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Joe Holka | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Daily Guidance: Week 14
Value Plays
12/9/15; Updated: 12/13/15


Week 13 was one of my best weeks of the year in cash on FanDuel. The problem was, there wasn't a ton of wrong answers. It was an extremely high scoring week across the board; which had some people frustrated with the cash lines. It’s important to remember that this is an outlier and to stick to your process. Good players and poor players separate themselves in the long run and it is important not to get discouraged after putting up a good score yet still not winning money. This time of year we have a pretty good handle on teams and their limitations on defense. Let’s try and keep this momentum going into Week 14.

There are some clear value plays that I will most definitely be taking advantage of. Below is my current cash lineup as well as some detailed value plays. Be sure to check back on Saturday/Sunday morning for an update.

NOTE: Cash Lineup last updated: 12/13/15; 9:15 AM ET



Value Plays


QB – Tyrod Taylor, BUF ($7500) @ PHI

Taylor has been an absolute beast for fantasy owners the past two weeks and seems completely healthy after a shoulder injury that held him two games earlier this season. His past two games were unfavorable matchups, which makes me feel better about his floor as well as the fact that he is always a threat to score a rushing touchdown. His downfield passing was opportunistic in particular to Sammy Watkins who had WR1 games against Kansas City and Houston. This week, Taylor against an Eagles defense that has been reeling, is a clear value play and cash consideration.

RB – Shaun Draughn, SF ($6500) @ CLE

Draughn is the clear lead back for the 49ers even after losing some touches to Travaris Cadet in Week 13. His floor is relatively safe, as he will contribute in the passing game on a team that will spend a lot of time playing from behind. The fear is the red zone looks may not be frequent in this offense. He has at least four catches in every game and his volume is undeniable. Cleveland has given up a lot of fantasy points to running backs this season and I like Draughn’s point/$ opportunity.

WR – DeVante Parker MIA ($5900) vs. NYG

A bit of a higher variance play, but Parker has shown that he can make plays for this offense that desperately needs him. Miami has been running the ball a ton, which limits his targets, but there might not be many defenders in the league that can beat him to a jump ball in the end zone as he showed in Week 13. He’s had a touchdown in two straight weeks and should keep rolling against a terrible Giants defensive unit. His upside at this price is very appetizing.

WR – Sammy Watkins, NYJ ($7200) @ PHI

As noted earlier, Watkins has been a star the past couple weeks along with quarterback Tyrod Taylor. He had just four targets last week but his big play ability makes him a great value against an Eagles team that could be one of the worst in the league on defense. He has typically been thought of as a receiver who excelled off short routes but has been torching teams deep on a consistent basis.

RB – Anquan Boldin, SF ($5900) @ CLE

I never thought I would see two 49ers at once in this column but Blaine Gabbert has a clear favorite target in Anquan Boldin. Boldin has 31 targets in the three games with Gabbert at QB but has yet to reach the end zone. For $5900 there might not be a better value this week at wide receiver if going cheap. He has been targeted underneath and admittedly doesn’t have a high ceiling, but his floor should be safe. I like him a lot this week against Cleveland in a plus matchup.

QB – Jameis Winston, NE ($7800) vs. NO

We’ve seen his ceiling earlier this season against the Eagles when he threw five touchdowns. I’m not saying he will do that again, I’m just saying this may be an even juicier matchup. The Saints are at the bottom of the league in nearly every defensive category and Tampa is at home in Week 14. Winston finally has all his weapons healthy and Seferian-Jenkins should see a larger amount of snaps this week. He is second in the league on only to Cam Newton in rushing touchdowns for quarterbacks, which raises his floor as well. Outside of Taylor, Winston may be the top cheap quarterback option of the week.

TE – Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TB ($5200) vs. NO

It wasn’t a shock that ASJ was eased back into action playing just 21-of-71 snaps in Week 13. He should be good to go this week and represents another part of this offense that should thrive against a brutal New Orleans defense. This game has sneaky shootout potential and you want to grab exposure to it where you can. His opportunities should increase and his involvement last week should have us optimistic. On just 21 snaps he had six targets and could have easily had a touchdown as well.

WR – Jeremy Maclin, KC ($6900) vs. SD

Alex Smith attempted just 22 passes in Week 13 but ten of his targets went to Maclin. Maclin had a huge game with 95 yards and two touchdowns and was a big part of the Chiefs comeback win. He is doing the majority of his work off screen passes as Smith refuses to throw downfield on a regular basis but on a volume basis alone, Maclin represents a safe floor for his price. This week against division-rival San Diego, he should be heavily involved yet again and at $6900, is a great value play on FanDuel.