 yds per game last season despite rookie defensive player of the year, Patrick Willis, clogging up the middle. The weakness of this defense is the defensive line. Justin Smith is an upgrade for the pass rush but they are a far from dominant run-stopping line. Their best hope is the four linebackers creating havoc. They may be successful early but the weak and inexperienced offense will not be able to keep them rested. Expect some explosive pass plays to open up the defense and the Cardinals to grind out some rushing yards against a fatigued front that cannot afford to put 8 in the box in the second half. Yes, the inexperienced early season offense will be the 49er defense’s worst enemy.

Projections:
Kurt Warner: 295 yds passing/2 TD/2 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 95 yds receiving/1 TD
Anquan Boldin: 85 yds receiving/1 TD
Steve Breaston: 55 yds receiving
Leonard Pope: 45 yds receiving
Edgerrin James: 85 yds rushing/25 yds receiving/ 1 rush TD


J.T. O’Sullivan/Isaac Bruce/Arnaz Battle/Josh Morgan/Vernon Davis/Bryant Johnson
Frank Gore/ (vs. ATL)

Passing Game Thoughts: The 49ers bring in Mike Martz to improve their woeful offense from a year ago. Martz favors a spread passing attack that can be explosive with the right personnel. Starting QB J.T. O’Sullivan came with Martz from Detroit so he is more familiar with the offense than Alex Smith. He is a savvy QB with average arm strength and foot speed, but is a first-time starter who will have to grow up fast. Fortunately he hasn’t been sitting on the bench throughout his pro career. He was the World Bowl MVP for the now-defunct NFL Europe.

Arizona was not a very good pass defense last season (26th) and addressed the situation by moving Antrel Rolle from corner to free safety and drafting CB Dominique Rogers-Cromartie. He is not a starter yet but should get action in the nickel, especially since Rolle is questionable with a high ankle sprain. This is likely where Martz will attack the Cardinal defense. He will Move the Athletic TE Vernon Davis around to exploit match-up problems. Arnaz Battle will also mix in that role and look to test the rookie when on the field. Isaac Bruce is a veteran player with experience in the system and will be the one relied on to keep the chains moving. Bryant Johnson and Josh Morgan will also rotate in the WR corps and be relied on for explosive plays.

The critical factor in the 49ers success will be pass protection. The Cardinals have a talented Defensive front with Antonio Smith, Darnell Dockett, Brian Robinson, and rookie Calais Campbell. They should be able to create a lot of pressure on O’Sullivan against a Martz system that is infamous for getting the QB beat up. The best hope for countering the pressure will be quick passing, screens, and dump offs to Frank Gore. Martz does a good job of utilizing his RBs in the passing game. By sheer number of attempts they will get some passing yards, but inexperience will cost them early on in the season. I expect turnovers will do in the 49ers in this opener.

Running Game Thoughts: The rushing totals for Gore and crew will need to maintain production with fewer attempts. They will spread the field out and force opposing defenses in nickel packages, creating greater rushing lanes for Gore explosive ability. It worked in the past for Martz with Marshall Faulk and Kevin Jones so there is optimism that Gore will be able to continue those trends. The Cardinal front seven has talent with Karlos Dansby and Geno Hayes manning the middle in the 3/4 defense. Gabe Watson and Alan Branch are large and physical young players that will rotate at nose tackle to help free up Dansby’s pro bowl level talent to make plays. Arizona was 17th as a fantasy match-up for RBs last season and should improve a few spots this year if they stay healthy.

Projections:
J.T. O’Sullivan: 260 yds passing/1 TD/1 INT/1 Fumble
Isaac Bruce: 60 yds/
Josh Morgan: 45 yds
Vernon Davis: 40 yds/1 TD
Arnaz Battle: 35 yds
Bryant Johnson: 25 yds
Frank Gore: 90 yds rushing/ 45 yds receiving/1 TD

Panthers @ Chargers
Jake DelhommeMuhsin Muhammad/ D.J. Hackett/ Dwayne Jarrett/ Jeff King (vs. SD)
DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart


Passing Game Thoughts: Jake Delhomme started last season throwing 8 Tds and 1 Int in his first three games last year until injuring his elbow. He went through Tommy John surgery in the offseason but there is little to no history of quarterbacks dealing with this type of reconstruction. The surgery is often very successful with baseball pitchers and to this point all news has been good news. Delhomme claims his arm is stronger than before and he has looked 100% in preseason action. There is nothing to be concerned about with him. Where there is concern is Steve “Bone Crusher” Smith’s two-game suspension to open the season. He is the star of the passing game. Given the task of filling his shoes are veteran Muhsin Muhammad coming back from the Chicago Bears WR grave yard, the talented but often injured D.J. Hackett, who holds the current title of “Donte Stallworth of the west”, and second-year newcomer Dwayne Jarrett is trying to end the streak of USC WR busts.

Despite the veteran experience of Delhomme, there is too much new chemistry to achieve success against the outstanding Charger Defense. They have the ball-hawking Antonio Cromartie who led the NFL with 10 interceptions despite not even starting until late in the season. Former Texas All-American Quentin Jammer mans the other corner back position. He is strong and aggressively jams WRs in press coverage. A big reason for the secondary’s play-making ability is the 3-4 pass rush of the Chargers front seven led by Shawne Merriman. While his knee may somewhat limit his ability to play the run and pass coverage, it may not hamper his pass rush as drastically because he can still use his strength and straight line quickness. We will just have to wait and see if that holds true as he did not see preseason action. Even so, expect the tandem of Luis Castillo, Igor Olshansky, and Jamal Williams to do their share in making life difficult for Delhomme.

Running Game Thoughts: The Panthers will focus on running the football. Their offseason focus emphasizes that desire. They bolstered their offensive line with Ryan Kalil and Jeff Otah and drafted Oregon standout Jonathan Stewart for the exclamation point. To say he is an upgrade from Deshaun Foster would be an insult to the word upgrade. Picture Stephen Davis and add more speed, you get the idea. DeAngelo Williams will get the starting nod and looked explosive in preseason action. He is small but shifty and fast. They will face a Chargers Defense that was average vs. the run last year giving up 102 yds/game. Expect the Panthers to be an above average if not elite rushing attack all year and better the 102 yd average of the Bolts D allows despite not having Steve Smith to stretch the field.

Projections:
Jake Delhomme: 235 yds passing/1 TD/1 INT
D.J. Hackett: 65 yds receiving/1 TD
Muhsin Muhammad: 55 yds receiving
Dwayne Jarrett: 35 yds receiving
Jeff King: 35 yds receiving
DeAngelo Williams: 85 yds rushing/25 yds receiving
Jonathan Stewart: 40 yds rushing/ 1 TD

Phillip Rivers/Vincent Jackson/Chris Chambers/Antonio Gates/
LaDainian Tomlinson (vs. CAR)

Passing Game Thoughts: Playing on a torn ACL in the playoffs has cemented Philip Rivers as a locker room leader heading into 2008. He may be slightly hampered by the lingering effects of his surgery, but he has played this preseason effectively. As long as Tomlinson remains dominant, Rivers will never be a top fantasy QB. The system just isn’t wide open enough for him to achieve top level stats. He will remain a solid low-end starter or high-end QB2 until then. The big concern is TE Antonio Gates and his sprained toe. He has done some route running before games and in practice so I’m expecting him to see the field, but he’ll be less than his dominant self. This will open the door for WRs Chris Chambers and talented, but inconsistent Vincent Jackson to step up. Chambers has produced before and Jackson had a good playoff run last year so they have enough talent to get by while Gates gets right.

The Carolina passing defense had the 15th ranked defense for opposing WRs and 19th for QBs. They are led by Ken “left eye” Lucas and the highly-touted Chris Gamble who has been solid, but has not quite lived up to his billing coming out of Ohio State. Their best safety is Chris Harris. A big problem for them last year was the disappearing act of Julius Peppers in the pass rush. Many believe it was the result of a season long-injury that hampered his performance and that he is now back to full strength. If preseason is any indication then I would be happy with what I’ve seen so far if I were Coach Fox. The Carolina “D” will play closer to their 2006 form this year, but it may not start opening week against a the Chargers stellar offensive line.

Running Game Thoughts: All LaDainian Tomlinson has heard since the 2007 playoffs are questions about his heart and toughness for sitting out against the Pats. We are about to see what happens when you give the world’s best football player not named Brady or Manning months of bulletin board material. Week one is not the week I would choose to face him. That said it will be interesting to see if the loss of long-time Pro Bowl road plow Lorenzo Neal will hamper his totals at all. Darren Sproles and Jacob Hester combined will be good enough to replace star back-up Michael Turner when Tomlinson needs as spell. Sproles is the second coming of Lionel “Little Train” James and Hester is a brute to tackle that gives as much as he gets.

Projections:
Phillip Rivers: 245 yds passing/1 TD/1 INT
Chris Chambers: 75 yds/
Vincent Jackson: 65 yds/ 1 TD
Antonio Gates: 55 yds/1 TD
LaDainian Tomlinson: 125 yds rushing/45 yds receiving/ 2 TD’s

Bears @ Colts
Peyton Manning/ Marvin Harrison/ Reggie Wayne/ Anthony Gonzalez/ Dallas Clark/
Joseph Addai/ Dominic Rhodes (vs. CHI)

Passing Game Thoughts: A new season and the goals for Peyton Manning and the Colts remain the same - reach the Super Bowl. They begin their 2008 march against their Super Bowl XLI opponent, the Chicago Bears. Off-season knee surgery (bursa sac) was the talk of the town for Manning and fantasy players everywhere, but practicing and showing little effects is a soothing sight. As the most cerebral quarterback in the game, Manning will have zero issues running the offense. Some say timing will be a factor, but if there is any player for which it will not be an issue, it is Manning in his offense. Marvin Harrison returns from having both knees scoped this summer. He looked good on short catches in the preseason, and we will see if he can maintain his high-speed maneuvers from week-to-week. Reggie Wayne returns from his season of ascent to the elite at the position, and young-stud-in-the-making Anthony Gonzalez looks to carry and improve his fabulous December 2007. Oh, Dallas Clark is still here, too---he of the 11TDs in 2007. The Bears defense has lost swagger and luster since that SB appearance, and a poor offense will keep them on the field and tired. Expect eventual “horseshoe” fireworks.

Running Game Thoughts: Joseph Addai comes into 2008 healthy and armed. He has a year of being a fulltime starter under his belt, and his former reliever Dominic Rhodes is back. The loss of Jeff Saturday may impact pass protection schemes, but not the patented Indy stretch run play. Look for Addai to pick and choose his spots against a run defense that was spotty all of 2007 (this just in: Adrian Peterson is running into the end zone…AGAIN!) Tommie Harris has an undisclosed severity of his leg injury, and the depth along the line has become suspect. An ailing Brian Urlacher won’t be enough to stop the bleeding.

Projections:
Peyton Manning: 300 pass/3 TD/0 INT
Marvin Harrison: 45 rec
Reggie Wayne: 95 rec/ 1 TD
Anthony Gonzalez: 65 rec/1TD
Dallas Clark: 50 rec/ 1TD
Joseph Addai: 80 rush/1 TD/35 rec
Dominic Rhodes: 30 rush

Kyle Orton/ Marty Booker/ Rashied Davis/ Devin Hester/ Brandon Lloyd/ Desmond Clark/Greg Olsen/
Matt Forte/ Kevin Jones (vs. IND)

Passing Game Thoughts: Well, head coach Lovie Smith flipped a coin, and Kyle Orton is the starting quarterback. If only it were that simple. A lot has changed since that Super Bowl XLI appearance. If possible, this offense has gotten worse. Gone are Mushin Muhammad and Bernard Berrian, in are Devin Hester and Brandon Lloyd. Gone are steady Thomas Jones and drunken Cedric Benson, in is Tulane rookie Matt Forte. Orton was a game manager in 2005, leading a dominant defensive squad into the playoffs by not making mistakes. The Colts have mastered Coach Tony Dungy’s Cover Two scheme: they allowed the 3rd least fantasy points to quarterbacks and the least fantasy points to wide receivers in 2007. Dink-and-dunk works with doughnuts, not against this secondary. Expect minimalistic numbers.

Running Game Thoughts: Rush defense, on the other hand, was NOT the Colts’ cup of tea in 2007, where they allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs. The Bears attempted to retool the offensive line in the draft, but rookie Chris Williams is out with a herniated disc. The recent trade for Dan Buenning from Tampa Bay adds depth behind shaky Terrance Metcalf and Josh Beekman. This unit was near last in rushing last year, but rookie Matt Forte will have one of his best shots to get it going versus a susceptible rush defense. Kevin Jones, recovering from ACL surgery, was added as a veteran backup.

Projections:
Kyle Orton: 170 pass/0 TD/2 INT
Devin Hester: 50rec
Brandon Lloyd: 40 rec
Marty Booker: 30 rec
Rashied Davis: 15rec
Desmond Clark: 20 rec
Greg Olsen: 35 rec
Matt Forte: 65 rush/25 rec

Lions @ Falcons
Matt Ryan/Roddy White/Michael Jenkins/ Laurent Robinson/
Michael Turner/ Jerious Norwood (vs. DET)

Passing Game Thoughts: the Falcons start with a new everything this season---coach, quarterback, and running back. Matt Ryan has been dubbed as the replacement for the team’s image at the glory position and he looked comfortable in the preseason. Coaches kept his routes between the numbers, in an effort not to expose his average arm strength. They also deployed multiple-receiver sets in order to isolate defensive coverage as man or zone. His poise and polish are improving, and he should be a good play versus a bad, but improved secondary. The Lions added veterans corner Brian Kelly and safety Dwight Smith to coach Rod Marinelli’s Cover Two defense. Both were regulars in the scheme’s prototype in Tampa Bay. Leigh Bodden was added through trade from Cleveland. He saw a lot of passes in an aerial division, but held his own as far as success rate among all corners in the league. Expect a modest game from Ryan, with nice yardage and probably a score for number 1 receiver Roddy White. Remember, this is still a game one for a rookie not named Peyton Manning.

Running Game Thoughts: the Atlanta Falcons were a perennial powerhouse running the football in the Mike Vick era. Now, they are revamped with a rookie left tackle in Sam Baker and new faces at both guard (Harvey Dahl) and right tackle (Tyson Clabo). The summer spending spree netted Michael Turner from beneath the shadow of all-world running back LaDainian Tomlinson in San Diego. He is chomping at the bit for his first opportunity as the lead man, and anxious to prove he is worthy. Jerious Norwood will continue to spell the starter, fully capable of busting loose for long runs. The Lions traded mammoth Shaun Rogers away in the Bodden deal, so the middle may be soft to the run. Expect a steady dose of Turner to keep the play calling balance and setup play action to White down the field.

Projections:
Matt Ryan: 195 pass/1TD/1INT
Roddy White: 75 rec/1TD
Michael Jenkins: 40 rec
Laurent Robinson: 30 rec
Michael Turner: 85 rush/25 rec/1TD
Jerious Norwood: 45 rush/20 rec

Jon Kitna/Roy Williams/Calvin Johnson/Shaun McDonald/Mike Furrey
Kevin Smith/Rudi Johnson (vs. ATL)

Passing Game Thoughts: Gone is offensive coordinator Mike Martz, arrived is new play director Jim Colletto. During the preseason, the Lions have succeeded at maximizing their commitment to the run, and increasing the efficiency of their pass game. Calvin Johnson looks awesome, much like Randy Moss in the 1998 preseason. Do not expect as many multiple-receiver sets, so the stats for WR3 and WR4 will be down this year. In Atlanta, gone is motor mouth shutdown corner DeAngelo Hall, leaving a starting corner lineup of youngsters Chris Houston, Brent Grimes, and Chevis Jackson. Lawyer Milloy remains at safety, but is still more of a hitter in the run game than a coverage factor. This unit allowed the most fantasy points to opposing wide outs last year, and it does not bode well in 2008. Look for one of Kitna’s better games, with more TDs than INTs, and at least one, if not both, starting WRs reaching the century mark.

Running Game Thoughts: New offensive coordinator Jim Colletto is shifting the offensive balance from pass to run. The Lions feel if they can run with commitment, they can pass better and rest their defense. Rookie Kevin Smith was drafted in the 3rd round after a monster senior campaign (450 carries, 2500yds). He will use his size (6’1) and short area elusiveness to pick his way for yards and set up short 3rd downs. The Falcons let stud defensive tackle Rod Coleman walk as part of the off-season roster purge. Keith Brooking remains the veteran leader, with young buck LBs Michael Boley and Curtis Lofton backing his charge. Look for the rookie runner to get some nice looks against a soft defense, and have a red zone opportunity for a score. The fresh news of the Rudi Johnson signing may or may not affect this week’s lineup.

Projections:
Jon Kitna: 275 pass/3 TD/0 INT
Roy Williams: 90 rec/1 TD
Calvin Johnson: 120 rec/2 TD
Shaun McDonald: 20 rec
Mike Furrey: 20 rec
Kevin Smith: 70 rush/10 rec/1TD
Rudi Johnson: N/A

Broncos at Raiders
Jay Cutler/Eddie Royal/Brandon Stokely/Darrell Jackson/Tony Scheffler
Selvin Young/Andre Hall (vs. OAK)

Passing Game Thoughts: The Broncos’ passing attack looks promising this season, but for this game it looks very bleak. Quarterback Jay Cutler faces one of the league’s top secondary units without the suspended Brandon Marshall, who was the heart and soul of the passing game last season. The expected starters are Darrell Jackson and Eddie Royal. Jackson is talented, but was a major disappointment last year and has spent more of his career in the trainer’s room then on the field. Rookie Eddie Royal has been a bright spot this preseason and has a chance to make some big plays once Marshall returns and gets the attention. At TE, Tony Scheffler is a talented receiving threat that has been flirting with stardom but battled a foot injury last season. If he can stay healthy Denver should field an explosive pass attack all year led by Cutler who has emerged as the best of the 2006 draft class’ big three QBs.

The Raiders think they have the league’s best secondary this season with the additions of cornerback DeAngelo Hall and Safety Gibril Wilson joining Michael Huff and Nnamdi Asomugha. Don’t dial my number looking for an argument. They were already the 5th worst secondary for QBs to face last year in FPTs/Game. Derrick Burgess who led the Raiders in sacks last year will line up across from rookie left tackle Ryan Clady from Boise State. The Broncos are pleased with his progress but Burgess is tough day at the office even for seasoned veterans. This could easily become Cutler’s worst game of the entire season.

Running Game Thoughts: Selvin Young will lead the rush attack against Oakland. He will have to do so without five-time Pro Bowl center Tom Nalen. The Broncos had problems rushing up the middle last season when Nalen was lost to a torn bicep. His loss may be especially critical while trying to make line calls for the two new offensive tackles that are talented, but inexperienced. Expect Shanahan to try to get Young outside on the edge in sweeps and stretch runs. The 3-4 defensive schemes won’t make life easier for the Denver line as it requires more read and react blocking schemes than a standard 4-3.

For as much as the loss at center may slow Denver rushing the good news is that Oakland was the second-best defense for opposing running backs to face last season in FPTs/game. We also know Warren Sapp has retired to playing Madden with his housekeeper Sonia and trying his hand at fantasy football this season. For Oakland to be successful stopping the run they will likely look to bring safety Gibril Wilson closer to the line of scrimmage and take their chances with their vaunted cornerbacks in bump and run with Bronco receivers. For this reason the loss of Marshall may affect their ability to run the ball as well unless Cutler can find some early success stretching the field.

Projections:
Jay Cutler: 265 yds passing/1 TD/1 INT
Eddie Royal: 65 yds receiving
Darrel Jackson: 55 yds receiving
Brandon Stokely: 45 yds receiving
Tony Scheffler: 45 yds receiving/1 TD
Selvin Young: 85 yds rushing/35 yds receiving/1 TD
Andre Hall: 20 yds rushing
Michael Pitman 15 yds rushing/25 yds receiving

JaMarcus Russell/Ronald Curry/Javon Walker/Zach Miller
Darren McFadden/Justin Fargas (vs. DEN)

Passing Game Thoughts: Oakland’s passing prospects look rather bleak this year. New QB JaMarcus Russell posses one of the strongest arms in the league but that in itself is not enough to be immediately successful. He started one game last season and threw for 225 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT against a San Diego team that had wrapped up a playoff spot. Oakland doesn’t really have any deep threat WRs that scare the opposition. Ronald Curry is a nice receiver, but not a true deep threat. They brought in Javon Walker to stretch the field, but he’s already been beaten up in Vegas and talked out of retirement. He supposedly wanted to retire due to his inability to beat coverage like he could before his multiple knee surgeries. The Raiders are so desperate for some receivers they picked up twice-cut and twice-failed Ashley Lelie. Should the Raiders find themselves in the red zone then they will get the ball to their promising young TE Zach Miller.

Drawing Champ Bailey and Dre Bly in his first start of the season is not a good match-up for Russell. They can and likely will lock down the Raider WRs in man coverage, baiting Russell into poor throws. They are experienced and have great ball skills to pluck errant passes. They can occasionally be beaten for a big play because they aggressively jump routes, but they can just as easily go pick six the other way. While the Broncos lose some leadership in cutting future Hall of Fame safety Jon Lynch, they will gain speed and coverage ability with Marquand Manuel. They should improve upon their 24th ranked passing defense for fantasy QB’s from last season.

Running Game Thoughts: Oakland will look to run the ball to win this season until Russell matures. They had the 2nd most rushing attempts last season and the addition of Darren McFadden won’t slow that trend down. The explosive rookie is expected to share the workload with Justin Fargas. McFadden’s best asset is speed so they will look for ways to get him into space. Fargas will handle the physical pounding between the tackles. Fargas comes off a strong 2nd half to 2007 starting the last seven games and rushing for 1009 yds and 5 TDs averaging 4.5 yds/carry.

One of the Broncos biggest problems last season was their porous run defense and no team had more success running the ball on them than Oakland. Both Lamont Jordan and Justin Fargas had 150-yard games against them. They brought in defensive tackle DeWayne Robertson a high draft disappointment for the Jets in hopes of helping the problem. D.J. Williams has been moved back to his more natural outside position with the emergence of Nate Webster and free agent Niko Koutouvides in the middle. Denver will rely on young 2nd year Florida Gator, Marcus Thomas to step up as well. Expect both teams to have some success on the ground with the edge to the raiders.

Projections:
JaMarcus Russell: 205 yds passing/1 TD/2 INT
Ronald Curry: 65 yds
Javon Walker: 40 yds
Zach Miller: 35 yds/1 TD
Justin Fargas: 75 yds rushing/15 yds receiving
Darren McFadden: 60 yds rushing/40 yds receiving/1 TD

Buccaneers @ Saints
Jeff Garcia/Joey Galloway/Antonio Bryant/Michael Clayton
Earnest Graham/Michael Bennett (vs. NO)

Passing Game Thoughts: The New Orleans Saints have among the worst pass defenses in the league, period. Cornerback Jason David is statistically and visually among the worst defenders at the position, giving up more big plays, TDs, and completions than Kim Kardashian has terrible television shows. That said, Joey Galloway always has great games in this match up (he is averaging 5 recs for 125 yards his past 4 meetings, with 5 TDs in that span). Jon Gruden has this team in the run-and-play defense mold, but once in a while he reverts to his genes as a passing game guru---this is one of those games. Look for Jeff Garcia to light it up, and post one if his finer games of the season. Michael Clayton has rejuvenated himself to body and football since disappearing after a promising rookie campaign in 2004. Antonio Bryant is another reclamation project and he is slated to start this week.

Running Game Thoughts: longtime backup Earnest Graham was pushed into the lineup after injuries, and he never looked back. He posted a solid 900yds and 10scores last year. The offensive line took a big hit when guard Davin Joseph suffered a broken foot, but a recent trade for ex-Steelers lineman Sean Mahan will fill the hole nicely. Michael Bennett has looked nice in preseason, carrying with toughness and vision, two things not normally applied to his speedster repertoire. Both backs should get plenty of carries to slow the game down and keep the Saints offense off the field and the game score low.

Projections:
Jeff Garcia: 230 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Joey Galloway: 100 rec/2 TD
Antonio Bryant: 60 rec
Michael Clayton: 20 rec
Earnest Graham: 80 rush/1 TD/20 rec
Michael Bennett: 50 rush/ 20 rec

Drew Brees/Marques Colston/Devery Henderson/David Patten/Robert Meachem/ Jeremy Shockey
Reggie Bush/Deuce McAllister (vs. TB)

Passing Game Thoughts: One might have imagined that after 650 attempts and 440 completions, Drew Brees would require an arm transplant. Nevertheless, he and head coach/play caller Sean Payton are poised for more fireworks. Marques Colston has a new extension in hand, and is fast improving among the top-6 WRs in the league. Already a top-4 QB in all of fantasy, Brees gets more toys with Jeremy Shockey added via trade to improve the red zone options and draw coverage from backfield enigma Reggie Bush. The USC star has yet to impress as a runner, but has demonstrated his value as a receiver (88 receptions in 2006). Robert Meachem saw his 2007 rookie campaign washed out by injury, but has looked good in preseason. Despite a rugged Tampa Bay secondary and prototype Cover Two, Brees averaged 220 yards passing last year in two games, with 3 TDs. Rhonde Barber and Derrick Brooks remain as the anchors, and developing hitters Jermaine Phillips and Tanard Jackson lay the lumber to any pass catchers in their zip code. Expect medium ranged stats for the stars in a controlled game with low chance of developing into a passing frenzy.

Running Game Thoughts: Deuce McAllister is coming off another knee surgery for a torn ligament. One has to wonder if he regains effectiveness as he did in the post-Katrina honeymoon season, when he posted 1000 yards and 10 TDs. Reggie Bush has all pundits laying bets as to whether he is a career rushing bust with inability to recognize inside holes or a star in waiting in this his third season. The team has averaged 85 yards rushing over the past four games in the series. Tampa’s bend-don’t-break scheme will allow some gains, but usually not a devastating rushing performance. Look for Bush and McAllister to establish running lanes to avoid the Bucs pass rush teeing off on Brees.

Projections:
Drew Brees: 255 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Marques Colston: 75 rec/1TD
Devery Henderson: 30 rec
David Patten: 20 rec
Robert Meachem: 30 rec
Jeremy Shockey: 45 rec/1TD
Reggie Bush: 30 rush/40 rec
Deuce McAllister: 40 rush

Bengals @ Ravens
Carson Palmer/Chad Johnson/TJ Houshmandzadeh/Ben Utecht
Chris Perry/Kenny Watson (vs. Baltimore)


Passing Game Thoughts: The skill players for the Cincinnati Bengals have taken their share of lumps this preseason, with TJ Houshmandzadeh’s lingering hamstring issues, Chad Johnson’s shoulder injury, and Carson Palmer’s broken nose. All are slated to play week one when the Bengals travel to Baltimore, but one has to have some trepidation about how they will fare. The trio did not once line up on the field at the same time during the preseason, and that can’t be a comforting thought to those relying on one of these players. One bright spot, however, is Palmer performed well on the road last year, tossing 15 of his 26 TDs away from Paul Brown Stadium. The current Ravens defense may not resemble the squad from several years ago, but its secondary is still chock-full of opportunistic veterans ready to pounce on the mistakes of their opponents. Baltimore cornerbacks Chris McAlister and Samari Rolle are long in the tooth and safety Ed Reed is nursing a minor injury, but this unit remains a force.

Owners of Carson Palmer can only hope that he has shaken off the stench of the mediocrity he displayed during the last month of the 2007 season. He threw only five TDs during the final five games. Opening the 2008 season against the Ravens on the road doesn’t bode well for his anticipated resurrection. What should also give pause to those inserting Palmer in their line-up is the disastrous offensive line of the Bengals. If the preseason is any indication (especially the Detroit and New Orleans games) the Ravens will bring the heat early and often and force the sixth-year signal caller into making quick decisions.

Running Game Thoughts: The Bengals bid adieu to RB Rudi Johnson and handed the keys to the running game to injury-prone Chris Perry. Kenny Watson should see his share of carries too, especially after delivering the goods last year when Johnson was sidelined. Both Perry and Watson give the Bengal offense something it lacked when Johnson toted the rock on a regular basis: a receiving threat out of the backfield. That should provide an extra dimension to Cincinnati’s attack and keep the aggressive front seven of the Ravens honest.

The million dollar question, however, is how effective will the Bengal offensive line be? As mentioned above, pass blocking did not prove to be this unit’s greatest asset during the preseason, but they opened up running lanes for both Perry and Watson. Between the two, it would appear that Perry is set to get the bulk of the work. He’s younger, fresher, and quite frankly more talented than Watson. Perry’s dilemma has always been his health—or lack thereof. He’s only appeared in 22 games during his four-year career, including a whopping six total games over the previous two seasons. But the skills he displayed this preseason confirmed why the Bengals made him a first round pick in 2004. I suspect he will get the chance to show his stuff during the regular season, but he and his fantasy owners will have to contend with Watson. Watson is no scrub and his skill set complements Perry’s, so I suspect a 60/40 split between the two, with Perry having the advantage. It should be interesting to see if the Bengals attempt to neutralize the aggressive nature of the Ravens defense by incorporating more short passes and dump-off throws to these two newly-minted fantasy sleepers.

Projections:
Carson Palmer: 200 yards passing / 1 TD / 1 INT
Chad Johnson: 75 yards receiving
TJ Houshmandzadeh: 50 yards receiving / 1 TD
Ben Utecht: 25 yards receiving
Chris Perry: 65 yards rushing / 35 yards receiving / 1 TD
Kenny Watson: 30 yards rushing

Joe Flacco/Derrick Mason/Mark Clayton/Todd Heap
Willis McGahee/Ray Rice (vs. Cincinnati)

Passing Game Thoughts: Baltimore’s rookie QB Joe Flacco gets the starting nod by default. Kyle Boller is battling a shoulder injury that may require surgery and Troy Smith has infected tonsils. It really doesn’t matter who is under center; if you’re relying on anyone in the Ravens’ passing game, good luck. They have no threats on the outside, and couple that with inexperience at QB and a questionable offensive line and what you have is a hot mess in the making. Sure, WR Derrick Mason’s 104 receptions put him fourth in the league last year, but his 10.6 yards per reception isn’t going to scare anyone. And Mark Clayton is a good complementary WR, but isn’t someone defenses are consumed with containing. The Bengal’s secondary, while not stout, is serviceable enough to keep the Ravens in check. Cincinnati’s two young corners—Jonathan Joseph and Leon Hall—should be able to control the secondary and keep the inept air attack of Baltimore grounded.

I would expect Cincinnati’s head coach Marvin Lewis to help draw up elaborate defensive schemes in an effort to confuse the young QB. Flacco is a big, statuesque figure in the pocket (6-6, 230 lbs.) with limited mobility, so bringing pressure from every angle should be job #1 for the Bengal’s defense. Perhaps the best option for the Raven’s passing game is to incorporate TE Todd Heap into the mix, but that’s only possible if he doesn’t have to stay in to help the inexperienced offensive line keep the Bengal’s defenders from harassing Flacco. Overall expectations for Baltimore’s passing game should be tempered substantially in this scenario. Flacco may prove to be the QB the Ravens have long searched for, but expecting him to engineer any semblance of productivity worthy of a fantasy start is being overly optimistic.

Running Game Thoughts: If the Ravens are to enjoy any level of success offensively in 2008, especially early in the season, they are going to have to rely on a hobbled Willis McGahee and rookie Ray Rice. McGahee had knee surgery in August, but has vowed that he will play in week one; Rice performed admirably during the preseason and made his case for a viable handcuff for McGahee owners. There’s one huge caveat, however, when counting on the Raven’s running attack this season. The line of scrimmage will be packed with defenders, as defensive coordinators dare young Flacco to air it out. That’s going to prove to be tough sledding for Baltimore’s ground attack, and McGahee will earn every inch of real estate he gains in 2008. So with a crowded box, an untested offensive line and a rookie QB, McGahee and Rice owners should gulp several Tums tablets before subjected themselves to this snooze fest.

Maybe the one saving grace for those who have a Baltimore Raven on their fantasy team is this contest against the Bengals should be a close game, keeping the running game in play. If that is indeed the case, head coach John Harbaugh will rely on his running game to help milk the clock while aiding in the maturation process of Flacco. I would caution those with McGahee in their line-up to lessen their expectations of his production. He is coming off a surgical procedure on the same knee that exploded during his junior year in college, so one would assume Harbaugh will bring along his RB slowly, thereby creating an opportunity for Ray Rice to show what he can do. Look for there to be a 60/40 split in carries, with McGahee getting the bulk of the action.

Projections:
Joe Flacco: 135 yards passing / 0 TDs / 1 INT
Derrick Mason: 45 yard receiving
Mark Clayton: 35 yards receiving
Todd Heap: 40 yards receiving
Willis McGahee: 65 yards rushing / 1 TD
Ray Rice: 25 yards rushing

Texans @ Steelers
Matt Schaub/Andre Johnson/Kevin Walter/Owen Daniels
Ahman Green/Steve Slaton (vs. Pittsburgh)

Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Schaub got off to a good start last year, tossing five TDs through his first four games, but he followed that up with throwing zero TDs and four INTs during the next four games. And so it went for the coveted 2007 free agent signee from Atlanta—inconsistency throughout the year, coupled with nagging injuries that ultimately sidelined him for the season. He may find it difficult to mirror his fast start from last year, as the Houston Texans visit Pittsburgh to open the season. We all know about Pittsburgh’s swarming defense. Pittsburgh’s defensive coordinator Dick Lebeau has made a living at making life miserable for opposing QBs. Schaub, however, has proven on some occasions that he can withstand the onslaught of pressure defenses, but unfortunately he has also shown a tendency to whither under that same pressure.

As difficult as it was for Schaub to remain healthy during 2007, it was equally so for WR Andre Johnson. Johnson erupted the first two games of last year (14 recs, 262 yards, 3 TDs), but a knee injury sidelined him for two months. Now with a healthy signal caller and go-to WR, it will be an interesting chess match between defensive wiz LeBeau and Texans head coach Gary Kubiak. The strength of the Texans is their passing game and the calling card of Pittsburgh is its pass defense, so something has to give. It should not be ignored that another off-season passed without Houston giving Johnson a viable receiving option on the other side. Kevin Walter is okay, but he’s just “a guy.” Owen Daniel proved a good option last year, but his TD total (3) left a lot to be desired relative to his reception and yardage total (63 and 768, respectively).

Running Game Thoughts: Wouldn’t you know another season and another Ahman Green injury? Not that I gain pleasure from his misfortunes, but Green’s health issues are becoming borderline comical. How else can one explain the routine nature in which he has been sidelined two of the last three seasons? The Texans attempted to fortify their backfield with the selection of RB Steve Slaton in the 2008 NFL Draft, and his slashing, outside running ability should fit in well with Houston’s offense. Green’s injured groin and Slaton’s injured toe are said to not be severe enough to keep neither out of the contest against Pittsburgh, but the overall expectations of either doing anything significant against the Steelers should be tempered.

Houston’s offensive line seems to be a continued work in progress with the implementation of the “vaunted” zone blocking scheme. In order for the passing game to open up, which I contend is the only way for them to compete with the Steelers, the Texans must prove to Pittsburgh that they are willing and able to run the ball. Are Green, Slaton and company equipped to do so? We will see. But rest assured the Steelers will indeed employ the same tactics that made them the league’s top defense, so the Texans will have their work cut out for them on Sunday trying to gain yardage on the ground.

Projections:
Matt Schaub: 200 yards passing / 2 TDs / 2 INTs
Andre Johnson: 110 yards receiving / 1 TD
Kevin Walter: 40 yards receiving
Owen Daniel: 50 yards receiving / 1 TD
Ahman Green: 45 yards rushing
Steve Slaton: 40 yards rushing

Ben Roethlisberger/Hines Ward/ Santonio Holmes/Heath Miller
Willie Parker/Rashard Mendenhall (vs. Houston)

Passing Game Thoughts: QB Ben Roethlisberger is coming off a career year and his match-up in week one sets up perfectly for him to pick up where he left off in 2007. Houston has one of the best young defenses in the league, anchored by a front seven that features DE Mario Williams, LB DeMeco Ryans and company, but the secondary is the vulnerable spot. Starting CB Dunta Robinson is on the PUP list with a bum knee, and his absence leaves a void in a unit that, quite frankly, was average even when he was healthy. Names such as Fred Bennett, C.C. Brown and Jacques Reeves will have Roethlisberger salivating at the prospect of throwing against Houston’s no-name secondary.

In the eyes of many observers, WR Santonio Holmes has taken over as the most dynamic receiving threat in Pittsburgh. With all due respect to fellow WR Hines Ward, Holmes regularly utilized his limitless abilities last year on his way to leading the team in TD receptions (8). Plus, he’s the team’s only true deep threat, and he’s entering that magical third year, so everything points to Holmes having a break-out season in 2008 and it starts in earnest this Sunday against the overmatched and undermanned Texan secondary. The key, however, will be Pittsburgh’s offensive line giving Roethlisberger the time in the pocket he needs to find his targets.

Running Game Thoughts: Pittsburgh Steeler founder Art Rooney probably rolled over in his grave last year when Roethlisberger tossed a franchise record 32 TD passes. An organization best known for its grind-it-out running style, the Steelers rode the coattails of its then, fourth-year QB. It appears that’s the way it’s going to be in Steeler country for the foreseeable future, but that didn’t stop the organization from attempting to strengthen their running game with the draft day selection of Illinois product Rashard Mendenhall. Incumbent RB Willie Parker is coming off a broken leg suffered late last season, and Mendenhall’s do-everything ability lends itself brilliantly to what Parker can do. Mendenhall had a case of fumble-itis during the preseason, but that shouldn’t deter owners from modifying their expectations for him in 2008.

The Steelers will do their damage offensively through the air this year, but the duo of Parker and Mendenhall will certainly have their share of productive moments. The Houston front seven is a vastly underrated group, and running against this formidable foe will prove challenging in week one. The Pittsburgh offensive line has a tall order in replacing free agent defector Alan Faneca. This unit isn’t considered one of the best run-blocking groups in the league, but they are serviceable. However, they will have a difficult time keeping tabs on the active front seven of Houston, and consequently, the RB duo of Pittsburgh will find few lanes in which to run on Sunday. This game will be won by putting the rock in the capable hands of Ben Roethlisberger, with Parker and Mendenhall left to kill the clock late in the game.

Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger: 285 yards passing / 3 TDs / 1 INT
Santonio Holmes: 125 yards receiving / 2 TDs
Hines Ward: 80 yards receiving
Heath Miller: 50 yards receiving / 1 TD
Willie Parker: 80 yards rushing
Rashard Mendenhall: 45 yards rushing

Cowboys @ Browns
Tony Romo / Terrell Owens / Patrick Crayton / Jason Witten
Marion Barber / Felix Jones (vs. Cleveland)

Passing Game Thoughts: The Cleveland Browns are the en vogue sleeper pick of 2008, but one look at their secondary should give even the most ardent fan heart palpitations. They traded away arguably their best defensive back in Leigh Bodden in the Shaun Rogers deal, and what’s left is a collection of good but not great players. Opponents took advantage of this weakness routinely during the preseason and it won’t be a surprise when the NFC East-favored Dallas Cowboys come to town on Sunday and continue the trend. Dallas’ offensive line is huge and athletic and capable of keeping the Cleveland defenders at bay, allowing Romo to comfortably stand in the pocket and pick apart the Browns’ secondary.

The Browns have no one to cover the two biggest threats in the Dallas passing game, WR Terrell Owens and TE Jason Witten. T.O. will have his way on the outside against the likes of CBs Eric Wright or Brandon McDonald. He’s simply too big, too fast, and too talented to be neutralized by this collection of defenders. And T.O.’s presence on the perimeter will open up receiving lanes for Witten, arguably the NFL’s best TE. He’s too athletic for linebackers and too strong for defensive backs, so how are they going to cover him? Head coach and defensive coordinator-at-heart Romeo Crennel will earn his paycheck in week one trying to devise a scheme to contain the multi-dimensional Cowboy aerial attack.

Running Game Thoughts: Marion Barber is a running back’s running back. He runs with anger, with purpose, and with force. And while this style doesn’t lend itself to longevity, it certainly is entertaining to watch. But what’s not entertaining is being on the receiving end of one of those punishing forearm shivers courtesy of Mr. Barber. Unfortunately for Browns fans, this will be a regular occurrence on Sunday. Romo’s assault on the Cleveland secondary should open up avenues in the defense that Barber will exploit. Newly-signed free agent DT Shaun Rogers mans the interior of the Cleveland defensive line, and if history is any indication, the first month of the season is when the big fella truly displays his uncanny and eyebrow-raising talents. He will be a handful for the Dallas O-line, no question. But he should be neutralized enough to not be a big enough factor to derail the productivity of Barber.

The arrival of rookie RB Felix Jones is just what the doctor ordered. Unlike his predecessor with the same surname, Felix Jones is a more gifted and versatile runner than former Dallas RB Julius Jones. His presence is very much needed, what with the bulldozer running style of Barber. Jones should get his share of carries on Sunday and throughout the season, because there seems to be no way Barber’s aggressive approach to running the football can last for 300 carries over 16 games.

Projections:
Tony Romo: 250 yards passing / 2 TDs
Terrell Owens: 135 yards receiving / 1 TD
Patrick Crayton: 40 yards receiving
Jason Witten: 65 yards receiving / 1 TD
Marion Barber: 90 yards rushing / 1 TD
Felix Jones: 25 yards rushing

Derek Anderson/Braylon Edwards/Donte’ Stallworth/Kellen Winslow
Jamal Lewis (vs. Dallas)

Passing Game Thoughts: Derek Anderson’s ascension to NFL stardom was one of the best stories of 2007, so what will he do for an encore? Well, it gets started against one of the best teams in the league, and if Anderson is to continue his rise to elite status, he must do so against a seasoned opponent with talent galore on defense. Anderson won’t be bringing a knife to a gun fight, however. The Browns are not short of weapons on offense. WR Braylon Edwards, TE Kellen Winslow and oft-injured journeyman WR Donte’ Stallworth are formidable options in the passing game, and Anderson will maximize the opportunities of his skill players.

Dallas utilizes its athletes on defense brilliantly, with OLBs DeMarcus Ware and Greg Ellis often bringing heat from the perimeter. But Cleveland’s young and talented O-line should be up for the task. Anderson is coming off a mild concussion suffered in the second game of the preseason. Word is he has practiced all week and should be ready to go on Sunday. It’s also been revealed that Dallas has finally realized what many have known for some time: safety Roy Williams is a complete liability in the pass game. As a result, they plan to spell Williams on third down and obvious passing plays.

Running Game Thoughts: RB Jamal Lewis injured a hamstring during the preseason, but word is he’s on track to play week one against Dallas. His presence and productivity is crucial to the Browns doing well against the Cowboys. Lewis’ bruising, between-the-tackles running style is a perfect complement to Cleveland’s receiving weapons. The Browns boast one of the best young offensive lines in the league and they will be relied on to pave the way for Lewis in week one and beyond.

I love Jamal Lewis in this game and for 2008. The hamstring issues notwithstanding, he has been relatively durable during his career and he will be the Browns’ bell cow. The Dallas defense was stout against the run last year, but it’s crucial that the Browns stick with the running game. And as important as Anderson is, it starts with the guys up front opening holes for Lewis and the force with which he plows through them. Establishing the power run game that Lewis is best known for should pull safety Roy Williams closer to the line of scrimmage and allow the passing game to thrive.

Projections:
Derek Anderson: 190 yards receiving / 1 TD
Braylon Edwards: 85 yards receiving / 1 TD
Kellen Winslow: 65 yards receiving
Donte’ Stallworth: 30 yards receiving
Jamal Lewis: 90 yards rushing / 1 TD

Vikings @ Packers
Tarvaris Jackson/Bernard Berrian/Sidney Rice
Adrian Peterson/Chester Taylor (vs. Green Bay)

Passing Game Thoughts: QB Tarvaris Jackson injured a knee during the preseason but he indicated that he will play Monday night against Green Bay. Minnesota’s coaching staff has displayed an awful lot of faith in Jackson during his short career. He has performed ok at times, but has struggled mightily during others (that patented 5-yard jump pass against San Diego last year comes to mind). I personally haven’t seen much to get overly excited about the prospects of him being anything other than an average game manager.

Green Bay has one of the best CB tandems in the league in Charles Woodson and Al Harris and they will make Jackson work for every completed pass. WRs Bernard Berrian and Sidney Rice make up the best receiving duo the Twin Cities have seen since Randy Moss and Cris Carter called Minnesota home. But before they begin to even enter into the same galaxy as their Hall of Fame-bound predecessors, they must first learn to challenge and eventually get the better of the Packer CB twosome.

Running Game Thoughts: It is almost illegal that an all-world talent such as RB Adrian Peterson has the opportunity to run behind such a stellar offensive line. And even with Bryant McKinnie’s four-game suspension, this quintet is still one of the top three units in the NFL. A.P. sliced up Green Bay’s defense last year. In the two games, one in which he was injured he totaled 23 carries for 157 yards. Not too bad, considering the talent on Green Bay’s defense.

Talk of Peterson cannot be complete, however, without mentioning his knack for getting injured. Back-up RB Chester Taylor is perhaps the best and most necessary handcuff in fantasy football, and he is the epitome of insurance policies for Minnesota. Even as Peterson ripped up the league on his way to finishing second in rushing yards, Taylor quietly put up very respectable numbers (844 yards, 7 TDs, 5.4 avg.). Both will be productive and counted on heavily as Jackson continues his maturation at QB.

Projections:
Tarvaris Jackson: 160 yards passing / 1 TD / 2 INTs
Bernard Berrian: 70 yards receiving
Sidney Rice: 55 yards receiving / 1 TD
Adrian Peterson: 135 yards rushing / 1 TD
Chester Taylor: 40 yards rushing

Aaron Rodgers/Donald Driver/Greg Jennings/Donald Lee
Ryan Grant (vs. MIN)

Passing Game Thoughts: Talk about pressure. The Aaron Rodgers era in Green Bay will commence under the watchful eyes of football fans everywhere on a Monday night against perhaps the toughest defense in the conference. I suspect we will see jitters and overthrown passes when Rodgers takes the field at Lambeau. But Rodgers will take over a team with capable skill players who should pick up the slack should Rodgers falter at any time. WRs Donald Driver, Greg Jennings and TE Donald Lee provide Rodgers with the kind of potent offensive weaponry that any QB would desire.

Rodgers had better be mindful of the inevitable pressure when he drops back in the pocket. The Vikings added free agent DE Jared Allen from Kansas City, and putting him on a D-line that already boasts the best defensive tackle tandem in the league in Pat and Kevin Williams and what you have is a QB’s worst nightmare. With that said, I would think Packer head coach Mike McCarthy will incorporate safe, short passes to not only get Rodgers comfortable and in rhythm, but neutralize an overpowering front four that is hell-bent on getting to the QB.

Running Game Thoughts: RB Ryan Grant exploded onto the scene last year after those ahead of him on the depth chart proved themselves useless. He arrived at training camp in 2008 seeking a contract extension, which he received. Grant promptly injured his hamstring and hasn’t played or practiced much sense. His status for Monday night’s game remains uncertain, but does it really matter? No one runs on Minnesota and I would suspect a hobbled running back with hamstring issues stands little chance to be productive against the men in purple. And if Grant doesn’t play or is limited, it could get ugly for the Packers. Becoming a one dimensional team with a QB making his first start is a perilous way to make a living in the NFL.

Projections:
Aaron Rodgers: 175 yards passing / 1 TD / 2 INT
Donald Driver: 75 yards receiving
Greg Jennings: 60 yards receiving / 1 TD
Donald Lee: 30 yards receiving
Ryan Grant: 40 yards rushing

Jaguars @ Titans
David Garrard/Jerry Porter/Troy Williamson/Dennis Northcutt/Reggie Williams/Matt Jones
Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. TEN)

Passing Game Thoughts: This team made the jump to contender by winning tough road games last December. They followed that by repeating a victory in Pittsburgh during the wildcard weekend. David Garrard was the consummate game manager, leading a potent rush attack with precise, timely passes to a variety of steady, no-named weapons. His league-low interception count of only three was outstanding. This year, coach Jack Del Rio fills his WR stable with Jerry Porter and Troy Williamson, cast-offs of the Raiders and Vikings, respectively. Both seek to restart their careers. Tall Reggie Williams remains a red zone jump ball threat (10TDs in 2007), and veteran Dennis Northcutt rounds out a deep unit. The Titans still sport a massive pass rush, with Kyle Vanden Bosch, Albert Haynesworth, and the reacquired Jevon Kearse. Cortland Finnegan is a rugged playmaker at corner, and Chris Hope has vast range at safety. Garrard should be able to efficiently slice his way for moderate numbers, with receivers being solid, but unspectacular.

Running Game Thoughts: This is the best running back 1-2 punch in football, period. Fred Taylor continues a beautiful career with the same franchise, and even at age 32 remains productive due to a high YPC (5.0 and 5.4 the past 2 seasons). Maurice Jones-Drew is the compact wrecking ball that runs, receives, and even blocks (just ask Shawne Merriman!) Albert Haynesworth is the most important run-stopper in the NFL (the Titans allowed 100 more yds per game rushing without him in a 3 game stretch last year). He should keep this duo from exploding, but count on steady numbers with at least one TD.

Projections::
David Garrard: 210 pass/2 TD/0 INT/20 rush
Jerry Porter: 55 rec
Troy Williamson: 30 rec
Dennis Northcutt: 35 rec
Reggie Williams: 30 rec/1 TD
Matt Jones: 25 rec/1TD
Fred Taylor: 60 rush/1TD
Maurice Jones-Drew: 40 rush/40 rec

Vince Young/Justin Gage/Justin McCareins/Brandon Jones/LaVelle Hawkins
LenDale White/Chris Johnson (vs. JAX)

Passing Game Thoughts: Vince Young has developed into a problem: he is a reality winner and a fantasy loser. On the field, he does enough with his legs and arm to direct his team to wins and the playoffs. On our stat sheets, his passing prowess is ugly, and the occasional run doesn’t compensate enough. They drafted 4th round receiver Lavelle Hawkins to help out. They also brought back offensive coordinator Mike Heimerdinger from the Broncos and WR Justin McCareins from the Jets. Young did have one of his better passing days numbers-wise last year versus these Jags (257/1/2), so all hope is not lost. The Jacksonville secondary is still lockdown capable with young start Rashean Mathis blanketing half of the field. If Young has improved beyond his preseason showing, we might see a decent performance; more than likely, until proven otherwise, avoid this on your starter column.

Running Game Thoughts: The run game powered this team and its defense to the playoffs last season. LenDale White showed why he posted 21TDs as a senior running alongside Reggie Bush. He carried a power load 300+ times, and apparently with a meniscus tear. Healthy and hearty, he looks to continue to be the engine in Jeff Fisher’s offense. Rookie sensation Chris Johnson is no secret anymore. I love watching the highlights and film on “super jets”. His ability to take away angles from closing defenders is uncanny, and bubbles the possibilities of his use in the backfield of a spread offense with a power runner and mobile quarterback. Last year, the Titans ripped these Jags for 200+ yards rushing out of the gate in the opener. Was that an aberration? Since then, Marcus Stroud has been traded to Buffalo, and the defensive line replacements are pass rush specialists. Expect a heavy dose of White and company to keep the game in the balance.

Projections:
Vince Young: 170 pass/0 TD/2 INT/55 rush
Justin Gage: 40 rec
Justin McCareins: 30 rec
Brandon Jones: 30 rec
LaVelle Hawkins: 20 rec
LenDale White: 90 rush/1 TD
Chris Johnson: 50 rush/35 rec