Last Week's Projections
(10-4) Straight Up - 71.4%
(9-5) Against The Spread - 64.2%
Baltimore at Detroit (-1)
I hate say I told you so but I knew that the Ravens would
take it home last week. No way they lose to a guy named Brooks.
But it was a little closer than what I anticipated. That offense
is just that, offensive. Regardless of the QB that is in there that
line just can’t seem to protect anyone. They certainly can’t
run block either. Lewis is sporting a 2.5 yards per carrier average.
He did finally get into the end zone last week. But I think they
have tougher sledding this week. At some point the lack of offense
will catch up to them.
The Lions were robbed!!! Well I think they were. It looked like
it to me and you just can’t change a call on the field unless
it is just clear as day that it needs to be changed. At the end
of the day there will be a mutiny against Harrington and if Garcia
were healthy he would be the QB. What the hell happened to Kevin
Jones? He was the “chose one” at the first of the
season and then gets benched for Pinner? Can’t happen. He
won’t find the room this week either. There won’t
be a lot of options to go with in this game.
Final Score: Lions 14, Ravens
Chicago at Cleveland (-3)
Both teams were off last week. I will have my eyes glued
to this one!! Just joking. If I didn’t have to write about
it then I would not even know the game was going on. That is the
joy of fantasy football. Teams that normally would be forgotten
get looks because Antonio Bryant may catch an 80-yard touchdown.
In 1980 nobody would give a crap outside of Cleveland and Chicago.
Thomas Jones will hold onto the starting spot until he gets hurt
or goes and sells insurance.
Cleveland has more weapons and that is why I chose them to take
this one. Dilfer will not get them into any trouble and the Cleveland
fans will root them to victory. Sounds dramatic right?? Much more
dramatic than the game I bet!!
Final Score: Browns 20, Bears
Miami (+3) at Buffalo 1:00
Are you kidding me?? Unless they break out the Kelly H. action
figures then this sucker is a no-brainer. Losman is lost and that
offensive line is opening no holes. Willis busted the 80-yard
mark finally. Mould and Evans?? 4 catches between the two of them
is just not going to cut it. I think they may make a game out
of it if the coach grows a sack and goes with the guy that gives
them the best chance to win. Drew Bledsoe must be laughing.
The Dolphins have surprised a lot of folks. Namely the man writing
this article. They are 2-1 and playing good on both sides on the
ball. A running game is all they really need as the defense is
holding up nicely. I just don’t see them losing this game.
A couple of options would be Randy, Gus, and Ronnie. Willis on
the other side.
Final Score: Fins 26, Bills
New England at Atlanta
(-3) 1:00 p.m.
Now I am not one of those homers that thinks that the Patriots
are finished and all of that. But that was disturbing to watch
Sunday. The dam finally broke on the lack of staff. Harrison missing
is the key ingredient and the bolts took advantage and scorched
the hell out of them. I think the fact that Tomlinson had a 5.6-yard
per carrier average should bother them a little, especially this
week against a good running team. Spells some trouble for the
Atlanta should be happy. Finally folks are giving Warrick Dunn
his due. One the leagues true good guys and a man that brings
the lunch pale to work everyday. Screw all of you that put him
below Arrington on your RB depth chart. He may not get a lot of
TDs but when he does you can mark it up that it will be spectacular.
He has over 1000 yards in his last 10 games. Vick is hurting a
little and had to leave the game early but should be there this
week. Start all of these fellows, as they should have no trouble
running on this team.
Final Score: Falcons 28, Pats
New Orleans (+3) at Green
Bay 1:00 p.m.
Has the final nail been pounded into the coffin symbolizing the
end of the Brett Favre era? Probably, but Brett won’t go
quietly. He’s destined to put together at least one or two
more storybook performances this year to punctuate his legendary
status, and this week is a great opportunity. With Favre’s
sentiments for New Orleans Katrina victims hitting close to home,
this one will be emotional.
The Saints are bound to see some standout performances this week
from QB Aaron Brooks, although the target of his touchdowns is
in question as Joe Horn’s status for Sunday remains uncertain.
Pay attention on Horn, but if you’ve got Donte Stallworth
and Deuce, go ahead and start them, along with TE Ernie Conwell.
The Packers should see good games from Favre, Driver and Robert
Ferguson, but watch the status of Ahman Green. TE Bubba Franks
might get shelved again due to injury, but Antonio Chatman is
emerging as a decent fantasy option.
Final Score: Packers 27, Saints
Seattle (+3) at St. Louis
Both these teams were once offensive juggernauts with decent defenses.
Now they’re just mediocre — with very limited offensive
production. The Seahawks come off a loss to the Redskins and clearly
aren’t as good as they were once hyped. Shaun Alexander
is still a good play, but be careful of Hasselbeck, and WRs Bobby
Engram and Darrell Jackson. Both receivers are banged up and may
not play. Check injury reports before gametime. The Rams got abused
by the Giants, and will come out blazing against the Seahawks.
Bulger is a lock for 250+ yards and 2 TDs, and Steven Jackson,
Torry Holt and Kevin Curtis are all solid plays.
Final Score: Rams 31, Seahawks
Tampa Bay (-3.5) at N.Y.
Jets 1:00 p.m.
With Cadillac Williams possibly sidelined with a hamstring injury,
Tampa’s offense will be tested this week against a decent
defense. The Bucs will have to look to the Michael Pittman and
Joey Galloway if Cadillac can’t go, which means good things
for those owners, but Griese will have trouble against the Jets
secondary, which has been stingy thus far in 2005. The Jets welcome
back Vinny Testaverde, who many believe had finally been castrated.
Looks like even testicles won’t go quietly. He sure has
balls, you have to give him that. But don’t go rushing to
put him in your fantasy lineup. He definitely be rusty, so watch
him for a couple weeks until he produces some numbers. Should
be tough going for Coles, McCareins and even Curtis Martin until
he finds his groove.
Final Score: Bucs 23, Jets
Tennessee (+3) at Houston
If you’re looking for a lock this week, take Tennessee with
the points. I don’t often speak in conclusives, but this
time, listen to me. The Titans will get great performances from
Steve McNair, Chris Brown and Drew Bennett. Even WR Brandon Jones
— who took Tyrone Calico’s starting job — might
fill in nicely. TEs Erron Kinney and Ben Troupe have also emerged
as solid fantasy options, and McNair will be taking it to the
air this week. The Texans might get some numbers from Carr, Davis
and Johnson, but they won’t win. Carr and Johnson should
pad their numbers with garbage points in the fourth.
Final Score: Titans 27, Texans
Philadelphia (-3.5) at
Dallas 4:15 p.m.
I’m a Cowboys fan, and I dread when Philly comes to town
— PRIMARILY BECAUSE WE HAVE NO WAY OF STOPPING T.O. The
Eagles have all the advantages in this one except home field.
McNabb, Owens, Westbrook, Greg Lewis and L.J. Smith re all viable
fantasy options against a defense that can’t seem to stop
the big play. The Cowboys don’t stand much of a chance this
week, with McNabb and Owens apparently mending fences and ripping
up NFL defenses. Offensive, the Boys will struggle as well, since
the Philly D is also coming together. Bledsoe might scrape together
a touchdown or two, but I’ve also got him pegged for two
INTs and a fumble. Julius Jones is a must play because of his
enormous upside, but don’t expect great numbers. Keyshawn,
Glenn and Witten will split a couple TDs among them, with decent
but generally unimpressive yardage totals.
Final Score: Eagles 34, Cowboys
(+7) at Denver 4:15 p.m.
I’m sensing this will be a low-scoring affair, with a couple
big plays making the difference, The Redskins, with the points,
are a solid pick this week in Denver. While Brunell is not a marvelous
fantasy option, he may be viable in two-QB leagues. Moss and Portis
should have decent games, but David Patten and Chris Cooley haven’t
shown much. The Broncos won’t dismantle the Redskins like
they did Kansas City, but they should get okay games from Mike
Anderson and Rod Smith, unless Shanahan changes the game plan
and loads up with Tatum Bell. Jake Plummer, like Brunell, is only
a decent option in two-QB leagues this week.
Final Score: Broncos 17, Redskins
(-14.5) at San Francisco 4:05 p.m.
The Colts deserve some respect as they can play anyway you want
it. They can run the ball 35 times or throw for four TDs. They
are playing some amazing football right now. They are clearly
the league’s best team. But you have to make it count in
the playoffs, not now. They should have absolutely not trouble
kicking the crap out of the 9ers. Freeney should cause more problems
in the bay area this Sunday since Al Capone when he was locked
up in Alcatraz. They should be sitting there starters by half-time.
Play every offensive weapon you can get your hands on but understand
that they may shut them down when they are up 20 by the 3rd quarter.
The 9ers are beat up, pissed off, no offense, and about turn this
shell of a team over to a rookie QB. That’s great management
for you. This is what Nolan said, “ I think Alex gives us
the best chance to win”. Guess what he said about Ratay
four weeks back?? “Tim gives us the best chance to win”.
My ass. He has just decided to mail it in this season. Which I
would too. Let’s see what the kid can do. But this week
is not the week to change QB’s. This will be a slaughter.
Final Score: Colts 38, 9ers
Carolina at Arizona
(+3) 4:15 p.m.
My upset special of the week. Hell I don’t know why the
Cardinals. It just seems they looked “gasp” inspired
with McCown at QB Monday night. I thought they were a better team
than they were playing all along but all they needed was a QB
shot in the arm. Poor Warner, if Josh has another great game he
could be regulated back to holding the clipboard (see Marc Bulger
circa 2003). He must be having nightmares. Next you will hear
his wife call some station in Tempe complaining to Denny about
playing time. Play Fitz, Josh, Boldin, but no RB. They still can’t
The Panthers won but they looked far from dominant. At home against
a weak Packers team they almost imploded. But they won and that
is what matters. Delhomme just doesn’t look right to me.
Just not as accurate and comfortable in the pocket. The running
game is solid. Between Davis and Foster they should be just fine.
I just think this is their week to get thumped. They are obviously
subject to the pass as Favre showed when he lit them up for 303
yards and 4 TDs. He has no receivers. Josh has many. Should be
high scoring though so play Jake and Smitty.
Final Score: Cardinals 30,
(+2.5) at Jacksonville 8:30 p.m
The Bengals didn’t dominate as expected last week. Maybe
that is because they are young and so much is expected when you
are undefeated. There were times when they would just be happy
with a win. But with success breeds greed. They have to eliminate
the fumbles. Mistakes will kill drives and seasons. Do what you
do best. Give it to Rudi, Chad, and the gang and make it a big
track meet. They will have their hands full with their first “real”
test of the season. It will be fun. Play a hot Palmer, C. Johnson,
Rudi, and TJ.
The Jags seem to be slipping. But take into consideration that
the Broncos are playing as well as anyone in football right now.
They just took them down defensively. Basically left them with
no running game. Four turnovers will do it to you as well. Between
these two teams it will come down to who can hold onto the ball
and finish drives. I like the Bengals because their offense can
finish drives. The Jags can not. I would venture away from this
offense right now other than J Smith.
Final Score: Bengals 24, Jags
Pittsburgh (+3) at San
Diego 9:00 p.m.
After the Chargers drubbing of the Super Bowl Champion Patriots
last week, this game takes on a little different meaning. Last
year, it would have appeared to be a pretty standard fantasy outcome,
with the Steelers defensive will imposing itself on the Bolts,
but now, I’m not so sure. The Steelers, who might give in
to the high-scoring affair the Chargers often incite, will get
good games from Big Ben, Hines Ward and Antwaan Randle El. But
the RB situation demands attention, and since the Chargers have
been stopping opposing backfields cold, it may be a good idea
to look elsewhere, although Willie Parker remains the best option
and Duce Staley is available this week for a few carries. The
Chargers, not surprisingly, will get most of their points courtesy
of LT this week, although Keenan McCardell and Drew Brees should
have serviceable games. Antonio Gates and LT are obvious must-plays,
but against the Steelers, no one else can claim that status.
Final Score: Steelers 30, Chargers