Outlook: Over his past four years, Josh Allen has finished as the fantasy QB1 in 2023, QB2 in 2022, QB1 in 2021, QB1 in 2020. To say that he's on a "Mount Rushmore of all-time fantasy quarterbacks" pace would be an understatement. There are plenty of quarterbacks who can provide consistent, high-end passing numbers or who can deliver the "Konami code" effect of practically cheating due to how effective they are as runners, but practically no one in the history of the game has done both of those things at the same time for this many seasons in a row.

Allen might be a unicorn at the position, but it's hard to argue that his forecast for the 2024 season is looking a bit murky. With both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis leaving, Allen is now left with a group of highly inexperienced pass-catching weapons, most of whom lack the physical ability to be one-for-one replacements for either Diggs or Davis, let alone both. Sure, Allen has shown the ability to make due with inferior weapons when Diggs and Davis have been banged up, but what happens when defenses know that those players are gone and can instead allocate more resources to preventing him from scrambling, particularly in the red zone? Time will tell.

Despite these concerns, Allen should remain an elite fantasy asset this season as the entire Buffalo offense has been built around him. Look for him to remain one of the league's most aggressive passers while also being the Bills' defacto goal-line running back, giving him a great floor for fantasy production while still providing high-end QB1 upside.

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Outlook: Most expected the Cardinals to be bad last year, and they were. They just weren't quite bad enough to get a shot at Caleb Williams... or Jayden Daniels... or Drake Maye. Whether Arizona would've actually pulled the trigger on one of those rookie signal-callers is purely speculation, whereas the reality of the situation is that Murray will once again lead the Cardinals, albeit with a shiny new weapon in the form of Marvin Harrison Jr, who was selected fourth overall (after those three QBs).

Last season, Murray was working his way back from a torn ACL suffered on Dec. 12, 2022, and he missed the first nine games recovering. He returned in November and led the team to a 3-5 record down the stretch, which included wins over playoff teams Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. The numbers were decent but unspectacular: 1,799 yards passing, 244 yards rushing, and 13 total TDs -- projected over a 17-game schedule that comes to 3,823 yards passing, 519 yards rushing, and 28 combined touchdowns.

Those look like plausible numbers for Murray, who should be feeling better athletically after another full offseason to train, and getting those games under his belt should've knocked off any rust. Still, there are always going to be durability concerns for the 5-foot-10, 207-pound quarterback. Beyond his ACL injury, we've seen Murray get banged up every year. It's not always to a level that he misses time, but what makes him special is his ability to extend plays, and that exposes him to hits.

He has some nice ascending weapons with Harrison and Trey McBride, and a second year under OC Drew Petzing should help as well. Murray looks like a low-end No. 1 fantasy quarterback for 2024. Just be sure if you draft him as QB1 that you have a capable backup as insurance.

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