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Colby Cavaliere | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


The Shot Caller's Report - Running Backs
Your Guide To Fantasy Lineups: Week 5
10/4/18
QBs | RBs | WRs


Bye Weeks:
N/A

David Johnson

Given how bad the Arizona offense has looked through two weeks, is it time to sit David Johnson?

Grab a Helmet

Sony Michel @ DET: So yeah, Michel didn’t exactly light the world on fire in his first NFL game, but remember, this was a rookie playing his first meaningful snaps in over a month against the league’s top defense, and he ran with attitude, even if it doesn’t show it in the 10 for 34 rushing line. Michel’s return seemed to instantly make Rex Burkhead an afterthought, and there is little doubt this offense is in dire need of playmakers. Detroit has been absolutely gashed by running backs this season, giving up BY FAR the most rushing yards in the league (353). Both Isaiah Crowell and Matt Breida eclipsed the century mark, and my gut says Michel breaks a few big plays in this one. 100+ total yards and a score puts Michel squarely in RB2 territory for Week 5.

Jordan Howard @ ARI: Is it just me, or is this Chicago offense one of the strangest you’ve seen this year. Every formation is something exotic, there are wildly different personnel groups on nearly every play, and there have been an inordinate amount of designed QB runs. Chicago hits the road to play a dead Cardinals team that has given up the most fantasy points to running backs this season. Matt Nagy has already said this week that Howard needs more carries, and with Tarik Cohen’s ankle tweak, Howard should see his first 20+ carry game of the season in this one. The Bears should be able to stifle Arizona’s offense easily and chew the game up on the ground safely. Chicago shouldn’t have to get cute to win this one, and a simplified approach could be a huge game for Howard.

Giovani Bernard @ CAR: Just when the Cincinnati offense seems to be clicking, they lose their workhorse running back. In steps the trusty Bernard whose three-down game should help lessen the blow. In two games filling in for the injured Mixon last year, Bernard totaled 220 yards and a score, and the Bengals trust him to be the primary ball carrier with Mixon out. With the passing game clicking, Bernard should have room to roam, even if he isn’t as effective as a between-the-tackles runner as Mixon. Bernard has long proved to be a solid pass receiver, so he makes for an ever more attractive start in PPR leagues. Don’t expect a lights-out performance, but Bernard makes for a strong spot start for teams that have been crushed by an early onslaught of running back injuries.

Grab Some Pine


David Johnson vs CHI: So I know you can’t sit your likely top-3 pick, but there are fewer running backs with worse match-ups this week. DJ is another example of how much a running back’s fantasy production is tied up in the quality of players around him (I’m looking at you Saquon Barkley). With a dreadful offensive line, a quarterback who looks totally washed up, and a very uninspiring offensive coaching staff, the days of Johnson being a weekly winner are a long way off. Head Coach Steve Wilks has talked up the need to get Johnson more receptions, but big plays will be at a premium in this dogfight against a relentless Chicago defense. Johnson is basically the only weapon on this offense, so whatever he earns your squad this week will be incredibly hard fought.

Peyton Barber vs PIT: The Tampa offense is playing fast and loose right now, but lost in all the glitz is the fact this running game has been stuck in reverse. After a 16 carry, 69-yard Week 1, Barber seemed to go backward in Week 2, rushing for a pitiful 22 yards on 16 carries (yes, that’s a “fall forward” 1.5 y.p.c). Since he offers next to nothing in the passing game (1 reception on 2 targets so far) Barber has become a touchdown or bust player in this offense. Maybe there was something to Ronald Jones’ struggles in the preseason, but right now it’s hard to trust any runner in this offense as anything more than a hope and a prayer.

Carlos Hyde vs NYJ (Thu): Another running game plodding along is that of the Cleveland Browns. Leading the pack is Carlos Hyde, who’s fantasy value is tied to the touchdowns he’s had in each of the first two weeks. But dig a little deeper, and you’ll see a player averaging just over 2.5 yards per carry, and a supposed dual threat running back who has 2 receptions for only 10 yards. There has been some early week chatter about Duke Johnson being more involved in the offense, and it’s only a matter of time before rookie Nick Chubb starts stealing snaps. The Jets have a highly athletic defense that can fill running lanes in a hurry. Hyde’s lack of yardage production gives him a scary low floor, so tread lightly when decided where to start Hyde in your lineups.


Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers