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Joe Holka | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Daily Guidance: Week 8
Value Plays
10/29/15


Last week was an interesting week on FanDuel. There were a few clear “chalk” plays that we knew would be highly owned like Todd Gurley and the Rams defense. I was asked if there is merit to fading players you think will be high owned in cash games. Maybe I don’t think highly enough of casual players, but if you are reading this you are researching the right way. Many people do not so I don’t worry about fading the chalk plays in cash because I need people to prove to me they know who the best plays are, especially in a week as chalk as Week 7.

My primary cash game lineup for FanDuel in Week 8 is posted below. Be sure and check back later on in the week as I often update my lineup on Saturday night or Sunday morning. Below my lineup are my top value plays for Week 8 on FanDuel.


Week 8 FanDuel Lineup

Value Plays

1. RB – Justin Forsett, BAL ($6900) vs. SD

Forsett had a tough matchup last week against the Cardinals who were allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points to running backs going into the game. He only rushed for 36 yards but did add a touchdown and three catches to his day. Look for a bounce back performance this week against a Chargers defense ranked 31st against the run and gave up 85 yards and a touchdown to Latavius Murray in Week 7. The Chargers have given up seven rushing touchdown through seven weeks of the season.

2. WR - Michael Crabtree, OAK ($5700) @ NYJ

Crabtree had eight targets in Week 7 and posted a 6-63-1 stat line against San Diego. He actually saw more targets than rookie phenomenon Amari Cooper and I expect that to continue with Cooper likely to be shadowed by Darrelle Revis in Week 8. The growth of Derek Carr in a new offensive scheme has Crabtree a consistent factor in fantasy. At his price, he is a clear value pick for the volume he is currently receiving.

3. TE - Ladarius Green, SD ($5300) @ BAL

Green was the clear pivot off of Antonio Gates last week when Gates’ MCL injury was found out to be more serious than originally thought. Green saw nine targets against the Raiders and had 45 yards and a touchdown. He could have had an even bigger day but he dropped a pass where he could have made it into the end zone. If Gates can’t go this week, Green will continue to be a huge part of this pass-happy offense especially in the red zone.

4. WR – Steve Smith, BAL ($6700) vs. SD

Smith is fighting through injury but continues to prove his age is a non-factor. He is second in the league in plays over 20 yards and will continue to lead this offense in targets… an offense that lacks major outside threats. The Chargers defense has some injuries in the secondary; so don’t let a tough matchup fool you. The Ravens should be able to move the ball from both the ground and the air, which should produce plenty of red zone opportunities. Smith is becoming yet another consistent value play for the volume he is receiving.

5. WR – Eric Decker, NYJ ($6400) @ OAK

I feel like Decker makes this column every week but FanDuel refuses to raise his price. Last week was the first game he did not have a receiving touchdown but he did have 94 yards off of six receptions with a whopping 12 targets against the Patriots. Fitzpatrick has proven that he can support two viable pass options and has been prone to zoning in on Decker early and often. This week, the Jets face the Raiders who are ranked last in the NFL in pass defense.


6. WR - Willie Snead, NO ($5800) vs. NYG

I am willing to look past Snead’s performance in Week 7 where he had just 25 yards and three catches. He did have seven targets but I believe his lack of production was due mostly to poor game script. He has been consistent as Drew Brees’ favorite target and I expect him to rebound nicely in Week 8 against a Giants pass defense that is ranked 30th in the NFL. Snead will continue to be one of the better value options available on FanDuel.

7. WR- Stefon Diggs, MIN ($6700) @ CHI

Diggs is the clear number one option in the Vikings passing game. I said last week that he may be the best route runner on the team and now I have zero doubt that he is. Diggs went off for 108 yards and a touchdown in Week 7 against the Detroit Lions. His leaping touchdown grab was impressive as he was able to lay out for the ball with full extension. He has great deep speed and is quick out of his routes. This week against the Bears, Diggs will continue to burst on the fantasy scene. Don’t miss out on this value while his price is this low, it won’t be for much longer.

8. QB – Jay Cutler, MIN ($7300) vs. MIN

Cutler has actually looked relatively comfortable the past few weeks after returning from a hamstring injury. A big part of his recent success has to do with the return of Alshon Jeffery who went crazy in Week 6 before the Bears bye for 147 yards and a touchdown. The Vikings do not have a slouch of a defense but they did give up two good games from Matthew Stafford already this year so I don’t see any reason Cutler can’t out produce this low price point.